Angel ZarateOF
Lake County Captains
Age 27
L/L
5'11" / 190 lbs
A+
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .295 / .337
PA76
HR1
K%24
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-2M | $-11M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 334 | 299 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 91 | 8 | 16 | 3 | .217 | .289 | .288 | .576 | .070 | .299 | 27 | 7 | .258 | 55 | -17 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 141 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .175 | .272 | .233 | .505 | .058 | .204 | 18 | 9 | .224 | 30 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 76 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .289 | .304 | .594 | .087 | .281 | 24 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 8% | CLE | 116 | 104 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .221 | .296 | .337 | .632 | .115 | .282 | 24 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 18% | CLE | 198 | 177 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .306 | .356 | .662 | .124 | .282 | 24 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 28% | CLE | 256 | 230 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .295 | .339 | .634 | .117 | .282 | 24 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 39% | CLE | 275 | 246 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .220 | .297 | .329 | .626 | .110 | .281 | 25 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | CLE | 278 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 70 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .216 | .290 | .324 | .614 | .108 | .279 | 25 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | CLE | 263 | 237 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 68 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .211 | .284 | .321 | .604 | .110 | .277 | 26 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 80% | CLE | 229 | 206 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .282 | .316 | .597 | .107 | .276 | 27 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2166 | 1938 | 417 | 77 | 9 | 34 | 172 | 538 | 33 | 40 | 6 | .215 | .290 | .317 | .607 | .102 | .277 | 25 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -75 | +6 | -20 | -13 | +61 | -4.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 161 | 10 | 12 | 2 | .215 | .291 | .316 | .607 | .101 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -23 | +2 | -6 | -4 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 307 | 261 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 57 | 7 | 16 | 3 | .261 | .361 | .341 | .702 | .080 | .319 | 19 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +2 | — | — | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 27 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .320 | .370 | .520 | .890 | .200 | .421 | 22 | 4 | .390 | 156 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 141 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .183 | .309 | .243 | .552 | .061 | .204 | 14 | 13 | .259 | 56 | -7 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Angel Zarate (OGILVIE) | 27 | — | — | — | — | .223/.295/.337 | .115 | .281 | 1 | 2 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA |
26 | 45 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .218/.268/.325 | .106 | .285 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .227/.274/.372 | .145 | .296 | 16 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .222/.267/.379 | .157 | .284 | 19 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA |
27 | 44→43 | 45 | 44→45 | 48 | .220/.289/.345 | .125 | .271 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .229/.296/.356 | .127 | .285 | 12 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .232/.299/.352 | .120 | .286 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA |
26 | 42 | 47→50 | 55 | 49 | .214/.295/.354 | .140 | .266 | 14 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .212/.273/.315 | .103 | .299 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .228/.269/.340 | .113 | .338 | 0 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 62 | -0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Alvarez 2015 · AAA |
27 | 47 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 51 | .228/.295/.344 | .116 | .273 | 10 | 9 | 20% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.308/.333 | .097 | .289 | 7 | 8 | 19% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.311/.313 | .075 | .297 | 4 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Isaac Ballou 2017 · AAA |
27 | 47→48 | 41→45 | 53→50 | 45 | .225/.281/.332 | .107 | .285 | 8 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .214/.274/.318 | .104 | .304 | 8 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .164/.232/.259 | .095 | .266 | 7 | 6 | 39% | 8% | 29 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA |
27 | 46→52 | 46→50 | 50 | 45 | .231/.286/.365 | .134 | .293 | 14 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .225/.286/.340 | .115 | .301 | 11 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.288/.334 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA |
26 | 47→43 | 45 | 48→45 | 47 | .232/.292/.360 | .128 | .280 | 12 | 7 | 21% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.280/.327 | .110 | .282 | 9 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .189/.258/.274 | .085 | .255 | 6 | 1 | 26% | 8% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA |
27 | 45 | 45→55 | 50 | 40 | .223/.283/.350 | .128 | .283 | 11 | 11 | 25% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.283/.392 | .158 | .289 | 18 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 88 | +0.9 | .229/.280/.395 | .166 | .277 | 20 | 7 | 25% | 4% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Sherman Johnson 2016 · AA |
26 | 43→50 | 43→45 | 52→50 | 52 | .212/.291/.329 | .117 | .259 | 10 | 14 | 22% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .203/.281/.308 | .105 | .261 | 9 | 14 | 24% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .202/.278/.294 | .092 | .276 | 7 | 11 | 27% | 9% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA |
26 | 43→50 | 44→45 | 50 | 46 | .214/.276/.327 | .113 | .266 | 13 | 17 | 25% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .235/.308/.353 | .118 | .305 | 11 | 18 | 25% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .237/.315/.348 | .110 | .302 | 10 | 20 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA |
27 | 41→51 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 44 | .207/.275/.349 | .142 | .287 | 14 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .212/.291/.346 | .134 | .309 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .208/.301/.346 | .138 | .303 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 11% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA |
27 | 40→39 | 48→60 | 52→50 | 45 | .204/.276/.351 | .147 | .273 | 15 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .217/.278/.403 | .186 | .291 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .201/.267/.390 | .189 | .270 | 24 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A |
25 | 42→43 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 45 | .207/.264/.316 | .109 | .250 | 10 | 11 | 22% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.276/.321 | .110 | .275 | 10 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.281/.339 | .126 | .270 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nate Spears 2012 · AAA |
27 | 45→55 | 45 | 52→50 | 50 | .221/.292/.343 | .122 | .258 | 12 | 12 | 19% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .213/.280/.328 | .115 | .274 | 11 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.271/.309 | .103 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Ibarra 2011 · AAA |
27 | 48 | 41→50 | 49→40 | 47 | .232/.285/.338 | .106 | .275 | 7 | 12 | 18% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .252/.283/.386 | .134 | .317 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 3% | 85 | +0.7 | .256/.284/.403 | .147 | .315 | 20 | 1 | 25% | 3% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
✕Taylor Kohlwey 2021 · AAA |
27 | 47→53 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .224/.293/.338 | .114 | .317 | 11 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .238/.306/.339 | .101 | .316 | 8 | 11 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .236/.313/.340 | .104 | .303 | 9 | 11 | 23% | 9% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A |
26 | 42 | 45→50 | 47→50 | 44 | .210/.277/.340 | .130 | .280 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.273/.342 | .125 | .275 | 12 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.266/.341 | .130 | .260 | 12 | 14 | 23% | 6% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA |
26 | 44→43 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 46 | .216/.275/.333 | .117 | .266 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .213/.265/.316 | .103 | .272 | 9 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.261/.304 | .099 | .266 | 9 | 2 | 26% | 6% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA |
26 | 43→42 | 48→55 | 51→50 | 39 | .218/.260/.365 | .147 | .277 | 15 | 9 | 27% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .193/.238/.298 | .105 | .290 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .130/.173/.206 | .076 | .218 | 6 | 4 | 42% | 5% | -12 | -2.2 |
|
✕Brian Sellier 2006 · A |
28 | 45→44 | 47→55 | 51→50 | 45 | .225/.265/.367 | .142 | .254 | 14 | 10 | 18% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.272/.362 | .138 | .250 | 14 | 9 | 17% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.270/.362 | .142 | .236 | 15 | 6 | 15% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 |