Matt Rudick — OGILVIE

Matt RudickOF Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 28 L/L 5'7" / 170 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP238

ISO117

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	ROK	FCL Mets	—	89	76	23	2	3	1	12	11	1	6	0	303	404	447	852	145	344	12	13	382	145	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	18	15	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	133	278	200	478	67	167	17	11	240	49	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	366	300	73	18	4	3	45	58	16	17	5	243	371	360	731	117	287	16	12	334	112	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.5
2023	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	266	214	58	11	0	9	46	42	6	12	1	271	414	449	862	178	301	16	17	390	150	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.4
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	—	19	17	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	235	316	353	669	118	267	11	11	304	92	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	415	99	27	1	8	64	106	10	12	7	239	354	366	720	128	300	22	13	330	109	+5	-0	—	—	+11	1.6
2025	27	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	12	2	0	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	167	333	333	667	167	286	33	20	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	17	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	212	292	312	605	100	251	18	9	265	65	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	125	222	188	410	62	154	22	6	197	19	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	366	316	62	14	3	3	29	78	16	17	5	196	296	288	584	92	242	21	8	263	64	-16	+1	—	—	+8	-0.6
2023	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	266	229	53	9	0	8	31	51	6	12	1	231	338	376	714	144	261	19	12	315	99	-0	+2	—	—	+6	0.8
2023	25	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	205	16	5	213	30	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	435	91	24	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	209	297	324	621	115	267	25	9	274	72	-17	-0	—	—	+11	-0.6
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	257	47	13	224	38	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	17	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	212	292	312	605	100	254	18	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	89	76	23	2	3	1	12	11	1	6	0	303	404	447	852	145	344	12	13	382	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	331	64	15	3	3	31	82	17	17	5	193	296	284	580	91	243	21	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	384	315	75	19	4	3	47	61	17	17	5	238	367	352	719	114	281	16	12	330	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	285	247	56	11	0	8	32	54	6	12	1	227	330	368	698	142	259	19	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	285	231	62	13	0	9	48	44	6	12	1	268	407	442	849	173	298	15	17	384	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	435	91	24	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	209	297	324	621	115	272	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	415	99	27	1	8	64	106	10	12	7	239	354	366	720	128	300	22	13	330	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	333	47	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	12	2	0	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	167	333	333	667	167	286	33	20	308	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	89	80	17	1	2	1	8	16	1	6	0	212	292	312	605	100	251	18	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	333	64	15	3	3	31	82	17	17	5	192	296	282	578	90	238	21	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	285	245	56	11	0	8	32	54	6	12	1	229	330	371	701	143	257	19	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	434	91	24	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	210	297	325	621	115	267	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	257	47	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	285	245	56	11	0	8	32	54	6	12	1	229	330	371	701	143	257	19	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	491	434	91	24	1	8	44	124	10	12	7	210	297	325	621	115	267	25	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	257	47	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	NYM	—	284	244	39	9	0	4	27	69	10	12	1	160	270	246	516	86	202	24	10	239	48	-18	+2	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA RAW	NYM	—	215	177	31	10	0	4	29	47	6	8	1	175	311	299	611	124	211	22	13	285	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA RAW	NYM	—	69	55	14	1	0	1	10	10	4	4	0	255	406	327	733	73	295	14	14	350	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AA MLE	NYM	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		244	20	10	272	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AA MLE	NYM	—	294	253	40	9	0	4	28	71	10	12	1	158	268	241	509	83	200	24	10	240	49	-18	+2	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYM	23%	243	213	43	10	1	4	23	59	5	6	1	202	295	315	609	113	250	24	9	276	73	-8	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYM	23%	55	49	9	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	184	273	286	558	102	244	24	9	255	73	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	49	9	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	184	273	286	558	102	229	24	9	255	73	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	107	24	0	12	59	154	12	12	0	185	274	288	562	104	230	24	9	255	73	-21	+2	-4	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1517	1328	274	61	8	24	141	344	39	53	14	206	301	319	620	112	258	23	9	276	73	-8	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	117	26	3	10	60	147	17	23	6	206	300	315	614	109	258	23	9	276	73	-21	+2	-4	-4	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Rudick (OGILVIE)	28	45	38	52	53	191/288/295	104	244	3	5	24%	10%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	42→52	43→45	52→50	48	209/281/324	115	260	11	10	24%	8%	72	-0.7	215/277/316	101	289	8	11	27%	8%	68	-1.0	212/275/299	87	288	6	12	27%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→51	44→50	51→50	47	222/287/337	115	283	11	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	221/280/328	107	301	9	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	223/273/312	90	329	4	9	32%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Sherman Johnson 2018 · AAA	28	43→50	40→45	52→50	51	206/285/301	95	261	8	15	23%	9%	69	-0.9	207/277/309	102	286	8	11	28%	9%	67	-1.1	178/263/274	95	256	7	6	31%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Carlos Alvarez 2016 · AAA	28	48	41→45	46→45	52	230/309/337	108	275	8	8	19%	9%	86	+0.3	239/307/322	83	296	5	9	20%	8%	81	-0.1	245/311/305	60	306	2	7	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	41→43	43→40	51→50	51	199/287/314	115	269	9	12	28%	11%	73	-0.6	204/293/327	123	297	12	10	32%	10%	78	-0.3	122/235/206	84	191	10	0	38%	11%	30	-0.8
✕Kevin Reese 2006 · AAA	28	49→50	45	52→50	48	241/301/374	133	277	10	13	17%	7%	91	+0.6	236/298/346	110	277	10	11	18%	6%	83	+0.1	233/296/323	90	274	9	9	18%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Ben Copeland 2012 · AAA	28	49→52	42→45	54→55	46	237/289/352	115	292	9	19	22%	7%	80	-0.1	212/258/323	111	270	10	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	163/196/246	83	206	6	28	24%	4%	19	-1.5
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	28	49	41→40	46→40	48	237/290/333	96	283	9	8	20%	7%	76	-0.4	224/272/339	115	285	11	9	24%	6%	72	-0.7	189/217/288	99	245	9	0	27%	3%	35	-0.6
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	44→45	48→45	40	223/273/341	119	304	12	10	30%	6%	72	-0.7	233/284/375	142	336	15	10	34%	6%	85	+0.2	232/278/378	146	339	17	6	35%	5%	82	-0.0
✕Isaac Ballou 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	41→45	53→50	45	224/281/327	103	284	7	12	23%	7%	72	-0.7	213/273/315	102	300	8	10	30%	7%	66	-1.1	164/232/257	92	260	7	6	37%	8%	36	-0.8
✕Jamie Hoffmann 2013 · AAA	28	44→53	45	50→55	45	219/274/337	118	267	12	13	23%	6%	72	-0.7	218/269/339	121	264	12	12	22%	6%	71	-0.8	208/252/318	110	249	9	10	20%	4%	56	-1.2
✕Charles Thomas 2007 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	46→50	47	228/294/326	97	281	10	13	22%	7%	78	-0.3	218/273/309	91	284	9	13	25%	6%	65	-1.2	197/244/257	61	263	5	14	26%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2013 · AAA	29	47	44→40	46→40	47	230/286/347	116	273	12	9	20%	7%	79	-0.2	213/271/319	106	293	9	8	29%	6%	68	-1.0	168/222/269	101	238	6	3	31%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	220/290/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	81	-0.1	228/294/351	123	282	11	8	22%	8%	83	+0.1	228/295/343	115	278	10	5	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2010 · AAA	27	47→52	41→45	49→50	53	227/301/333	106	268	8	10	18%	9%	81	-0.1	229/303/332	103	277	9	10	19%	9%	82	-0.0	240/326/326	86	290	9	9	19%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Carlos Sosa 2011 · AA	29	47→52	44→45	47→40	44	228/284/345	117	298	11	7	27%	7%	78	-0.3	223/280/340	117	308	12	9	30%	7%	75	-0.5	250/296/344	94	335	10	9	27%	5%	78	-0.0
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	44→45	47→50	42	220/285/343	123	290	11	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	229/300/362	133	293	12	9	25%	8%	88	+0.4	227/305/358	130	286	11	7	23%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Andrew Aplin 2018 · AAA	27	44→54	40	52→55	50	211/286/304	93	273	7	19	24%	9%	69	-0.9	210/279/316	106	267	10	9	24%	8%	70	-0.9	208/275/310	102	256	8	3	21%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Jermaine Clark 2005 · MLB	28	44→43	43→45	48→60	51	213/289/322	109	246	10	14	18%	8%	75	-0.5	216/285/315	99	256	8	25	18%	8%	72	-0.7	208/277/292	84	249	7	33	19%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Tug Hulett 2011 · MLB	28	42→52	44→45	47→50	51	208/285/333	124	259	11	10	23%	9%	76	-0.4	228/288/331	103	286	8	9	22%	8%	76	-0.4	241/295/333	92	301	6	8	21%	7%	77	-0.2