Phil Clarke — OGILVIE

Phil ClarkeC Buffalo Bisons

Age 28 L/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 216 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .313 / .320

PA216

HR3

K%16

BB%9

ISO89

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	378	335	76	17	1	6	27	82	14	1	1	227	311	337	648	110	282	22	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	378	327	81	18	1	6	35	60	14	1	1	248	346	364	710	116	286	16	9	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	297	254	54	7	0	4	32	56	6	2	1	213	315	287	602	75	251	19	11	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	297	248	58	9	0	4	38	44	6	2	1	234	349	319	668	85	263	15	13	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	259	230	51	9	0	6	19	51	9	6	0	222	306	339	645	117	260	20	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	259	215	56	10	0	6	33	37	9	6	0	260	380	391	771	130	291	14	13	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	314	276	62	10	0	3	29	40	8	5	0	225	316	293	610	69	252	13	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	314	262	68	12	0	3	43	33	8	5	0	260	380	340	720	80	286	11	14	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	204	182	45	5	0	3	19	28	1	1	0	247	322	324	646	77	275	14	9	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	204	172	48	7	0	3	28	22	1	1	0	279	381	372	753	93	302	11	14	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	TOR	—	216	192	44	7	0	3	19	34	3	3	0	229	308	312	621	83	269	16	9	293	82	-4	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TOR	33%	260	231	54	9	0	4	23	44	4	3	0	234	314	325	639	91	270	17	9	294	83	-5	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2028	30	MLB	TOR	46%	300	266	62	10	1	5	27	52	4	3	0	233	313	335	648	102	271	17	9	293	83	-6	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.7
2029	31	MLB	TOR	54%	288	256	58	10	0	4	26	52	4	3	0	227	308	312	620	86	270	18	9	291	81	-6	+1	-3	+5	+8	0.5
2027	29	MLB	TOR	33%	85	76	17	3	0	1	8	14	1	1	0	224	306	303	609	79	271	16	9	284	75	-2	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB	TOR	46%	138	123	28	5	0	2	12	24	2	1	0	228	307	317	624	89	272	17	9	283	75	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2029	31	MLB	TOR	54%	154	137	31	5	0	2	14	28	2	1	0	226	307	307	614	80	271	18	9	281	73	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	377	336	76	13	0	5	34	66	5	3	0	226	307	310	616	83	266	18	9	283	74	-11	+1	-3	+7	+11	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	131	22	0	9	59	114	9	5	0	226	308	311	618	85	266	18	9	283	74	-19	+1	-5	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	2516	2222	506	84	2	38	221	439	53	27	2	228	312	319	631	91	266	17	9	286	77	-66	+5	-6	+45	+71	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	132	22	1	10	57	113	14	7	1	230	315	324	639	94	268	17	9	286	77	-17	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	378	327	81	18	1	6	35	60	14	1	1	248	346	364	710	116	286	16	9	324	106	+3	-0	—	—	+11	1.4
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	297	248	58	9	0	4	38	44	6	2	1	234	349	319	668	85	263	15	13	308	94	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.7
2023	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	259	215	56	10	0	6	33	37	9	6	0	260	380	391	771	130	291	14	13	352	128	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	193	161	37	6	0	3	27	28	4	3	0	230	354	323	677	93	260	15	14	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	26	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	121	101	31	6	0	0	16	5	4	2	0	307	421	366	788	59	323	4	13	367	139	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	175	146	41	6	0	2	25	20	1	1	0	281	387	363	750	82	310	11	14	342	120	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2025	27	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	29	26	7	1	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	269	345	423	768	154	261	7	10	344	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	399	6	4	233	311	328	+7	+4	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	10	7	233	311	328	+11.9	+6.7	1.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Phil Clarke (OGILVIE)	28	60	35	45	60	232/313/320	88	269	3	3	16%	9%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	44→45	40	55	248/325/372	123	289	11	3	18%	10%	98	+1.6	236/318/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.5	228/313/361	133	287	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Juan Centeno 2018 · MLB	28	52	40→45	43→40	44	250/290/339	89	298	7	4	19%	5%	75	-0.0	232/282/322	90	278	8	5	19%	6%	68	-0.5	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Carlos Asuaje 2019 · MLB	27	49→54	40→45	44→45	51	234/304/332	98	285	6	4	20%	8%	80	+0.4	220/291/324	104	268	8	7	20%	8%	72	-0.2	218/290/314	96	264	6	8	19%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Greg Garcia 2018 · MLB	28	54	39→40	47→50	57	251/345/338	88	317	5	8	21%	11%	99	+1.7	240/338/342	102	304	8	6	21%	12%	98	+1.6	239/346/339	100	301	8	3	21%	13%	97	+0.7
✕Russ Adams 2008 · MLB	27	49→53	43→45	45	51	235/292/348	114	261	10	7	14%	7%	79	+0.3	226/279/349	123	264	13	8	19%	6%	74	-0.1	220/274/346	126	257	14	7	20%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Luis Martinez 2013 · MLB	28	52→62	39→40	49→40	47	245/305/338	94	316	5	5	23%	7%	82	+0.5	223/277/316	93	289	5	4	23%	6%	64	-0.8	210/265/286	76	274	3	1	23%	6%	48	-0.8
●J.P. Crawford 2023 · MLB	28	54→58	41→45	40→50	57	259/340/364	105	297	8	5	15%	10%	103	+1.9	253/349/391	138	301	14	5	19%	12%	115	+2.7	252/352/390	138	302	14	5	20%	13%	113	+2.6
✕Ramón Cabrera 2017 · MLB	27	53→59	40	42→40	45	253/287/340	87	287	8	4	15%	5%	73	-0.1	221/268/337	116	264	12	7	21%	5%	66	-0.6	181/230/299	117	214	12	2	22%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Vimael Machín 2023 · MLB	29	49→54	42→50	46→50	51	238/304/348	110	281	8	3	18%	8%	84	+0.6	236/294/354	118	282	12	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	244/298/379	135	287	16	11	20%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Matt Tupman 2008 · AAA	28	54→53	36→30	41→30	53	253/317/314	62	292	3	4	14%	8%	80	+0.4	227/273/300	73	265	5	4	16%	6%	57	-1.2	217/256/277	59	253	5	0	16%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Jesus Rivera 2006 · AAA	28	49→54	42→40	47→40	50	236/288/343	107	256	9	8	12%	6%	76	+0.0	223/275/312	89	256	8	6	15%	6%	62	-0.9	263/314/355	92	284	7	2	10%	6%	86	+0.4
✕Kevin Taylor 2018 · AA	27	56→60	39→40	45→40	52	263/327/347	84	309	6	3	16%	8%	93	+1.3	239/285/315	76	283	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	236/271/299	63	276	2	3	15%	4%	53	-1.2
✕Luis Guillorme 2023 · MLB	28	56→62	38→40	44→45	59	264/347/344	79	306	6	5	15%	11%	101	+1.8	227/312/313	86	282	6	6	19%	11%	79	+0.3	204/296/273	69	267	3	6	22%	11%	59	-0.4
✕Bobby Hill 2005 · MLB	27	53	41→40	42→45	51	255/337/355	101	296	8	6	16%	8%	100	+1.7	243/325/329	86	308	6	4	21%	8%	89	+0.9	239/325/309	70	315	3	2	22%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Jason Jaramillo 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	41→45	45→40	47	244/296/342	99	289	9	3	19%	6%	79	+0.3	223/280/311	88	273	7	5	20%	6%	64	-0.8	213/269/287	74	273	4	3	22%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Avila 2017 · AAA	28	54→58	40→45	42→45	43	258/295/344	85	294	8	7	15%	4%	78	+0.2	257/295/354	97	282	10	6	13%	4%	82	+0.5	268/311/370	102	289	12	4	12%	4%	90	+0.8
✕Elias Díaz 2020 · MLB	29	53→56	42→50	44→45	48	257/307/362	105	297	10	3	17%	6%	89	+0.9	227/286/357	130	259	15	3	18%	7%	79	+0.3	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Cord Phelps 2015 · MLB	28	48→57	43→45	42→45	50	232/294/348	116	274	10	6	19%	8%	80	+0.4	218/277/304	86	268	8	8	20%	7%	61	-1.0	204/264/256	52	254	5	6	20%	8%	41	-1.8
✕Rob Johnson 2010 · MLB	28	48→52	41→45	41→50	48	233/287/339	107	277	8	6	19%	7%	74	-0.1	213/284/321	108	267	9	7	22%	8%	69	-0.4	197/271/295	98	246	9	5	22%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Jim Negrych 2013 · AAA	28	54→64	42→40	42→50	51	260/317/366	106	301	10	9	17%	8%	94	+1.3	250/302/350	100	299	9	8	18%	7%	83	+0.6	263/312/346	83	316	5	6	18%	6%	83	+0.4