Kyle Skipworth
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 24 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 227 | .216/.291/.407 | 10 | 1 | 43 | — | .172/.238/.311 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 276 | .199/.288/.402 | 11 | 0 | 33 | — | .148/.214/.284 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 123 | .151/.250/.292 | 4 | 0 | 20 | — | .144/.208/.279 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 176 | 159 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 267 | 340 | 607 | 132 | 252 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 286 | 264 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 264 | 348 | 613 | 140 | 287 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 436 | 397 | 99 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 132 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 313 | 426 | 739 | 176 | 328 | 30 | 7 | 327 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 66 | 60 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 333 | 483 | 817 | 217 | 310 | 23 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 435 | 396 | 82 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 143 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 207 | 273 | 331 | 603 | 124 | 292 | 33 | 8 | 272 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 65 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 415 | 434 | 849 | 151 | 448 | 34 | 15 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 468 | 420 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 21 | 36 | 143 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 287 | 414 | 702 | 198 | 268 | 31 | 8 | 308 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 257 | 239 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 82 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 242 | 397 | 640 | 209 | 231 | 32 | 5 | 280 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 227 | 204 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 291 | 407 | 698 | 191 | 286 | 33 | 7 | 311 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 240 | 490 | 80 | 222 | 27 | 10 | 216 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 246 | 216 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 108 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 292 | 421 | 713 | 218 | 333 | 44 | 9 | 313 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 217 | 273 | 490 | 91 | 286 | 38 | 4 | 211 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 99 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 258 | 298 | 555 | 155 | 163 | 32 | 12 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 176 | 164 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 152 | 192 | 250 | 442 | 98 | 212 | 38 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 286 | 270 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 122 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 208 | 270 | 478 | 104 | 269 | 43 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 436 | 409 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 177 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 191 | 237 | 296 | 533 | 105 | 300 | 41 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 435 | 410 | 74 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 167 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 180 | 224 | 283 | 507 | 102 | 275 | 38 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 468 | 433 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 179 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 238 | 351 | 589 | 166 | 250 | 38 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 257 | 242 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 184 | 269 | 452 | 132 | 200 | 41 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 227 | 209 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 238 | 311 | 549 | 139 | 262 | 42 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 231 | 445 | 77 | 205 | 33 | 7 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 246 | 224 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 135 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 214 | 290 | 504 | 143 | 291 | 55 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 217 | 273 | 490 | 91 | 256 | 46 | 4 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 99 | 89 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 206 | 281 | 487 | 146 | 153 | 37 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 176 | 164 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 152 | 192 | 250 | 442 | 98 | 216 | 38 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 176 | 159 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 208 | 267 | 340 | 607 | 132 | 252 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 286 | 270 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 122 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 208 | 270 | 478 | 104 | 278 | 43 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 286 | 264 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 264 | 348 | 613 | 140 | 287 | 32 | 6 | 273 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 470 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 203 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 238 | 291 | 529 | 102 | 305 | 40 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 502 | 457 | 115 | 21 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 147 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 252 | 316 | 433 | 749 | 182 | 325 | 29 | 7 | 332 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 470 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 192 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 227 | 281 | 508 | 100 | 279 | 38 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 449 | 97 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 165 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 216 | 291 | 343 | 634 | 127 | 309 | 33 | 9 | 287 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 468 | 433 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 179 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 238 | 351 | 589 | 166 | 257 | 38 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 468 | 420 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 21 | 36 | 143 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 287 | 414 | 702 | 198 | 268 | 31 | 8 | 308 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 257 | 242 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 184 | 269 | 452 | 132 | 205 | 41 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 257 | 239 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 82 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 242 | 397 | 640 | 209 | 231 | 32 | 5 | 280 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 227 | 209 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 238 | 311 | 549 | 139 | 274 | 42 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 227 | 204 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 75 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 291 | 407 | 698 | 191 | 286 | 33 | 7 | 311 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 250 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 214 | 284 | 498 | 136 | 294 | 52 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 276 | 241 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 116 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 288 | 402 | 690 | 203 | 316 | 42 | 9 | 303 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 111 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 200 | 261 | 461 | 126 | 180 | 39 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 123 | 106 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 250 | 292 | 542 | 142 | 190 | 33 | 11 | 245 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 176 | 166 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 151 | 192 | 247 | 439 | 96 | 212 | 38 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 286 | 270 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 122 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 208 | 270 | 478 | 104 | 269 | 43 | 4 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 467 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 203 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 191 | 238 | 293 | 531 | 103 | 300 | 40 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 468 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 192 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 182 | 227 | 282 | 509 | 100 | 275 | 38 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 468 | 435 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 24 | 179 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 238 | 349 | 587 | 166 | 250 | 38 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 257 | 241 | 33 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 105 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 184 | 270 | 453 | 133 | 200 | 41 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 227 | 207 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 174 | 238 | 314 | 552 | 140 | 262 | 42 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 253 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 214 | 281 | 495 | 134 | 282 | 52 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 123 | 113 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 200 | 257 | 457 | 124 | 173 | 39 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2815 | 2619 | 445 | 87 | 10 | 71 | 136 | 1155 | 36 | 6 | 14 | 170 | 221 | 292 | 513 | 122 | 265 | 41 | 5 | 223 | 37 | -210 | -4 | +0 | +50 | +61 | -10.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 267 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 169 | 219 | 288 | 506 | 119 | 264 | 41 | 5 | 223 | 37 | -49 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 99 PAwOBA .245 → .203 (−42)K% 32.3% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.32% | ÷1.042 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.075 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.46% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 12.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.081 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.58% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 96, K 108, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .245 → .203; ISO .155 → .137; BABIP .163 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALouisville Bats · 24 PAwOBA .215 → .176 (−39)K% 37.5% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.984 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 15.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 12.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.882 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 90, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .215 → .176; ISO .091 → .069; BABIP .286 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 246 PAwOBA .307 → .220 (−87)K% 43.9% → 54.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.90% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 54.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.54% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 9.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.19% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 7.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .307 → .220; ISO .218 → .151; BABIP .333 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALouisville Bats · 30 PAwOBA .218 → .193 (−25)K% 26.7% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 11.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 10.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .218 → .193; ISO .080 → .075; BABIP .222 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 227 PAwOBA .302 → .232 (−70)K% 33.0% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.04% | ÷1.008 | ×1.290 | — | — | 42.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 5.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.64% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 2.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.16% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.981 | ×1.048 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.048 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.048 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 5.77% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .302 → .232; ISO .191 → .131; BABIP .286 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 257 PAwOBA .273 → .193 (−80)K% 31.9% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.91% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.67% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 2.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.10% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 11.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.959 | ×0.810 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.400 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .273 → .193; ISO .209 → .124; BABIP .231 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJacksonville Suns · 468 PAwOBA .301 → .255 (−46)K% 30.6% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.56% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.77% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 17.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.078 | ×0.880 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.58% | ÷0.896 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 7.05% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 116, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .301 → .255; ISO .198 → .172; BABIP .268 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAJacksonville Suns · 435 PAwOBA .260 → .224 (−36)K% 32.9% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.87% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.53% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.935 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.936 | ×0.880 | ×0.965 | ×1.050 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.57% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 87, K 109, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .260 → .224; ISO .124 → .105; BABIP .292 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).