Carter Kieboom — OGILVIE

Carter Kieboom3B Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 221 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION270 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .287 / .348

PA180

HR4

K%24

BB%7

BABIP282

ISO122

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

2613.7%

xwOBA

260.280

POWER45

Barrel%

184.0

Avg EV

1083.6

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE40

Chase%

4931.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

2726.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	140	23	5	3	3	7	62	5	1	2	164	230	307	537	143	256	40	5	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	135	33	8	4	4	12	43	5	1	2	244	329	452	781	207	319	28	8	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	2 teams	—	226	206	53	10	0	8	16	53	4	2	2	257	323	422	745	165	310	23	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	2 teams	—	226	191	58	15	0	8	31	40	4	2	2	304	412	508	919	204	350	18	14	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	650	600	142	29	1	17	42	174	4	13	2	237	291	373	664	137	303	27	6	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	650	567	160	32	2	17	75	126	4	13	2	282	370	436	806	153	334	19	12	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AAA	2 teams	—	537	471	110	18	2	15	52	158	9	5	2	234	321	376	697	142	314	29	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AAA	2 teams	—	537	451	130	24	3	18	72	116	9	5	2	288	397	475	871	186	348	22	13	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	122	99	20	1	0	0	17	33	5	0	1	202	347	212	559	10	299	27	14	276	69	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2020	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	122	99	20	1	0	0	17	33	5	0	1	202	347	212	559	10	299	27	14	279	72	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	—	430	374	78	12	0	11	42	101	12	1	1	209	308	329	637	120	254	23	10	283	75	-12	-0	-9	+2	+12	-0.8
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	—	430	365	80	13	0	11	51	93	12	1	1	219	334	345	679	126	262	22	12	313	98	-1	-0	-9	+2	+12	0.4
2023	25	AAA	5 teams	—	390	348	72	8	1	11	34	113	7	2	2	207	290	330	621	124	271	29	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	5 teams	—	390	337	84	12	1	12	45	89	7	2	2	249	350	398	747	148	304	23	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	318	68	14	0	6	34	94	4	3	2	214	298	314	612	101	281	26	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	306	81	16	0	7	46	72	4	3	2	265	368	386	754	121	322	20	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	402	378	92	13	1	7	22	103	0	11	1	243	285	339	624	95	315	26	5	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	402	370	118	17	2	9	30	76	0	11	1	319	370	449	819	130	380	19	7	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	PHI	—	270	249	60	11	1	5	16	65	4	0	0	241	297	353	651	112	306	24	6	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
YTD	28	AAA	PHI	—	270	242	68	14	1	6	23	54	4	0	0	281	353	421	775	140	339	20	9	347	123	+7	+0	+0	+1	+8	1.6
ROS	28	AAA	PHI	10%	180	164	37	6	1	4	12	44	2	1	0	226	287	348	634	122	284	24	7	286	77	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	10%	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	235	278	294	572	59	286	22	6	280	73	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	PHI	—	288	266	64	12	1	5	17	69	4	0	0	241	296	350	646	109	306	24	6	286	77	-8	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	28	AAA	PHI	—	450	413	97	17	2	9	28	109	6	1	0	235	293	351	644	116	296	24	6	286	77	-12	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PHI	27%	380	347	78	13	1	9	26	94	4	3	1	225	286	346	632	121	282	25	7	283	75	-11	+0	-4	+1	+11	-0.2
2028	30	MLB	PHI	37%	380	347	77	13	1	8	26	95	4	3	1	222	284	334	618	112	280	25	7	280	72	-12	+0	-4	+1	+11	-0.4
2029	31	MLB	PHI	43%	365	334	73	12	1	8	25	93	3	2	1	219	279	332	611	114	277	25	7	275	69	-13	+0	-5	+1	+10	-0.6
2027	29	MLB	PHI	27%	104	95	21	4	0	2	7	26	1	1	0	221	282	326	608	105	284	25	7	278	71	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	PHI	37%	142	130	29	5	0	3	10	36	1	1	0	223	284	331	614	108	282	25	7	275	69	-5	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	31	MLB	PHI	43%	158	145	31	5	0	3	11	40	1	1	0	214	274	310	584	97	279	25	7	270	65	-6	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	930	829	173	24	0	20	81	244	14	3	1	209	290	310	600	101	268	26	9	277	70	-32	+0	-17	+11	+26	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	121	17	0	14	57	171	10	2	1	209	291	311	602	102	269	26	9	277	70	-22	+0	-12	+7	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	4576	4126	923	154	12	107	355	1217	63	47	18	224	295	345	640	121	288	27	8	283	75	-129	+2	-28	+12	+130	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	131	22	2	15	50	173	9	7	3	224	295	345	639	121	289	27	8	283	75	-18	+0	-4	+2	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	135	33	8	4	4	12	43	5	1	2	244	329	452	781	207	319	28	8	339	117	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2017	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	210	179	53	12	0	8	28	40	3	2	2	296	400	497	897	201	344	19	13	398	163	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.1
2017	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	16	12	5	3	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	417	562	667	1.229	250	417	0	19	531	264	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2018	20	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	273	248	65	16	1	5	22	59	2	3	1	262	327	395	722	133	324	22	8	323	106	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2018	20	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	285	245	73	15	0	11	36	50	1	6	1	298	390	494	884	196	332	18	13	388	155	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2018	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	92	74	22	1	1	1	17	17	1	4	0	297	435	378	813	81	375	18	18	378	147	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2019	21	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	43	39	5	0	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	128	209	282	491	154	143	37	9	225	30	-3	+0	-3	+6	+1	0.0
2019	21	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	494	412	125	24	3	16	68	100	9	5	2	303	413	493	906	189	362	20	14	399	164	+36	+0	—	—	+14	5.1
2020	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	122	99	20	1	0	0	17	33	5	0	1	202	347	212	559	10	299	27	14	279	72	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	249	217	45	6	0	6	25	62	5	0	0	207	304	318	622	111	258	25	10	286	77	-6	+0	-9	+2	+7	-0.7
2021	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	181	148	35	7	0	5	26	31	7	1	1	236	376	385	761	149	268	17	14	351	127	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	94	87	18	2	0	4	6	27	1	0	0	207	266	368	634	161	250	29	6	284	75	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	161	140	37	6	1	5	19	34	2	1	1	264	360	429	789	164	317	21	12	354	129	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	16	12	3	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	0	250	438	250	688		500	38	25	344	121	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	19	16	3	0	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	188	316	375	691	188	200	26	16	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	100	82	23	4	0	2	13	17	4	0	1	280	404	402	806	122	328	17	13	367	139	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	306	81	16	0	7	46	72	4	3	2	265	368	386	754	121	322	20	13	342	120	+8	-0	—	—	+10	1.8
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	402	370	118	17	2	9	30	76	0	11	1	319	370	449	819	130	380	19	7	364	136	+17	+2	—	—	+11	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	508	442	88	9	0	12	52	138	11	0	1	199	299	301	600	102	258	27	10	279	71	-16	-0	-12	+9	+14	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	904	20	3	215	293	322	+3	-10	-0.0	0.1
