Cade Winquest — OGILVIE

Cade Winquest P Memphis Redbirds

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 217 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.17

FIP4.17

K%19.7%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4545

CTRL—50

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	78	335	81	34	6	54%	3.2	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.3%	4.87	4.37	—
2023	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	78	335	81	34	6	54%	3.2	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.3%	4.87	4.37	—
2023	23	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	24	13	78	335	81	34	6	54%	3.2	24.2%	10.1%	14.0%	1.8%	4.87	3.33	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	9	2	29	124	28	18	1	22%	3.2	17.4%	16.7%	0.7%	1.0%	3.10	4.30	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	9	2	29	124	28	18	1	22%	3.2	17.4%	16.7%	0.7%	1.0%	3.10	4.30	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	9	2	29	124	28	18	1	22%	3.2	22.6%	14.5%	8.1%	0.8%	3.10	3.48	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	23	106	460	110	39	7	92%	4.2	18.8%	9.6%	9.2%	2.0%	3.99	3.82	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	23	106	460	110	39	7	92%	4.2	18.8%	9.6%	9.2%	2.0%	3.99	3.82	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	23	106	460	110	39	7	92%	4.2	23.9%	8.5%	15.4%	1.5%	3.99	2.99	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	0	7	29	6	3	0	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.65	+0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	39	0	46	193	63	17	4	0%	1.2	28.8%	7.7%	21.2%	2.7%	4.86	3.11	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	39	0	46	193	63	17	4	0%	1.2	28.8%	7.7%	21.2%	2.7%	4.86	3.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	STL	33	0	40	164	57	14	4	0%	1.2	34.8%	8.5%	26.2%	2.4%	4.54	2.59	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	STL	6	0	7	29	6	3	0	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.66	—
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	STL	6	0	7	29	6	3	0	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.66	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	STL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	2.6%	4.17	4.17	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	STL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	2.6%	4.17	4.17	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	52	218	68	20	5	—	—	31.2%	9.0%	22.2%	2.1%	4.78	3.23	+0.9
FULL	26	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	13	53	68	20	5	—	—	128.4%	37.0%	91.4%	8.8%	19.93	1.76	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	STL	90	0	94	397	75	41	10	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.6%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	STL	87	0	91	385	73	39	10	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.2%	8.8%	2.7%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	STL	83	0	87	368	70	38	11	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.69	4.76	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	STL	78	0	82	346	65	37	11	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.6%	8.1%	3.1%	4.83	4.93	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	STL	85	0	89	376	71	39	10	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.6%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	STL	83	0	87	367	70	38	10	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.2%	8.8%	2.7%	4.61	4.65	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	STL	79	0	83	350	66	36	10	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.9%	4.69	4.76	-0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	STL	74	0	78	329	61	35	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.6%	8.1%	3.1%	4.83	4.93	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		332	0	349	1474	279	153	40	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.4%	8.6%	2.7%	4.70	4.31	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	845	160	88	23	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.4%	8.6%	2.7%	4.70	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		97	38	259	1112	224	120	23	39%	2.7	20.1%	10.8%	9.3%	2.1%	4.31	3.92	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	29	200	859	173	93	18	39%	2.7	20.1%	10.8%	9.3%	2.1%	4.31	3.92	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cade Winquest (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	18.4%	10.5%	2.6%	—	4.66	19.0%	8.7%	272	-0.03	—	—	—
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	88
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	87
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	85
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	85
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	85
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	84
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	84
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	83
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	83
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	83
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	83
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	83
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	82
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	81
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	81
Adam Quintana R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	27	SW	4.17	18.6%	11.7%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	201	81
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	81
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	85	18.8%	10.4%	1.07	4.68
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25