Alex Isola — OGILVIE

Alex IsolaC St. Paul Saints

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.6 · 2027

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .285 / .347

PA250

HR6

K%25

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

47→47

PWR

40→40

SPD

46→46

EYE

48→48

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	62	57	13	2	0	2	4	12	0	0	0	.228	.279	.368	.647	.140	.250	19	6	.275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	418	379	72	11	0	15	36	121	2	1	0	.190	.264	.338	.602	.148	.234	29	9	.266	62	-18	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.1
2022	24	AA	2 teams	314	280	66	9	0	12	29	77	1	0	1	.236	.310	.396	.706	.161	.277	25	9	.305	92	-3	-0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2023	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	465	423	94	19	0	14	35	127	6	5	2	.222	.291	.366	.657	.144	.283	27	8	.289	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	352	319	56	12	0	6	26	84	2	4	2	.176	.242	.270	.512	.094	.214	24	7	.232	35	-26	+0	+0	+6	+10	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	MIN	250	227	49	10	0	6	19	64	2	3	1	.216	.282	.339	.621	.123	.277	26	8	.286	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	MIN	323	292	65	13	1	8	25	82	3	4	1	.223	.291	.356	.647	.134	.278	25	8	.288	78	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2028	30	MLB 33%	MIN	343	310	69	14	1	8	27	88	3	3	1	.223	.291	.352	.643	.129	.277	26	8	.287	78	-8	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.6
2029	31	MLB 43%	MIN	332	300	66	13	1	8	26	86	3	2	1	.220	.289	.350	.639	.130	.277	26	8	.285	77	-9	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.4
2030	32	MLB 52%	MIN	312	281	61	12	1	7	25	82	3	1	0	.217	.288	.342	.630	.125	.276	26	8	.282	74	-9	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.2
2031	33	MLB 64%	MIN	280	254	55	11	1	6	22	75	2	1	0	.217	.284	.339	.623	.122	.274	27	8	.276	70	-10	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.1
2032	34	MLB 73%	MIN	236	214	44	9	0	5	18	66	2	0	0	.206	.274	.318	.591	.112	.272	28	8	.270	65	-9	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3687	3336	710	135	5	97	292	964	29	24	9	.213	.282	.344	.625	.131	.267	26	8	.278	71	-120	+1	-19	+66	+104	3.4
/ 162G	—			650	588	125	24	1	17	51	170	5	4	2	.213	.281	.344	.624	.131	.267	26	8	.278	71	-21	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	62	56	15	3	2	5	9	0	0	0	.268	.328	.429	.756	.161	.283	15	8	.331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	418	362	88	15	17	53	89	2	1	0	.243	.343	.425	.768	.182	.276	21	13	.344	121	+10	+0	—	—	+12	2.3
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	247	210	60	9	10	32	45	1	0	1	.286	.383	.471	.854	.186	.314	18	13	.375	145	+13	-0	—	—	+7	2.0
2022	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	67	57	13	5	0	10	11	0	0	0	.228	.343	.316	.659	.088	.283	16	15	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	465	408	114	22	20	50	100	6	5	2	.279	.366	.480	.847	.201	.325	22	11	.375	145	+24	+0	—	—	+13	3.8
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	274	237	51	13	5	31	53	1	4	1	.215	.309	.333	.642	.118	.250	19	11	.290	80	-6	+0	—	—	+8	0.2
2024	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	78	70	15	2	2	7	15	1	0	1	.214	.295	.329	.623	.114	.245	19	9	.286	77	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Isola (OGILVIE)	28	47	40	46	48	.219/.285/.347	.128	.277	6	3	25%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	48→45	49	.235/.302/.377	.142	.276	17	5	22%	8%	91	+1.1	.243/.304/.377	.134	.309	15	6	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.231/.290/.354	.123	.297	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	42	47→50	43→45	44	.213/.270/.353	.141	.266	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.213/.260/.321	.108	.282	10	6	27%	6%	58	-1.2	.197/.240/.283	.087	.265	6	4	27%	5%	37	-1.1
✕John Hester 2012 · MLB	28	48	45→55	43→50	43	.234/.286/.359	.125	.303	12	8	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.205/.263/.320	.115	.288	12	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Rob Johnson 2010 · MLB	28	48→52	41→45	41→50	47	.233/.286/.338	.104	.277	8	7	19%	6%	73	-0.1	.214/.284/.322	.108	.268	9	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	.196/.269/.293	.097	.245	8	5	22%	8%	50	-0.7
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→48	44→45	44→50	47	.230/.290/.346	.116	.279	13	9	22%	7%	78	+0.2	.237/.296/.363	.126	.290	14	11	22%	7%	85	+0.7	.231/.290/.367	.136	.277	16	15	22%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	45	43→45	43→40	41	.224/.271/.334	.110	.277	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.227/.279/.354	.127	.262	13	3	19%	5%	76	+0.0	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Xavier Fernández 2023 · AAA	28	46	44→50	46→40	44	.231/.275/.338	.107	.277	12	6	22%	6%	69	-0.4	.242/.294/.389	.147	.288	16	5	21%	6%	91	+1.1	.249/.308/.429	.180	.289	20	0	21%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB	28	43→39	45	44→40	45	.213/.274/.334	.121	.264	12	3	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.279/.315	.098	.282	7	3	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.214/.284/.310	.095	.269	9	0	22%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	48→52	44→45	47→30	45	.240/.291/.353	.113	.290	13	3	22%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.280/.327	.101	.276	12	4	22%	6%	69	-0.4	.244/.309/.343	.100	.312	10	2	24%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Nevin Ashley 2013 · AAA	28	47→50	44→45	44→45	43	.231/.296/.350	.119	.296	12	6	25%	6%	82	+0.5	.225/.288/.338	.113	.289	10	5	25%	7%	75	-0.0	.222/.290/.320	.098	.291	10	1	25%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	46→50	44→45	50→45	45	.228/.288/.349	.120	.284	11	7	23%	7%	78	+0.2	.210/.274/.336	.126	.261	13	7	24%	7%	69	-0.4	.187/.252/.303	.116	.230	12	5	24%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	38→42	49→50	46→40	51	.195/.290/.346	.151	.268	16	6	32%	11%	79	+0.3	.210/.290/.356	.146	.319	16	6	36%	10%	81	+0.4	.203/.283/.339	.136	.319	15	4	38%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕Craig Stansberry 2010 · MLB	28	45→47	43→50	44→50	49	.221/.286/.333	.112	.269	10	10	21%	8%	72	-0.2	.223/.284/.334	.111	.283	10	11	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.217/.282/.324	.107	.281	10	12	25%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Francisco Cordoba 2012 · AAA	28	46→53	46→45	40	44	.228/.285/.353	.125	.288	13	7	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.233/.280/.356	.123	.290	15	4	24%	5%	76	+0.1	.245/.293/.365	.120	.298	16	1	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	50	.221/.297/.341	.120	.272	12	14	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.210/.289/.335	.125	.304	12	11	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.189/.277/.305	.116	.284	11	9	35%	9%	61	-0.3
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	49→50	44→45	46	.220/.291/.370	.150	.284	18	7	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.213/.280/.372	.159	.287	20	6	32%	8%	81	+0.4	.200/.280/.351	.151	.266	19	3	31%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→46	49→55	43→40	47	.224/.290/.370	.146	.281	16	3	26%	8%	85	+0.7	.242/.314/.405	.163	.294	19	6	23%	9%	104	+2.0	.231/.329/.388	.157	.295	17	5	26%	12%	101	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)