Marco Vargas — OGILVIE

Marco VargasSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA H +5%HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.8 · 2031

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .287 / .277

PA320

HR3

SB21

K%26

BB%10

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗47

PWR

25↗30

SPD

60↘57

FLD

40↗57

EYE

55↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.5	$13M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.8	$17M	+$13M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.6	$16M	+$10M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$20M		$92M	+$73M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	221	194	43	10	2	1	23	48	0	14	6	.222	.304	.309	.613	.088	.282	22	10	.277	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	250	213	42	11	1	2	33	59	2	13	4	.197	.310	.286	.597	.089	.260	24	13	.268	63	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	168	139	24	4	0	0	25	54	1	13	2	.173	.303	.201	.504	.029	.273	32	15	.244	45	-10	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2025	20	A+	2 teams	463	421	88	10	3	2	36	116	2	40	8	.209	.275	.261	.536	.052	.280	25	8	.244	45	-29	+5	+0	+5	+13	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	70	63	10	1	1	0	7	26	0	8	0	.159	.243	.206	.449	.048	.270	37	10	.201	12	-7	+2	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	250	223	46	7	2	2	24	70	1	13	2	.206	.286	.283	.569	.076	.281	28	10	.256	54	-13	+2	-0	+3	+7	-0.2
TOT	21	MLB	NYM	320	286	56	8	3	2	31	96	1	21	2	.196	.277	.266	.542	.070	.286	30	10	.244	45	-20	+3	-0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 12%	NYM	510	449	96	15	3	6	53	119	3	23	3	.214	.301	.301	.602	.087	.272	23	10	.275	69	-18	+3	-0	+5	+14	0.5
2028	23	MLB 29%	NYM	554	488	106	16	3	9	58	126	3	23	3	.217	.304	.318	.622	.100	.274	23	10	.286	77	-14	+3	-0	+6	+16	1.1
2029	24	MLB 46%	NYM	582	511	114	18	3	11	62	131	4	22	3	.223	.312	.335	.647	.112	.276	23	11	.294	83	-11	+3	-0	+6	+16	1.5
2030	25	MLB 61%	NYM	598	524	118	18	4	12	65	133	4	21	3	.225	.315	.344	.659	.118	.277	22	11	.298	86	-9	+3	-0	+6	+17	1.7
2031	26	MLB 78%	NYM	605	529	120	19	4	12	67	135	4	20	2	.227	.318	.346	.664	.119	.277	22	11	.300	88	-8	+3	-0	+6	+17	1.8
2032	27	MLB 93%	NYM	604	528	119	18	4	12	67	135	4	18	2	.225	.317	.343	.660	.117	.277	22	11	.300	88	-8	+3	-0	+6	+17	1.8
2033	28	MLB	NYM	600	524	117	18	3	12	67	136	4	16	2	.223	.316	.338	.654	.115	.277	23	11	.299	87	-9	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.6
2034	29	MLB	NYM	590	514	114	18	3	11	67	135	4	15	1	.222	.316	.333	.649	.111	.276	23	11	.297	85	-10	+3	-2	+6	+17	1.4
2035	30	MLB	NYM	579	506	111	17	3	11	65	134	3	13	1	.219	.312	.330	.642	.111	.274	23	11	.293	83	-11	+2	-2	+6	+16	1.1
2036	31	MLB	NYM	565	493	107	16	3	10	64	134	3	11	0	.217	.311	.323	.633	.105	.273	24	11	.290	80	-13	+2	-3	+6	+16	0.8
2037	32	MLB	NYM	546	477	101	15	3	9	61	132	3	9	0	.212	.305	.312	.617	.101	.272	24	11	.285	76	-15	+2	-4	+6	+15	0.5
2038	33	MLB	NYM	516	450	95	14	3	8	58	128	3	8	0	.211	.305	.309	.614	.098	.270	25	11	.280	72	-16	+2	-5	+6	+15	0.1
2039	34	MLB	NYM	469	412	83	12	2	7	52	120	2	7	0	.201	.294	.291	.585	.090	.268	26	11	.274	68	-17	+1	-5	+5	+13	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8670	7595	1644	256	49	137	947	2045	50	299	42	.216	.307	.317	.625	.101	.276	24	11	.285	76	-231	+43	-24	+93	+246	12.9
/ 162G	—			650	569	123	19	4	10	71	153	4	22	3	.216	.307	.316	.624	.100	.276	24	11	.285	76	-17	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	.319	.429	.456	.885	.137	.368	14	16	.391	157	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	31	26	8	0	0	0	5	7	0	3	2	.308	.419	.308	.727	.000	.421	23	16	.346	123	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	219	167	45	14	1	2	48	31	2	10	2	.269	.438	.401	.839	.132	.316	14	22	.384	152	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	.208	.376	.238	.614	.031	.284	23	20	.300	88	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	408	355	85	9	4	1	48	82	1	38	7	.239	.332	.296	.627	.056	.304	20	12	.291	81	-9	+5	—	—	+12	0.8
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	55	44	18	3	0	1	10	7	1	2	1	.409	.527	.545	1.073	.136	.472	13	18	.478	224	+8	+0	—	—	+2	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Vargas (OGILVIE)	21	35→47	25→30	60→57	60	.206/.287/.277	.071	.282	3	13	26%	10%	59	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	36→30	54→60	51	.210/.290/.269	.060	.280	4	23	25%	10%	59	-1.1	.222/.308/.288	.066	.293	2	21	22%	10%	71	-0.3	.235/.336/.301	.066	.302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
●Brice Turang 2021 · A	21	45→55	36→45	54→60	50	.211/.287/.276	.065	.284	3	16	25%	9%	58	-1.2	.230/.292/.324	.094	.293	8	22	23%	8%	72	-0.2	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Jean Ramirez 2022 · A	21	44→49	38→40	52→65	45	.209/.282/.287	.078	.296	5	20	29%	8%	59	-1.1	.216/.277/.299	.083	.307	8	27	30%	7%	59	-1.1	.212/.271/.279	.067	.295	7	31	29%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A	22	46→56	35→30	51→50	49	.215/.284/.270	.055	.276	3	14	22%	8%	56	-1.3	.265/.319/.333	.068	.300	4	12	12%	7%	85	+0.7	.276/.336/.332	.056	.308	2	12	10%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	48	.225/.286/.284	.059	.284	1	22	20%	7%	59	-1.1	.227/.279/.283	.056	.314	1	23	26%	6%	56	-1.3	.230/.282/.275	.045	.332	0	29	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Fadriel Cruz 2022 · A	21	42	38→30	57→55	48	.198/.273/.278	.080	.275	5	26	28%	9%	53	-1.5	.195/.274/.283	.088	.300	7	17	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.166/.253/.235	.069	.260	8	19	36%	10%	31	-1.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	43	37→30	51→60	45	.202/.271/.271	.070	.286	4	11	29%	8%	50	-1.7	.211/.307/.281	.070	.293	4	26	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.229/.340/.278	.049	.305	3	35	22%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→56	35→40	51→55	53	.218/.299/.284	.066	.260	2	16	16%	9%	66	-0.6	.239/.343/.309	.070	.301	3	14	19%	12%	92	+1.2	.252/.341/.336	.084	.311	6	19	19%	9%	94	+0.9
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A	21	49	36→30	47→55	48	.229/.296/.295	.067	.290	4	15	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.202/.260/.275	.073	.287	5	11	29%	7%	46	-2.0	.161/.210/.245	.083	.254	7	9	38%	5%	13	-0.9
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	51	.196/.288/.239	.043	.279	1	15	28%	10%	50	-1.7	.201/.268/.256	.055	.262	2	9	22%	8%	45	-2.1	.183/.242/.211	.028	.222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	58→50	45	.241/.297/.320	.079	.307	3	18	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.272/.288	.062	.291	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	.274/.326/.342	.068	.345	3	10	20%	5%	88	+0.5
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→60	47	.215/.281/.293	.077	.280	1	18	22%	8%	59	-1.1	.228/.289/.316	.088	.298	4	17	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.245/.306/.339	.094	.314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Rey Fuentes 2012 · A	21	47→57	38→40	57→60	38	.221/.264/.297	.076	.304	5	26	28%	4%	53	-1.5	.230/.283/.314	.084	.321	6	28	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.270/.319/.363	.092	.348	8	33	23%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2007 · A	21	49	37→30	53→55	45	.234/.288/.303	.069	.309	5	17	25%	7%	65	-0.7	.225/.279/.283	.058	.309	3	19	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.262/.277	.059	.301	4	20	27%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	56→65	49	.212/.280/.284	.072	.261	3	24	19%	8%	57	-1.2	.211/.292/.279	.068	.275	2	24	22%	9%	61	-1.0	.196/.288/.254	.058	.259	1	30	22%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	.230/.302/.320	.090	.314	3	12	26%	7%	76	+0.0	.214/.283/.288	.074	.342	3	11	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.171/.249/.199	.028	.339	0	12	45%	7%	20	-0.7
✕Dubal Baez 2014 · A	21	49	34→30	51→60	47	.221/.303/.271	.050	.307	1	22	26%	8%	65	-0.7	.220/.282/.280	.060	.297	2	17	25%	7%	56	-1.3	.216/.264/.250	.034	.277	0	23	21%	4%	36	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)