Donny Sands — OGILVIE

Donny SandsC Tucson Baseball Team

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs INTL HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .283 / .333

PA170

HR3

K%25

BB%7

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

EYE—

Chase%

9015.4%

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	ROK	2 teams	—	220	201	51	8	0	0	15	29	3	7	5	254	315	294	609	40	295	13	7	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK	2 teams	—	220	191	59	10	0	0	25	20	3	7	5	309	397	361	759	52	343	9	11	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	122	114	27	3	0	2	5	18	1	2	0	237	275	316	591	79	260	15	4	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	122	112	32	4	0	2	7	13	1	2	0	286	333	375	708	89	303	11	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	382	358	85	18	0	4	16	93	3	1	6	237	276	321	597	84	306	24	4	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	382	348	96	22	0	4	26	63	3	1	6	276	332	374	705	98	323	16	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	94	87	19	5	0	0	4	31	2	0	0	218	269	276	545	57	333	33	4	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	94	86	23	5	0	0	5	22	2	0	0	267	323	326	648	58	354	23	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	309	291	47	14	1	2	15	93	2	0	1	162	208	237	445	76	228	30	5	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	309	280	61	15	1	3	26	63	2	0	1	218	289	311	600	93	270	20	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	380	351	84	17	0	14	22	70	3	2	1	239	290	407	697	168	258	18	6	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	380	341	89	16	0	18	32	57	3	2	1	261	330	466	796	205	263	15	8	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	242	216	58	8	0	4	23	56	0	1	0	269	339	361	700	93	340	23	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	242	201	62	9	0	5	38	44	0	1	0	308	418	428	846	119	368	18	16	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	390	353	71	16	1	6	31	101	1	1	2	201	268	303	571	102	259	26	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	390	339	78	24	1	6	45	82	1	1	2	230	322	360	682	130	281	21	12	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	56	53	9	1	0	0	3	18	0	0	0	170	214	189	403	19	257	32	5	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	56	51	9	1	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	176	250	196	446	20	257	29	9	215	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	48	44	3	0	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	68	146	68	214		120	40	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	48	44	3	0	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	68	146	68	214		120	40	6	115	-53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	SF	—	170	154	35	7	1	3	13	43	1	2	1	227	292	344	636	117	283	25	8	279	72	-5	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SF	22%	152	138	31	6	1	3	12	39	1	2	1	225	291	348	639	123	282	26	8	279	72	-5	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	SF	34%	141	128	29	6	1	3	11	36	1	1	0	227	293	359	652	133	279	26	8	277	70	-5	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.2
2027	31	MLB	SF	22%	33	30	6	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	200	273	333	606	133	277	24	9	270	65	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	SF	34%	48	44	9	2	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	205	271	318	589	114	274	25	8	268	63	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	81	74	15	3	0	2	7	20	0	0	0	203	272	324	596	122	250	25	9	269	64	-3	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	120	24	0	16	56	160	0	0	0	202	271	323	594	121	249	25	9	269	64	-27	+0	-14	+12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2706	2488	549	109	5	41	173	646	19	19	17	221	276	318	594	97	278	24	6	258	56	-135	-3	-6	+48	+77	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	132	26	1	10	42	155	5	5	4	221	278	318	596	97	278	24	6	258	56	-32	-1	-2	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	30	29	9	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	310	333	345	678	34	375	17	3	307	93	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2015	19	ROK	GCL Yankees1	—	190	162	50	9	0	0	24	15	3	7	4	309	407	364	772	56	338	8	13	356	130	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2016	20	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	122	112	32	4	0	2	7	13	1	2	0	286	333	375	708	89	303	11	6	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2017	21	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	68	62	19	5	0	2	5	10	0	1	1	306	358	484	842	177	333	15	7	367	139	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	314	286	77	17	0	2	21	53	3	0	5	269	326	350	675	80	321	17	7	304	91	-3	-2	—	—	+9	0.4
2018	22	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	94	86	23	5	0	0	5	22	2	0	0	267	323	326	648	58	354	23	5	294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2019	23	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	247	226	50	12	1	2	18	51	2	0	1	221	285	310	594	88	276	21	7	271	65	-10	-0	—	—	+7	-0.3
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	62	54	11	3	0	1	8	12	0	0	0	204	306	315	621	111	244	19	13	288	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2021	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	165	147	40	6	0	8	16	32	0	0	1	272	344	476	820	204	294	19	10	358	132	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2021	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	215	194	49	10	0	10	16	25	3	2	0	253	319	459	778	206	242	12	7	341	119	+5	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2022	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	242	201	62	9	0	5	38	44	0	1	0	308	418	428	846	119	368	18	16	380	149	+13	+0	—	—	+7	2.1
2023	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	371	320	72	24	1	5	45	74	1	1	2	225	322	353	676	128	272	20	12	305	91	-4	-1	—	—	+11	0.6
2023	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	19	19	6	0	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	316	316	474	789	158	500	42	0	348	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	56	51	9	1	0	0	5	16	0	0	0	176	250	196	446	20	257	29	9	215	22	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	29	INTL	Tucson Baseball Team	—	48	44	3	0	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	68	146	68	214		120	40	6	115	-53	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	251	5	3	222	282	336	+4	+0	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	12	9	222	282	336	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Donny Sands (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	219/283/333	113	283	3	2	25%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rob Johnson 2012 · MLB	30	43→52	42→45	48→50	50	210/290/320	110	269	9	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	211/268/328	117	255	12	6	22%	7%	64	-0.8	197/247/305	108	232	12	3	21%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	46→38	42→45	42→40	45	226/279/328	102	284	9	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/343	125	291	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/267/333	119	287	14	0	30%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	45	43→40	41	229/275/350	121	280	12	5	23%	5%	72	-0.2	229/282/357	128	264	13	3	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	50→48	47→50	49→45	46	249/307/386	138	316	15	5	26%	7%	95	+1.4	225/282/357	132	285	15	11	26%	7%	77	+0.1	192/248/303	111	240	13	13	25%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Koyie Hill 2010 · MLB	31	47→43	45	45→40	46	229/290/354	124	294	11	4	25%	8%	79	+0.3	211/265/307	96	282	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	189/236/262	74	251	6	3	26%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→44	43→50	48→45	46	233/288/344	111	289	11	9	23%	7%	76	+0.1	228/277/347	119	287	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/270/340	120	280	13	2	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Gerald Laird 2010 · MLB	30	49→47	42→50	46→50	50	233/302/343	109	270	8	7	17%	8%	82	+0.5	233/297/344	111	269	9	7	17%	7%	80	+0.4	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	48→49	46→45	47→50	42	240/285/369	129	301	13	9	25%	5%	81	+0.4	246/295/401	155	315	17	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	242/286/378	136	311	13	10	26%	5%	81	+0.1
✕Omir Santos 2011 · MLB	30	46→43	42→45	44→30	44	223/269/326	103	257	9	4	18%	5%	63	-0.8	221/248/311	90	277	8	4	23%	3%	50	-1.8	224/244/298	74	289	5	0	24%	2%	42	-0.8
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→46	47→55	48→40	40	226/263/353	127	273	15	6	24%	5%	68	-0.5	221/263/389	168	255	23	5	24%	5%	78	+0.2	198/243/382	184	213	28	1	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Nevin Ashley 2015 · AAA	30	44→51	43→45	48→45	45	217/281/330	113	277	10	6	24%	7%	70	-0.3	225/289/342	117	295	12	4	27%	7%	76	+0.1	222/289/333	110	292	13	1	27%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Devin Ivany 2012 · AAA	30	44→48	44→50	43→45	42	218/270/336	118	286	12	10	28%	6%	66	-0.6	219/266/334	115	276	11	9	24%	5%	64	-0.8	203/243/312	110	242	10	3	21%	4%	45	-0.6
✕Juan Centeno 2021 · MLB	31	47	41→45	48→40	46	226/281/321	95	269	8	7	19%	6%	67	-0.5	235/279/347	112	289	11	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	231/273/332	101	294	9	3	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Steve Holm 2010 · MLB	30	45	44→50	43→40	47	224/285/344	121	266	12	4	21%	7%	76	+0.0	208/272/309	101	266	8	4	24%	7%	61	-1.0	196/267/279	83	256	5	1	24%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Andy González 2012 · AAA	30	48→53	42→40	47→50	50	233/303/335	102	291	10	6	23%	9%	80	+0.4	213/286/324	111	260	11	6	21%	9%	71	-0.3	199/278/308	109	239	11	4	21%	9%	63	-0.7