Johnathan Harmon
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%21.2%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.69 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 92 | 399 | 97 | 35 | 8 | 70% | 4.0 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 92 | 399 | 97 | 35 | 8 | 70% | 4.0 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 2.0% | 3.90 | 3.26 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 10 | 10 | 46 | 194 | 41 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 10 | 10 | 46 | 194 | 41 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.1% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 29 | 127 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 88% | 3.6 | 15.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 3.45 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 7 | 29 | 127 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 88% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 0.8% | 3.45 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 17 | 16 | 89 | 369 | 68 | 31 | 19 | 94% | 5.2 | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.08 | 6.40 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 22 | 91 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 110 | 460 | 87 | 39 | 22 | — | — | 19.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 4.94 | 6.00 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 3.98 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 22 | 91 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 60 | 50 | 258 | 1096 | 180 | 101 | 38 | 83% | 4.3 | 16.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.30 | 4.77 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 39 | 200 | 851 | 140 | 78 | 29 | 83% | 4.3 | 16.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.30 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Johnathan Harmon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 21.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.34 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 22 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 79 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 78 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 78 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 76 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 76 |
| Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 75 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 75 |
| Chase Whitley R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 123 | -0.00 | 3.11 | 159 | 75 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 75 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 74 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 74 |
| Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 74 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 73 |
| Connor Seabold R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.49 | 20.2% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .247 | 3.94 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 224 | +0.45 | 3.03 | 576 | 73 |
| Ryan Watson R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.26 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | .342 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 98 | +1.59 | 4.26 | 165 | 73 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 72 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 72 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 72 |
| Justin Topa R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 72 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 72 |