Cade Winquest
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 217 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%18.4%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 24 | 13 | 78 | 335 | 81 | 34 | 6 | 54% | 3.2 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 4.87 | 4.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 24 | 13 | 78 | 335 | 81 | 34 | 6 | 54% | 3.2 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 1.8% | 4.87 | 3.33 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 9 | 2 | 29 | 124 | 28 | 18 | 1 | 22% | 3.2 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.10 | 4.31 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 9 | 2 | 29 | 124 | 28 | 18 | 1 | 22% | 3.2 | 22.6% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 3.10 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 106 | 460 | 110 | 39 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 3.99 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 23 | 106 | 460 | 110 | 39 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 23.9% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 1.5% | 3.99 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 20 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.0% | 6.5% | 22.5% | 3.4% | 5.40 | 3.34 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 93 | 393 | 86 | 36 | 11 | — | — | 22.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.84 | 4.32 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 18.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.65 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 55 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 54 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 0 | 78 | 330 | 63 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.30 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 161 | 84 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 38 | 236 | 1016 | 196 | 111 | 22 | 49% | 3.0 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 4.06 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 32 | 200 | 861 | 166 | 94 | 19 | 49% | 3.0 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 4.31 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Winquest (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 18.4% | 10.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.68 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 136 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 87 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 87 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 85 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 85 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 83 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 81 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 81 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 81 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 81 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 81 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 80 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 79 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.64 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.74 | 459 | 79 |
| André Rienzo R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 79 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 15.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .283 | 4.97 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 94 | -0.21 | 3.73 | 550 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 1.06 | 4.65 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |