Mitch Walding
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 26 | AAAPHI | 350 | .206/.354/.369 | 11 | 2 | 62 | — | .160/.274/.293 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAALAA | 138 | .238/.326/.451 | 6 | 1 | 42 | — | .171/.225/.310 |
| 2022 | 29 | AASD | 29 | .045/.276/.091 | 0 | 1 | -13 | — | .042/.207/.083 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 464 | 402 | 90 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 121 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 224 | 325 | 286 | 611 | 62 | 316 | 26 | 12 | 286 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 419 | 371 | 88 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 237 | 311 | 372 | 683 | 135 | 320 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 171 | 150 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 324 | 353 | 677 | 120 | 297 | 22 | 10 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 461 | 403 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 117 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 321 | 315 | 636 | 82 | 315 | 25 | 10 | 291 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 85 | 70 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 337 | 371 | 709 | 157 | 273 | 27 | 13 | 318 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 416 | 350 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 111 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 280 | 379 | 440 | 819 | 160 | 371 | 27 | 12 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 75 | 63 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 286 | 400 | 476 | 876 | 190 | 471 | 36 | 15 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 401 | 351 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 127 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 328 | 516 | 844 | 279 | 289 | 32 | 11 | 366 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 96 | 79 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 365 | 392 | 757 | 165 | 283 | 24 | 17 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 158 | 235 | 393 | 176 | 63 | 11 | 183 | 5 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 472 | 388 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 73 | 148 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 392 | 474 | 867 | 209 | 375 | 31 | 15 | 384 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 350 | 282 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 62 | 133 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 354 | 369 | 723 | 163 | 333 | 38 | 18 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 122 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 326 | 451 | 777 | 213 | 451 | 47 | 11 | 344 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 29 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 276 | 91 | 367 | 45 | 71 | 28 | 24 | 213 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 158 | 235 | 393 | 176 | 63 | 11 | 183 | 10 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 464 | 421 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 161 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 195 | 266 | 247 | 513 | 52 | 306 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 419 | 382 | 76 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 153 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 199 | 255 | 309 | 564 | 110 | 295 | 37 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 461 | 413 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 177 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 184 | 259 | 249 | 509 | 65 | 297 | 38 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 85 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 277 | 297 | 574 | 108 | 263 | 35 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 416 | 365 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 160 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 298 | 345 | 643 | 126 | 331 | 38 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 401 | 366 | 64 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 153 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 243 | 347 | 590 | 172 | 244 | 38 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 158 | 235 | 393 | 176 | 63 | 11 | 176 | 5 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 472 | 406 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 55 | 185 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 324 | 387 | 711 | 167 | 344 | 39 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 350 | 300 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 160 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 160 | 274 | 293 | 567 | 133 | 278 | 46 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 225 | 310 | 535 | 140 | 377 | 57 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 29 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 207 | 83 | 290 | 42 | 55 | 34 | 17 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 464 | 421 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 161 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 195 | 266 | 247 | 513 | 52 | 310 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 464 | 402 | 90 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 121 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 224 | 325 | 286 | 611 | 62 | 316 | 26 | 12 | 286 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 539 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 215 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 199 | 256 | 304 | 561 | 106 | 307 | 36 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 590 | 521 | 123 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 154 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 236 | 315 | 367 | 682 | 131 | 313 | 26 | 9 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 461 | 413 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 177 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 184 | 259 | 249 | 509 | 65 | 308 | 38 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 461 | 403 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 117 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 321 | 315 | 636 | 82 | 315 | 25 | 10 | 291 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 506 | 107 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 218 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 211 | 293 | 332 | 625 | 121 | 337 | 38 | 9 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 576 | 483 | 131 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 74 | 161 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 271 | 376 | 435 | 811 | 164 | 368 | 28 | 13 | 357 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 497 | 454 | 80 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 190 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 176 | 244 | 352 | 597 | 176 | 247 | 38 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 497 | 430 | 101 | 19 | 4 | 28 | 60 | 150 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 235 | 335 | 493 | 828 | 258 | 287 | 30 | 12 | 362 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 423 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 197 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 318 | 381 | 698 | 168 | 344 | 40 | 12 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 405 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 75 | 160 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 257 | 383 | 464 | 847 | 207 | 368 | 33 | 15 | 376 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 350 | 300 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 160 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 160 | 274 | 293 | 567 | 133 | 286 | 46 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 350 | 282 