Noah Denoyer
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 250 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%23.3%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.25 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.3 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.35 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 11 | 72 | 292 | 81 | 30 | 7 | 55% | 3.6 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 2.76 | 4.45 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 11 | 72 | 292 | 81 | 30 | 7 | 55% | 3.6 | 27.7% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 2.76 | 3.37 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 5 | 72 | 279 | 99 | 17 | 8 | 24% | 3.4 | 28.2% | 7.0% | 21.2% | 2.6% | 2.89 | 3.05 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 5 | 72 | 279 | 99 | 17 | 8 | 24% | 3.4 | 35.5% | 6.1% | 29.4% | 2.9% | 2.89 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 25 | 5 | 51 | 244 | 63 | 38 | 9 | 20% | 2.1 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.61 | 5.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 25 | 5 | 51 | 244 | 63 | 38 | 9 | 20% | 2.1 | 25.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 5.61 | 5.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 35 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 22 | 199 | 831 | 202 | 96 | 26 | 32% | 2.9 | 24.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 3.58 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 22 | 200 | 837 | 203 | 96 | 26 | 32% | 2.9 | 24.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 3.58 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Denoyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.63 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 34 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 78 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 76 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 74 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 73 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 73 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 70 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 70 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | .329 | 3.99 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 157 | -1.10 | 3.39 | 382 | 70 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 69 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 69 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 69 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 69 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 69 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 69 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 69 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 68 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 68 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 1.22 | 4.55 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |