Julian Leon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | INTLMexico | 69 | .170/.353/.302 | 2 | 0 | 97 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 105 | .205/.320/.284 | 1 | 0 | 77 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 142 | .189/.331/.270 | 2 | 1 | 74 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 94 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 330 | 420 | 749 | 173 | 283 | 22 | 7 | 325 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 264 | 223 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 332 | 427 | 565 | 992 | 233 | 383 | 20 | 12 | 429 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 340 | 309 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 106 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 201 | 271 | 298 | 569 | 97 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 237 | 220 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 87 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 275 | 386 | 662 | 164 | 325 | 37 | 5 | 294 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 65 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 215 | 217 | 432 | 67 | 186 | 25 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 53 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 288 | 283 | 571 | 87 | 286 | 34 | 11 | 262 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 184 | 161 | 49 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 388 | 484 | 872 | 180 | 379 | 22 | 9 | 386 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 32 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 344 | 286 | 629 | 36 | 389 | 31 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 438 | 273 | 710 | 91 | 333 | 31 | 25 | 357 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 255 | 201 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 372 | 423 | 795 | 204 | 264 | 27 | 16 | 354 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 23 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 348 | 333 | 681 | 167 | 250 | 39 | 13 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 261 | 213 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 319 | 296 | 615 | 117 | 270 | 34 | 14 | 287 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 220 | 178 | 43 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 384 | 461 | 844 | 219 | 312 | 28 | 13 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Mexico | — | 104 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 343 | 289 | 632 | 96 | 286 | 33 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 149 | 127 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 306 | 228 | 534 | 31 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 80 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 287 | 329 | 616 | 143 | 244 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Mexico | — | 69 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 353 | 302 | 655 | 132 | 233 | 32 | 14 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 88 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 320 | 284 | 604 | 80 | 362 | 38 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 142 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 331 | 270 | 601 | 81 | 268 | 27 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 94 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 120 | 233 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 264 | 235 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 323 | 417 | 740 | 166 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 340 | 316 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 139 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 155 | 212 | 228 | 440 | 73 | 254 | 41 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 237 | 224 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 161 | 203 | 281 | 485 | 121 | 287 | 50 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 53 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 250 | 481 | 83 | 276 | 47 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 184 | 165 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 306 | 339 | 645 | 109 | 328 | 30 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 375 | 250 | 625 | 83 | 284 | 38 | 19 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 255 | 212 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 304 | 349 | 653 | 170 | 228 | 35 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 261 | 225 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 114 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 241 | 222 | 463 | 89 | 225 | 44 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 94 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 120 | 259 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 94 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 330 | 420 | 749 | 173 | 283 | 22 | 7 | 325 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 264 | 235 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 323 | 417 | 740 | 166 | 325 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 264 | 223 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 332 | 427 | 565 | 992 | 233 | 383 | 20 | 12 | 429 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 340 | 316 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 139 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 155 | 212 | 228 | 440 | 73 | 260 | 41 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 340 | 309 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 106 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 201 | 271 | 298 | 569 | 97 | 288 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 285 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 152 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 158 | 203 | 281 | 483 | 123 | 294 | 50 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 302 | 280 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 103 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 262 | 350 | 612 | 143 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 274 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 269 | 241 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 108 | 329 | 34 | 7 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 269 | 235 | 65 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 363 | 421 | 785 | 145 | 364 | 26 | 10 | 351 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 242 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 104 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 178 | 311 | 343 | 654 | 165 | 242 | 35 | 12 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 294 | 230 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 84 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 213 | 374 | 409 | 782 | 196 | 266 | 29 | 16 | 352 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 409 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 209 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 256 | 222 | 479 | 88 | 244 | 43 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 481 | 391 | 81 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 150 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 349 | 371 | 720 | 164 | 290 | 31 | 14 | 329 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Mexico | — | 104 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 343 | 289 | 632 | 96 | 286 | 33 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Mexico | — | 104 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 343 | 289 | 632 | 96 | 286 | 33 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 149 | 127 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 306 | 228 | 534 | 31 | 278 | 26 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 149 | 127 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 