	/162	664	14	2	215	293	322	+2.4	-7.2	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Kieboom (OGILVIE)	28	60	45	50	40	235/293/351	116	296	9	1	24%	6%	77	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	46→53	45	50→45	46	229/291/357	128	287	12	8	24%	7%	81	+0.4	205/270/329	124	253	13	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	186/250/298	112	228	12	5	24%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Chris Curley 2016 · AAA	28	47→56	45→50	46→45	39	236/272/365	129	288	13	7	23%	4%	75	-0.0	221/272/326	105	312	9	6	31%	5%	65	-0.7	207/266/284	77	314	6	1	34%	6%	49	-1.0
✕Jake Noll 2022 · MLB	28	48→50	48→50	48→45	41	246/282/387	141	289	16	6	22%	4%	85	+0.7	227/270/360	133	272	13	7	22%	4%	73	-0.1	214/259/340	126	259	11	5	21%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Christian Arroyo 2023 · MLB	28	50→54	47→45	50→45	43	251/300/388	137	292	15	9	20%	5%	93	+1.3	226/273/341	115	282	11	7	23%	5%	69	-0.4	237/285/353	116	300	12	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Chris Nelson 2014 · MLB	28	50→52	45→50	49→50	42	245/289/372	127	308	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	221/273/316	95	277	9	5	22%	6%	63	-0.9	205/258/278	72	255	6	2	21%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Chuckie Robinson 2023 · MLB	28	43→53	46→45	45	41	219/271/343	124	277	15	7	26%	6%	69	-0.4	231/278/342	111	301	13	6	27%	5%	72	-0.2	231/279/329	98	306	11	4	27%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Cameron Perkins 2019 · MLB	28	46→54	46→50	46→50	42	229/273/362	133	269	12	9	20%	5%	75	-0.0	221/273/353	132	262	13	11	21%	5%	73	-0.1	205/263/326	121	239	11	11	19%	5%	57	-0.7
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2023 · AAA	29	46→56	46→45	47→45	42	232/277/361	129	281	13	8	23%	5%	76	+0.0	213/256/317	104	257	10	8	21%	5%	55	-1.4	203/243/290	87	241	9	5	20%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	43→45	48→45	44	225/272/337	112	274	11	10	22%	6%	67	-0.5	220/251/309	89	275	7	11	22%	4%	50	-1.7	217/239/287	70	269	5	9	21%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→49	43→45	43→50	46	225/285/331	105	277	11	8	23%	7%	72	-0.2	236/295/361	125	290	14	12	23%	7%	84	+0.6	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Alberto Carreon 2016 · AAA	28	47→55	43→45	47→50	42	228/281/338	110	283	10	8	23%	5%	72	-0.2	234/277/329	95	291	7	10	21%	5%	67	-0.5	241/286/320	79	297	5	9	20%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Ronny Cedeno 2011 · MLB	28	49→57	45	51→50	44	241/284/366	125	287	12	12	21%	5%	79	+0.3	244/293/355	111	305	8	7	22%	6%	81	+0.4	243/295/341	98	309	6	4	22%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Max Schrock 2023 · MLB	28	48→58	45→40	46→50	42	240/278/360	121	284	13	5	21%	4%	76	+0.1	236/295/365	129	281	13	9	20%	7%	85	+0.7	236/305/361	125	276	11	6	18%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Bryson Brigman 2023 · AAA	28	48→58	42→40	50	41	232/278/339	108	297	9	12	25%	5%	70	-0.3	229/282/320	91	289	8	12	22%	6%	67	-0.5	229/286/302	73	285	6	12	21%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2022 · MLB	27	47→57	42→45	46→50	42	228/279/334	106	300	10	7	27%	6%	69	-0.4	230/284/349	119	295	12	9	25%	7%	76	+0.0	225/279/335	110	286	12	12	25%	7%	68	-0.2
✕William Bergolla 2011 · AAA	28	47→56	43→40	50	48	229/280/338	110	263	10	10	18%	6%	71	-0.3	228/274/327	99	286	9	8	23%	5%	65	-0.7	228/269/305	77	283	8	4	22%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Christian Zazueta 2013 · AAA	28	49→55	44→50	51→60	36	243/263/356	114	286	11	11	20%	2%	68	-0.5	236/261/342	106	287	11	12	22%	2%	64	-0.8	244/267/370	126	289	13	27	20%	2%	71	-0.2
✕Angel Chavez 2008 · MLB	27	49→53	45	49→50	40	245/277/368	123	293	12	10	22%	4%	77	+0.1	240/273/337	97	277	9	7	16%	4%	67	-0.5	233/286/314	82	273	9	6	18%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2019 · AAA	28	49→52	41→45	46→45	42	236/284/333	97	298	9	6	24%	5%	71	-0.3	231/278/349	118	294	13	8	25%	6%	73	-0.1	223/270/339	116	283	14	8	26%	5%	63	-0.5