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 62 | 133 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 354 | 369 | 723 | 163 | 333 | 38 | 18 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 225 | 310 | 535 | 140 | 391 | 57 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 122 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 326 | 451 | 777 | 213 | 451 | 47 | 11 | 344 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 29 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 207 | 83 | 290 | 42 | 71 | 34 | 17 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 29 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 276 | 91 | 367 | 45 | 71 | 28 | 24 | 213 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 464 | 420 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 161 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 195 | 266 | 248 | 514 | 52 | 306 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 543 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 215 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 197 | 256 | 302 | 558 | 105 | 295 | 36 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 461 | 416 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 177 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 183 | 259 | 248 | 507 | 65 | 297 | 38 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 576 | 513 | 107 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 218 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 209 | 293 | 327 | 620 | 119 | 319 | 38 | 9 | 277 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 497 | 453 | 80 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 190 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 177 | 244 | 353 | 598 | 177 | 244 | 38 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 423 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 197 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 318 | 381 | 698 | 168 | 331 | 40 | 12 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 350 | 300 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 160 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 160 | 274 | 293 | 567 | 133 | 278 | 46 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 138 | 128 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 79 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 225 | 312 | 537 | 141 | 377 | 57 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 29 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 207 | 83 | 290 | 42 | 55 | 34 | 17 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 158 | 235 | 393 | 176 | 63 | 11 | 183 | 60 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 68 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 58 | 157 | 234 | 391 | 175 | 63 | 10 | 183 | 60 | -70 | +0 | +8 | +60 | +14 | 1.2 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3596 | 3209 | 613 | 126 | 16 | 73 | 312 | 1407 | 38 | 27 | 28 | 191 | 271 | 309 | 579 | 117 | 307 | 39 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 111 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 254 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 191 | 271 | 309 | 579 | 117 | 308 | 39 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -70 | +0 | +8 | +60 | +14 | 1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 29 PAwOBA .209 → .149 (−61)K% 27.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.59% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.14% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 16.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.948 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .209 → .149; ISO .045 → .036; BABIP .071 → .055. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASalt Lake Bees · 138 PAwOBA .330 → .231 (−99)K% 47.1% → 57.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 47.10% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 57.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.090 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.04% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 11.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.907 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 7.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 106, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .231; ISO .213 → .144; BABIP .451 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 350 PAwOBA .324 → .260 (−63)K% 38.0% → 45.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.00% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.14% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 12.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.061 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.38% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 7.18% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .324 → .260; ISO .163 → .144; BABIP .333 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 472 PAwOBA .377 → .313 (−64)K% 31.4% → 39.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.36% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.47% | ÷0.932 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 24.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.018 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.954 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 7.09% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .377 → .313; ISO .209 → .176; BABIP .375 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAReading Fightin Phils · 401 PAwOBA .357 → .259 (−98)K% 31.7% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.67% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.97% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.41% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 15.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.063 | ×0.950 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.16% | ÷1.220 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 7.12% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 113, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .357 → .259; ISO .279 → .183; BABIP .289 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Clearwater Threshers · 416 PAwOBA .355 → .283 (−72)K% 26.7% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.68% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.02% | ÷1.011 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 24.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷0.947 | ×0.960 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 7.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.964 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .355 → .283; ISO .160 → .133; BABIP .371 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAReading Fightin Phils · 85 PAwOBA .310 → .245 (−64)K% 27.1% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.06% | ÷0.936 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.94% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 21.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.273 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 87, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .310 → .245; ISO .157 → .103; BABIP .273 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Clearwater Threshers · 461 PAwOBA .285 → .229 (−57)K% 25.4% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.38% | ÷0.940 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷0.918 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.48% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.950 | ×0.960 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.984 | ×0.810 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 93, 2B 90, 3B 97, K 88, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .285 → .229; ISO .082 → .063; BABIP .315 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .