Alex Isola — OGILVIE

Alex IsolaC St. Paul Saints

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%23

BB%9

BABIP254

ISO50

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	62	56	15	3	0	2	5	9	0	0	0	268	328	429	756	161	283	15	8	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	418	362	88	15	0	17	53	89	2	1	0	243	343	425	768	182	276	21	13	344	119	+9	+0	—	—	+9	1.9
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	247	210	60	9	0	10	32	45	1	0	1	286	383	471	854	186	314	18	13	375	140	+12	-0	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	67	57	13	5	0	0	10	11	0	0	0	228	343	316	659	88	283	16	15	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	408	114	22	0	20	50	100	6	5	2	279	366	480	847	201	325	22	11	375	140	+22	+0	—	—	+10	3.3
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	274	237	51	13	0	5	31	53	1	4	1	215	309	333	642	118	250	19	11	290	82	-6	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2024	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	78	70	15	2	0	2	7	15	1	0	1	214	295	329	623	114	245	19	9	286	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	62	57	13	2	0	2	4	13	0	0	0	228	279	368	647	140	252	21	6	271	70	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	418	379	72	12	0	15	36	121	2	1	0	190	264	340	604	150	232	29	9	263	64	-18	+0	—	—	+9	-0.9
2022	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	247	220	53	8	0	8	22	57	1	0	1	241	313	386	699	145	271	23	9	303	91	-3	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	424	98	20	0	13	34	120	6	5	2	231	297	370	668	139	287	26	7	291	83	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.1
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	274	247	44	11	0	3	21	64	1	4	1	178	245	259	504	81	211	23	8	228	40	-19	+0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2024	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	78	72	13	2	0	2	5	19	1	0	1	181	244	292	535	111	208	24	6	226	39	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	62	57	13	2	0	2	4	13	0	0	0	228	279	368	647	140	256	21	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	62	56	15	3	0	2	5	9	0	0	0	268	328	429	756	161	283	15	8	331	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	418	379	72	12	0	15	36	121	2	1	0	190	264	340	604	150	234	29	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	418	362	88	15	0	17	53	89	2	1	0	243	343	425	768	182	276	21	13	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	314	281	66	10	0	10	28	73	1	0	1	235	306	377	684	142	277	23	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	314	267	73	14	0	10	42	56	1	0	1	273	374	438	812	165	307	18	13	360	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	424	98	20	0	13	34	120	6	5	2	231	297	370	668	139	291	26	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	408	114	22	0	20	50	100	6	5	2	279	366	480	847	201	325	22	11	375	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	352	319	55	12	0	5	26	83	2	4	2	172	239	257	496	85	212	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	352	307	66	15	0	7	38	68	2	4	2	215	305	332	638	117	249	19	11	289	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	62	58	13	2	0	2	4	13	0	0	0	224	279	362	641	138	252	21	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	418	377	72	12	0	15	36	121	2	1	0	191	264	342	606	151	232	29	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	314	282	66	10	0	10	28	73	1	0	1	234	306	376	682	142	271	23	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	422	98	20	0	13	34	120	6	5	2	232	297	372	669	140	287	26	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	352	321	55	12	0	5	26	83	2	4	2	171	239	255	495	84	210	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	465	422	98	20	0	13	34	120	6	5	2	232	297	372	669	140	287	26	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	352	321	55	12	0	5	26	83	2	4	2	171	239	255	495	84	210	24	7	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	200	273	250	523	50	253	23	9	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						254	0	0	261	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	27%	323	292	62	13	1	7	25	77	3	4	1	212	281	336	617	123	256	24	8	271	69	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	37%	343	311	65	13	1	7	26	82	3	3	1	209	276	325	601	116	258	24	8	272	70	-12	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	27%	88	80	16	3	0	2	7	21	1	1	0	200	273	312	585	112	256	24	8	265	69	-3	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	37%	128	116	24	5	0	3	10	31	1	1	0	207	276	328	603	121	258	24	8	266	70	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	216	196	40	8	0	5	17	52	2	2	0	204	274	321	596	117	250	24	8	266	70	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	120	24	0	15	51	156	6	6	0	203	274	320	594	117	249	24	8	266	70	-23	+1	-4	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2299	2083	435	83	2	59	181	574	17	17	7	209	278	336	613	127	256	25	8	271	70	-25	+1	-3	+12	+15	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	123	23	1	17	51	162	5	5	2	209	278	338	616	129	255	25	8	271	70	-23	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	242	5	3	209	274	325	+4	+4	0.2	0.2
/162	664	14	7	+11.9	+11.0	0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Isola (OGILVIE)	28	47	38	46	47	204/270/316	112	253	5	3	24%	7%	67	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Morales 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	42→40	46→30	46	222/278/315	94	269	11	4	22%	7%	68	-1.0	222/275/344	122	261	14	5	20%	7%	74	-0.5	205/254/326	121	230	15	1	19%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	203/271/323	120	265	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	218/281/348	130	303	14	6	31%	7%	78	-0.3	206/269/329	123	290	16	0	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Humberto Sosa 2014 · AAA	28	44→49	46→45	48→45	44	222/269/349	126	264	14	8	22%	6%	73	-0.6	225/271/329	104	279	11	5	23%	6%	69	-0.9	213/266/331	118	266	14	2	25%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	47	42→45	46→40	44	231/275/327	96	277	10	5	21%	6%	70	-0.9	240/295/377	137	287	14	5	21%	7%	89	+0.5	246/305/407	160	287	16	0	20%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Jeff Mathis 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	43→50	45	43	204/260/310	106	264	12	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	198/248/316	118	260	12	5	28%	6%	57	-1.8	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→48	43→45	43→50	47	227/288/332	105	279	11	8	22%	7%	76	-0.4	235/295/355	120	289	13	12	22%	7%	84	+0.2	228/286/354	126	275	14	15	22%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Javi Herrera 2009 · AAA	28	46	40	43→45	49	219/301/308	89	274	7	7	22%	8%	77	-0.3	211/290/311	100	276	8	9	25%	9%	73	-0.6	131/224/197	66	169	5	0	24%	9%	26	-0.7
✕Tres Barrera 2022 · MLB	27	44→43	42→45	45→40	48	214/288/313	99	269	9	4	24%	8%	72	-0.7	209/276/316	107	265	12	4	25%	7%	68	-1.0	187/252/275	88	238	11	1	26%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Chuckie Robinson 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	45	45	42	220/270/336	117	277	13	7	26%	6%	71	-0.8	227/275/331	104	298	11	6	27%	5%	71	-0.8	225/274/315	90	300	10	4	27%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Caonabo Cosme 2007 · AAA	28	42	44→45	45	42	211/262/323	112	271	11	8	26%	6%	64	-1.3	224/255/348	124	314	14	7	32%	4%	68	-1.0	228/248/352	124	322	14	4	34%	3%	62	-0.6
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2010 · AAA	28	45	43→45	41→40	43	220/279/332	112	277	10	3	24%	6%	73	-0.6	220/279/336	116	271	12	5	23%	6%	74	-0.5	221/280/350	129	265	16	2	23%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA	28	44→47	44→45	47→40	42	218/273/330	113	288	11	9	28%	6%	70	-0.8	208/262/307	99	255	8	7	21%	6%	61	-1.5	181/231/254	73	220	3	0	19%	6%	33	-1.4
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	27	45→43	42→45	47→30	44	222/268/324	102	272	11	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	252/290/382	130	286	16	6	18%	4%	88	+0.5	270/300/393	123	298	18	2	16%	3%	91	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2006 · MLB	28	44	43→45	47→40	42	220/268/324	104	285	11	5	27%	6%	67	-1.1	230/277/341	111	301	11	4	26%	6%	74	-0.5	231/276/335	103	301	10	0	26%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2010 · MLB	28	43	43→50	47→50	42	216/257/326	110	258	11	3	22%	5%	63	-1.4	222/270/345	123	289	12	3	27%	6%	72	-0.7	220/273/349	129	289	13	0	28%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→48	41→45	51→50	48	210/283/311	101	276	8	8	26%	9%	70	-0.8	198/276/278	80	272	6	10	27%	9%	60	-1.6	176/261/230	54	248	4	10	28%	9%	42	-1.3
✕Martin Cervenka 2021 · AAA	28	43→48	44→45	49→40	40	213/263/323	110	291	12	6	30%	6%	65	-1.2	196/258/314	118	273	13	8	31%	7%	61	-1.5	140/210/250	110	183	13	2	31%	8%	28	-1.4
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA	28	42	44→45	44→40	40	212/266/327	115	280	12	5	29%	6%	68	-1.0	215/266/337	122	291	13	8	30%	5%	70	-0.9	180/219/284	104	245	12	3	31%	3%	38	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps