Matt Hearn
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | AHOU | 144 | .271/.331/.310 | 0 | 6 | 55 | — | .239/.282/.269 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+Lancaster Jet… | 617 | .292/.362/.363 | 1 | 45 | 50 | — | .219/.278/.270 |
| 2021 | 25 | AACOL | 275 | .200/.271/.224 | 0 | 27 | 17 | — | .178/.227/.198 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 102 | 92 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 228 | 283 | 228 | 511 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 234 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 129 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 271 | 331 | 310 | 641 | 39 | 330 | 16 | 8 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 617 | 548 | 160 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 56 | 97 | 4 | 45 | 15 | 292 | 362 | 363 | 725 | 71 | 352 | 16 | 9 | 326 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 275 | 245 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 59 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 200 | 271 | 224 | 496 | 24 | 261 | 21 | 8 | 231 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 102 | 95 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 179 | 212 | 179 | 391 | 267 | 33 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 134 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 239 | 282 | 269 | 550 | 30 | 310 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 617 | 562 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 137 | 4 | 45 | 15 | 219 | 278 | 270 | 548 | 52 | 278 | 22 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 275 | 253 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 178 | 227 | 198 | 424 | 20 | 238 | 25 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 102 | 95 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 179 | 212 | 179 | 391 | 279 | 33 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 102 | 92 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 228 | 283 | 228 | 511 | 309 | 24 | 7 | 234 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 134 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 239 | 282 | 269 | 550 | 30 | 311 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 129 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 271 | 331 | 310 | 641 | 39 | 330 | 16 | 8 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 617 | 562 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 137 | 4 | 45 | 15 | 219 | 278 | 270 | 548 | 52 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 617 | 548 | 160 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 56 | 97 | 4 | 45 | 15 | 292 | 362 | 363 | 725 | 71 | 352 | 16 | 9 | 326 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 275 | 253 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 178 | 227 | 198 | 424 | 20 | 243 | 25 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 275 | 245 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 59 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 200 | 271 | 224 | 496 | 24 | 261 | 21 | 8 | 231 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 102 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 175 | 212 | 175 | 387 | 267 | 33 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 144 | 135 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 282 | 267 | 548 | 30 | 310 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 617 | 566 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 137 | 4 | 45 | 15 | 217 | 278 | 269 | 547 | 51 | 278 | 22 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 275 | 257 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 175 | 227 | 195 | 421 | 19 | 238 | 25 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1138 | 1044 | 217 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 69 | 272 | 5 | 79 | 30 | 208 | 260 | 244 | 505 | 36 | 279 | 24 | 6 | 225 | 39 | -83 | +4 | +0 | +4 | +25 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 124 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 155 | 3 | 45 | 17 | 208 | 260 | 247 | 506 | 39 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 225 | 39 | -47 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAHartford Yard Goats · 275 PAwOBA .225 → .194 (−31)K% 21.5% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.45% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.12% | ÷1.047 | ×0.940 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.010 | ×0.870 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 2.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 91, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .225 → .194; ISO .024 → .022; BABIP .261 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 617 PAwOBA .319 → .242 (−77)K% 15.7% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.72% | ÷0.950 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷0.935 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.60% | ÷1.079 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.001 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.065 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.22% | ÷1.278 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.16% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 116, 2B 100, 3B 113, K 90, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .242; ISO .071 → .051; BABIP .352 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAsheville Tourists · 144 PAwOBA .284 → .249 (−35)K% 16.0% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.97% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.970 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.25% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | — | 27.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.83% | ÷1.110 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | — | 2.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | — | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .284 → .249; ISO .039 → .034; BABIP .330 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKDanville Braves · 102 PAwOBA .229 → .176 (−52)K% 23.5% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 4.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .229 → .176; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .309 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).