Miguel Palma — OGILVIE

Miguel PalmaC Somerset Patriots

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .260 / .295

PA96

HR2

K%27

BB%7

BABIP250

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	170	143	23	5	1	3	12	50	13	10	5	161	286	273	558	112	220	29	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	170	136	31	7	1	4	19	35	13	10	5	228	375	382	757	154	276	21	11	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	119	95	18	4	0	3	15	34	6	2	1	189	336	326	663	137	246	29	13	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	119	85	21	6	0	3	25	24	6	2	1	247	448	424	872	176	295	20	21	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	351	320	66	12	1	11	22	94	7	0	0	206	272	353	625	147	253	27	6	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	351	309	80	15	1	13	33	62	7	0	0	259	344	440	784	181	284	18	9	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	348	318	77	13	0	5	17	93	4	3	1	242	289	330	619	88	314	27	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	348	308	79	15	0	7	27	80	4	3	1	256	324	373	698	117	313	23	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	4 teams	—	381	345	70	7	2	4	29	121	6	3	2	203	276	270	546	67	299	32	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	4 teams	—	381	334	83	13	1	7	40	83	6	3	2	249	339	356	696	108	310	22	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	148	134	18	8	0	1	11	39	3	0	0	134	216	216	433	82	181	26	7	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	148	129	20	8	0	2	16	30	3	0	0	155	264	264	527	109	186	20	11	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	NYY	—	144	131	24	2	0	5	11	41	2	0	0	183	257	313	570	130	224	28	8	253	52	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
YTD	24	AA	NYY	—	144	126	27	2	0	6	16	32	2	0	0	214	312	373	686	159	239	22	11	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
ROS	24	AA	NYY	2%	96	88	17	3	0	2	7	26	1	1	0	193	260	295	556	102	254	27	7	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
ROS	24	MLB	NYY	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						256	50	0	250	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	NYY	—	146	133	24	2	0	5	11	42	2	0	0	180	253	308	562	128	221	29	8	253	52	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
TOT	24	AA	NYY	—	240	219	41	5	0	7	18	67	3	1	0	187	258	306	564	119	234	28	8	255	54	-13	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	31%	298	269	54	10	1	6	23	79	4	2	1	201	274	312	586	112	260	27	8	269	64	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2028	26	MLB	NYY	45%	360	324	67	12	1	8	28	94	5	2	1	207	280	324	604	117	262	26	8	274	68	-13	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.4
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	382	343	71	13	1	9	31	100	5	2	1	207	282	329	612	122	264	26	8	277	70	-13	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	395	355	74	14	1	9	32	103	5	2	1	208	283	330	613	121	264	26	8	277	70	-13	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.4
2027	25	MLB	NYY	31%	92	84	17	3	0	2	7	24	1	1	0	202	272	310	581	107	261	26	8	261	58	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	45%	160	144	30	6	0	4	13	42	2	1	0	208	283	333	616	125	264	26	8	267	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	188	169	36	7	1	4	15	49	2	1	0	213	285	337	622	124	265	26	8	270	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	204	182	39	7	1	5	17	53	3	1	0	214	292	346	638	132	265	26	8	270	65	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	646	581	122	23	2	15	52	169	8	4	0	210	284	334	618	124	268	26	8	268	63	-27	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	123	23	2	15	52	170	8	4	0	210	284	333	617	123	268	26	8	268	63	-27	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	3048	2734	555	101	8	61	227	833	59	27	13	203	278	313	591	110	265	27	7	265	61	-133	+0	-1	+54	+86	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	119	22	2	13	48	178	13	6	3	204	280	316	595	111	267	27	7	265	61	-28	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Astros	—	170	136	31	7	1	4	19	35	13	10	5	228	375	382	757	154	276	21	11	347	123	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2021	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	53	39	12	4	0	0	8	13	5	2	0	308	481	410	891	103	444	25	15	408	170	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2021	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	66	46	9	2	0	3	17	11	1	0	1	196	422	435	857	239	176	17	26	379	148	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	113	104	34	4	1	7	7	22	2	0	0	327	381	587	967	260	360	19	6	421	180	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	238	205	46	11	0	6	26	40	5	0	0	224	326	366	692	141	248	17	11	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	262	230	63	13	0	6	23	51	3	3	1	274	348	409	756	135	318	19	9	333	113	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2023	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	28	26	10	2	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	385	385	577	962	192	391	14	0	392	158	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	58	52	6	0	0	0	4	25	1	0	0	115	193	115	308		214	43	7	154	-24	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	22	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	19	17	7	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	412	474	471	944	59	538	21	5	429	186	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	193	169	34	3	1	3	22	48	2	1	0	201	301	284	585	83	263	25	11	274	68	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	22	ROK	FCL Astros	—	24	21	7	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	1	333	417	381	798	48	467	25	8	369	140	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	145	127	35	8	0	4	15	25	2	1	0	276	361	433	794	157	313	17	10	354	129	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	23	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	56	52	9	5	0	1	2	7	2	0	0	173	232	327	559	154	182	12	4	251	51	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	66	58	8	3	0	0	8	15	0	0	0	138	242	190	432	52	186	23	12	211	20	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	23	ROK	FCL Astros	—	26	19	3	0	0	1	6	8	1	0	0	158	385	316	700	158	200	31	23	339	118	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	648	15	4	208	279	328	+12	+8	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	15	4	208	279	328	+11.9	+8.2	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Palma (OGILVIE)	24	38	41	43	48	187/258/306	119	234	7	1	28%	8%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jair Fernandez 2011 · AAA	24	44	41→40	44→30	46	212/274/310	97	267	8	3	23%	7%	61	-1.0	215/279/320	105	284	10	4	26%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/305	100	273	10	1	27%	7%	56	-0.4
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2022 · AA	23	43	42→40	47→45	40	213/257/317	104	272	10	5	26%	5%	56	-1.3	225/280/319	94	262	9	8	18%	6%	66	-0.6	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2022 · AAA	24	43	41→40	44→40	42	207/284/302	95	284	8	5	29%	6%	65	-0.7	180/260/256	76	262	6	5	31%	7%	43	-2.2	135/224/184	49	206	3	1	33%	7%	8	-1.4
✕Alex De Goti 2019 · AAA	24	44→47	43→45	43→50	42	217/271/328	111	278	11	8	26%	6%	65	-0.7	223/279/344	121	286	12	7	25%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Dusty Brown 2007 · AA	25	41	43→45	44→30	43	205/258/311	106	264	11	5	26%	6%	55	-1.4	224/282/344	120	300	12	3	28%	7%	74	-0.1	228/291/341	113	307	12	0	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2018 · AAA	25	41	43→45	47→30	40	204/253/314	110	278	10	2	30%	6%	53	-1.5	212/275/332	120	288	13	3	29%	8%	68	-0.5	204/275/302	97	298	10	0	33%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Mike Nickeas 2007 · AA	24	43	41→40	44→40	46	211/282/303	92	264	8	4	23%	7%	64	-0.8	198/263/273	75	258	5	4	24%	7%	47	-1.9	219/286/299	80	264	7	1	18%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	45	197/271/262	65	269	3	5	26%	7%	49	-1.8	214/294/304	90	284	7	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/299/301	87	276	6	2	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Carlos Ramirez 2013 · AA	25	42	41→45	47→40	44	207/273/305	98	264	9	6	24%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/339	129	261	13	7	24%	6%	69	-0.4	182/246/357	175	207	20	3	24%	5%	59	-0.3
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Phil Avlas 2008 · AA	25	44	40	43→45	48	216/279/304	88	263	8	7	21%	8%	62	-0.9	223/272/307	84	273	7	9	20%	6%	59	-1.1	240/276/308	68	284	4	8	17%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Ross Wilson 2013 · AA	24	45→47	40	49→45	46	214/287/312	98	278	7	7	24%	7%	68	-0.5	200/266/293	93	267	8	6	27%	6%	54	-1.4	185/250/269	84	247	7	4	27%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2017 · AA	24	45→49	42→45	44→40	44	218/273/321	103	284	9	4	26%	6%	64	-0.8	233/288/330	97	295	8	5	22%	7%	72	-0.2	244/295/326	81	301	6	2	20%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Stuart Turner 2016 · AA	24	43	39→40	49→45	45	208/269/293	85	266	7	7	24%	7%	55	-1.4	193/252/269	76	264	6	6	28%	6%	42	-2.3	147/193/189	42	215	4	1	33%	5%	-7	-1.2
✕Ali Sánchez 2021 · AAA	24	47	38→45	44→40	44	223/266/305	82	270	5	5	19%	5%	56	-1.3	231/279/328	97	302	10	4	26%	6%	68	-0.5	232/282/331	98	300	12	1	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Alex Lavisky 2015 · AA	24	42	42→40	44→30	38	211/251/309	98	276	10	4	27%	4%	51	-1.7	205/260/306	101	257	11	6	24%	6%	55	-1.4	137/211/209	72	158	10	0	21%	7%	9	-1.2
✕Danny Mendick 2018 · AA	24	43→49	40→45	47→50	43	209/261/301	92	259	7	9	22%	6%	53	-1.5	214/276/335	121	261	13	14	22%	7%	69	-0.4	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1