Elijah NunezOF Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION177 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .282 / .243
PA118
HR0
SB5
K%31
BB%10
BABIP284
ISO58
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE58
scouting grade only
SPEED62
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 AFredericksburg Nationals 10995 24200 11300 193 253330274604 21353 2810 267 63
202321 AFredericksburg Nationals 10985 24200 21200 193 282425306730 24353 1819 341 119
202422 A+2 teams 140120 13200 18470 143 108225125350 17173 3413 172 -10
202422 A+2 teams 140110 14200 28330 143 127304145450 18177 2420 235 38
202523 A2 teams 287251 48911 301035 235 191290247537 56318 3610 251 50
202523 A2 teams 287235 601121 46695 235 255388332720 77355 2416 337 116
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+WSH 177154 28611 17564 92 182280253533 71276 3210 242 44 -11 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
YTD24 A+WSH 177146 33811 25424 92 226354315669 89308 2414 312 97 -1 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.4
ROS24 A+WSH 0% 118103 19410 12372 51 184282243525 58270 3110 242 44 -8 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
ROS24 MLBWSH 0% 11 0000 000 00 270 00 232 36 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 A+WSH 178155 28611 17564 92 181278252530 71273 3110 242 44 -11 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
TOT24 A+WSH 295257 471021 29936 143 183281249530 66279 3210 242 44 -19 +2 +0 -2 +8 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBWSH 30% 320280 531013 33984 112 189284264548 75274 3110 256 54 -17 +1 +0 -2 +9 -0.8
202826 MLBWSH 44% 372326 641225 381115 123 196290291581 95276 3010 265 61 -16 +1 +0 -2 +11 -0.7
202927 MLBWSH 49% 394346 681325 401175 123 197289289578 92276 3010 268 64 -16 +1 +0 -2 +11 -0.6
203028 MLBWSH 52% 406356 711326 421205 112 199293298591 98276 3010 269 64 -17 +1 -1 -2 +12 -0.7
203129 MLBWSH 51% 405355 691325 421215 102 194289285573 90275 3010 267 62 -17 +1 -1 -2 +11 -0.9
202725 MLBWSH 30% 9786 16301 10301 31 186278256534 70274 3110 247 47 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202826 MLBWSH 44% 165145 28512 17492 51 193287283569 90276 3010 256 54 -9 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.4
202927 MLBWSH 49% 193169 34613 20572 61 201293302595 101276 3010 259 56 -10 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.4
203028 MLBWSH 52% 209182 37713 22623 61 203300302602 99276 3011 259 57 -10 +1 -0 -1 +6 -0.5
203129 MLBWSH 51% 209182 36713 22623 51 198295297591 99275 3011 258 55 -11 +1 -1 -1 +6 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 874765 15128412 9126011 255 197292292583 94280 3010 257 55 -45 +3 -1 -5 +25 -2.4
/ 162G 650569 1132139 681938 194 199293293587 95281 3010 257 55 -33 +2 -1 -4 +18 -1.8
Career 25512232 429781125 26678431 11724 192287271558 78281 3110 258 55 -129 +14 -2 -15 +72 -6.1
/ 162G 650569 1092036 682008 306 192287269556 77281 3110 258 55 -33 +4 -1 -4 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 AFredericksburg Nationals 10985 24200 21200 193 282425306730 24353 1819 341 119 +2 +3 +3 0.8
202422 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 11388 12000 23300 123 136315136452 200 2720 238 40 -8 +1 +3 -0.3
202422 ROKFCL Nationals 2722 2200 530 20 91259182441 91105 1119 224 30 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202523 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks 142117 35910 21323 141 299418393812 94407 2315 371 142 +7 +2 +4 1.3
202523 AFredericksburg Nationals 145118 25211 25372 94 212359271630 59300 2617 305 91 -1 +0 +4 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
28741125196286287-5+0-1.6-0.8
/162664919-4.0+0.0-1.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Elijah Nunez (OGILVIE) 24 25 30 62 58 183/281/249 66279 114 32% 10% 44 -1.1
Aaron Knapp
2019 · A
24 44→37 36→30 53→55 49 201/287/263 62301 320 31% 10% 56 -1.3 206/278/292 86317 717 34% 9% 59 -1.1 188/256/2708229581937%8%42-1.4
Donta' Williams
2023 · A
24 45→32 39→40 56→55 49 206/295/297 91307 521 32% 10% 68 -0.5 183/270/263 80289 520 35% 9% 49 -1.8 158/249/2266825452036%9%29-1.4
River Town
2022 · A
23 44→36 37→40 54→50 43 203/281/277 74287 312 28% 7% 57 -1.2 205/290/306 101264 915 24% 8% 69 -0.4 199/291/2949525191523%9%64-0.4
Nick Heath
2018 · A
24 45→35 36→40 55→65 38 211/256/273 61315 428 33% 6% 43 -2.2 206/266/292 86340 740 38% 7% 53 -1.5 192/261/2889632584840%8%47-1.2
Roberto Caro
2018 · AA
24 43→38 36→40 53→60 42 197/268/272 75308 216 34% 8% 50 -1.8 213/282/294 81311 427 30% 8% 60 -1.0 211/281/2867530433529%8%57-0.8
Patrick Biondi
2015 · A
24 45→44 36→30 50→60 45 211/268/281 70279 315 24% 7% 50 -1.7 231/285/300 69308 425 24% 6% 63 -0.9 239/296/2965731833224%7%62-0.5
Kyle Von Tungeln
2014 · A
23 41 37→30 56→55 50 192/280/273 80272 420 28% 10% 55 -1.4 202/273/278 76316 413 34% 8% 53 -1.5 179/252/2173830701038%8%24-1.0
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Max Ferguson
2023 · A
23 36→33 39→40 63→60 52 173/278/262 89263 732 33% 12% 53 -1.5 178/261/269 91271 928 34% 10% 46 -2.0 178/251/26991257102933%9%39-1.5
Charles Iacono
2007 · A
23 44 35→30 55→60 48 205/275/261 56270 320 24% 8% 50 -1.8 203/296/264 61274 223 24% 11% 60 -1.0 178/302/2153724004022%14%50-0.6
Jake Thomas
2017 · A
24 42 37→30 49→50 44 197/266/269 72280 47 29% 8% 48 -1.9 212/297/284 72324 39 31% 10% 65 -0.7 209/316/2645632911032%13%66-0.4
Taylor Lewis
2014 · A
24 37 39→45 61→55 35 181/228/275 94281 518 36% 5% 32 -3.0 201/244/290 89293 517 32% 5% 43 -2.2 208/231/2766827842626%2%29-0.8
Jovan Pickett
2011 · A
23 45 34→30 54→55 39 212/262/264 51290 219 26% 5% 43 -2.2 226/285/286 60322 215 29% 5% 59 -1.1 242/302/2793634802228%4%60-0.4
Rob Henry
2019 · A
24 41 37→30 54→55 49 193/289/269 76284 418 30% 10% 59 -1.1 181/267/257 76330 612 43% 9% 46 -2.0 143/238/2005629161248%8%17-2.6
Michael Siani
2022 · A
23 37→44 39→45 55→60 42 180/250/266 86268 725 34% 8% 40 -2.4 205/275/310 105272 1030 27% 8% 62 -0.9 206/277/30599268103325%8%59-0.9
Cam Coursey
2022 · A
23 42 38→40 52→55 48 201/266/278 77257 516 23% 8% 50 -1.8 211/289/288 77274 510 23% 9% 63 -0.9 204/298/261572633421%11%58-0.5
Jacob Zanon
2019 · A
24 41→33 36→40 53→55 44 192/254/262 71268 222 28% 7% 40 -2.4 187/243/265 78279 515 33% 6% 37 -2.7 165/219/2336824861534%6%17-3.0
Agustin Septimo
2008 · A
24 41→34 40 56→55 42 202/255/293 91269 819 28% 6% 49 -1.8 204/254/291 87284 714 29% 6% 47 -1.9 197/227/2596227931130%4%24-0.8
Duke Ellis
2022 · A
24 37→47 39→45 55→80 35 181/233/256 76281 724 37% 5% 30 -3.1 211/271/296 85332 843 36% 7% 56 -1.3 227/278/331104316109130%6%65-0.3
Matt Hearn
2021 · A
25 44→43 35→30 53→65 46 208/267/265 57274 223 24% 7% 46 -2.0 195/247/252 57269 327 27% 6% 34 -2.8 167/213/1872023204426%5%1-2.4