Anthony VilarC El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 27 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs AAA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.2 · 2027
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .275 / .293
PA250
HR4
K%34
BB%10
MLB%10%
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3535
PWR
3535
SPD
5050
EYE
5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.8M+$0.0M
2029Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.2M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $0.9M $-6M -$7M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 ROKACL Padres 2925 5210 360 00 .200.286.360.646 .160.250 2110 .242 43 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202223 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 203178 36902 21641 11 .202.290.287.577 .084.296 3210 .257 55 -10 -0 +0 +4 +6 -0.1
202324 A2 teams 288244 42816 381153 23 .172.291.287.578 .115.288 4013 .257 55 -15 -1 +0 +5 +8 -0.2
202425 A+3 teams 482421 811237 511696 120 .192.289.285.574 .093.300 3511 .261 58 -23 +2 +0 +9 +14 0.2
202526 AASan Antonio Missions 382342 651036 331223 124 .190.267.289.557 .099.272 329 .246 46 -23 +1 +0 +7 +11 -0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202627 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 3432 6101 2130 01 .188.235.312.548 .125.278 386 .217 24 -3 -0 +0 +1 +1 -0.2
ROS27 MLBSD 216192 37614 20732 41 .193.276.297.573 .104.282 349 .262 58 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.0
TOT27 MLBSD 250224 43715 22862 42 .192.270.299.569 .107.284 349 .255 54 -13 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202728 MLB 20%SD 333295 591026 321013 52 .200.285.308.593 .108.274 3010 .270 65 -13 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.2
202829 MLB 33%SD 352313 641127 331063 52 .204.287.319.606 .115.275 309 .272 66 -13 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.2
202930 MLB 43%SD 363323 651127 341093 52 .201.283.313.596 .111.274 309 .271 66 -14 +0 -2 +6 +10 0.1
203031 MLB 52%SD 347308 621027 331053 41 .201.285.315.600 .114.273 3010 .269 64 -14 +0 -3 +6 +10 -0.0
203132 MLB 64%SD 324288 55916 301003 31 .191.274.292.566 .101.272 319 .264 61 -14 +0 -4 +6 +9 -0.3
203233 MLB 81%SD 289258 49815 27912 21 .190.272.287.559 .097.270 319 .259 57 -14 +0 -4 +5 +8 -0.5
203334 MLBSD 244217 41714 23792 21 .189.273.286.558 .097.268 329 .253 52 -13 +0 -5 +4 +7 -0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 38523404 6611132067 378124034 5719 .194.281.298.579 .104.280 3210 .262 59 -180 +4 -20 +69 +109 -1.8
/ 162G 650574 11119311 642096 103 .193.281.294.575 .101.279 3210 .262 59 -30 +1 -3 +12 +18 -0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 ROKACL Padres 2923 5210 540 00 .217.357.391.748 .174.250 1417 .327 108 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202223 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 203168 381002 30501 11 .226.345.321.666 .095.303 2515 .306 93 -2 -0 +6 0.4
202324 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 10995 22303 11332 01 .232.324.358.682 .126.317 3010 .309 95 -1 -0 +3 0.2
202324 ALake Elsinore Storm 179133 28814 43531 22 .211.407.376.783 .165.312 3024 .360 134 +7 -0 +5 1.2
202425 AASan Antonio Missions 10080 11301 18321 30 .138.303.212.516 .075.213 3218 .256 54 -5 +1 +3 -0.2
202425 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps 300249 64936 44765 80 .257.379.390.769 .133.345 2515 .350 126 +9 +2 +8 1.9
202425 INTLGigantes de Carolina 8268 25600 13110 10 .368.469.456.925 .088.431 1316 .414 175 +7 +0 +2 1.0
202526 AASan Antonio Missions 382325 681136 491013 124 .209.317.317.634 .108.281 2613 .291 81 -8 +1 +11 0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Anthony Vilar (OGILVIE) 27 35 35 50 55 .190/.275/.293 .103.282 45 34% 10% 60 -0.4
Jake Lowery
2017 · AA
27 36 43→45 48→30 43 .183/.252/.292 .109.264 105 33% 8% 48 -1.9 .194/.265/.297 .103.312 96 37% 9% 55 -1.4 .125/.205/.184.059.2604049%9%0-1.2
Micah Gibbs
2015 · AA
27 39 39→30 47→45 44 .188/.264/.271 .083.282 68 33% 8% 48 -1.9 .210/.266/.313 .103.290 88 29% 7% 59 -1.1 .195/.246/.310.115.26410029%6%50-0.3
Nolan Fontana
2018 · MLB
27 40→43 40 47→50 48 .195/.276/.291 .096.272 711 29% 10% 59 -1.1 .196/.286/.314 .118.276 1011 30% 11% 69 -0.4 .155/.271/.269.114.2219631%13%51-0.4
Brian Jeroloman
2012 · AAA
27 43→38 40 41→40 49 .203/.292/.292 .089.307 84 34% 11% 66 -0.6 .202/.276/.269 .067.288 66 29% 9% 53 -1.5 .181/.264/.241.061.2415025%10%38-0.8
Will Toffey
2021 · AA
26 43 43→45 46→50 49 .208/.295/.324 .116.301 107 32% 10% 75 -0.0 .202/.286/.331 .129.342 1312 41% 9% 73 -0.1 .185/.274/.320.135.321131343%9%62-0.4
Nick Ciuffo
2022 · AAA
27 41→42 45→40 49→40 37 .204/.253/.325 .121.304 129 36% 6% 56 -1.3 .219/.263/.331 .112.338 138 37% 5% 63 -0.9 .214/.251/.290.075.33911038%4%42-0.6
Mitchell Tolman
2021 · AAA
27 44→47 40→45 46→50 44 .209/.280/.297 .088.304 710 32% 8% 61 -1.0 .223/.291/.354 .131.292 138 27% 7% 81 +0.4 .221/.294/.363.142.28414726%7%82+0.3
Jackson Cluff
2023 · AA
26 36→29 40→45 48→55 36 .179/.243/.270 .091.285 811 38% 6% 39 -2.5 .186/.268/.305 .119.285 1220 36% 9% 59 -1.1 .181/.273/.314.132.266142835%10%61-0.6
Dominic Miroglio
2022 · AA
27 41 44→45 44→40 43 .205/.269/.321 .117.279 115 30% 7% 63 -0.9 .216/.284/.361 .145.260 155 23% 8% 80 +0.4 .203/.270/.374.171.21220216%7%72-0.1
Shayne Fontana
2023 · AAA
26 41 44→45 45→55 45 .202/.287/.319 .117.301 138 35% 9% 71 -0.3 .224/.301/.331 .107.295 1018 26% 8% 79 +0.3 .230/.306/.325.095.29092522%7%76+0.1
Steven Lerud
2012 · AAA
27 40→42 42→45 44→40 40 .198/.263/.298 .100.279 103 31% 6% 55 -1.4 .202/.278/.296 .094.303 84 33% 8% 60 -1.0 .202/.293/.284.082.2917230%9%62-0.3
J.R. Hopf
2009 · AAA
26 41 40→45 48→40 43 .196/.263/.282 .086.297 84 35% 8% 50 -1.7 .218/.277/.318 .100.291 86 26% 7% 65 -0.7 .224/.274/.326.102.2808222%6%64-0.3
Gosuke Katoh
2022 · AAA
27 47→49 43→45 48→50 45 .227/.291/.338 .110.315 1012 30% 8% 76 +0.1 .215/.274/.338 .123.287 1211 28% 7% 69 -0.4 .188/.247/.313.124.242131128%6%48-1.0
JJ Muno
2021 · A
27 42 40 52→60 41 .200/.273/.289 .089.289 716 31% 6% 56 -1.3 .196/.281/.293 .097.286 925 33% 7% 62 -0.9 .177/.271/.264.087.26393533%7%48-0.9
Evan Marzilli
2018 · AAA
27 44→45 38→40 50 48 .206/.284/.291 .085.292 515 29% 9% 61 -1.0 .198/.275/.289 .091.308 712 35% 9% 57 -1.2 .169/.248/.241.072.27141036%9%30-1.0
Shane Matheny
2022 · AA
26 38→42 43→45 47→50 39 .187/.250/.294 .107.292 116 38% 7% 48 -1.9 .201/.285/.328 .127.324 149 38% 10% 72 -0.2 .191/.281/.316.125.30014938%10%64-0.5
Justin Toerner
2023 · AAA
26 39 43→45 48→50 44 .190/.284/.298 .108.293 1110 36% 9% 65 -0.7 .190/.283/.309 .119.284 1311 35% 10% 66 -0.6 .126/.240/.244.118.17215935%12%32-1.0
JJ Schwarz
2022 · AA
26 38 44→45 47→30 44 .195/.260/.302 .108.268 124 31% 8% 54 -1.4 .216/.284/.346 .130.306 154 32% 9% 76 +0.0 .206/.279/.334.128.29016133%9%68-0.3
Chris Kroski
2009 · AA
27 43 42→45 46→40 41 .212/.269/.321 .109.280 94 27% 6% 63 -0.9 .210/.276/.321 .111.285 96 28% 8% 65 -0.7 .170/.244/.284.114.2349030%9%40-0.5
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→30 47→50 50 44 .181/.258/.318 .137.259 1513 35% 9% 58 -1.2 .189/.267/.321 .132.273 1612 35% 9% 63 -0.9 .160/.249/.296.136.218191236%9%46-1.0