Nick Garcia — OGILVIE

Nick Garcia P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%18.1%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	21	13	75	335	83	35	9	62%	3.6	18.3%	12.3%	6.0%	2.7%	4.22	4.59	—
2021	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	21	13	75	335	83	35	9	62%	3.6	24.8%	10.4%	14.3%	2.7%	4.22	3.85	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	23	113	467	109	46	15	92%	4.5	18.0%	11.3%	6.6%	3.2%	3.66	4.75	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	23	113	467	109	46	15	92%	4.5	23.3%	9.9%	13.5%	3.2%	3.66	4.12	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	18	94	439	83	38	20	69%	3.6	15.3%	9.5%	5.8%	5.3%	7.35	5.90	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	18	94	439	83	38	20	69%	3.6	15.3%	9.5%	5.8%	5.3%	7.35	5.90	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	26	18	94	439	83	38	20	69%	3.6	18.9%	8.7%	10.3%	4.6%	7.35	5.30	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	57	253	59	35	4	0%	1.4	19.0%	13.6%	5.5%	1.7%	3.30	4.15	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	57	253	59	35	4	0%	1.4	19.0%	13.6%	5.5%	1.7%	3.30	4.15	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	57	253	59	35	4	0%	1.4	23.3%	13.8%	9.5%	1.6%	3.30	3.78	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	14	0	16	73	15	11	3	0%	1.1	16.6%	16.6%	0.1%	4.2%	8.04	6.08	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	14	0	16	73	15	11	3	0%	1.1	16.6%	16.6%	0.1%	4.2%	8.04	6.08	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	14	0	16	73	15	11	3	0%	1.1	20.5%	15.1%	5.5%	4.1%	8.04	5.78	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	40	1	56	233	65	22	4	2%	1.4	23.3%	8.6%	14.7%	2.0%	2.57	3.31	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	40	1	56	233	65	22	4	2%	1.4	23.3%	8.6%	14.7%	2.0%	2.57	3.31	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	SEA	2	0	3	12	3	1	0	0%	1.5	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.04	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	SEA	38	1	53	221	62	21	4	3%	1.4	28.1%	9.5%	18.6%	1.8%	2.72	2.93	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	20	0	21	88	16	11	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.5%	6.0%	3.2%	5.22	5.26	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	9	0	9	38	7	5	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.5%	6.0%	3.2%	5.22	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	7	5	1	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.5%	6.0%	3.2%	5.22	4.88	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	113	23	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.5%	6.0%	3.2%	5.22	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		168	55	411	1800	327	202	59	33%	2.4	18.2%	11.2%	6.9%	3.3%	4.58	4.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	27	200	876	159	98	29	33%	2.4	18.2%	11.2%	6.9%	3.3%	4.58	4.78	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	18.1%	12.7%	3.1%	—	5.26	18.5%	6.0%	21	-0.01	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	85
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	79
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	79
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	78
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	77
Nelson Gonzalez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	15.3%	13.7%	2.6%	.239	5.79	17.4%	6.7%	96	+0.79	3.42	258	77
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	77
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	77
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	77
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	77
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	76
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	76
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	76
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	76
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	75
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	75
Fernery Ozuna R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	27	SU	5.71	18.4%	11.6%	4.9%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	157	75
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75