Rashad Crawford
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AATrenton Thund… | 419 | .210/.270/.306 | 5 | 16 | 36 | — | .190/.236/.268 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+3 orgs | 317 | .234/.308/.323 | 2 | 8 | 44 | — | .201/.260/.271 |
| 2019 | 25 | AATrenton Thund… | 444 | .262/.329/.352 | 7 | 21 | 52 | — | .220/.268/.285 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 37 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 167 | 324 | 167 | 491 | 238 | 24 | 19 | 254 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 160 | 138 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 301 | 275 | 577 | 65 | 290 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 391 | 361 | 101 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 90 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 280 | 325 | 382 | 707 | 102 | 359 | 23 | 5 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 497 | 439 | 116 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 100 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 340 | 380 | 721 | 116 | 332 | 20 | 10 | 322 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 419 | 376 | 79 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 92 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 210 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 96 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 255 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 21 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 400 | 500 | 900 | 167 | 375 | 10 | 5 | 379 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 206 | 184 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 223 | 299 | 304 | 603 | 82 | 298 | 25 | 8 | 276 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 90 | 80 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 237 | 307 | 325 | 632 | 88 | 345 | 28 | 9 | 282 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 401 | 105 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 104 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 262 | 329 | 352 | 680 | 90 | 338 | 23 | 9 | 308 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 121 | 216 | 121 | 337 | 197 | 35 | 11 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 160 | 144 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 153 | 218 | 194 | 412 | 42 | 238 | 35 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 391 | 367 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 124 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 226 | 262 | 302 | 565 | 76 | 317 | 32 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 497 | 453 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 144 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 214 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 99 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 419 | 384 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 111 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 190 | 236 | 268 | 504 | 78 | 246 | 26 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 21 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 400 | 500 | 900 | 167 | 342 | 10 | 5 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 206 | 189 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 190 | 250 | 243 | 493 | 53 | 279 | 31 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 90 | 82 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 195 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 85 | 311 | 39 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 414 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 133 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 220 | 268 | 285 | 553 | 65 | 305 | 30 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 121 | 216 | 121 | 337 | 200 | 35 | 11 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 37 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 167 | 324 | 167 | 491 | 238 | 24 | 19 | 254 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 160 | 144 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 153 | 218 | 194 | 412 | 42 | 247 | 35 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 160 | 138 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 301 | 275 | 577 | 65 | 290 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 391 | 367 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 124 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 226 | 262 | 302 | 565 | 76 | 329 | 32 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 391 | 361 | 101 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 90 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 280 | 325 | 382 | 707 | 102 | 359 | 23 | 5 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 497 | 453 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 144 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 214 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 99 | 303 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Tampa Yankees | — | 497 | 439 | 116 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 100 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 340 | 380 | 721 | 116 | 332 | 20 | 10 | 322 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 419 | 384 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 111 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 190 | 236 | 268 | 504 | 78 | 254 | 26 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 419 | 376 | 79 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 92 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 210 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 96 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 255 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 317 | 289 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 101 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 201 | 260 | 270 | 530 | 69 | 303 | 32 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 317 | 282 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 79 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 234 | 308 | 323 | 630 | 89 | 317 | 25 | 8 | 285 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 414 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 133 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 220 | 268 | 285 | 553 | 65 | 312 | 30 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 401 | 105 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 104 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 262 | 329 | 352 | 680 | 90 | 338 | 23 | 9 | 308 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 37 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 121 | 216 | 121 | 337 | 197 | 35 | 11 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 160 | 147 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 150 | 218 | 190 | 408 | 41 | 238 | 35 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 391 | 370 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 124 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 224 | 262 | 300 | 562 | 76 | 317 | 32 | 4 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 497 | 456 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 144 | 3 | 26 | 7 | 213 | 275 | 311 | 586 | 99 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 419 | 393 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 111 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 186 | 236 | 262 | 498 | 76 | 246 | 26 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 317 | 291 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 101 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 199 | 260 | 268 | 528 | 69 | 292 | 32 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 444 | 414 | 91 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 133 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 220 | 268 | 285 | 553 | 65 | 305 | 30 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2265 | 2084 | 428 | 64 | 19 | 18 | 127 | 682 | 18 | 105 | 31 | 205 | 257 | 280 | 537 | 75 | 295 | 30 | 6 | 236 | 46 | -147 | +9 | +0 | +8 | +49 | -8.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 122 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 196 | 5 | 30 | 9 | 204 | 255 | 276 | 531 | 72 | 293 | 30 | 6 | 236 | 46 | -42 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AATrenton Thunder · 444 PAwOBA .299 → .245 (−54)K% 23.4% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.28% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 26.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.38% | ÷1.040 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 3.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.937 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 108, 3B 87, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .245; ISO .090 → .069; BABIP .338 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATrenton Thunder · 206 PAwOBA .271 → .230 (−41)K% 25.2% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.24% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.48% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 22.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 4.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.944 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 89, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .271 → .230; ISO .082 → .063; BABIP .298 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Tampa Tarpons · 90 PAwOBA .275 → .216 (−59)K% 27.8% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.004 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.89% | ÷1.015 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.64% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.978 | 20.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.891 | ×0.960 | ×0.964 | ×0.978 | 9.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.983 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.978 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.205 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 101, 2B 78, 3B 97, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .275 → .216; ISO .087 → .074; BABIP .345 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 21 PAwOBA .369 → .345 (−24)K% 9.5% → 11.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 4.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 23.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 5.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .345; ISO .167 → .155; BABIP .375 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATrenton Thunder · 419 PAwOBA .250 → .221 (−29)K% 22.0% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.96% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.68% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.07% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.989 | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .250 → .221; ISO .096 → .082; BABIP .262 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Tampa Yankees · 497 PAwOBA .313 → .257 (−57)K% 20.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.12% | ÷0.988 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.66% | ÷1.021 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.48% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.953 | ×0.960 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.36% | ÷1.032 | ×0.810 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.862 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 91, 3B 106, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .313 → .257; ISO .116 → .100; BABIP .332 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 391 PAwOBA .307 → .241 (−65)K% 23.0% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.02% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.12% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.41% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | — | 25.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | — | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | — | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .307 → .241; ISO .102 → .075; BABIP .359 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Cubs · 160 PAwOBA .259 → .186 (−73)K% 24.4% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 2.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .259 → .186; ISO .065 → .045; BABIP .290 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).