Gustavo Baptista

C ACL Guardians

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#845ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	206	.262/.473/.414	3	7	74	—	.165/.350/.241
2026	18	ROKCLE	161	.234/.344/.489	7	17	51	—	.160/.244/.333
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCLE	271	.200/.284/.307	4	5	69	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCLE	47	.204/.289/.316	1	1	74	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCLE	114	.208/.293/.326	2	2	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed94

ISO93

wRC+52

wOBA41

Chase%40

Whiff%32

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 8.6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 85%

CompsRandy Florentino (age 19) · Carlos Rodriguez (age 19) · Carlos Cauro (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .282 / .305

PA83

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	145	38	7	3	3	46	47	12	7	0	262	473	414	887	152	357	23	22	406	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	161	137	32	6	4	7	19	44	4	17	2	234	344	489	833	255	287	27	12	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	158	26	5	2	1	33	56	12	7	0	165	350	241	590	76	222	27	16	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	161	144	23	4	3	5	12	63	4	17	2	160	244	333	577	174	221	39	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	158	26	5	2	1	33	56	12	7	0	165	350	241	590	76	240	27	16	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	145	38	7	3	3	46	47	12	7	0	262	473	414	887	152	357	23	22	406	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	161	144	23	4	3	5	12	63	4	17	2	160	244	333	577	174	234	39	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	161	137	32	6	4	7	19	44	4	17	2	234	344	489	833	255	287	27	12	363	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	159	26	5	2	1	33	56	12	7	0	164	350	239	589	75	222	27	16	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	161	144	23	4	3	5	12	63	4	17	2	160	244	333	577	174	221	39	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	206	159	26	5	2	1	33	56	12	7	0	164	350	239	589	75	222	27	16	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	161	144	23	4	3	5	12	63	4	17	2	160	244	333	577	174	221	39	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	271	241	48	8	3	4	24	80	4	5	1	200	284	307	591	107	276	30	9	270	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	136	121	24	4	1	2	12	39	2	2	1	205	289	319	609	114	279	29	9	277	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	236	209	43	8	2	4	21	67	4	4	1	209	293	329	622	120	280	28	9	283	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	348	308	65	11	3	7	31	97	6	6	2	212	297	337	633	125	282	28	9	287	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	422	374	81	14	4	9	38	116	7	7	2	215	299	343	642	128	283	27	9	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	445	395	86	15	4	10	40	121	7	7	2	217	301	348	649	131	284	27	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	445	395	86	15	4	10	40	121	7	7	2	217	301	349	650	131	284	27	9	293	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	445	395	86	15	4	10	40	121	7	7	2	217	301	348	649	131	284	27	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	445	395	85	15	4	9	40	121	7	7	2	216	300	345	645	129	283	27	9	292	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	445	395	85	15	4	9	40	122	7	6	2	214	298	341	638	126	282	27	9	289	82	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	445	395	84	15	4	9	40	124	7	6	2	212	295	334	629	123	281	28	9	285	79	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	445	396	81	14	3	8	39	125	7	5	2	208	291	326	617	118	279	28	9	280	76	-13	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	426	380	77	13	3	8	37	121	6	4	4	204	286	316	602	112	275	28	9	274	72	-14	-1	-3	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	47	42	9	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	204	289	316	604	112	278	30	9	276	74	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	114	101	21	4	1	2	10	32	2	2	1	208	293	326	618	118	280	28	9	281	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	189	167	35	6	1	4	17	53	3	3	1	211	296	333	629	122	281	28	9	286	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	239	212	45	8	2	5	21	66	4	4	1	214	298	340	638	125	282	28	9	289	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	252	223	48	9	2	5	23	68	4	4	1	217	300	345	645	128	284	27	9	292	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	251	223	48	9	2	5	22	68	4	4	1	217	301	345	646	129	284	27	9	292	85	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	251	223	48	9	2	5	22	68	4	4	1	217	300	345	645	128	283	27	9	292	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	247	219	47	8	2	5	22	67	4	4	1	215	299	342	642	127	283	27	9	290	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	244	216	46	8	2	5	22	67	4	3	1	214	297	338	635	124	282	27	9	288	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	238	211	45	8	2	5	21	66	4	3	1	211	294	331	626	120	280	28	9	284	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	254	226	47	8	2	5	22	71	4	3	1	208	291	323	614	116	278	28	9	279	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	254	226	46	8	2	4	22	72	4	2	2	204	286	314	599	110	275	28	9	273	72	-9	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2580	2289	485	87	20	51	228	712	42	37	12	212	295	334	629	122	282	28	9	286	79	-60	+3	-4	+46	+56	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	122	22	5	13	57	179	11	9	3	211	295	334	630	123	281	28	9	286	79	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5133	4535	947	166	46	102	470	1438	91	93	26	209	296	333	629	124	280	28	9	285	79	-112	+4	-7	+85	+103	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	120	21	6	13	60	182	12	12	3	209	297	334	632	125	280	28	9	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 161 PAwOBA .356 → .243 (−113)K% 27.3% → 39.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.33%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	39.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.80%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	7.48%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	1.83%
Singles /BIP	16.13%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.980	×1.022	13.25%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.980	×1.022	4.65%
Triples /BIP	4.30%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.980	×1.022	3.10%
Home runs /BIP	7.53%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	6.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .356 → .243; ISO .255 → .174; BABIP .287 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 206 PAwOBA .403 → .277 (−126)K% 22.8% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.82%	÷1.028	×1.220	—	—	27.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.33%	÷0.993	×0.700	—	×1.022	16.10%
HBP% /PA	5.83%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	4.17%
Singles /BIP	25.51%	÷1.061	×0.680	×0.987	×1.022	16.50%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.020	×0.600	×0.987	×1.022	4.24%
Triples /BIP	3.06%	÷0.995	×0.600	×0.987	×1.022	1.86%
Home runs /BIP	3.06%	÷1.316	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.12%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 112, 2B 104, 3B 99, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .403 → .277; ISO .152 → .085; BABIP .357 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,663	54	39	214	294	338	+48	+28	6.2	5.4
/162	664	13	10	+11.9	+7.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Baptista (OGILVIE)	19	40	35	45	60	198/282/305	106	276	1	1	29%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jesus Lopez 2024 · A	19	40	42→40	47→30	48	197/281/308	111	254	9	6	25%	8%	70	-0.9	190/255/273	83	296	6	4	35%	7%	51	-2.3	162/230/232	69	257	5	1	36%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2024 · A	20	43→41	41→45	48→40	51	206/298/303	97	298	9	5	31%	11%	74	-0.5	205/279/316	111	317	13	3	36%	9%	70	-0.9	192/266/301	109	300	14	1	38%	8%	59	-1.2
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	48→50	46	206/278/339	133	281	12	10	30%	9%	74	-0.5	193/287/305	112	289	11	12	34%	11%	71	-0.8	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Oswaldo Osorio 2024 · A	19	40	43→40	47→40	48	193/298/308	115	293	10	7	34%	11%	76	-0.4	171/265/265	94	293	9	5	41%	9%	55	-2.0	148/246/247	99	248	12	4	42%	9%	41	-1.4
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1

Gustavo Baptista

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps