Omar Alfonzo — OGILVIE

Omar AlfonzoC Altoona Curve

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 242 lbs AA BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.7 · 2030

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .272 / .316

PA320

HR8

K%36

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42→42

PWR

52→52

SPD

24→24

FLD

47→47

EYE

51↗56

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.5	$13M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.7	$16M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$15M	+$12M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.4	$14M	+$9M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.2	$12M	+$7M
Totals		$15M		$85M	+$70M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	133	112	16	1	0	1	19	46	2	0	0	.143	.278	.179	.457	.036	.231	35	14	.232	36	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	123	110	12	2	0	1	11	35	2	0	0	.109	.203	.155	.358	.045	.149	28	9	.168	-13	-16	+0	+0	+2	+3	-1.0
2023	19	A	3 teams	245	210	48	9	1	5	32	82	1	3	1	.229	.333	.352	.686	.124	.344	33	13	.306	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2024	20	A	3 teams	476	427	83	14	1	10	44	174	3	2	2	.194	.274	.302	.576	.108	.298	37	9	.261	58	-23	-0	+0	+8	+13	-0.1
2025	21	A+	3 teams	555	500	97	16	1	13	45	212	7	2	1	.194	.270	.308	.578	.114	.304	38	8	.260	57	-27	+0	+0	+10	+16	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AA	Altoona Curve	64	59	9	2	0	1	5	22	0	0	0	.153	.219	.237	.456	.085	.222	34	8	.210	19	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	256	230	44	8	1	6	22	92	2	1	0	.191	.268	.313	.581	.122	.281	36	9	.262	59	-12	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.0
TOT	22	MLB	PIT	320	289	53	10	1	7	27	114	2	1	0	.183	.258	.298	.555	.114	.272	36	8	.252	51	-18	+0	-0	+6	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 12%	PIT	520	463	94	17	1	14	48	164	4	3	1	.203	.283	.335	.618	.132	.276	32	9	.280	73	-16	+0	-0	+9	+15	0.8
2028	24	MLB 27%	PIT	520	461	96	17	1	15	49	159	5	3	1	.208	.291	.347	.638	.139	.278	31	9	.290	80	-12	+0	-0	+9	+15	1.3
2029	25	MLB 44%	PIT	520	460	97	17	1	16	50	156	5	3	1	.211	.295	.357	.652	.146	.280	30	10	.296	85	-9	+0	-0	+9	+15	1.5
2030	26	MLB 59%	PIT	520	459	99	18	1	17	51	155	5	3	0	.216	.301	.370	.671	.155	.281	30	10	.299	87	-8	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.7
2031	27	MLB 77%	PIT	520	458	99	18	1	17	52	156	5	3	0	.216	.303	.371	.674	.155	.281	30	10	.299	87	-8	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	28	MLB 84%	PIT	520	458	97	17	1	16	52	157	5	2	0	.212	.299	.358	.657	.146	.281	30	10	.298	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2033	29	MLB 91%	PIT	520	458	96	17	1	16	52	158	5	1	0	.210	.297	.356	.653	.146	.280	30	10	.296	85	-9	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2034	30	MLB	PIT	520	459	96	17	1	16	52	160	4	0	0	.209	.295	.355	.650	.146	.278	31	10	.293	82	-10	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.2
2035	31	MLB	PIT	504	444	91	16	1	15	51	157	4	0	0	.205	.293	.347	.639	.142	.276	31	10	.289	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2036	32	MLB	PIT	489	433	87	15	1	14	49	155	4	0	0	.201	.288	.337	.625	.136	.275	32	10	.284	76	-13	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2037	33	MLB	PIT	473	419	83	14	1	13	47	153	4	0	0	.198	.285	.329	.614	.131	.273	32	10	.279	72	-15	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.2
2038	34	MLB	PIT	418	371	72	12	1	11	41	139	3	0	0	.194	.280	.321	.600	.127	.271	33	10	.272	67	-16	+0	-5	+7	+12	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	PIT	357	316	60	10	1	9	35	122	3	0	0	.190	.277	.313	.590	.123	.268	34	10	.265	61	-16	+0	-6	+6	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8189	7248	1467	255	17	225	802	2632	73	26	7	.202	.288	.335	.624	.133	.280	32	10	.282	74	-240	+2	-27	+146	+232	11.6
/ 162G	—			650	575	116	20	1	18	64	209	6	2	1	.202	.288	.334	.622	.132	.279	32	10	.282	74	-19	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	133	99	23	2	1	2	32	30	2	0	0	.232	.429	.333	.762	.101	.313	23	24	.364	137	+6	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	123	104	15	3	0	1	17	28	2	0	0	.144	.276	.202	.478	.058	.187	23	14	.238	40	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	182	150	41	7	1	4	30	46	0	2	0	.273	.394	.413	.808	.140	.363	25	16	.363	136	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	31	21	6	2	0	1	9	5	1	1	1	.286	.516	.524	1.040	.238	.333	16	29	.464	213	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	19	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	32	26	7	1	0	1	6	5	0	0	0	.269	.406	.423	.829	.154	.300	16	19	.377	147	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	97	81	20	2	0	5	16	25	0	1	1	.247	.371	.457	.828	.210	.294	26	16	.370	141	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	354	304	77	15	1	8	45	92	3	1	1	.253	.355	.388	.743	.135	.335	26	13	.336	116	+6	-0	—	—	+10	1.6
2024	20	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	25	22	6	1	0	2	3	6	0	0	0	.273	.360	.591	.951	.318	.286	24	12	.410	172	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	193	170	37	9	1	3	19	58	2	0	0	.218	.304	.335	.639	.118	.309	30	10	.289	80	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	284	234	61	9	0	11	44	79	5	2	0	.261	.389	.440	.829	.179	.347	28	15	.373	144	+14	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	78	61	11	2	0	4	17	25	0	0	1	.180	.359	.410	.769	.230	.219	32	22	.350	126	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Omar Alfonzo (OGILVIE)	22	42	52	24	56	.194/.272/.316	.123	.291	8	2	36%	9%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	42→40	46	.185/.275/.321	.137	.291	15	3	39%	11%	66	-0.6	.198/.295/.349	.151	.306	17	3	37%	12%	82	+0.5	.196/.301/.351	.156	.289	18	2	35%	13%	83	+0.4
✕Brett Cumberland 2019 · AA	24	38→39	47→50	37→30	40	.191/.284/.322	.131	.293	15	2	37%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.301/.327	.128	.293	14	3	34%	8%	80	+0.4	.177/.295/.289	.111	.265	13	1	34%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Drew Ward 2017 · AA	22	44	43→55	40→30	38	.211/.267/.318	.107	.319	11	2	36%	6%	61	-1.0	.214/.279/.337	.123	.326	14	2	36%	8%	71	-0.3	.203/.270/.362	.159	.317	20	1	40%	7%	71	-0.2
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	42→43	43→50	39→45	50	.208/.286/.324	.116	.279	10	3	28%	10%	70	-0.3	.193/.274/.316	.123	.263	12	3	29%	10%	64	-0.8	.170/.259/.320	.149	.231	18	1	33%	11%	57	-0.9
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	37	44→50	41→40	40	.184/.249/.302	.119	.288	11	3	38%	8%	50	-1.8	.193/.252/.290	.097	.268	8	4	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.224/.284/.351	.127	.286	14	0	26%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	42→43	44→55	38→30	36	.210/.245/.321	.111	.284	12	2	30%	4%	52	-1.6	.231/.272/.389	.158	.308	21	3	31%	5%	82	+0.5	.218/.265/.393	.175	.292	26	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Julian Leon 2019 · AAA	23	40	47→45	38→30	41	.198/.278/.331	.133	.302	16	3	38%	8%	70	-0.3	.183/.274/.297	.114	.309	12	4	41%	9%	60	-1.0	.120/.223/.203	.083	.225	9	0	47%	9%	14	-1.8
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	46→45	42→45	52	.200/.296/.328	.127	.281	14	6	32%	12%	76	+0.1	.179/.260/.279	.100	.257	10	6	32%	9%	49	-1.8	.150/.230/.230	.080	.212	8	4	32%	9%	21	-1.6
✕Josh Ockimey 2018 · AA	22	42→46	48→50	40→30	43	.209/.280/.347	.138	.306	15	3	35%	9%	74	-0.1	.202/.285/.358	.156	.305	19	2	37%	10%	80	+0.4	.181/.279/.340	.159	.268	21	0	38%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	39→42	46→45	39→30	38	.196/.254/.326	.130	.291	14	2	36%	6%	58	-1.2	.199/.257/.321	.122	.294	12	3	35%	6%	58	-1.2	.187/.247/.296	.109	.278	10	1	35%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Alex Jackson 2018 · AA	22	39→36	49→60	42→30	34	.202/.257/.344	.142	.293	17	3	36%	5%	64	-0.8	.189/.249/.355	.166	.284	22	3	40%	5%	65	-0.7	.196/.267/.378	.181	.267	24	2	35%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	39→41	48→65	42→40	38	.201/.253/.347	.146	.286	16	3	35%	6%	63	-0.9	.194/.252/.355	.161	.294	18	4	39%	6%	65	-0.7	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
●Nolan Gorman 2021 · A	21	40→43	48→60	43→45	37	.201/.259/.345	.145	.302	16	3	38%	6%	65	-0.7	.224/.278/.400	.176	.300	24	6	33%	7%	88	+0.9	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	45→55	50→55	39→45	38	.223/.277/.382	.159	.321	16	5	35%	6%	82	+0.5	.235/.287/.379	.144	.336	14	8	32%	6%	85	+0.7	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	41→38	43→45	42→40	46	.202/.287/.312	.110	.290	11	5	32%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.277/.322	.126	.291	15	5	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.180/.261/.303	.123	.268	16	3	37%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	41→50	42→45	48	.206/.286/.310	.104	.297	8	6	31%	10%	67	-0.5	.180/.241/.263	.083	.269	8	5	34%	7%	36	-2.7	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	43→50	40→45	46	.196/.269/.309	.112	.266	11	3	29%	8%	60	-1.0	.200/.265/.306	.106	.264	9	4	26%	8%	57	-1.2	.227/.282/.376	.149	.290	19	6	28%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Kyle Skipworth 2012 · AA	22	35→34	44→50	36→30	32	.183/.223/.292	.109	.285	13	2	40%	4%	35	-2.8	.180/.227/.319	.139	.275	18	3	40%	5%	45	-2.1	.143/.206/.274	.131	.247	18	1	48%	5%	23	-1.3
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	38→40	45	.206/.269/.343	.137	.257	14	4	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.204/.281/.355	.151	.268	17	3	29%	9%	77	+0.1	.182/.281/.358	.176	.233	21	4	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	40→34	40→60	39→45	42	.196/.270/.285	.090	.278	8	5	31%	7%	55	-1.4	.198/.276/.316	.118	.286	13	5	33%	7%	66	-0.6	.197/.277/.397	.201	.245	26	4	31%	7%	84	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)