Elijah Nunez
LF Wilmington Blue Rocks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/ROKWSH | 140 | .127/.304/.145 | 0 | 14 | -2 | — | .100/.210/.108 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+/AWSH | 287 | .255/.388/.332 | 1 | 23 | 55 | — | .195/.294/.255 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/A+WSH | 270 | .203/.347/.267 | 1 | 18 | 30 | — | .155/.260/.207 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBWSH | 1 | .186/.274/.247 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBWSH | 60 | .191/.279/.266 | 0 | 2 | 58 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 109 | 85 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 282 | 425 | 306 | 730 | 24 | 353 | 18 | 19 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 113 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 136 | 315 | 136 | 452 | 200 | 27 | 20 | 238 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 27 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 91 | 259 | 182 | 441 | 91 | 105 | 11 | 19 | 224 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 142 | 117 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 32 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 299 | 418 | 393 | 812 | 94 | 407 | 23 | 15 | 371 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 145 | 118 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 212 | 359 | 271 | 630 | 59 | 300 | 26 | 17 | 305 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 54 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 130 | 231 | 174 | 405 | 43 | 182 | 26 | 9 | 193 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 216 | 171 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 65 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 222 | 376 | 292 | 668 | 70 | 346 | 30 | 16 | 317 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 109 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 247 | 340 | 269 | 608 | 22 | 324 | 26 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 113 | 97 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 113 | 225 | 113 | 339 | 177 | 35 | 12 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 27 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 148 | 83 | 231 | 42 | 74 | 15 | 11 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 142 | 125 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 44 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 232 | 319 | 304 | 623 | 72 | 342 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 145 | 126 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 159 | 269 | 206 | 475 | 48 | 261 | 36 | 12 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 54 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 128 | 212 | 170 | 382 | 43 | 169 | 31 | 7 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 216 | 185 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 85 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 162 | 272 | 216 | 489 | 54 | 276 | 39 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 109 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 247 | 340 | 269 | 608 | 22 | 338 | 26 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 109 | 85 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 282 | 425 | 306 | 730 | 24 | 353 | 18 | 19 | 341 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 140 | 121 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 45 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 99 | 210 | 107 | 318 | 8 | 154 | 32 | 12 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 140 | 110 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 127 | 304 | 145 | 450 | 18 | 177 | 24 | 20 | 235 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 287 | 251 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 199 | 297 | 263 | 560 | 64 | 316 | 33 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 287 | 235 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 69 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 255 | 388 | 332 | 720 | 77 | 355 | 24 | 16 | 337 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 233 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 102 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 155 | 257 | 206 | 463 | 52 | 263 | 38 | 9 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 217 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 79 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 203 | 347 | 267 | 614 | 65 | 307 | 29 | 15 | 292 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 109 | 95 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 242 | 340 | 263 | 603 | 21 | 324 | 26 | 12 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 140 | 122 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 45 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 98 | 210 | 107 | 317 | 8 | 157 | 32 | 12 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 287 | 250 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 200 | 297 | 264 | 561 | 64 | 301 | 33 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 236 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 102 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 153 | 257 | 203 | 460 | 51 | 255 | 38 | 9 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 140 | 122 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 45 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 98 | 210 | 107 | 317 | 8 | 157 | 32 | 12 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 287 | 250 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 200 | 297 | 264 | 561 | 64 | 301 | 33 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 236 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 102 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 153 | 257 | 203 | 460 | 51 | 255 | 38 | 9 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 0% | 320 | 282 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 92 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 186 | 274 | 248 | 522 | 62 | 266 | 29 | 9 | 245 | 52 | -18 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 274 | 247 | 521 | 61 | 266 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 52 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | WSH | 30% | 197 | 174 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 191 | 279 | 267 | 546 | 76 | 268 | 28 | 9 | 254 | 58 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | WSH | 30% | 60 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 279 | 266 | 545 | 75 | 268 | 28 | 10 | 254 | 58 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 60 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 170 | 267 | 208 | 474 | 38 | 250 | 28 | 10 | 254 | 44 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 184 | 11 | 22 | 0 | 171 | 268 | 209 | 477 | 38 | 251 | 28 | 10 | 254 | 44 | -32 | +4 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1162 | 1013 | 182 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 117 | 373 | 18 | 84 | 16 | 180 | 276 | 236 | 512 | 56 | 274 | 32 | 10 | 234 | 44 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 567 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 209 | 10 | 47 | 9 | 180 | 276 | 238 | 514 | 58 | 274 | 32 | 10 | 234 | 44 | -34 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 216 PAwOBA .313 → .224 (−89)K% 30.1% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 9.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.24% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×0.978 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .313 → .224; ISO .070 → .054; BABIP .346 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 54 PAwOBA .192 → .164 (−29)K% 25.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 12.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .192 → .164; ISO .043 → .038; BABIP .182 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFredericksburg Nationals · 145 PAwOBA .298 → .223 (−75)K% 25.5% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.52% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 11.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.980 | 22.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.980 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×0.980 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.93% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .298 → .223; ISO .059 → .043; BABIP .300 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 142 PAwOBA .365 → .276 (−89)K% 22.5% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷0.960 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.79% | ÷0.986 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | ×0.994 | ×0.988 | 25.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.59% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | ×0.994 | ×0.988 | 8.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.994 | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 92, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .365 → .276; ISO .094 → .075; BABIP .407 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 113 PAwOBA .238 → .170 (−68)K% 26.5% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.55% | ÷0.974 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.35% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 12.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.008 | ×0.870 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 18.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×1.026 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .238 → .170; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Nationals · 27 PAwOBA .220 → .145 (−75)K% 11.1% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.52% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 11.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.987 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 105, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .220 → .145; ISO .091 → .066; BABIP .105 → .074. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFredericksburg Nationals · 109 PAwOBA .343 → .281 (−62)K% 18.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.35% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.27% | ÷1.126 | ×0.690 | — | — | 11.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.85% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | — | 31.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | — | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .343 → .281; ISO .024 → .020; BABIP .353 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).