Luis Martinez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 28 | AABowie Baysox | 229 | .257/.323/.350 | 1 | 0 | 64 | — | .238/.279/.327 |
| 2014 | 29 | AAASF | 259 | .242/.319/.364 | 4 | 0 | 55 | — | .203/.268/.297 |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 313 | .208/.300/.266 | 1 | 1 | 32 | — | .185/.248/.230 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 88 | 78 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 302 | 308 | 610 | 77 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 275 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 364 | 305 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 338 | 298 | 636 | 75 | 275 | 18 | 14 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA | Portland Beavers | — | 39 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 256 | 171 | 428 | 214 | 18 | 10 | 211 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 321 | 280 | 84 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 389 | 414 | 804 | 114 | 367 | 18 | 11 | 365 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 410 | 358 | 101 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 370 | 349 | 719 | 67 | 331 | 14 | 12 | 330 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | INTL | Peoria Saguaros | — | 41 | 36 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 361 | 425 | 417 | 842 | 56 | 419 | 15 | 7 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 68 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 309 | 305 | 614 | 102 | 250 | 21 | 12 | 286 | 67 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 219 | 198 | 64 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 323 | 382 | 434 | 817 | 111 | 412 | 21 | 8 | 363 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 111 | 269 | 143 | 21 | 0 | 134 | -23 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 247 | 215 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 354 | 386 | 740 | 116 | 327 | 18 | 11 | 330 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 229 | 206 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 323 | 350 | 673 | 92 | 311 | 18 | 8 | 302 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 259 | 231 | 56 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 319 | 364 | 683 | 121 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 308 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 67 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 303 | 164 | 467 | 209 | 18 | 16 | 236 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 246 | 219 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 299 | 292 | 591 | 73 | 269 | 18 | 9 | 273 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 87 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 276 | 260 | 536 | 78 | 224 | 21 | 9 | 253 | 57 | -4 | +0 | -6 | +10 | +2 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 88 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 256 | 263 | 518 | 62 | 292 | 35 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 364 | 321 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 56 | 252 | 25 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AAA MLE | Portland Beavers | — | 39 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 205 | 162 | 367 | 202 | 23 | 5 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 321 | 290 | 75 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 78 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 330 | 355 | 685 | 97 | 337 | 24 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 410 | 373 | 101 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 271 | 333 | 332 | 666 | 62 | 326 | 18 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 68 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 279 | 295 | 574 | 98 | 250 | 21 | 9 | 267 | 67 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 219 | 203 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 276 | 323 | 369 | 692 | 94 | 378 | 29 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 111 | 269 | 143 | 21 | 0 | 133 | -23 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +0 | 0.1 | |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 247 | 222 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 99 | 301 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 229 | 214 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 238 | 279 | 327 | 606 | 89 | 296 | 22 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 259 | 236 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 297 | 565 | 93 | 252 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 67 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 242 | 153 | 395 | 195 | 22 | 10 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 246 | 227 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 250 | 251 | 501 | 57 | 246 | 22 | 6 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 88 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 256 | 263 | 518 | 62 | 306 | 35 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 88 | 78 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 302 | 308 | 610 | 77 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 275 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 364 | 321 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 274 | 246 | 520 | 56 | 258 | 25 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A RAW | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 364 | 305 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 338 | 298 | 636 | 75 | 275 | 18 | 14 | 295 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 327 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 87 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 314 | 330 | 644 | 86 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 360 | 315 | 90 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 286 | 375 | 387 | 762 | 102 | 350 | 18 | 11 | 348 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 409 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 79 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 271 | 335 | 333 | 667 | 61 | 329 | 18 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 451 | 394 | 114 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 289 | 375 | 355 | 730 | 66 | 339 | 14 | 12 | 334 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 287 | 264 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 258 | 312 | 352 | 665 | 95 | 355 | 27 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 287 | 257 | 76 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 296 | 365 | 405 | 770 | 109 | 376 | 21 | 9 | 345 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 240 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 325 | 623 | 92 | 298 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 266 | 233 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 340 | 365 | 705 | 107 | 314 | 18 | 10 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 229 | 214 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 238 | 279 | 327 | 606 | 89 | 301 | 22 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 229 | 206 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 257 | 323 | 350 | 673 | 92 | 311 | 18 | 8 | 302 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 259 | 236 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 297 | 565 | 93 | 254 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 259 | 231 | 56 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 319 | 364 | 683 | 121 | 283 | 17 | 8 | 308 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 286 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 70 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 182 | 245 | 227 | 472 | 45 | 236 | 22 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 313 | 274 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 300 | 266 | 566 | 58 | 257 | 18 | 11 | 265 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 88 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 256 | 256 | 512 | 61 | 292 | 35 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne Wizards | — | 364 | 324 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 274 | 244 | 518 | 56 | 252 | 25 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 360 | 324 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 87 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 314 | 333 | 647 | 86 | 322 | 24 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 409 | 111 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 79 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 271 | 335 | 333 | 667 | 61 | 326 | 18 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 287 | 264 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 78 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 258 | 312 | 352 | 665 | 95 | 348 | 27 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 242 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 298 | 322 | 620 | 91 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 229 | 215 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 237 | 279 | 326 | 604 | 88 | 296 | 22 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 259 | 236 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 297 | 565 | 93 | 252 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 286 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 70 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 182 | 245 | 227 | 472 | 45 | 235 | 22 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 87 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 276 | 260 | 536 | 78 | 224 | 21 | 9 | 253 | 65 | -4 | +0 | -6 | +10 | +2 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 103 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 60 | 134 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 179 | 274 | 252 | 526 | 73 | 221 | 21 | 9 | 253 | 65 | -33 | +1 | -45 | +74 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2617 | 2377 | 543 | 113 | 5 | 18 | 187 | 601 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 74 | 296 | 23 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -4 | +0 | -6 | +10 | +2 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 134 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 149 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 227 | 290 | 298 | 589 | 71 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -33 | +1 | -45 | +74 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 246 PAwOBA .267 → .223 (−45)K% 17.9% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.89% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.43% | ÷0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×0.948 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.026 | ×0.860 | ×1.014 | ×0.948 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.014 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 0.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .267 → .223; ISO .073 → .058; BABIP .269 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 67 PAwOBA .231 → .190 (−41)K% 17.9% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.91% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 11.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×0.972 | 19.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 73, 3B 102, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .231 → .190; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .209 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASacramento River Cats · 259 PAwOBA .300 → .249 (−51)K% 16.6% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.60% | ÷0.998 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.72% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.32% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 17.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 100, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .300 → .249; ISO .121 → .094; BABIP .283 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABowie Baysox · 229 PAwOBA .299 → .263 (−36)K% 17.9% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.90% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.86% | ÷1.189 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×1.038 | ×0.968 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.70% | ÷0.890 | ×0.860 | ×1.038 | ×0.968 | 9.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.140 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 138 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .299 → .263; ISO .092 → .086; BABIP .311 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAARound Rock Express · 247 PAwOBA .326 → .286 (−40)K% 18.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.22% | ÷1.046 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.94% | ÷0.997 | ×0.900 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 8.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.003 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.883 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 99, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 109, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .326 → .286; ISO .116 → .102; BABIP .327 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAATucson Padres · 219 PAwOBA .356 → .297 (−59)K% 21.0% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.00% | ÷0.935 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷0.997 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.61% | ÷1.022 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 27.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.18% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 9.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.968 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.54% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 87, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .356 → .297; ISO .111 → .089; BABIP .412 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AASan Antonio Missions · 410 PAwOBA .323 → .297 (−26)K% 14.4% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.39% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.42% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 27.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.35% | ÷0.927 | ×0.840 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.129 | ×0.940 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.869 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 91, 2B 85, 3B 126, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .323 → .297; ISO .067 → .063; BABIP .331 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 321 PAwOBA .356 → .299 (−57)K% 18.1% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.18% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 25.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 7.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .356 → .299; ISO .114 → .096; BABIP .367 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .