Marco Vargas — OGILVIE

Marco VargasSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .290 / .279

PA202

HR1

SB12

K%29

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO73

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$10M	+$8M
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$9M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$52M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	221	194	43	10	2	1	23	48	0	14	6	222	304	309	613	88	282	22	10	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	250	213	40	11	1	1	33	61	2	13	4	188	302	263	565	75	255	24	13	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	250	193	53	14	1	2	53	38	2	13	4	275	435	389	824	114	329	15	21	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	140	26	4	0	0	24	55	1	13	2	186	309	214	523	29	295	33	14	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	463	419	90	11	3	2	38	117	2	40	8	215	283	270	553	55	289	25	8	253	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	463	399	103	12	4	2	58	89	2	40	8	258	355	323	678	65	324	19	13	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	NYM	—	118	106	18	3	2	0	12	41	0	12	0	170	254	236	490	66	277	35	10	229	33	-9	+2	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
YTD	21	AA	NYM	—	118	100	21	4	2	0	18	32	0	12	0	210	331	290	621	80	309	27	15	292	82	-2	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.5
ROS	21	AA	NYM	2%	202	179	37	6	2	1	20	59	1	12	1	207	290	279	569	73	289	29	10	252	51	-11	+2	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		289	25	0	249	49	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	AA	NYM	—	122	110	19	3	2	0	12	42	0	12	0	173	254	236	490	64	279	34	10	230	34	-9	+2	-0	+1	+3	-0.2
TOT	21	AA	NYM	—	320	285	55	9	4	1	32	100	1	24	1	193	277	263	540	70	292	31	10	243	44	-20	+4	-0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	517	459	97	16	4	5	51	145	2	27	4	211	293	296	589	85	292	28	10	270	65	-20	+4	-0	+6	+15	0.3
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	561	497	109	18	4	8	56	152	3	29	4	219	302	320	622	101	293	27	10	282	74	-16	+4	-0	+6	+16	1.0
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	589	522	116	19	4	10	59	157	3	31	4	222	305	331	636	109	294	27	10	290	80	-13	+5	-0	+6	+17	1.4
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	604	535	120	19	4	12	61	159	3	32	4	224	307	342	649	118	294	26	10	294	83	-12	+5	-0	+6	+17	1.7
2031	26	MLB	NYM	56%	612	541	122	20	4	12	62	161	4	32	4	226	310	344	654	118	294	26	10	295	84	-11	+5	-0	+7	+17	1.8
2032	27	MLB	NYM	55%	611	539	121	20	4	12	63	161	4	32	4	224	310	343	653	119	294	26	10	295	84	-11	+5	-0	+7	+17	1.8
2033	28	MLB	NYM	55%	606	535	119	19	4	12	63	161	3	30	4	222	308	340	648	118	293	27	10	294	84	-11	+4	-1	+6	+17	1.6
2034	29	MLB	NYM	53%	596	526	117	19	4	11	62	159	3	28	4	222	308	337	644	114	293	27	10	293	82	-12	+4	-2	+6	+17	1.4
2035	30	MLB	NYM	57%	586	517	114	18	4	11	61	158	3	24	3	221	306	335	641	114	292	27	10	290	80	-13	+4	-2	+6	+17	1.1
2036	31	MLB	NYM	60%	572	504	109	17	3	10	60	156	3	21	3	216	303	321	625	105	290	27	10	286	77	-15	+3	-3	+6	+16	0.8
2037	32	MLB	NYM	61%	553	487	103	16	3	9	58	153	3	17	2	211	299	312	611	101	287	28	10	281	73	-17	+3	-4	+6	+16	0.4
2038	33	MLB	NYM	62%	523	462	96	15	3	8	54	147	2	12	2	208	293	305	599	97	283	28	10	275	69	-19	+2	-5	+6	+15	-0.1
2039	34	MLB	NYM	58%	476	422	85	12	3	7	49	137	2	8	1	201	288	294	581	92	278	29	10	267	63	-20	+1	-5	+5	+13	-0.6
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	182	161	33	5	1	2	18	51	1	10	1	205	289	286	575	81	291	28	10	267	62	-8	+2	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	274	244	53	9	2	4	27	74	1	14	2	217	298	320	617	102	293	27	10	278	71	-9	+2	-0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	24	MLB	NYM	53%	311	275	61	10	2	5	31	83	2	16	2	222	305	327	632	105	293	27	10	285	77	-8	+2	-0	+3	+9	0.6
2030	25	MLB	NYM	55%	331	293	65	11	2	6	33	87	2	17	2	222	305	334	639	113	294	26	10	289	80	-8	+3	-0	+4	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB	NYM	56%	341	301	68	11	2	7	35	90	2	18	2	226	311	346	656	120	294	26	10	291	81	-7	+3	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2032	27	MLB	NYM	55%	336	296	67	11	2	7	35	89	2	18	2	226	312	348	660	122	293	26	10	291	81	-7	+3	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB	NYM	55%	331	292	64	10	2	6	34	88	2	17	2	219	305	329	634	110	293	27	10	290	80	-7	+3	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2034	29	MLB	NYM	53%	318	280	62	10	2	6	33	85	2	15	2	221	308	336	644	114	292	27	10	288	79	-8	+2	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2035	30	MLB	NYM	57%	334	294	64	10	2	6	35	90	2	14	2	218	305	327	632	109	292	27	10	286	77	-9	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.5
2036	31	MLB	NYM	60%	340	299	65	10	2	6	36	93	2	12	2	217	306	324	630	107	289	27	11	282	74	-10	+2	-2	+4	+10	0.3
2037	32	MLB	NYM	61%	339	299	64	10	2	6	35	94	2	10	1	214	301	321	622	107	287	28	10	277	70	-11	+2	-2	+4	+10	0.1
