Matt RudickOF
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 28
L/L
5'7" / 170 lbs
AA
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2027
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .308 / .353
PA170
HR4
K%25
BB%10
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
42→42
PWR
40→40
SPD
50→50
EYE
53→53
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-7M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Mets | 89 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .200 | .281 | .300 | .581 | .100 | .238 | 18 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 384 | 334 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 80 | 17 | 17 | 5 | .186 | .282 | .272 | .555 | .087 | .230 | 21 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 285 | 247 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 57 | 6 | 12 | 1 | .231 | .333 | .381 | .714 | .150 | .265 | 20 | 11 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 491 | 434 | 91 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 130 | 10 | 12 | 7 | .210 | .299 | .329 | .628 | .120 | .276 | 26 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -16 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .267 | .308 | .574 | .154 | .286 | 40 | 13 | .212 | 20 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .167 | .265 | .233 | .498 | .067 | .294 | 38 | 9 | .200 | 11 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYM | 136 | 120 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .304 | .342 | .645 | .125 | .281 | 26 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 28 | MLB | NYM | 170 | 150 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .296 | .320 | .616 | .113 | .280 | 28 | 9 | .277 | 71 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | NYM | 243 | 213 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .311 | .352 | .663 | .131 | .270 | 23 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | NYM | 290 | 255 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 68 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .216 | .306 | .341 | .647 | .125 | .271 | 23 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -5 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | NYM | 287 | 254 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 68 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .217 | .302 | .343 | .644 | .126 | .271 | 24 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | NYM | 275 | 243 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 67 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .214 | .300 | .342 | .642 | .128 | .269 | 24 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | NYM | 250 | 220 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 62 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .302 | .336 | .639 | .123 | .268 | 25 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | NYM | 211 | 186 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .210 | .297 | .328 | .625 | .118 | .266 | 26 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2956 | 2599 | 549 | 118 | 13 | 57 | 277 | 700 | 60 | 71 | 18 | .211 | .302 | .332 | .634 | .121 | .265 | 24 | 9 | .285 | 77 | -78 | +7 | -19 | -18 | +84 | -2.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 121 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 154 | 13 | 16 | 4 | .212 | .302 | .336 | .638 | .124 | .265 | 24 | 9 | .285 | 77 | -17 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Mets | 89 | 76 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .303 | .404 | .447 | .852 | .145 | .344 | 12 | 13 | .382 | 150 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .278 | .200 | .478 | .067 | .167 | 17 | 11 | .240 | 42 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 366 | 300 | 73 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 58 | 16 | 17 | 5 | .243 | .371 | .360 | .731 | .117 | .287 | 16 | 12 | .334 | 114 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 266 | 214 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 12 | 1 | .271 | .414 | .449 | .862 | .178 | .301 | 16 | 17 | .390 | 157 | +17 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK | FCL Mets | 19 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .316 | .353 | .669 | .118 | .267 | 11 | 11 | .304 | 91 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 491 | 415 | 99 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 64 | 106 | 10 | 12 | 7 | .239 | .354 | .366 | .720 | .128 | .300 | 22 | 13 | .330 | 111 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .333 | .333 | .667 | .167 | .286 | 33 | 20 | .308 | 94 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt Rudick (OGILVIE) | 28 | 42 | 40 | 50 | 53 | .220/.308/.353 | .133 | .280 | 4 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 89 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kevin Reese 2006 · AAA |
28 | 50→51 | 46→45 | 52→50 | 48 | .243/.302/.386 | .143 | .278 | 12 | 13 | 17% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .240/.300/.360 | .120 | .279 | 11 | 11 | 18% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .236/.300/.337 | .100 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 18% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2021 · MLB |
28 | 48→53 | 49→50 | 50 | 49 | .243/.307/.396 | .153 | .283 | 16 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.283/.333 | .112 | .291 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .187/.257/.236 | .049 | .270 | 3 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA |
28 | 43→53 | 45 | 52→50 | 49 | .216/.288/.344 | .128 | .263 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.278/.324 | .109 | .285 | 10 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.278/.309 | .094 | .290 | 7 | 12 | 27% | 8% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 51 | .195/.290/.346 | .151 | .268 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.290/.356 | .146 | .319 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .203/.283/.339 | .136 | .319 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA |
28 | 47 | 42→45 | 46→45 | 52 | .228/.305/.342 | .113 | .273 | 9 | 8 | 19% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .238/.305/.324 | .086 | .294 | 6 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .241/.307/.302 | .061 | .302 | 2 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jack Larsen 2023 · AA |
28 | 48→49 | 48→50 | 48→45 | 48 | .237/.310/.383 | .146 | .313 | 15 | 9 | 28% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .235/.316/.342 | .107 | .327 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 88 | +0.9 | .244/.361/.268 | .025 | .374 | 0 | 4 | 29% | 14% | 87 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB |
28 | 50→54 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 49 | .245/.303/.363 | .118 | .294 | 10 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.290/.353 | .128 | .271 | 12 | 10 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.288/.345 | .130 | .258 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB |
27 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 52→50 | 49 | .236/.310/.364 | .128 | .299 | 14 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .235/.308/.352 | .117 | .309 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .219/.300/.302 | .083 | .281 | 4 | 28 | 22% | 9% | 68 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ka'ai Tom 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→49 | 50→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .215/.293/.374 | .159 | .285 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .198/.279/.323 | .125 | .282 | 13 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .182/.264/.306 | .124 | .259 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA |
28 | 45→52 | 45→50 | 50 | 45 | .225/.286/.348 | .122 | .288 | 12 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.280/.331 | .109 | .302 | 10 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .221/.271/.311 | .090 | .327 | 4 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Simon Pond 2005 · MLB |
28 | 45→43 | 48→55 | 49→45 | 50 | .229/.305/.373 | .145 | .272 | 16 | 9 | 22% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .226/.282/.380 | .154 | .304 | 18 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .219/.274/.369 | .150 | .296 | 17 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jason Conti 2003 · MLB |
28 | 51→41 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 47 | .244/.305/.375 | .131 | .310 | 10 | 11 | 24% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .231/.286/.361 | .130 | .303 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .209/.257/.318 | .109 | .276 | 12 | 4 | 28% | 5% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Conner Crumbliss 2014 · AAA |
27 | 44→49 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 58 | .217/.318/.337 | .119 | .264 | 12 | 15 | 21% | 12% | 88 | +0.9 | .217/.298/.343 | .126 | .255 | 12 | 12 | 19% | 9% | 81 | +0.4 | .212/.288/.332 | .120 | .243 | 11 | 11 | 17% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 50→45 | 44 | .227/.276/.370 | .143 | .272 | 17 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .245/.293/.368 | .123 | .286 | 13 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .273/.321/.381 | .108 | .305 | 10 | 3 | 14% | 6% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→49 | 49→50 | 49→55 | 52 | .228/.319/.385 | .156 | .300 | 15 | 10 | 28% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 | .221/.323/.366 | .145 | .303 | 12 | 18 | 28% | 12% | 98 | +1.6 | .217/.330/.365 | .148 | .295 | 13 | 19 | 28% | 12% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA |
28 | 50 | 43→45 | 45→50 | 43 | .243/.293/.354 | .111 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .251/.315/.371 | .120 | .324 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .261/.330/.370 | .109 | .339 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 101 | +1.2 |
|
✕Trenton Brooks 2023 · AAA |
28 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 49→45 | 49 | .233/.299/.382 | .150 | .276 | 16 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .235/.315/.384 | .149 | .272 | 16 | 8 | 19% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .227/.314/.372 | .145 | .261 | 16 | 8 | 19% | 11% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
✕Matthew den Dekker 2016 · MLB |
28 | 50→58 | 45→50 | 51→55 | 46 | .242/.300/.372 | .130 | .303 | 11 | 14 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .208/.263/.335 | .127 | .280 | 13 | 17 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.243/.320 | .128 | .265 | 13 | 18 | 32% | 6% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Tug Hulett 2011 · MLB |
28 | 43→53 | 45 | 47→50 | 50 | .213/.286/.341 | .128 | .264 | 11 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.288/.336 | .108 | .286 | 9 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .244/.298/.343 | .099 | .304 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jake Goebbert 2016 · MLB |
28 | 45→51 | 50 | 45 | 51 | .230/.307/.383 | .153 | .276 | 17 | 6 | 23% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .212/.277/.334 | .122 | .275 | 13 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .175/.234/.279 | .104 | .230 | 12 | 0 | 29% | 6% | 35 | -1.7 |