Jacob Pearson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AAMississippi B… | 174 | .171/.259/.289 | 4 | 3 | 30 | — | .157/.212/.270 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 407 | .228/.336/.332 | 4 | 25 | 45 | — | .185/.261/.273 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAMississippi B… | 102 | .152/.235/.283 | 2 | 3 | 18 | — | .137/.196/.263 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 176 | 155 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 226 | 302 | 284 | 586 | 58 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 312 | 279 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 313 | 376 | 689 | 140 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 134 | 122 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 262 | 318 | 393 | 712 | 131 | 307 | 16 | 7 | 313 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 325 | 286 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 220 | 303 | 315 | 618 | 94 | 263 | 19 | 10 | 280 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 174 | 152 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 171 | 259 | 289 | 548 | 118 | 206 | 25 | 10 | 247 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 111 | 90 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 122 | 275 | 211 | 486 | 89 | 167 | 23 | 17 | 236 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 296 | 256 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 57 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 266 | 358 | 375 | 733 | 109 | 325 | 19 | 10 | 332 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 102 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 283 | 518 | 130 | 226 | 36 | 10 | 237 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 176 | 161 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 168 | 221 | 211 | 432 | 43 | 238 | 30 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 312 | 288 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 96 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 184 | 242 | 281 | 523 | 97 | 254 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 134 | 124 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 234 | 280 | 363 | 643 | 129 | 290 | 25 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 325 | 295 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 88 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 176 | 241 | 247 | 488 | 71 | 227 | 27 | 7 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 174 | 159 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 157 | 212 | 270 | 482 | 113 | 198 | 30 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 111 | 96 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 115 | 220 | 198 | 418 | 83 | 153 | 29 | 12 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 296 | 269 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 7 | 21 | 8 | 212 | 276 | 301 | 578 | 89 | 268 | 26 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 102 | 95 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 137 | 196 | 263 | 459 | 126 | 214 | 43 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 176 | 161 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 168 | 221 | 211 | 432 | 43 | 250 | 30 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 176 | 155 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 37 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 226 | 302 | 284 | 586 | 58 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 312 | 288 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 96 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 184 | 242 | 281 | 523 | 97 | 255 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 312 | 279 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 313 | 376 | 689 | 140 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 419 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 122 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 191 | 250 | 274 | 524 | 84 | 253 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 459 | 408 | 95 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 85 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 105 | 277 | 19 | 9 | 290 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 174 | 159 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 157 | 212 | 270 | 482 | 113 | 202 | 30 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 174 | 152 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 171 | 259 | 289 | 548 | 118 | 206 | 25 | 10 | 247 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 365 | 66 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 109 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 181 | 256 | 266 | 522 | 85 | 242 | 27 | 7 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 407 | 346 | 79 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 49 | 83 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 228 | 336 | 332 | 668 | 104 | 285 | 20 | 12 | 306 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 102 | 95 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 137 | 196 | 263 | 459 | 126 | 224 | 43 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 102 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 283 | 518 | 130 | 226 | 36 | 10 | 237 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 176 | 163 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 166 | 221 | 209 | 430 | 43 | 238 | 30 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 312 | 287 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 96 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 185 | 242 | 282 | 524 | 98 | 254 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 459 | 423 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 122 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 189 | 250 | 272 | 522 | 83 | 245 | 27 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 174 | 161 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 155 | 212 | 267 | 479 | 112 | 198 | 30 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 367 | 66 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 109 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 180 | 256 | 264 | 521 | 84 | 237 | 27 | 7 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 102 | 94 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 138 | 196 | 266 | 462 | 128 | 214 | 43 | 7 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1630 | 1487 | 264 | 56 | 9 | 19 | 109 | 477 | 12 | 61 | 25 | 178 | 239 | 266 | 505 | 88 | 244 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | -122 | +2 | +0 | -10 | +35 | -9.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 106 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 190 | 5 | 24 | 10 | 179 | 240 | 270 | 510 | 91 | 244 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | -49 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAMississippi Braves · 102 PAwOBA .231 → .195 (−36)K% 36.3% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.27% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷0.943 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.55% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 13.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.029 | ×0.998 | 3.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.66% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .231 → .195; ISO .130 → .121; BABIP .226 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 296 PAwOBA .326 → .249 (−77)K% 19.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.26% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.12% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.01% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.88% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .326 → .249; ISO .109 → .089; BABIP .325 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMississippi Braves · 111 PAwOBA .236 → .193 (−43)K% 23.4% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.12% | ÷0.985 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 11.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 4.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 11.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.022 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .236 → .193; ISO .089 → .084; BABIP .167 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMississippi Braves · 174 PAwOBA .244 → .212 (−31)K% 24.7% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.71% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.106 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 6.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.51% | ÷1.023 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 15.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.83% | ÷0.999 | ×0.870 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 1.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.027 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.861 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 100, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .244 → .212; ISO .118 → .115; BABIP .206 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 325 PAwOBA .278 → .220 (−58)K% 19.4% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.38% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.15% | ÷0.960 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.18% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 17.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 4.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.045 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.997 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 109, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .278 → .220; ISO .094 → .073; BABIP .263 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 134 PAwOBA .309 → .264 (−45)K% 16.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.42% | ÷0.939 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.019 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 9.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.362 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 95, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 88, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .309 → .264; ISO .131 → .113; BABIP .307 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 312 PAwOBA .302 → .231 (−71)K% 22.1% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.12% | ÷0.980 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.29% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.993 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.163 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .302 → .231; ISO .140 → .099; BABIP .289 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Angels · 176 PAwOBA .260 → .188 (−72)K% 21.0% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.02% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .260 → .188; ISO .058 → .040; BABIP .297 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).