Marco Vargas — OGILVIE

Marco VargasSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION271 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP316

ISO60

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+1.0	$5M	+$1.0M
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$20M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	150	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	31	26	8	0	0	0	5	7	0	3	2	308	419	308	727		421	23	16	346	120	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	219	167	45	14	1	2	48	31	2	10	2	269	438	401	839	132	316	14	22	384	146	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	89	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	408	355	85	9	4	1	48	82	1	38	7	239	332	296	627	56	304	20	12	291	83	-8	+5	—	—	+9	0.5
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	55	44	18	3	0	1	10	7	1	2	1	409	527	545	1.073	136	472	13	18	478	210	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	194	43	9	2	1	23	47	0	14	6	222	304	304	608	82	277	21	10	279	75	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2023	18	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	31	27	6	0	0	0	4	11	0	3	2	222	323	222	545		368	35	13	259	61	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	219	186	37	11	1	2	29	47	2	10	2	199	313	301	614	102	241	21	13	272	70	-8	+1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	139	25	4	0	0	25	54	1	13	2	180	309	209	518	29	267	32	15	245	52	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	408	372	73	7	3	1	31	109	1	38	7	196	260	239	499	43	267	27	8	228	40	-29	+5	—	—	+9	-1.6
2025	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	55	46	17	3	0	1	8	9	1	2	1	370	473	500	973	130	455	16	15	430	177	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	194	43	9	2	1	23	47	0	14	6	222	304	304	608	82	280	21	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	250	213	43	11	1	2	33	58	2	13	4	202	315	291	606	89	265	23	13	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	250	193	53	14	1	2	53	38	2	13	4	275	435	389	824	114	329	15	21	379	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	139	25	4	0	0	25	54	1	13	2	180	309	209	518	29	284	32	15	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	418	90	10	3	2	39	118	2	40	8	215	285	268	553	53	291	25	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	463	399	103	12	4	2	58	89	2	40	8	258	355	323	678	65	324	19	13	313	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	196	43	9	2	1	23	47	0	14	6	219	304	301	605	82	277	21	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	250	213	43	11	1	2	33	58	2	13	4	202	315	291	606	89	257	23	13	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	140	25	4	0	0	25	54	1	13	2	179	309	207	516	29	267	32	15	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	419	90	10	3	2	39	118	2	40	8	215	285	267	553	53	289	25	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	250	213	43	11	1	2	33	58	2	13	4	202	315	291	606	89	257	23	13	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	140	25	4	0	0	25	54	1	13	2	179	309	207	516	29	267	32	15	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	419	90	10	3	2	39	118	2	40	8	215	285	267	553	53	289	25	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	NYM	—	271	247	58	8	4	3	23	99	0	29	1	235	300	336	636	101	377	37	8	284	78	-7	+5	+0	+3	+6	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	NYM	—	34	27	7	1	0	1	7	11	0	1	0	259	412	407	819	148	400	32	21	376	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	NYM	—	237	209	59	9	4	3	27	68	0	28	1	282	364	407	771	124	403	29	11	346	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	NYM	2%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		325	30	10	269	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	NYM	—	281	256	60	8	4	3	24	102	0	30	1	234	300	332	632	98	375	36	9	283	78	-7	+6	-0	+3	+6	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	35%	500	448	100	15	4	5	46	154	2	31	3	223	298	308	606	85	323	31	9	276	73	-16	+5	-0	+5	+11	0.5
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	49%	540	483	110	17	4	8	50	161	2	33	3	228	303	329	632	101	321	30	9	287	80	-13	+5	-0	+6	+12	1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	583	520	121	18	5	10	55	170	3	36	4	233	310	344	654	112	321	29	9	294	85	-10	+6	-0	+6	+13	1.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	604	539	126	19	5	11	57	174	3	37	4	234	311	349	659	115	320	29	9	298	88	-9	+6	-0	+6	+13	1.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	612	546	128	19	5	12	58	176	3	38	4	234	311	353	665	119	320	29	9	300	89	-8	+6	-0	+7	+13	1.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	611	544	127	19	5	12	59	176	3	38	4	233	312	353	665	119	320	29	10	300	89	-8	+6	-0	+7	+13	1.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	606	539	126	19	5	12	59	175	3	35	4	234	313	354	667	121	320	29	10	299	89	-8	+5	-1	+6	+13	1.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	596	530	121	18	4	11	58	174	3	32	3	228	308	340	648	111	317	29	10	296	87	-9	+5	-2	+6	+13	1.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	586	521	119	18	4	11	57	172	3	29	3	228	308	342	650	113	315	29	10	293	84	-11	+5	-2	+6	+13	1.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	572	508	114	17	4	10	56	170	3	24	2	224	305	333	638	108	312	30	10	289	82	-12	+4	-3	+6	+12	0.7
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	61%	553	492	109	16	4	9	54	166	2	20	2	222	301	325	626	104	310	30	10	284	78	-14	+3	-4	+6	+12	0.3
2038	33	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	523	465	101	14	4	8	51	160	2	14	1	217	297	316	613	99	306	31	10	278	74	-16	+2	-5	+6	+11	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	35%	176	157	34	5	1	2	16	54	1	11	1	217	293	299	592	83	315	31	9	268	73	-6	+2	-0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	49%	263	236	53	8	2	4	24	78	1	16	2	225	299	326	625	102	313	30	9	279	80	-6	+2	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	308	275	61	9	2	5	29	90	1	19	2	222	298	324	622	102	312	29	9	286	85	-5	+3	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	331	295	68	10	3	6	31	95	2	20	2	231	308	346	654	115	312	29	9	290	88	-5	+3	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	341	303	70	10	3	7	33	98	2	21	2	231	311	353	664	122	312	29	10	291	89	-4	+3	-0	+4	+7	1.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	336	299	69	10	3	7	32	97	2	21	2	231	309	355	664	124	312	29	10	292	89	-4	+3	-0	+4	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	331	294	67	10	3	6	32	96	2	19	2	228	308	344	651	116	311	29	10	291	89	-4	+3	-1	+4	+7	0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	318	282	63	9	2	6	31	93	2	17	2	223	305	333	638	110	309	29	10	288	87	-5	+3	-1	+3	+7	0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	334	296	66	10	2	6	33	98	2	16	2	223	305	331	636	108	306	29	10	285	84	-6	+2	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	340	302	66	10	2	6	33	101	2	14	1	219	300	325	624	106	304	30	10	281	82	-7	+2	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	61%	339	302	65	9	2	6	33	102	1	12	1	215	295	318	613	103	302	30	10	276	78	-9	+2	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2038	33	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	327	291	61	8	2	5	32	100	1	9	1	210	290	302	593	93	298	31	10	270	74	-10	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3744	3332	743	108	27	66	359	1102	19	195	20	223	302	331	633	108	310	29	10	284	81	-73	+31	-11	+40	+81	7.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	19	5	11	62	191	3	34	3	223	301	330	632	107	311	29	10	284	81	-13	+5	-2	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7998	7108	1605	243	59	124	781	2308	37	448	57	226	306	329	635	103	314	29	10	287	81	-135	+59	-19	+74	+149	13.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	131	20	5	10	63	188	3	36	5	227	306	330	636	104	315	29	10	287	81	-13	+6	-2	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,751	65	196	229	304	339	+40	+21	10.0	8.8
/162	664	12	35	+7.1	+3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Vargas (OGILVIE)	21	35→47	25→30	60→57	60	216/290/292	75	325	2	23	32%	9%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→49	34→30	57→65	50	210/290/257	47	297	2	32	28%	10%	60	-1.6	211/298/266	55	304	3	41	28%	11%	65	-1.2	208/293/264	56	293	5	52	28%	10%	61	-1.2
✕Adenson Chourio 2007 · A	21	47	33→30	54→60	45	219/279/265	46	288	1	28	23%	7%	57	-1.8	239/308/284	45	306	1	29	20%	8%	72	-0.7	243/313/273	31	316	1	34	21%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Jesus Galindo 2012 · A	21	45→51	34→30	57→65	50	206/291/259	54	283	2	29	26%	9%	61	-1.5	229/284/290	61	310	2	34	25%	6%	64	-1.3	235/286/299	64	320	2	38	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Rey Fuentes 2012 · A	21	47→57	38→40	58→60	38	224/268/301	77	311	5	26	29%	5%	61	-1.5	238/290/323	85	326	6	28	27%	6%	74	-0.5	275/323/366	91	351	7	33	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	63	-1.4	226/277/284	58	318	1	23	27%	6%	60	-1.6	230/282/279	48	334	0	29	29%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	49→59	35→30	56→60	52	228/304/291	62	282	2	27	19%	9%	73	-0.6	235/323/289	54	300	2	27	20%	10%	80	-0.2	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	48→58	37→45	58→65	47	227/296/296	69	296	5	34	24%	8%	71	-0.8	258/320/347	89	337	5	44	23%	8%	91	+0.6	265/331/371	106	338	4	43	21%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Dubal Baez 2014 · A	21	49	34→30	51→60	47	223/304/274	50	310	1	22	26%	8%	70	-0.9	220/280/282	62	297	2	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	216/264/250	34	277	0	23	21%	4%	43	-0.7
✕Diego Hernandez 2022 · A	21	48→52	35→40	54→60	41	221/276/280	59	318	3	25	30%	6%	59	-1.7	228/272/313	85	315	7	24	28%	5%	65	-1.2	223/262/310	87	305	8	22	28%	4%	58	-1.2
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→55	36→30	59→60	48	217/288/285	68	291	3	31	25%	8%	65	-1.2	220/289/292	72	293	3	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2014 · A	21	46	36→40	57→65	50	215/283/286	72	264	2	25	19%	8%	63	-1.3	210/290/278	68	276	2	23	22%	9%	65	-1.2	196/288/254	58	259	1	30	22%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	78	-0.3	225/271/287	62	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/324/338	67	344	3	10	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2021 · A	21	45	35→30	55	45	210/279/268	58	288	2	24	26%	7%	58	-1.7	192/282/263	71	300	3	20	33%	10%	59	-1.6	157/270/219	62	253	2	29	34%	11%	43	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps