Carlos RodriguezC Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION248 act + 165 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .262 / .270
PA165
HR2
K%30
BB%9
BABIP254
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -31.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-32BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +7.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +11.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -1.30-1.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.50.50.4+$12M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Padres — 169141 18512 21645 32 128263220483 92208 3812 224 30 — — — — — —
202118 ROKDSL Padres — 169125 25714 37425 32 200401368769 168259 2522 356 131 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Padres — 5955 8101 4190 10 145203218422 73200 327 180 -4 — — — — — —
202219 ROKACL Padres — 5952 10201 7130 10 192288288577 96237 2212 269 64 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL Padres — 9988 18111 9330 31 205278273551 68304 339 241 43 — — — — — —
202320 ROKACL Padres — 9983 24111 14220 31 289392361753 72371 2214 341 119 — — — — — —
202421 ROK2 teams — 182162 22330 13762 10 136209191400 56244 427 177 -6 — — — — — —
202421 ROK2 teams — 182155 32540 20522 10 206305290595 84299 2911 270 65 — — — — — —
202522 A2 teams — 223190 42814 27603 31 221327337664 116297 2712 303 90 — — — — — —
202522 A2 teams — 223180 521224 37413 31 289418444863 156350 1817 385 152 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+SD — 248227 35523 21780 10 154226233459 79219 318 213 21 -22 +0 +0 +4 +7 -1.1
YTD23 A+SD — 248218 44734 30580 10 202298317615 115256 2312 283 75 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.5
ROS23 A+SD 0% 165148 27512 15491 10 182262270531 88257 309 247 47 -10 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
ROS23 MLBSD 0% 11 0000 000 00 254 00 241 43 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+SD — 249228 35523 21780 10 154225232457 79218 318 213 21 -22 +0 +0 +4 +7 -1.1
TOT23 A+SD — 413375 621035 361271 20 165240248488 83233 319 227 32 -32 +0 +0 +7 +12 -1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSD 30% 352314 621136 331022 31 197278309587 111264 299 262 59 -16 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.0
202825 MLBSD 44% 399356 701237 381132 41 197278306584 110267 2810 270 65 -16 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.3
202926 MLBSD 51% 429383 771438 401203 51 201282316598 115268 289 274 68 -16 +1 +0 +8 +12 0.5
203027 MLBSD 52% 438390 791439 421223 51 203285323608 121269 2810 275 69 -16 +1 +0 +8 +12 0.5
203128 MLBSD 53% 440392 791439 421243 51 202284321605 120268 2810 274 68 -16 +1 -1 +8 +12 0.4
202724 MLBSD 30% 10795 19312 10311 10 200283316599 116261 299 255 54 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202825 MLBSD 44% 177157 30513 17501 20 191274293567 102264 2810 262 59 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
202926 MLBSD 51% 218194 39724 21611 21 201282320602 119265 2810 266 62 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203027 MLBSD 52% 230205 41724 22641 31 200281312593 112265 2810 267 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203128 MLBSD 53% 235209 41724 23661 31 196279306585 110265 2810 266 62 -10 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 968861 17029817 932725 113 197279309588 111265 2810 264 60 -43 +1 -0 +17 +27 0.2
/ 162G— — 650578 11319511 621833 72 196276303579 107264 2810 264 60 -29 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.1
Career— — 29552619 502882249 28488224 349 192277298575 107265 3010 261 58 -141 +3 -1 +53 +84 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650576 11019511 621945 72 191275299574 108263 3010 261 58 -31 +1 -0 +12 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Padres — 169125 25714 37425 32 200401368769 168259 2522 356 131 +6 -0 — — +5 1.1
202219 ROKACL Padres — 5952 10201 7130 10 192288288577 96237 2212 269 64 -2 +0 — — +2 -0.1
202320 ROKACL Padres — 9983 24111 14220 31 289392361753 72371 2214 341 119 +2 +0 — — +3 0.5
202421 ALake Elsinore Storm — 2923 4100 560 00 174321217539 43222 2117 258 56 -1 +0 — — +1 -0.1
202421 ROKACL Padres — 153132 28440 15462 10 212302303605 91315 3010 272 66 -6 +0 — — +4 -0.1
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm — 189152 421124 31363 21 276409454863 178333 1916 382 150 +11 +0 — — +5 1.6
202522 ROKACL Padres — 3428 10100 650 10 357471393863 36435 1518 400 165 +2 +0 — — +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
29671810202280317+17+80.90.9
/162664137+11.9+5.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 23 45 40 40 60 165/240/248 83233 52 31% 9% 32 -1.3 ————————— —————————
✕Brett Pope
2019 · A 		23 47 38→40 39→50 48 220/294/299 79293 58 25% 8% 67 -0.5 213/275/298 85286 610 26% 7% 59 -1.1 200/257/2737326661026%6%42-1.2
✕Chase Fontaine
2009 · A 		23 48→52 38→40 40→45 48 223/295/305 82313 56 28% 9% 69 -0.4 229/291/322 93323 77 29% 8% 72 -0.2 246/303/336903477629%7%79+0.1
✕Zach Ashford
2021 · A 		24 46 40→45 42→50 46 219/288/315 96298 67 27% 8% 69 -0.4 228/288/315 87311 69 27% 6% 69 -0.4 230/289/3178731261026%6%66-0.4
✕Matthew Morizio
2008 · A 		24 45 39→40 38→50 46 214/284/298 84290 74 27% 8% 63 -0.9 185/256/256 71246 49 25% 8% 40 -2.4 137/219/1864918201122%8%5-1.3
✕Kyle Blumenthal
2006 · A 		23 42 42→45 44→45 48 207/274/311 104271 96 26% 8% 62 -0.9 203/269/322 119277 116 29% 8% 63 -0.9 189/259/31712825412529%8%55-0.6
✕J.C. Escarra
2018 · A 		23 39→46 38→45 43→45 50 186/276/271 85246 43 25% 9% 54 -1.4 195/259/285 90246 84 23% 6% 49 -1.8 223/294/35313025611417%8%80+0.2
✕Ford Proctor
2021 · A 		24 48→49 37→45 44→45 47 224/289/299 75303 58 26% 8% 65 -0.7 208/295/322 114308 136 34% 10% 75 -0.0 196/292/30210728514433%11%67-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan
2023 · A 		23 45 41→40 45→40 44 215/291/309 94292 84 28% 7% 69 -0.4 213/291/294 81270 84 23% 7% 66 -0.6 205/291/269632627023%8%57-0.3
✕Marc Wik
2015 · A 		23 46 39→45 45→50 48 213/289/301 88303 510 30% 9% 66 -0.6 207/278/312 105330 910 36% 9% 63 -0.8 195/269/29810331891039%9%54-0.7
✕Chris Herrmann
2011 · A 		23 43→48 39→50 44→50 45 206/274/292 87274 74 26% 7% 57 -1.2 222/289/331 109278 105 23% 8% 73 -0.1 217/305/38416627720828%11%92+0.5
✕Tim Arakawa
2016 · A 		23 45→42 39→30 43→50 52 213/295/300 87280 55 24% 10% 69 -0.4 207/275/280 73283 611 27% 8% 54 -1.4 200/268/2606027351327%8%44-1.5
✕Craig Tatum
2006 · A 		23 41→46 39→45 43→30 47 197/272/288 90271 65 28% 9% 56 -1.3 223/268/334 111294 113 27% 5% 65 -0.7 223/264/33711428912127%5%62-0.6
✕Anthony Vilar
2023 · A 		24 45→39 39→40 45→50 47 208/285/300 92309 66 32% 10% 64 -0.8 195/284/297 102314 108 37% 10% 63 -0.8 184/275/28399287101036%10%54-0.9
✕Francisco Arcia
2013 · A 		23 45 41→40 43→40 42 217/270/316 99281 86 25% 6% 61 -1.0 220/267/304 84282 74 24% 5% 56 -1.3 224/270/290662816222%4%51-0.7
✕Eric Garcia
2014 · A 		23 45 41→40 40→45 47 218/275/316 98269 97 22% 7% 63 -0.8 209/262/291 82271 67 23% 7% 51 -1.7 199/253/271722584724%7%39-1.5
✕Joshua Noviskey
2006 · A 		23 45 44→45 44→30 48 221/289/341 119282 114 25% 8% 76 +0.1 212/281/325 113277 125 27% 8% 69 -0.4 184/261/2779323214126%8%46-0.8
✕Ben Breazeale
2019 · A 		24 47 40 44→30 43 224/283/315 91316 84 30% 7% 66 -0.6 201/260/272 71283 54 29% 7% 46 -2.0 168/230/201332352028%7%11-2.2
✕Mike McQuillan
2013 · A 		23 50 36→40 41→50 48 234/300/305 71313 36 25% 8% 70 -0.3 209/289/300 91306 610 31% 9% 66 -0.6 192/281/2859328271131%10%57-0.7
✕Michael Paez
2018 · A 		23 43→42 43→45 41→40 47 210/291/327 118275 107 26% 8% 74 -0.1 207/277/306 99264 84 24% 7% 63 -0.9 198/268/287892498222%7%52-1.1
✕Jacob Amaya
2021 · A 		22 47→46 41→45 44→45 51 223/299/325 102286 77 23% 9% 76 +0.1 209/276/333 124269 146 26% 8% 69 -0.4 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4