Omar Alfonzo
C Somerset Patriots| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 476 | .253/.359/.413 | 15 | 2 | 67 | — | .200/.276/.308 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 555 | .234/.355/.398 | 18 | 2 | 74 | — | .201/.278/.323 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 383 | .218/.317/.378 | 13 | 0 | 68 | — | .178/.251/.286 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBNYY | 4 | .202/.275/.324 | 0 | 0 | 68 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 24 | MLBNYY | 97 | .207/.281/.341 | 3 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBNYY | 160 | .211/.285/.351 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | — | 133 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 429 | 333 | 762 | 101 | 313 | 23 | 24 | 364 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 123 | 104 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 276 | 202 | 478 | 58 | 187 | 23 | 14 | 238 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 150 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 394 | 413 | 808 | 140 | 363 | 25 | 16 | 363 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 31 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 516 | 524 | 1.040 | 238 | 333 | 16 | 29 | 464 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 32 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 406 | 423 | 829 | 154 | 300 | 16 | 19 | 377 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 97 | 81 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 371 | 457 | 828 | 210 | 294 | 26 | 16 | 370 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 354 | 304 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 92 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 355 | 388 | 743 | 135 | 335 | 26 | 13 | 336 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 25 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 360 | 591 | 951 | 318 | 286 | 24 | 12 | 410 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 193 | 170 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 304 | 335 | 639 | 118 | 309 | 30 | 10 | 289 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 284 | 234 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 79 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 389 | 440 | 829 | 179 | 347 | 28 | 15 | 373 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 78 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 180 | 359 | 410 | 769 | 230 | 219 | 32 | 22 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 350 | 305 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 119 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 295 | 338 | 633 | 138 | 285 | 34 | 10 | 287 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 423 | 545 | 846 | 1.392 | 423 | 471 | 18 | 21 | 580 | 278 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 133 | 109 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 293 | 193 | 486 | 55 | 201 | 29 | 17 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 123 | 110 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 203 | 155 | 358 | 45 | 151 | 31 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 182 | 159 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 239 | 328 | 346 | 674 | 107 | 354 | 33 | 12 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 31 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 387 | 375 | 762 | 167 | 256 | 26 | 19 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 97 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 278 | 356 | 635 | 161 | 257 | 33 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 354 | 319 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 128 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 201 | 276 | 295 | 570 | 94 | 305 | 36 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 193 | 176 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 251 | 290 | 541 | 102 | 299 | 39 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 284 | 252 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 104 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 297 | 345 | 642 | 135 | 312 | 37 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 350 | 315 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 145 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 251 | 286 | 537 | 108 | 287 | 41 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 133 | 109 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 293 | 193 | 486 | 55 | 200 | 29 | 17 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Black | — | 133 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 429 | 333 | 762 | 101 | 313 | 23 | 24 | 364 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 123 | 110 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 203 | 155 | 358 | 45 | 155 | 31 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates | — | 123 | 104 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 276 | 202 | 478 | 58 | 187 | 23 | 14 | 238 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 211 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 337 | 360 | 698 | 123 | 346 | 32 | 13 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 245 | 197 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 274 | 412 | 426 | 838 | 152 | 350 | 23 | 18 | 378 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 476 | 429 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 169 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 198 | 274 | 303 | 577 | 105 | 298 | 36 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 476 | 407 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 64 | 123 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 359 | 413 | 771 | 160 | 325 | 26 | 13 | 347 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 499 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 208 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 277 | 317 | 594 | 116 | 312 | 37 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 555 | 465 | 109 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 162 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 355 | 398 | 753 | 163 | 318 | 29 | 14 | 341 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 346 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 159 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 248 | 277 | 525 | 101 | 291 | 42 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 331 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 43 | 125 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 317 | 378 | 694 | 160 | 301 | 33 | 11 | 312 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Black | — | 133 | 108 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 293 | 194 | 488 | 56 | 201 | 29 | 17 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 123 | 109 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 203 | 156 | 359 | 46 | 151 | 31 | 9 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 211 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 337 | 360 | 698 | 123 | 340 | 32 | 13 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 476 | 428 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 169 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 199 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 105 | 295 | 36 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 497 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 208 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 117 | 307 | 37 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 347 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 159 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 248 | 277 | 525 | 101 | 287 | 42 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 476 | 428 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 169 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 199 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 105 | 295 | 36 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 497 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 208 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 117 | 307 | 37 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 347 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 159 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 248 | 277 | 525 | 101 | 287 | 42 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYY | 2% | 460 | 415 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 172 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 274 | 318 | 591 | 117 | 307 | 37 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYY | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 122 | 307 | 25 | 0 | 271 | 68 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 31% | 312 | 281 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 113 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 279 | 334 | 613 | 128 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 45% | 359 | 323 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 128 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 283 | 344 | 627 | 134 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 51% | 386 | 347 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 135 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 286 | 349 | 635 | 138 | 305 | 35 | 8 | 286 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 394 | 354 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 136 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 138 | 304 | 35 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 394 | 354 | 75 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 134 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 286 | 348 | 634 | 136 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 387 | 348 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 133 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 283 | 342 | 625 | 132 | 300 | 34 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 52% | 376 | 338 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 130 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 280 | 334 | 613 | 127 | 298 | 35 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 31% | 97 | 88 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 281 | 341 | 621 | 133 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 280 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 45% | 160 | 144 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 285 | 351 | 636 | 140 | 307 | 36 | 8 | 286 | 77 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 51% | 197 | 177 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 69 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 287 | 357 | 645 | 144 | 306 | 35 | 8 | 289 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 207 | 186 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 143 | 304 | 34 | 8 | 290 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 210 | 189 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 288 | 355 | 643 | 142 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 289 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 203 | 182 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 285 | 349 | 633 | 138 | 301 | 34 | 8 | 285 | 77 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 52% | 196 | 176 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 281 | 341 | 621 | 133 | 298 | 35 | 8 | 280 | 73 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1270 | 1142 | 240 | 42 | 0 | 37 | 104 | 441 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 284 | 344 | 628 | 134 | 303 | 35 | 8 | 286 | 69 | -34 | +1 | -7 | +23 | +28 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 122 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 53 | 226 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 283 | 342 | 625 | 134 | 301 | 35 | 8 | 286 | 69 | -18 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4733 | 4238 | 853 | 146 | 11 | 114 | 412 | 1677 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 201 | 280 | 322 | 601 | 120 | 299 | 35 | 9 | 271 | 69 | -79 | +1 | -15 | +50 | +61 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 118 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 230 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 282 | 326 | 609 | 124 | 301 | 35 | 9 | 271 | 69 | -18 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASomerset Patriots · 350 PAwOBA .282 → .239 (−43)K% 34.0% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.31% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .282 → .239; ISO .138 → .108; BABIP .285 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 284 PAwOBA .361 → .284 (−77)K% 27.8% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.82% | ÷0.994 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.79% | ÷0.980 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 9.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷0.950 | ×0.870 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 24.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.850 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.048 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 6.03% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .361 → .284; ISO .179 → .146; BABIP .347 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAltoona Curve · 193 PAwOBA .284 → .237 (−46)K% 30.1% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.05% | ÷0.947 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 21.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.036 | ×0.860 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | ×1.042 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷0.891 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 89, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .284 → .237; ISO .118 → .097; BABIP .309 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ABradenton Marauders · 354 PAwOBA .328 → .254 (−74)K% 26.0% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.99% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.15% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.046 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.93% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .328 → .254; ISO .135 → .095; BABIP .335 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 97 PAwOBA .361 → .280 (−80)K% 25.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.77% | ÷1.029 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.49% | ÷0.974 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 10.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.21% | ÷1.024 | ×0.870 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.93% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 7.30% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .361 → .280; ISO .210 → .170; BABIP .294 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 182 PAwOBA .358 → .306 (−53)K% 25.3% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.27% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.48% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 11.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.88% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 28.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×1.030 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.26% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .358 → .306; ISO .140 → .117; BABIP .363 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 31 PAwOBA .454 → .334 (−120)K% 16.1% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 29.03% | ÷1.002 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 17.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 15.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.026 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 8.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.24% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .454 → .334; ISO .238 → .200; BABIP .333 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Pirates · 123 PAwOBA .232 → .166 (−67)K% 22.8% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷1.069 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.82% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.47% | ÷1.005 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 12.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.027 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 2.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.016 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.977 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.06% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 114, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .232 → .166; ISO .058 → .042; BABIP .187 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .