Steven Lerud
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 215 | .229/.349/.358 | 4 | 1 | 64 | — | .217/.305/.326 |
| 2015 | 30 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 231 | .238/.320/.301 | 2 | 0 | 47 | — | .203/.268/.241 |
| 2016 | 31 | AASF | 214 | .229/.385/.288 | 1 | 0 | 59 | — | .204/.305/.253 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 87 | 80 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 151 | 237 | 389 | 150 | 96 | 31 | 5 | 174 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 74 | 60 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 371 | 450 | 821 | 183 | 286 | 18 | 9 | 348 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 393 | 94 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 146 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 239 | 330 | 402 | 732 | 163 | 349 | 33 | 9 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 328 | 287 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 202 | 300 | 310 | 610 | 108 | 244 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 163 | 146 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 304 | 363 | 667 | 130 | 297 | 26 | 9 | 298 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 273 | 235 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 65 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 255 | 349 | 417 | 766 | 162 | 313 | 24 | 10 | 341 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 363 | 304 | 73 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 344 | 336 | 679 | 95 | 274 | 15 | 10 | 306 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 28 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 321 | 143 | 464 | 48 | 133 | 21 | 25 | 253 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 179 | 153 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 315 | 379 | 694 | 176 | 250 | 26 | 10 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 262 | 228 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 86 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 273 | 303 | 575 | 110 | 277 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 120 | 102 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 304 | 654 | 69 | 358 | 29 | 11 | 309 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 64 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 349 | 288 | 638 | 77 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 219 | 180 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 353 | 311 | 664 | 94 | 283 | 23 | 16 | 313 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 200 | 164 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 376 | 390 | 766 | 140 | 316 | 22 | 14 | 346 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | -114 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||
| 2015 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 231 | 206 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 320 | 301 | 621 | 63 | 322 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 214 | 170 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 385 | 288 | 673 | 59 | 319 | 23 | 18 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 87 | 81 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 128 | 185 | 313 | 111 | 90 | 41 | 3 | 132 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 74 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 286 | 365 | 651 | 159 | 223 | 26 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 407 | 75 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 196 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 184 | 256 | 302 | 558 | 118 | 319 | 44 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 328 | 299 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 171 | 242 | 254 | 496 | 84 | 230 | 27 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 163 | 151 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 261 | 311 | 572 | 99 | 289 | 31 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 273 | 245 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 92 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 283 | 343 | 625 | 131 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 363 | 317 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 310 | 312 | 622 | 79 | 266 | 18 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 28 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 250 | 130 | 380 | 43 | 118 | 25 | 18 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 179 | 160 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 258 | 300 | 558 | 125 | 245 | 33 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 262 | 236 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 101 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 233 | 267 | 500 | 89 | 260 | 39 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 120 | 106 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 283 | 236 | 519 | 47 | 318 | 37 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 219 | 192 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 289 | 276 | 565 | 83 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 200 | 175 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 305 | 326 | 630 | 109 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 231 | 212 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 241 | 509 | 38 | 290 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 214 | 186 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 305 | 253 | 558 | 48 | 301 | 29 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 144 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 125 | 192 | 243 | 435 | 118 | 165 | 34 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 161 | 140 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 250 | 329 | 579 | 164 | 188 | 25 | 7 | 254 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 407 | 75 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 196 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 184 | 256 | 302 | 558 | 118 | 327 | 44 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 393 | 94 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 146 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 239 | 330 | 402 | 732 | 163 | 349 | 33 | 9 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 328 | 299 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 171 | 242 | 254 | 496 | 84 | 232 | 27 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 328 | 287 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 202 | 300 | 310 | 610 | 108 | 244 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 396 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 143 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 274 | 331 | 605 | 119 | 298 | 33 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 436 | 381 | 94 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 107 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 150 | 307 | 25 | 9 | 325 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 363 | 317 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 310 | 312 | 622 | 79 | 280 | 18 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 363 | 304 | 73 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 344 | 336 | 679 | 95 | 274 | 15 | 10 | 306 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 183 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 257 | 279 | 536 | 115 | 230 | 32 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 174 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 316 | 351 | 666 | 161 | 235 | 26 | 12 | 306 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 262 | 236 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 101 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 233 | 267 | 500 | 89 | 281 | 39 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 262 | 228 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 86 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 273 | 303 | 575 | 110 | 277 | 33 | 8 | 256 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 160 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 290 | 231 | 521 | 44 | 326 | 37 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 154 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 350 | 299 | 648 | 71 | 327 | 27 | 10 | 307 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 219 | 192 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 289 | 276 | 565 | 83 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 219 | 180 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 353 | 311 | 664 | 94 | 283 | 23 | 16 | 313 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 189 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 302 | 323 | 625 | 106 | 295 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 215 | 179 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 349 | 358 | 707 | 128 | 285 | 21 | 13 | 322 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 231 | 212 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 268 | 241 | 509 | 38 | 292 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 231 | 206 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 320 | 301 | 621 | 63 | 322 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 214 | 186 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 305 | 253 | 558 | 48 | 301 | 29 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 214 | 170 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 385 | 288 | 673 | 59 | 319 | 23 | 18 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 161 | 148 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 192 | 236 | 429 | 115 | 151 | 34 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 404 | 75 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 196 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 186 | 256 | 304 | 560 | 119 | 319 | 44 | 6 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 328 | 297 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 172 | 242 | 256 | 497 | 84 | 230 | 27 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 436 | 399 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 143 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 274 | 328 | 603 | 118 | 290 | 33 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 363 | 325 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 310 | 305 | 614 | 77 | 266 | 18 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 182 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 257 | 280 | 538 | 115 | 228 | 32 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 262 | 243 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 101 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 233 | 259 | 492 | 86 | 260 | 39 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 159 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 290 | 233 | 522 | 44 | 318 | 37 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 219 | 191 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 289 | 277 | 566 | 84 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 190 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 302 | 321 | 623 | 105 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 231 | 210 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 268 | 243 | 511 | 38 | 290 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 31 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 214 | 185 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 305 | 254 | 559 | 49 | 301 | 29 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3266 | 2921 | 563 | 120 | 6 | 44 | 219 | 1031 | 87 | 13 | 10 | 193 | 269 | 283 | 552 | 90 | 278 | 32 | 7 | 246 | 53 | -183 | -1 | +0 | +58 | +71 | -5.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 205 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 193 | 269 | 284 | 553 | 91 | 278 | 32 | 7 | 246 | 53 | -36 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 214 PAwOBA .317 → .256 (−61)K% 23.4% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.36% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.76% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 10.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.83% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.62% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .317 → .256; ISO .059 → .051; BABIP .319 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 231 PAwOBA .283 → .237 (−46)K% 25.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.11% | ÷1.043 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.23% | ÷0.938 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 25.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.183 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.962 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .283 → .237; ISO .063 → .045; BABIP .322 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 200 PAwOBA .332 → .282 (−50)K% 21.5% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.50% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 8.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.31% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 20.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×0.972 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷1.120 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .332 → .282; ISO .140 → .115; BABIP .316 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 219 PAwOBA .304 → .259 (−45)K% 22.8% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.53% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 20.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.116 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷0.891 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 123, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .304 → .259; ISO .094 → .086; BABIP .283 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAReading Phillies · 120 PAwOBA .299 → .238 (−61)K% 29.2% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 3.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.37% | ÷0.960 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×0.968 | 24.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.45% | ÷1.117 | ×0.860 | ×0.976 | ×0.968 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.976 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.289 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 92, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .299 → .238; ISO .069 → .047; BABIP .358 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AABowie Baysox · 262 PAwOBA .252 → .213 (−39)K% 32.8% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.82% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.068 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.13% | ÷0.979 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 20.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.020 | ×0.860 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.975 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | ×0.978 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷1.109 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 95, K 107, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .252 → .213; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .277 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AABowie Baysox · 179 PAwOBA .304 → .250 (−54)K% 26.3% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.26% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.91% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.04% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 16.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.936 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 93, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .304 → .250; ISO .176 → .135; BABIP .250 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAANorfolk Tides · 28 PAwOBA .248 → .186 (−62)K% 21.4% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 16.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 5.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.272 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 111, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .248 → .186; ISO .048 → .045; BABIP .133 → .118. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .