Kevin Merrell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AANorthwest Ark… | 494 | .242/.290/.330 | 2 | 22 | 30 | — | .188/.224/.256 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 173 | .200/.290/.300 | 3 | 7 | 37 | — | .182/.249/.252 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA/AAMIN | 160 | .262/.333/.433 | 7 | 2 | 76 | — | .226/.276/.349 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 290 | 270 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 267 | 308 | 326 | 634 | 59 | 353 | 23 | 5 | 284 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 494 | 455 | 110 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 27 | 105 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 290 | 330 | 620 | 88 | 306 | 21 | 5 | 276 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 38 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 361 | 290 | 651 | 32 | 348 | 24 | 11 | 293 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 135 | 119 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 185 | 271 | 303 | 573 | 118 | 247 | 29 | 10 | 260 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 42 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 310 | 487 | 797 | 231 | 233 | 14 | 7 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 118 | 102 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 342 | 412 | 754 | 147 | 277 | 14 | 9 | 328 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 290 | 275 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 91 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 222 | 252 | 265 | 517 | 44 | 326 | 31 | 3 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 494 | 464 | 87 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 133 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 188 | 224 | 256 | 481 | 69 | 250 | 27 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 38 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 281 | 615 | 31 | 311 | 29 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 135 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 163 | 226 | 244 | 469 | 81 | 231 | 34 | 7 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 42 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 238 | 350 | 588 | 150 | 213 | 17 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 289 | 349 | 639 | 113 | 250 | 19 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 290 | 275 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 91 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 222 | 252 | 265 | 517 | 44 | 332 | 31 | 3 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 290 | 270 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 267 | 308 | 326 | 634 | 59 | 353 | 23 | 5 | 284 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 494 | 464 | 87 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 133 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 188 | 224 | 256 | 481 | 69 | 254 | 27 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 494 | 455 | 110 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 27 | 105 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 290 | 330 | 620 | 88 | 306 | 21 | 5 | 276 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 173 | 155 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 174 | 243 | 245 | 488 | 71 | 258 | 33 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 173 | 150 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 200 | 290 | 300 | 590 | 100 | 270 | 28 | 10 | 268 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 146 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 240 | 288 | 384 | 672 | 144 | 257 | 18 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 160 | 141 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 262 | 333 | 433 | 766 | 170 | 265 | 14 | 9 | 333 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 290 | 277 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 91 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 220 | 252 | 264 | 515 | 43 | 326 | 31 | 3 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 494 | 469 | 87 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 133 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 186 | 224 | 254 | 478 | 68 | 250 | 27 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 173 | 157 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 172 | 243 | 242 | 485 | 70 | 249 | 33 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 160 | 149 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 235 | 288 | 376 | 664 | 141 | 240 | 18 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1117 | 1040 | 210 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 310 | 8 | 36 | 13 | 202 | 243 | 275 | 518 | 73 | 275 | 28 | 4 | 227 | 40 | -80 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +24 | -4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 122 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 180 | 5 | 21 | 8 | 202 | 245 | 276 | 521 | 74 | 274 | 28 | 4 | 227 | 40 | -46 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 118 PAwOBA .322 → .280 (−42)K% 14.4% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.41% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×0.978 | 21.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | ×1.037 | ×0.978 | 3.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.037 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .322 → .280; ISO .147 → .123; BABIP .277 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASt. Paul Saints · 42 PAwOBA .339 → .282 (−58)K% 14.3% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 19.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.881 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 7.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .282; ISO .231 → .182; BABIP .233 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 135 PAwOBA .254 → .212 (−42)K% 28.9% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.89% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.50% | ÷0.980 | ×0.940 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 17.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.117 | ×0.870 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷0.957 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.02% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .254 → .212; ISO .118 → .094; BABIP .247 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 38 PAwOBA .294 → .260 (−34)K% 23.7% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 28.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .294 → .260; ISO .032 → .029; BABIP .348 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 494 PAwOBA .270 → .212 (−58)K% 21.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.26% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.43% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 19.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.091 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.901 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 117, 2B 97, 3B 118, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .270 → .212; ISO .088 → .071; BABIP .306 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Stockton Ports · 290 PAwOBA .275 → .227 (−48)K% 22.8% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.83% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.92% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 27.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.926 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.006 | ×0.760 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.244 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .275 → .227; ISO .059 → .046; BABIP .353 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).