Angel Zarate — OGILVIE

Angel ZarateOF Lake County Captains

Age 27 L/L 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .295 / .340

PA6

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	24	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	307	261	68	11	2	2	34	57	7	16	3	261	361	341	702	80	319	19	11	320	103	+1	+2	—	—	+7	1.0
2023	24	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	25	8	3	1	0	1	6	1	0	0	320	370	520	890	200	421	22	4	390	150	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	A+	Lake County Captains	—	141	115	21	4	0	1	18	20	3	7	1	183	309	243	552	61	204	14	13	259	61	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	24	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	307	274	60	9	2	2	21	83	7	16	3	219	291	288	580	69	288	27	7	257	60	-15	+2	—	—	+7	-0.6
2023	24	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	25	6	2	1	0	1	9	1	0	0	240	296	400	696	160	327	33	4	262	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	141	120	21	4	0	1	13	26	3	7	1	175	272	233	505	58	188	18	9	222	36	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	334	300	65	11	2	2	21	91	8	16	3	217	286	287	572	70	297	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	334	286	76	14	3	2	35	63	8	16	3	266	362	357	718	91	327	19	10	326	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	141	120	21	4	0	1	13	26	3	7	1	175	272	233	505	58	206	18	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	141	115	21	4	0	1	18	20	3	7	1	183	309	243	552	61	204	14	13	259	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	334	302	65	11	2	2	21	91	8	16	3	215	286	285	570	70	291	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	141	124	21	4	0	1	13	26	3	7	1	169	272	226	498	56	188	18	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	334	302	65	11	2	2	21	91	8	16	3	215	286	285	570	70	291	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	141	124	21	4	0	1	13	26	3	7	1	169	272	226	498	56	188	18	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		282	17	0	289	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CLE	26%	116	104	23	4	1	2	9	28	2	2	1	221	296	337	632	115	282	24	8	291	83	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	37%	198	177	40	8	1	4	16	48	3	4	1	226	301	350	651	124	282	24	8	292	84	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	CLE	26%	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	214	267	357	624	143	281	23	7	281	83	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	37%	73	66	15	3	0	2	6	18	1	1	0	227	301	364	665	136	281	25	8	281	84	-1	+0	-1	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	103	94	21	4	0	3	8	25	1	2	0	223	291	362	653	138	273	24	8	281	65	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	132	25	0	19	50	158	6	13	0	223	289	361	650	138	272	24	8	281	65	-13	+3	-4	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	795	707	150	27	4	9	59	194	16	29	6	212	288	300	588	88	274	24	7	265	65	-6	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	122	22	3	7	48	159	13	24	5	211	286	296	582	85	273	24	7	265	65	-13	+1	-4	-4	+14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Zarate (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	222/295/340	118	282	1	2	24%	8%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→44	44→50	50	40	223/281/350	126	282	11	11	24%	5%	78	-0.3	229/279/377	148	283	16	7	25%	4%	84	+0.1	223/275/375	152	272	18	7	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	217/267/324	106	281	8	13	25%	6%	66	-1.1	225/272/362	137	292	15	18	27%	5%	77	-0.3	222/266/365	143	283	17	22	27%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→51	44→50	49→50	45	224/283/345	121	286	12	11	25%	7%	77	-0.3	224/285/334	110	301	10	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	227/286/330	103	309	8	11	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Ka'ai Tom 2019 · AA	25	44→48	45→50	49→50	45	220/283/349	129	278	12	13	25%	7%	78	-0.3	223/292/379	156	291	16	8	28%	7%	89	+0.5	204/283/359	155	273	17	6	30%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	53→50	44	203/272/339	136	279	13	13	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/292/342	129	305	11	10	31%	9%	80	-0.1	208/300/341	134	297	10	4	31%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Blake Gailen 2013 · AA	28	44	45→55	50	50	217/282/344	127	254	11	12	19%	8%	77	-0.3	225/292/370	145	249	15	12	16%	8%	86	+0.3	215/293/360	145	233	16	9	16%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43→42	46→55	50	40	219/260/357	138	277	13	8	26%	5%	72	-0.7	196/242/296	100	290	8	7	34%	6%	51	-2.3	136/180/211	75	220	5	4	39%	5%	5	-2.0
✕Tyler Neslony 2021 · AA	27	46→48	42→55	49→55	42	224/273/332	108	294	9	10	26%	6%	70	-0.8	243/302/398	155	322	14	15	27%	7%	97	+1.1	237/300/387	150	313	14	20	27%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	39→43	47→55	49→55	43	204/262/334	130	263	15	10	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/275/360	148	284	19	18	31%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Nate Spears 2012 · AAA	27	44→54	44→45	53→50	51	217/291/335	118	256	11	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	209/277/313	104	274	9	10	25%	8%	68	-1.0	202/267/295	93	272	7	8	27%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Brian Sellier 2006 · A	28	45→44	47→55	51→50	45	225/264/369	144	253	14	10	18%	5%	76	-0.4	223/271/356	133	250	13	9	17%	6%	76	-0.4	218/268/354	137	234	14	6	14%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Sergio Pedroza 2011 · AA	27	46→47	42→60	49→45	43	224/287/328	104	303	9	14	28%	7%	75	-0.5	216/287/344	128	265	14	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	229/306/359	129	265	15	2	19%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	44→43	47→50	47→50	41	221/269/360	139	281	14	10	27%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/334	126	277	15	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	194/246/308	114	258	15	4	30%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	43	42→45	50	46	210/270/317	107	258	9	11	22%	7%	66	-1.1	211/275/315	104	277	9	9	25%	7%	68	-1.0	211/280/331	120	268	10	8	24%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Jimmy Herron 2022 · AA	26	41→45	40→45	50→55	47	201/274/294	93	268	7	15	27%	8%	63	-1.4	221/296/354	133	273	14	21	24%	8%	85	+0.2	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	43→45	47→55	44	210/278/322	112	284	10	16	29%	7%	71	-0.8	219/284/323	104	306	9	14	30%	7%	73	-0.6	207/274/297	90	299	8	13	31%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→45	49→50	44	191/275/317	127	288	13	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	242/306/403	161	300	18	9	25%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/428	176	300	20	6	22%	7%	107	+1.0
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	45→51	45→50	50→55	42	224/276/352	127	299	12	14	29%	6%	76	-0.4	227/288/378	151	288	18	19	27%	7%	87	+0.4	221/289/367	146	276	17	21	26%	8%	82	+0.0