Marcos Castañon

SS El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2027ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AA/INTL2 orgs495.215/.307/.35413353—.191/.265/.311
202526AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs576.264/.331/.43017581—.239/.290/.375
202627AAA/INTL2 orgs535.272/.331/.43819477—.246/.289/.364
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBSD16.238/.288/.36500850.0
2028PROJ33% MLB29MLBSD69.236/.287/.36120840.0
2029PROJ46% MLB30MLBSD106.234/.285/.35620820.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV86
K%75
Whiff%73
Z-Con%66
Speed39
BB%18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsLuis Torrens (age 28) · Pedro Severino (age 28) · Riley Adams (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .288 / .365
PA16
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP292
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 ROKACL Padres — 5651 7402 2162 00 137200333533 196147 294 233 -14 — — — — — —
202223 ALake Elsinore Storm — 519421 11025023 8012216 03 261398485883 223313 2415 392 82 — — — — — —
202324 AASan Antonio Missions — 230211 591914 18490 00 280336436772 156346 218 342 78 — — — — — —
202324 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 327289 8320013 29703 10 287358491850 204330 219 368 88 — — — — — —
202425 AASan Antonio Missions — 466405 9220013 4510410 30 227320373692 146269 2210 311 59 — — — — — —
202425 INTLSultanes de Monterrey — 2927 1100 270 00 3710374178 3750 247 92 -51 — — — — — —
202526 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 7060 18413 7192 00 300391550941 250385 2710 406 106 — — — — — —
202526 AASan Antonio Missions — 431390 10523112 33945 44 269334426760 156324 228 337 80 — — — — — —
202526 INTLJaguares de Nayarit — 7569 14402 4181 10 203257348605 145245 245 268 67 — — — — — —
202627 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 495454 12823017 33885 41 282337445782 163316 187 346 78 — — — — — —
202627 INTLJaguares de Nayarit — 4035 5102 570 00 143250343593 200115 1812 269 68 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5652 4201 1232 00 77127173300 96104 412 148 -14 — — — — — —
202223 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 519446 8617018 5517116 03 193304352656 159258 3311 289 82 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 230216 521414 13600 00 241284370654 130313 266 284 78 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 327298 7013012 20883 10 235290399689 164276 276 299 88 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 466418 8017011 3212910 30 191265311576 120239 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 7063 15312 4232 00 238304413717 175341 336 325 106 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 431401 9620110 221095 44 239287369656 130299 255 286 80 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 495464 11419012 231055 41 246289364653 119291 215 284 78 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5652 4201 1232 00 77127173300 96103 412 148 -14 — — — — — —
202122 ROK RAWACL Padres — 5651 7402 2162 00 137200333533 196147 294 233 -14 — — — — — —
202223 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 519446 8617018 5517116 03 193304352656 159263 3311 289 82 — — — — — —
202223 A RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 519421 11025023 8012216 03 261398485883 223313 2415 392 82 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE2 teams — 557514 12328116 331483 10 239289391680 152300 276 293 84 — — — — — —
202324 A+ RAW2 teams — 557500 14239117 471193 10 284349468817 184337 218 357 84 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 495445 8518011 3413710 30 191264306569 115244 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAW2 teams — 495432 9321013 4711110 30 215307354661 139255 229 298 59 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE3 teams — 576533 12927214 301528 54 242292379671 137310 265 291 83 — — — — — —
202526 AA RAW3 teams — 576519 13731217 441318 54 264331430761 166320 238 336 83 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 535502 12421013 251145 41 247289367656 120294 215 284 78 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAW2 teams — 535489 13324019 38955 41 272331438768 166302 187 340 78 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Padres — 5653 4201 1232 00 75127170297 94104 412 148 -14 — — — — — —
202223 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 519443 8617018 5517116 03 194304354658 160258 3311 289 82 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE2 teams — 557516 12328116 331483 10 238289390679 151291 276 293 84 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 495448 8518011 3413710 30 190264304567 114239 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE3 teams — 576533 12927214 301528 54 242292379671 137305 265 291 83 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 535500 12421013 251145 41 248289368657 120291 215 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 495448 8518011 3413710 30 190264304567 114239 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202526 AA MLE3 teams — 576533 12927214 301528 54 242292379671 137305 265 291 83 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 535500 12421013 251145 41 248289368657 120291 215 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLESD 10% 380352 851619 20905 31 242291370661 128297 245 294 85 -7 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXSD 10% 1615 3100 140 00 238288365653 127292 256 291 85 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLESD 33% 212197 47905 11512 11 240290366656 126296 245 292 84 -4 -0 -1 +2 +5 0.1
202930 MLB MLESD 46% 232214 511005 13563 00 238288361649 123294 246 290 82 -5 +0 -2 +2 +5 0.0
202829 MLB CTXSD 33% 6964 16302 4161 00 236287361648 125290 236 289 84 -1 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.0
202930 MLB CTXSD 46% 10698 22402 6261 00 234285356641 122289 256 286 82 -2 +0 -1 +1 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 175162 38704 10422 00 235287352639 117291 246 287 77 -4 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 14126015 371567 00 234286352639 118290 246 287 77 -13 +0 -5 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 33373047 684139387 21088951 159 224286358643 133285 276 282 77 -12 +0 -3 +6 +13 0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 13427117 4117310 32 226287360648 135286 276 282 77 -13 +0 -4 +7 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 495 PAwOBA .338 → .284 (−54)K% 17.8% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.78%÷1.000×1.200——21.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0034.61%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.940—×1.0030.95%
Singles /BIP24.04%÷1.000×0.930×1.024×1.00322.96%
Doubles /BIP6.28%÷1.000×0.830×1.024×1.0035.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.024×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP4.64%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0033.26%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .338 → .284; ISO .163 → .121; BABIP .316 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 431 PAwOBA .330 → .286 (−45)K% 21.8% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.81%÷1.054×1.220——25.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.66%÷1.020×0.700—×0.9885.19%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.870—×0.9881.00%
Singles /BIP23.31%÷0.964×0.920×1.006×0.98822.13%
Doubles /BIP7.77%÷0.963×0.840×1.006×0.9886.74%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷1.036×0.940×1.006×0.9880.30%
Home runs /BIP4.05%÷0.950×0.800—×0.9883.37%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .330 → .286; ISO .156 → .132; BABIP .324 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 70 PAwOBA .396 → .325 (−72)K% 27.1% → 33.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.14%÷0.973×1.200——33.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.57%÷1.054×0.690—×1.0185.71%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.940—×1.0182.73%
Singles /BIP24.39%÷0.999×0.930—×1.01823.11%
Doubles /BIP9.76%÷1.042×0.830—×1.0187.91%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0182.09%
Home runs /BIP7.32%÷0.981×0.700—×1.0185.31%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .396 → .325; ISO .250 → .190; BABIP .385 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 466 PAwOBA .307 → .255 (−52)K% 22.3% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.32%÷0.987×1.220——27.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.66%÷0.987×0.700—×0.9986.83%
HBP% /PA2.15%—×0.870—×0.9981.86%
Singles /BIP19.60%÷1.015×0.920×0.997×0.99817.67%
Doubles /BIP6.64%÷0.957×0.840×0.997×0.9985.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×0.997×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP4.32%÷0.953×0.800—×0.9983.62%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .307 → .255; ISO .146 → .122; BABIP .269 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 327 PAwOBA .364 → .299 (−65)K% 21.4% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.41%÷1.014×1.270——26.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.56%÷0.983×0.710—×0.9886.11%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.790—×0.9880.72%
Singles /BIP22.83%÷0.956×0.920×0.950×0.98820.63%
Doubles /BIP9.13%÷1.118×0.810×0.950×0.9886.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP5.94%÷0.848×0.800—×0.9885.53%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .364 → .299; ISO .204 → .171; BABIP .330 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 230 PAwOBA .332 → .284 (−48)K% 21.3% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.30%÷0.987×1.220——26.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.39%÷0.927×0.700—×1.0125.65%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP21.60%÷0.986×0.920×1.027×1.01220.95%
Doubles /BIP11.73%÷1.116×0.840×1.027×1.0129.18%
Triples /BIP0.62%÷1.010×0.940×1.027×1.0120.60%
Home runs /BIP2.47%÷0.820×0.800—×1.0122.44%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .332 → .284; ISO .156 → .131; BABIP .346 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 519 PAwOBA .384 → .289 (−95)K% 23.5% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.51%÷0.968×1.360——33.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.41%÷0.992×0.690—×0.99010.62%
HBP% /PA3.08%—×0.780—×0.9902.38%
Singles /BIP20.74%÷1.020×0.920×0.984×0.99018.24%
Doubles /BIP8.36%÷1.115×0.830×0.984×0.9906.07%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.984×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷0.938×0.800—×0.9906.49%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .384 → .289; ISO .223 → .170; BABIP .313 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Padres · 56 PAwOBA .231 → .148 (−83)K% 28.6% → 41.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.440——41.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.57%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9752.16%
HBP% /PA3.57%—×0.720—×0.9752.51%
Singles /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9752.28%
Doubles /BIP11.43%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9758.02%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9754.35%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .231 → .148; ISO .196 → .125; BABIP .147 → .104. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .