Nick Garcia
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.92
FIP4.92
K%20.5%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%8.7%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 21 | 13 | 75 | 335 | 83 | 35 | 9 | 62% | 3.6 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.22 | 4.31 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 21 | 13 | 75 | 335 | 83 | 35 | 9 | 62% | 3.6 | 24.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 3.85 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 23 | 113 | 467 | 109 | 46 | 15 | 92% | 4.5 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 3.66 | 4.44 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 23 | 113 | 467 | 109 | 46 | 15 | 92% | 4.5 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 3.66 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 26 | 18 | 94 | 439 | 83 | 38 | 20 | 69% | 3.6 | 15.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.35 | 5.79 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 26 | 18 | 94 | 439 | 83 | 38 | 20 | 69% | 3.6 | 18.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 7.35 | 5.30 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 14.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.30 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 3.30 | 3.78 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 73 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 16.6% | 0.1% | 3.6% | 8.04 | 5.78 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 14 | 0 | 16 | 73 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 8.04 | 5.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 22 | 1 | 32 | 132 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 2.56 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 53 | 222 | 51 | 26 | 6 | — | — | 22.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 3.51 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.56 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 91 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 150 | 55 | 387 | 1699 | 302 | 202 | 52 | 37% | 2.6 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.79 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 28 | 200 | 879 | 156 | 104 | 27 | 37% | 2.6 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.94 | 20.7% | 9.0% | 21 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 77 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 77 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 77 |
| Logan Taylor R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 75 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 74 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 74 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 74 |
| Linder Castro R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 74 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 73 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 73 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 73 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 73 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.12 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 414 | 73 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 73 |
| Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 72 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 72 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 72 |