Tyler Marlette
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 461 | .276/.334/.463 | 17 | 6 | 78 | — | .225/.268/.375 |
| 2017 | 24 | AASEA | 405 | .245/.310/.405 | 11 | 0 | 60 | — | .207/.258/.329 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAMississippi B… | 474 | .243/.325/.376 | 12 | 5 | 63 | — | .213/.268/.322 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 156 | 200 | 356 | 44 | 219 | 29 | 0 | 158 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Mariners | — | 214 | 208 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 284 | 304 | 423 | 727 | 139 | 344 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 297 | 270 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 304 | 367 | 448 | 815 | 144 | 360 | 18 | 8 | 364 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 36 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 250 | 300 | 28 | 11 | 365 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 339 | 312 | 94 | 23 | 0 | 15 | 24 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 301 | 353 | 519 | 872 | 218 | 332 | 18 | 7 | 380 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 188 | 178 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 298 | 393 | 691 | 135 | 299 | 16 | 5 | 307 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 162 | 148 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 365 | 649 | 149 | 250 | 22 | 7 | 292 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 54 | 50 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 340 | 400 | 740 | 100 | 359 | 20 | 6 | 326 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 358 | 326 | 89 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 82 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 273 | 336 | 472 | 809 | 199 | 325 | 23 | 8 | 356 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 49 | 45 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 467 | 779 | 200 | 345 | 31 | 4 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 405 | 368 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 310 | 405 | 715 | 160 | 293 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 474 | 423 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 105 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 325 | 376 | 701 | 132 | 297 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 133 | 244 | 22 | 181 | 40 | 0 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 214 | 210 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 234 | 324 | 557 | 105 | 294 | 30 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 297 | 277 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 267 | 316 | 383 | 699 | 116 | 346 | 25 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 36 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 306 | 485 | 790 | 242 | 290 | 36 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 339 | 318 | 81 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 88 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 255 | 297 | 425 | 721 | 170 | 311 | 26 | 5 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 188 | 180 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 282 | 378 | 660 | 128 | 302 | 21 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 162 | 151 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 305 | 545 | 119 | 239 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 54 | 51 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 302 | 373 | 674 | 98 | 346 | 24 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 358 | 336 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 109 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 217 | 263 | 375 | 638 | 158 | 278 | 30 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 405 | 377 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 112 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 258 | 329 | 587 | 122 | 267 | 28 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 474 | 441 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 130 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 268 | 322 | 590 | 109 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 133 | 244 | 22 | 185 | 40 | 0 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 156 | 200 | 356 | 44 | 219 | 29 | 0 | 158 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 214 | 210 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 234 | 324 | 557 | 105 | 298 | 30 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Mariners | — | 214 | 208 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 284 | 304 | 423 | 727 | 139 | 344 | 21 | 3 | 321 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 297 | 277 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 267 | 316 | 383 | 699 | 116 | 348 | 25 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 297 | 270 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 304 | 367 | 448 | 815 | 144 | 360 | 18 | 8 | 364 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 351 | 88 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 101 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 251 | 295 | 427 | 722 | 177 | 311 | 27 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 344 | 102 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 71 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 297 | 351 | 517 | 869 | 221 | 329 | 19 | 7 | 379 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 332 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 86 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 260 | 343 | 603 | 123 | 276 | 25 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 350 | 326 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 291 | 380 | 672 | 141 | 278 | 19 | 6 | 300 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 461 | 431 | 98 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 137 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 273 | 381 | 653 | 153 | 294 | 30 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 461 | 421 | 116 | 26 | 1 | 17 | 35 | 108 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 276 | 334 | 463 | 797 | 188 | 331 | 23 | 8 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 405 | 377 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 112 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 258 | 329 | 587 | 122 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 405 | 368 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 310 | 405 | 715 | 160 | 293 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 474 | 441 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 130 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 268 | 322 | 590 | 109 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 474 | 423 | 103 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 105 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 325 | 376 | 701 | 132 | 297 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 45 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 133 | 244 | 22 | 181 | 40 | 0 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Mariners | — | 214 | 208 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 234 | 327 | 561 | 106 | 294 | 30 | 2 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 297 | 275 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 269 | 316 | 385 | 702 | 116 | 346 | 25 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 350 | 88 | 20 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 101 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 251 | 295 | 429 | 723 | 177 | 309 | 27 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 350 | 329 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 86 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 260 | 347 | 607 | 125 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 461 | 431 | 98 | 19 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 137 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 273 | 381 | 653 | 153 | 287 | 30 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 405 | 376 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 112 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 258 | 330 | 588 | 122 | 267 | 28 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 474 | 438 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 130 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 215 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 110 | 278 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2621 | 2464 | 556 | 113 | 8 | 63 | 136 | 723 | 14 | 35 | 15 | 226 | 270 | 355 | 625 | 129 | 293 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -97 | +1 | +0 | +47 | +57 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 611 | 138 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 179 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 226 | 270 | 357 | 627 | 131 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAMississippi Braves · 474 PAwOBA .308 → .262 (−46)K% 22.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.037 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 21.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.110 | ×0.880 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 122, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .308 → .262; ISO .132 → .116; BABIP .297 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 405 PAwOBA .311 → .257 (−54)K% 22.0% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.98% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.65% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.71% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 18.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.94% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .311 → .257; ISO .160 → .126; BABIP .293 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 358 PAwOBA .347 → .275 (−72)K% 22.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.91% | ÷1.008 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.72% | ÷1.038 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.120 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.74% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .347 → .275; ISO .199 → .164; BABIP .325 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJackson Generals · 54 PAwOBA .323 → .295 (−28)K% 20.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 29.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.889 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.138 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.12% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 78, 3B 128, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .295; ISO .100 → .091; BABIP .359 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAJackson Generals · 188 PAwOBA .299 → .280 (−19)K% 16.5% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.49% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.32% | ÷0.950 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.73% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 20.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.84% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .299 → .280; ISO .135 → .125; BABIP .299 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 162 PAwOBA .284 → .237 (−47)K% 21.6% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.58% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 18.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.930 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.077 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 3.82% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .284 → .237; ISO .149 → .121; BABIP .250 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+High Desert Mavericks · 339 PAwOBA .372 → .309 (−62)K% 18.0% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷0.925 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.08% | ÷0.961 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.31% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 21.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.16% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.760 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.98% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 5.15% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 85, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .372 → .309; ISO .218 → .173; BABIP .332 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJackson Generals · 36 PAwOBA .355 → .300 (−55)K% 27.8% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.968 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.083 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 17.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.955 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 9.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.930 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 8.21% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 94, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .300; ISO .250 → .219; BABIP .300 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .