Nick Merkel

P Biloxi Shuckers
Age 29 RHP 6'7" / 255 lbs AA
Overview
AAPROSPECT
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202426AAMIL403793.432.6026.3%9.7%—K 21.3% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.15
202527MIX2 levels200273.042.6926.3%10.5%—K 21.8% · BB 12.2% · FIP 3.33
202628AAMIL200256.043.6922.0%7.3%—K 17.8% · BB 8.1% · FIP 4.43
2027PROJ29MLBMIL——04.524.5220.4%9.7%—
2028PROJ31% MLB30MLBMIL5054.604.6720.4%9.9%-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Diego Moreno (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%20.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%10.8%
Proj IP18
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.01 (18 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202224ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue33831420100%2.612.9%6.5%6.5%0.0%3.522.83—
202224ROK RAWACL Brewers Blue33831420100%2.612.9%6.5%6.5%0.0%3.522.84—
202325MIX MLE2 levels34076312941990%2.222.8%7.1%15.7%3.5%3.793.99—
202325MIX RAW2 levels34076312941990%2.230.1%6.1%24.0%2.9%3.792.92—
202426AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers40379331873238%2.021.3%10.6%10.7%0.9%3.433.15—
202426AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers40379331873238%2.021.3%10.6%10.7%0.9%3.433.15—
202426AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers40379331873238%2.026.3%9.7%16.6%0.9%3.432.60—
202527MIX MLE2 levels20027114301210%1.321.8%12.2%9.5%0.9%3.043.33—
202527MIX MLE2 levels20027114301210%1.321.8%12.2%9.5%0.9%3.043.33—
202527MIX RAW2 levels20027114301210%1.326.3%10.5%15.8%0.9%3.042.69—
202628AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers2002510924830%1.317.8%8.1%9.8%3.3%6.044.43—
202628AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers2002510924830%1.317.8%8.1%9.8%3.3%6.044.43—
202628AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers2002510924830%1.322.0%7.3%14.7%2.8%6.043.69—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202729MLBMIL——0——————20.4%9.7%10.8%2.8%4.524.52—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202830MLB MLEMIL160177315720%1.120.4%9.9%10.5%3.0%4.604.67-0.0
202830MLB CTXMIL505214210%1.020.4%9.9%10.5%3.0%4.604.67-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW505235210%1.120.4%9.9%10.5%3.0%4.604.29+0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW190020084418674370%1.120.4%9.9%10.5%3.0%4.604.29+0.6
Career— MLE117621489719082195%1.821.2%9.1%12.0%2.1%3.823.61-0.0
/ 200 IP— MLE109620083717776175%1.821.2%9.1%12.0%2.1%3.823.61-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 25 IPFIP 3.68 → 4.43 (+0.75)K% 22.0% → 17.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.02%—×0.81017.83%
BB% (unintentional) /BF7.34%—×1.1008.07%
HR / BF /BF2.75%÷1.000×1.2003.30%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.68 → 4.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 25 IPFIP 2.75 → 3.33 (+0.58)K% 26.9% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.85%—×0.81021.75%
BB% (unintentional) /BF11.11%—×1.10012.22%
HR / BF /BF0.93%÷1.170×1.2000.95%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 134).

Result: FIP 2.75 → 3.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 79 IPFIP 2.60 → 3.15 (+0.54)K% 26.3% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.28%—×0.81021.29%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.67%—×1.10010.63%
HR / BF /BF0.91%÷1.198×1.2000.91%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 140).

Result: FIP 2.60 → 3.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 49 IPFIP 3.06 → 3.98 (+0.92)K% 26.2% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.24%—×0.77020.20%
BB% (unintentional) /BF6.44%—×1.1507.40%
HR / BF /BF2.48%÷1.033×1.2502.99%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).

Result: FIP 3.06 → 3.98, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACarolina Mudcats · 27 IPFIP 2.64 → 4.01 (+1.37)K% 37.3% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF37.27%—×0.74027.58%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.45%—×1.1806.44%
HR / BF /BF3.64%÷1.072×1.3004.41%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 114).

Result: FIP 2.64 → 4.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 8 IPFIP 2.83 → 3.38 (+0.55)K% 12.9% → 8.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF12.90%—×0.6808.77%
BB% (unintentional) /BF6.45%—×1.2508.06%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.005×1.4000.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).

Result: FIP 2.83 → 3.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).