2038	33	MLB	NYM	62%	327	288	60	9	2	5	34	92	2	8	1	208	296	306	602	97	283	28	10	271	66	-13	+1	-3	+4	+9	-0.2
2039	34	MLB	NYM	58%	276	245	50	7	2	4	28	80	1	5	1	204	288	298	586	94	278	29	10	264	60	-12	+1	-3	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4044	3571	777	123	25	70	414	1097	23	174	22	218	303	325	628	107	291	27	10	282	74	-117	+26	-14	+43	+115	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	125	20	4	11	67	176	4	28	4	218	304	324	628	106	292	27	10	282	74	-19	+4	-2	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	8710	7691	1664	270	56	132	897	2346	44	415	64	216	302	318	619	101	291	27	10	282	74	-255	+57	-24	+93	+247	12.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	124	20	4	10	67	175	3	31	5	216	301	317	618	101	290	27	10	282	74	-19	+4	-2	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	157	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	31	26	8	0	0	0	5	7	0	3	2	308	419	308	727		421	23	16	346	123	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	219	167	45	14	1	2	48	31	2	10	2	269	438	401	839	132	316	14	22	384	152	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	88	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	408	355	85	9	4	1	48	82	1	38	7	239	332	296	627	56	304	20	12	291	81	-9	+5	—	—	+12	0.8
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	55	44	18	3	0	1	10	7	1	2	1	409	527	545	1.073	136	472	13	18	478	224	+8	+0	—	—	+2	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,046	70	174	219	301	327	+41	+21	7.3	6.7
	/162	664	12	28	219	301	327	+6.8	+3.5	1.2	pk7: 6
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Vargas (OGILVIE)	21	35→47	25→30	60→57	60	193/277/263	70	292	1	24	31%	10%	44	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→49	34→30	57→65	50	211/291/257	47	297	2	32	27%	10%	56	-1.3	207/294/264	57	302	3	41	29%	11%	59	-1.1	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Adenson Chourio 2007 · A	21	47	33→30	54→60	45	219/279/265	46	288	1	28	23%	7%	51	-1.7	239/308/284	45	306	1	29	20%	8%	69	-0.4	243/313/273	31	316	1	34	21%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	58	-1.2	225/277/281	56	316	1	23	27%	7%	54	-1.4	228/281/275	46	330	0	29	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Dubal Baez 2014 · A	21	49	34→30	51→60	47	223/304/274	50	310	1	22	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/280/282	62	297	2	17	25%	6%	56	-1.3	216/264/250	34	277	0	23	21%	4%	36	-0.6
✕Jesus Galindo 2012 · A	21	45→52	34→40	57→65	50	206/291/259	54	283	2	29	26%	9%	56	-1.3	232/288/296	64	311	2	34	24%	6%	63	-0.9	239/291/307	68	323	2	38	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2021 · A	21	45	35→30	55	45	210/279/268	58	288	2	24	26%	7%	53	-1.5	193/283/264	71	300	3	20	33%	10%	55	-1.4	159/272/222	63	255	2	29	34%	11%	38	-0.6
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	50→60	35→30	56→60	52	230/305/294	64	287	2	27	20%	9%	70	-0.3	235/323/292	57	302	2	27	20%	10%	78	+0.2	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	59	-1.1	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	60	-1.0	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Francisco Aponte 2012 · A	21	50	35→30	53→60	54	230/313/289	59	284	1	21	18%	9%	72	-0.2	210/265/278	68	267	2	11	20%	7%	49	-1.8	200/241/256	56	246	0	10	18%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Malcolm Holland 2013 · A	21	43→40	33→30	56→60	52	195/290/238	43	280	1	30	28%	11%	51	-1.7	194/275/235	41	279	1	26	27%	10%	43	-2.2	184/266/212	29	263	0	30	27%	10%	30	-1.9
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→55	36→30	59→60	48	217/288/285	68	291	3	31	25%	8%	61	-1.0	220/289/292	72	293	3	23	24%	8%	63	-0.8	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Juan Mosquera 2008 · A	20	46	34→30	48→55	53	209/308/256	46	299	1	17	27%	11%	63	-0.8	197/274/246	49	265	2	11	24%	9%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2008 · A	22	49	34→30	53→55	47	226/286/277	52	307	2	21	26%	8%	57	-1.2	218/266/280	62	301	4	18	27%	6%	50	-1.8	213/257/272	59	294	4	20	28%	5%	40	-1.6
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	37→40	56→55	51	197/300/273	76	315	4	20	35%	12%	65	-0.7	186/270/272	86	315	6	17	38%	10%	51	-1.7	143/226/223	80	254	5	17	42%	10%	17	-1.1
✕Danny Taveras 2008 · A	21	45	34→30	54→65	53	206/298/255	49	269	1	23	22%	10%	59	-1.1	209/292/265	56	280	3	29	24%	9%	59	-1.1	197/288/233	36	264	2	46	23%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2021 · A	22	49→51	37→45	54→60	45	225/285/313	88	309	2	20	26%	7%	66	-0.6	232/289/343	111	310	8	26	26%	7%	76	+0.1	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	62	-0.9	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	69	-0.4	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
●Rey Fuentes 2012 · A	21	46→56	38→40	57→60	37	217/261/293	76	308	5	26	30%	5%	50	-1.7	235/286/326	91	327	7	28	28%	6%	70	-0.3	274/321/368	94	353	8	33	23%	5%	91	+0.8