306 | 228 | 534 | 31 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 80 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 287 | 329 | 616 | 143 | 244 | 29 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 80 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 287 | 329 | 616 | 143 | 244 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Mexico | — | 69 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 353 | 302 | 655 | 132 | 233 | 32 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Mexico | — | 69 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 353 | 302 | 655 | 132 | 233 | 32 | 14 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 88 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 320 | 284 | 604 | 80 | 362 | 38 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 105 | 88 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 320 | 284 | 604 | 80 | 362 | 38 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 142 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 331 | 270 | 601 | 81 | 268 | 27 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 142 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 331 | 270 | 601 | 81 | 268 | 27 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 94 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 264 | 302 | 566 | 116 | 233 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 264 | 237 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 323 | 414 | 737 | 165 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 340 | 314 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 139 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 212 | 229 | 442 | 73 | 254 | 41 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 302 | 283 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 152 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 203 | 283 | 485 | 124 | 287 | 50 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 269 | 241 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 296 | 328 | 624 | 108 | 316 | 34 | 7 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 294 | 245 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 104 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 311 | 339 | 650 | 163 | 231 | 35 | 12 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 481 | 411 | 55 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 209 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 256 | 221 | 478 | 88 | 225 | 43 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2693 | 2343 | 422 | 85 | 2 | 55 | 229 | 999 | 86 | 3 | 8 | 180 | 277 | 289 | 566 | 108 | 279 | 37 | 9 | 185 | 11 | -284 | -3 | +0 | +48 | +58 | -18.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 566 | 102 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 241 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 180 | 277 | 286 | 563 | 106 | 280 | 37 | 8 | 185 | 11 | -69 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAMobile BayBears · 261 PAwOBA .284 → .213 (−71)K% 34.1% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.10% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.55% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 15.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷1.050 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .284 → .213; ISO .117 → .089; BABIP .270 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 255 PAwOBA .352 → .291 (−61)K% 27.5% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.45% | ÷1.044 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.69% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 11.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.53% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.08% | ÷0.977 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 17.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.087 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.760 | ×0.965 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.40% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 7.99% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 117, 3B 96, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .352 → .291; ISO .204 → .182; BABIP .264 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASalt Lake Bees · 16 PAwOBA .350 → .274 (−76)K% 31.2% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.068 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 17.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 6.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.064 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 14.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 13.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 113, 2B 109, 3B 94, K 101, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .350 → .274; ISO .091 → .071; BABIP .333 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ABurlington Bees · 184 PAwOBA .378 → .293 (−86)K% 22.3% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.28% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷0.884 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.67% | ÷1.166 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.06% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 92, 2B 133, 3B 80, K 100, BB 77 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .378 → .293; ISO .180 → .120; BABIP .379 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 53 PAwOBA .261 → .207 (−54)K% 34.0% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.96% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 46.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.003 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.891 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.027 | 3.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 91, 2B 78, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .207; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .286 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 237 PAwOBA .287 → .208 (−79)K% 36.7% → 50.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.71% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 50.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷1.046 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 3.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.80% | ÷1.043 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 19.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷0.938 | ×0.820 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 8.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.760 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 5.75% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 88, 3B 128, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .287 → .208; ISO .164 → .122; BABIP .325 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreat Lakes Loons · 340 PAwOBA .255 → .196 (−58)K% 31.2% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.18% | ÷1.039 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.76% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.045 | 18.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.045 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 96, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .255 → .196; ISO .097 → .075; BABIP .288 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKOgden Raptors · 264 PAwOBA .424 → .319 (−104)K% 20.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.022 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.039 | ×1.022 | 24.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.039 | ×1.022 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.039 | ×1.022 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.022 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .424 → .319; ISO .233 → .172; BABIP .383 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .