Carter Kieboom — OGILVIE

Carter Kieboom3B Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 221 lbs AAA HR +11%H +4% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .274 / .332

PA350

HR9

K%26

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

46↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$0.0M	-$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	155	140	23	5	3	3	7	62	5	1	2	.164	.230	.307	.537	.143	.256	40	5	.227	32	-12	-1	+0	+1	+4	-0.8
2017	19	A	2 teams	226	207	52	11	0	8	15	52	4	2	2	.251	.314	.420	.734	.169	.299	23	7	.319	103	+1	-0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2018	20	A+	3 teams	650	599	143	29	1	16	43	172	4	13	2	.239	.294	.371	.665	.132	.306	26	7	.291	81	-14	+2	+0	+2	+18	0.9
2019	21	AAA	2 teams	537	471	108	18	2	14	52	151	9	5	2	.229	.318	.365	.683	.136	.302	28	10	.304	91	-6	+0	-3	+6	+15	1.2
2020	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	122	99	21	1	0	0	17	33	5	0	1	.212	.355	.222	.578	.010	.313	27	14	.270	64	-5	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2021	23	MLB	2 teams	430	373	78	12	0	11	43	100	12	1	1	.209	.311	.330	.641	.121	.254	23	10	.283	75	-12	-0	-9	+2	+12	-0.8
2023	25	AAA	5 teams	390	349	73	8	1	12	33	111	7	2	2	.209	.290	.341	.631	.132	.269	28	8	.278	71	-13	-0	-0	+1	+11	-0.1
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	359	319	69	13	0	6	33	91	4	3	2	.216	.298	.313	.611	.097	.280	25	9	.275	69	-13	-0	+0	+1	+10	-0.1
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	402	379	97	13	1	7	21	100	0	11	1	.256	.295	.351	.646	.095	.328	25	5	.286	77	-10	+2	-1	-7	+11	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	82	77	20	4	0	1	5	23	0	0	0	.260	.305	.351	.656	.091	.358	28	6	.295	84	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	PHI	268	246	55	9	1	6	19	70	1	3	1	.224	.282	.341	.623	.118	.280	26	7	.279	72	-9	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
TOT	28	MLB	PHI	350	323	75	13	1	7	24	93	1	3	1	.232	.287	.344	.631	.111	.304	27	7	.283	74	-10	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	PHI	380	345	79	13	1	9	30	82	2	4	1	.229	.294	.351	.645	.122	.268	22	8	.285	76	-10	+0	-3	+1	+11	-0.1
2028	30	MLB 33%	PHI	380	345	77	12	1	9	30	83	2	3	1	.223	.289	.342	.631	.119	.266	22	8	.282	74	-11	+0	-4	+1	+11	-0.3
2029	31	MLB 43%	PHI	365	331	74	12	1	8	29	81	2	1	0	.224	.290	.338	.628	.115	.265	22	8	.278	71	-12	+0	-4	+1	+10	-0.5
2030	32	MLB 57%	PHI	346	315	69	11	1	7	27	79	1	0	0	.219	.283	.327	.610	.108	.264	23	8	.274	68	-13	+0	-5	+1	+10	-0.7
2031	33	MLB 75%	PHI	316	287	62	10	1	6	25	74	1	0	0	.216	.281	.321	.602	.105	.262	23	8	.268	63	-13	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.9
2032	34	MLB 92%	PHI	272	248	51	8	0	5	21	66	1	0	0	.206	.270	.298	.569	.093	.260	24	8	.262	59	-13	+0	-6	+1	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5598	5053	1131	185	14	127	445	1407	60	49	18	.224	.294	.341	.636	.118	.283	25	8	.282	74	-164	+3	-43	+15	+159	-3.1
/ 162G	—			650	587	131	21	2	15	52	163	7	6	2	.223	.295	.342	.637	.119	.281	25	8	.282	74	-19	+0	-5	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	155	135	33	8	4	4	12	43	5	1	2	.244	.329	.452	.781	.207	.319	28	8	.339	117	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2017	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	210	179	53	12	0	8	28	40	3	2	2	.296	.400	.497	.897	.201	.344	19	13	.398	163	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.1
2017	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	16	12	5	3	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	.417	.562	.667	1.229	.250	.417	0	19	.531	264	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2018	20	AA	Harrisburg Senators	273	248	65	16	1	5	22	59	2	3	1	.262	.327	.395	.722	.133	.324	22	8	.323	106	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2018	20	A+	Potomac Nationals	285	245	73	15	0	11	36	50	1	6	1	.298	.390	.494	.884	.196	.332	18	13	.388	155	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2018	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	92	74	22	1	1	1	17	17	1	4	0	.297	.435	.378	.813	.081	.375	18	18	.378	147	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2019	21	MLB	Washington Nationals	43	39	5	0	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	.128	.209	.282	.491	.154	.143	37	9	.225	30	-3	+0	-3	+6	+1	0.0
2019	21	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	494	412	125	24	3	16	68	100	9	5	2	.303	.413	.493	.906	.189	.362	20	14	.399	164	+36	+0	—	—	+14	5.1
2020	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	122	99	20	1	0	0	17	33	5	0	1	.202	.347	.212	.559	.010	.299	27	14	.279	72	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	249	217	45	6	0	6	25	62	5	0	0	.207	.304	.318	.622	.111	.258	25	10	.286	77	-6	+0	-9	+2	+7	-0.7
2021	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	181	148	35	7	0	5	26	31	7	1	1	.236	.376	.385	.761	.149	.268	17	14	.351	127	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	94	87	18	2	0	4	6	27	1	0	0	.207	.266	.368	.634	.161	.250	29	6	.284	75	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2023	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	161	140	37	6	1	5	19	34	2	1	1	.264	.360	.429	.789	.164	.317	21	12	.354	129	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	16	12	3	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	0	.250	.438	.250	.688	.000	.500	38	25	.344	121	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	19	16	3	0	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	.188	.316	.375	.691	.188	.200	26	16	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	100	82	23	4	0	2	13	17	4	0	1	.280	.404	.402	.806	.122	.328	17	13	.367	139	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	359	306	81	16	0	7	46	72	4	3	2	.265	.368	.386	.754	.121	.322	20	13	.342	120	+8	-0	—	—	+10	1.8
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	402	370	118	17	2	9	30	76	0	11	1	.319	.370	.449	.819	.130	.380	19	7	.364	136	+17	+2	—	—	+11	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			508	442	88	9	0	12	52	138	11	0	1	.199	.299	.301	.600	.102	.258	27	10	.279	71	-16	-0	-12	+9	+14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Kieboom (OGILVIE)	28	60	45	50	40	.212/.274/.332	.121	.265	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Noll 2022 · MLB	28	48→51	47→50	47→45	41	.242/.278/.374	.132	.287	15	6	22%	4%	80	+0.4	.228/.270/.364	.136	.273	14	7	22%	4%	74	-0.1	.213/.257/.341	.128	.258	12	5	22%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Chris Curley 2016 · AAA	28	47→55	46→50	46→45	40	.236/.274/.364	.128	.286	13	7	23%	4%	76	+0.0	.221/.270/.332	.111	.304	11	5	29%	5%	66	-0.6	.208/.266/.298	.091	.308	9	1	33%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	46→50	44→45	50→45	45	.228/.288/.349	.120	.284	11	7	23%	7%	78	+0.2	.210/.274/.336	.126	.261	13	7	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.187/.252/.303	.116	.230	12	5	24%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Braden Bishop 2022 · MLB	28	47→57	47→50	51→50	43	.234/.291/.378	.144	.295	14	12	25%	6%	87	+0.8	.227/.281/.354	.127	.294	13	17	26%	6%	76	+0.0	.198/.252/.293	.095	.263	11	22	28%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Justin Sellers 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	44→45	48→50	45	.212/.271/.331	.118	.258	11	6	22%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.259/.296	.083	.252	6	6	18%	5%	50	-1.7	.209/.256/.270	.061	.242	4	4	15%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Cameron Perkins 2019 · MLB	28	46→54	44→45	47→50	43	.229/.273/.353	.124	.270	11	10	20%	5%	72	-0.2	.223/.274/.353	.130	.265	13	11	21%	5%	73	-0.1	.214/.270/.340	.126	.250	12	11	19%	5%	64	-0.4
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2023 · AAA	29	48→54	46→45	47→45	42	.239/.282/.372	.133	.289	13	8	22%	5%	81	+0.4	.218/.259/.326	.108	.263	11	8	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.202/.242/.289	.088	.241	9	5	20%	4%	39	-1.6
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→48	44→45	44→50	47	.230/.290/.346	.116	.279	13	9	22%	7%	78	+0.2	.237/.296/.363	.126	.290	14	11	22%	7%	85	+0.7	.231/.290/.367	.136	.277	16	15	22%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Bryson Brigman 2023 · AAA	28	48→58	42→40	50	42	.235/.281/.340	.105	.296	9	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	.236/.288/.328	.092	.296	8	12	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.239/.295/.315	.076	.296	6	12	20%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Max Schrock 2023 · MLB	28	48→58	47→40	46→50	42	.240/.280/.369	.129	.282	15	6	21%	5%	79	+0.3	.235/.291/.365	.130	.277	14	8	20%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.296/.354	.126	.264	12	6	18%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	43→45	48→45	43	.225/.271/.335	.110	.276	11	10	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.218/.250/.309	.091	.274	8	11	23%	4%	50	-1.8	.213/.237/.287	.074	.266	6	9	22%	3%	36	-1.6
✕Joe McEwing 2001 · MLB	28	45→55	45	50	44	.223/.267/.360	.137	.256	11	11	18%	5%	71	-0.3	.241/.296/.371	.130	.285	12	12	19%	6%	87	+0.8	.239/.299/.341	.103	.289	9	11	19%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	50	.221/.297/.341	.120	.272	12	14	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.210/.289/.335	.125	.304	12	11	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.189/.277/.305	.116	.284	11	9	35%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2022 · MLB	27	48→55	42→45	48→50	42	.231/.283/.337	.105	.305	10	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.226/.281/.343	.117	.292	12	9	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.215/.273/.325	.109	.275	12	12	25%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	49→59	45→50	50→55	46	.241/.297/.364	.123	.290	12	11	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.241/.309/.386	.145	.297	14	9	23%	8%	96	+1.5	.243/.318/.394	.151	.302	14	6	23%	8%	98	+1.3
✕Pablo Reyes 2022 · MLB	28	45→52	48→50	46→55	48	.227/.287/.371	.144	.265	15	11	21%	7%	83	+0.6	.237/.297/.362	.125	.277	13	17	19%	7%	85	+0.7	.244/.311/.364	.120	.287	14	21	19%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Christian Zazueta 2013 · AAA	28	51→55	44→50	51→60	37	.253/.273/.371	.118	.295	12	13	19%	2%	76	+0.1	.242/.266/.353	.111	.292	12	12	21%	2%	69	-0.4	.248/.270/.374	.126	.292	13	27	20%	2%	74	-0.1
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→49	44→50	46→45	44	.224/.278/.342	.118	.277	12	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.211/.269/.354	.143	.278	18	7	30%	7%	71	-0.3	.190/.253/.341	.152	.247	22	4	32%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Sergio Garcia 2008 · AAA	28	49→51	43→45	48→45	48	.237/.293/.345	.108	.272	11	9	17%	6%	79	+0.3	.229/.286/.323	.094	.268	7	8	17%	6%	69	-0.4	.215/.278/.275	.060	.255	1	3	15%	6%	52	-0.5
✕Elier Hernandez 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	49→50	51→50	38	.228/.275/.381	.153	.297	17	10	29%	5%	81	+0.4	.234/.285/.371	.137	.309	14	9	28%	6%	82	+0.5	.231/.282/.357	.127	.306	12	8	28%	6%	72	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)