Jose Herrera — OGILVIE

Jose HerreraC Round Rock Express

Age 29 S/R 5'9" / 217 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION155 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6461vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .291 / .294

PA135

HR2

K%23

BB%10

BABIP253

ISO92

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

827.7%

xwOBA

100.249

POWER30

Barrel%

100.4

Avg EV

1084.6

Bat Spd

1067.0

EYE60

Chase%

9021.0%

SPEED30

Sprint

1024.8

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 318 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

221

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

271

256

◀L

ISO

060

089

▶▶R

BABIP

354

225

◀◀L

28.9%

20.8%

▶▶R

BB%

8.2%

10.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	193	171	31	4	1	0	15	56	4	1	0	181	263	216	480	35	263	29	8	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	193	161	37	5	1	0	25	39	4	1	0	230	347	273	621	43	296	20	13	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	84	20	2	0	1	8	16	2	0	0	238	319	298	617	60	284	17	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	79	24	3	0	1	13	11	2	0	0	304	415	380	795	76	343	12	14	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	154	143	31	4	1	4	9	39	1	1	2	217	268	343	611	126	267	25	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	154	137	38	5	1	5	15	27	1	1	2	277	353	438	791	161	311	18	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	3 teams	—	355	335	61	20	0	1	19	66	0	0	0	182	226	251	477	69	223	19	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	3 teams	—	355	325	74	23	0	2	29	59	0	0	0	228	291	317	608	89	272	17	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	123	117	21	4	0	1	5	30	0	0	0	179	213	239	452	60	230	24	4	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	123	115	26	5	0	1	7	21	0	0	0	226	270	296	566	70	266	17	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	2 teams	—	376	325	66	16	1	5	43	100	2	3	1	203	300	305	605	102	270	27	11	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	2 teams	—	376	302	76	19	1	5	66	72	2	3	1	252	389	371	760	119	307	19	18	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	3 teams	—	454	405	79	10	3	10	46	136	1	4	2	195	279	309	587	114	264	30	10	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	3 teams	—	454	379	105	14	3	12	72	95	1	4	2	277	394	425	819	148	339	21	16	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	INTL	3 teams	—	367	333	78	7	0	3	28	75	1	1	0	234	296	282	578	48	293	20	8	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	INTL	3 teams	—	367	316	79	7	0	3	45	64	1	1	0	250	345	301	646	51	304	17	12	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	239	208	43	8	1	1	22	59	2	1	0	207	289	269	558	62	282	25	9	248	48	-14	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.4
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	239	202	47	9	1	2	28	50	2	1	0	233	332	317	649	84	298	21	12	293	82	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2024	27	AAA	3 teams	—	313	274	56	9	2	3	26	70	0	0	1	204	273	285	558	80	259	22	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	3 teams	—	313	267	69	12	2	3	33	63	0	0	1	258	340	352	692	94	322	20	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	3 teams	—	364	302	58	11	0	4	41	77	3	0	0	192	295	268	563	76	239	21	11	248	48	-22	+0	+2	+7	+10	-0.2
2025	28	MLB	3 teams	—	364	296	58	15	0	3	47	68	3	0	0	196	312	277	589	81	239	19	13	266	61	-16	+0	+2	+7	+10	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	TEX	—	155	137	27	5	0	2	16	40	1	1	0	197	286	277	563	80	263	26	10	250	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
YTD	29	AAA	TEX	—	155	131	30	6	0	2	22	31	1	1	0	229	344	321	665	92	286	20	14	309	94	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
ROS	29	AAA	TEX	10%	135	119	24	5	0	2	14	31	1	1	0	202	291	294	585	92	252	23	10	268	63	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
ROS	29	MLB	TEX	10%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		253	21	7	265	61	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	AAA	TEX	—	169	150	29	5	0	2	17	43	1	1	0	193	280	267	546	73	257	25	10	251	50	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.2
TOT	29	AAA	TEX	—	290	256	51	10	0	4	30	71	2	2	0	199	288	285	573	86	258	24	10	258	56	-14	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TEX	27%	323	286	57	11	1	4	32	75	2	2	0	199	284	287	571	87	251	23	10	264	60	-14	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.3
2027	30	MLB	TEX	27%	88	78	15	3	0	1	9	20	1	0	0	192	284	269	553	77	253	23	10	261	58	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	664	566	112	20	1	4	64	161	2	1	0	198	282	258	540	60	266	24	10	244	45	-42	+0	+5	+25	+19	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	110	20	1	4	63	158	2	1	0	199	283	260	543	61	267	24	10	244	45	-41	+0	+5	+24	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3490	3102	625	111	10	39	308	830	19	14	6	201	278	281	559	80	259	24	9	251	50	-198	+0	+2	+62	+99	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	117	21	2	7	57	155	4	3	1	202	279	282	561	80	261	24	9	251	50	-37	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	193	161	37	5	1	0	25	39	4	1	0	230	347	273	621	43	296	20	13	293	82	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2015	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	94	79	24	3	0	1	13	11	2	0	0	304	415	380	795	76	343	12	14	368	140	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2016	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	154	137	38	5	1	5	15	27	1	1	2	277	353	438	791	161	311	18	10	351	127	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2017	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	238	221	46	15	0	1	16	32	0	0	0	208	262	290	551	81	238	13	7	251	50	-13	+0	—	—	+7	-0.7
2017	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	27	21	9	4	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	429	556	619	1.175	190	500	11	22	513	251	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2017	20	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	90	83	19	4	0	1	7	24	0	0	0	229	289	313	602	84	310	27	8	275	69	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2018	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	123	115	26	5	0	1	7	21	0	0	0	226	270	296	566	70	266	17	6	256	54	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2019	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	168	133	29	6	0	1	31	39	2	1	0	218	373	286	659	68	295	23	18	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2019	22	A	Kane County Cougars	—	208	169	47	13	1	4	35	33	0	2	1	278	402	438	840	160	316	16	17	372	143	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	212	180	44	7	1	6	32	42	0	1	0	244	358	394	753	150	288	20	15	342	120	+5	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2021	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	148	126	35	4	2	5	19	39	1	3	1	278	377	460	837	183	357	26	13	368	140	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2021	24	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	94	73	26	3	0	1	21	14	0	0	1	356	500	438	938	82	431	15	22	431	188	+9	-0	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	124	111	21	2	0	0	9	34	0	0	0	189	250	207	457	18	273	27	7	210	19	-11	+0	+3	+7	+4	0.2
2022	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	104	91	31	3	0	2	12	10	1	0	0	341	423	440	863	99	367	10	12	391	157	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	25	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	139	114	27	2	0	1	24	20	0	1	0	237	370	281	650	44	277	14	17	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	120	101	21	5	0	0	13	30	0	1	0	208	298	257	556	50	292	25	11	250	49	-7	+0	-1	+4	+3	-0.0
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	119	101	26	4	1	2	15	20	2	0	0	257	364	376	741	119	304	17	13	336	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	114	97	22	4	1	1	9	27	0	0	0	227	292	320	612	93	300	24	8	260	57	-6	+0	+2	+6	+3	0.6
2024	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	149	127	33	5	1	2	19	23	0	0	1	260	356	362	718	102	298	15	13	323	105	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	27	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	50	43	14	3	0	0	5	13	0	0	0	326	396	395	791	70	452	26	10	346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	204	166	31	6	0	2	23	47	1	0	0	187	289	259	549	72	242	23	11	242	44	-13	+0	+2	+7	+6	0.2
2025	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	42	36	10	2	0	1	6	4	0	0	0	278	381	417	798	139	290	10	14	361	135	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	28	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	118	94	17	7	0	0	18	17	2	0	0	181	325	255	580	74	215	14	15	272	66	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	562	475	95	17	1	3	54	138	1	1	0	200	283	259	542	59	271	25	10	240	42	-37	+0	+7	+23	+16	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	679	5	2	192	270	254	+12	+7	-0.4	-0.4
	/162	664	5	2	192	270	254	+11.9	+6.4	-0.4	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Herrera (OGILVIE)	29	35	30	30	60	199/288/285	86	258	4	2	24%	10%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enrique Wilson 2002 · MLB	29	49	42→45	35→40	48	239/281/345	106	262	10	5	14%	6%	73	-0.1	219/267/337	118	237	12	7	13%	6%	66	-0.6	204/252/319	115	210	12	6	11%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Michael Papierski 2023 · MLB	27	41→44	42→45	38→40	50	202/285/301	99	257	10	3	24%	9%	65	-0.7	212/291/323	111	274	11	4	25%	9%	72	-0.2	207/292/314	107	268	11	1	26%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Tony Cruz 2015 · MLB	28	45→38	41→45	36→40	47	218/273/316	97	259	8	4	19%	7%	62	-0.9	223/276/331	108	281	10	4	23%	6%	68	-0.5	221/272/324	103	285	10	1	25%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Luke Carlin 2009 · MLB	28	41	40→45	40→45	49	198/281/290	92	275	7	3	29%	10%	60	-1.0	221/301/327	106	293	10	7	26%	10%	78	+0.2	217/303/312	95	283	9	5	25%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Nash Knight 2021 · AA	28	43→48	42→45	38→40	47	211/289/317	106	275	10	5	26%	8%	70	-0.3	189/272/298	109	301	11	4	37%	9%	59	-1.1	162/253/261	98	269	10	1	40%	9%	38	-1.2
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	28	46	38→30	36→50	48	219/271/287	68	257	6	5	17%	6%	53	-1.5	229/275/337	108	269	12	7	19%	6%	69	-0.4	231/269/316	85	262	12	0	17%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Valentin Gamez 2011 · AAA	28	48	37→40	35→40	53	225/290/299	73	263	5	5	16%	8%	65	-0.7	248/301/325	77	287	5	6	14%	7%	76	+0.0	265/312/334	70	302	3	3	13%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2013 · AAA	29	42→45	43→45	39→40	42	207/259/317	110	250	10	4	22%	5%	57	-1.2	213/252/313	100	256	8	5	20%	4%	53	-1.5	216/262/322	106	251	11	2	18%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Mike Nickeas 2012 · MLB	29	45	40	41→40	50	215/280/302	87	255	7	4	18%	8%	63	-0.9	204/261/290	86	253	7	4	21%	6%	50	-1.7	187/244/256	69	235	6	1	22%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Chris Berset 2016 · AAA	28	42	37→40	39→40	44	200/256/269	68	252	4	3	22%	6%	43	-2.2	230/275/300	70	296	6	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	251/290/291	40	320	4	2	22%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Tony Wolters 2022 · MLB	30	46→49	40	39→45	47	220/296/313	93	286	8	4	25%	8%	72	-0.2	211/287/296	85	296	7	4	29%	8%	64	-0.8	195/276/248	53	283	3	0	29%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Brian Jeroloman 2015 · AAA	30	38→37	39→45	39→40	44	189/254/267	77	262	8	4	30%	8%	42	-2.3	204/280/279	75	274	5	5	25%	9%	56	-1.3	195/290/237	42	259	0	0	22%	11%	49	-0.5
✕Adam Donachie 2011 · AAA	27	37	39→45	35→30	44	183/245/265	82	250	7	3	29%	7%	38	-2.6	198/262/311	113	277	12	6	31%	8%	57	-1.2	154/239/279	125	213	17	0	35%	10%	37	-0.7
✕Tres Barrera 2023 · MLB	28	44→42	44→45	40	47	218/286/328	110	273	12	3	24%	8%	72	-0.2	206/270/321	115	260	14	5	25%	7%	63	-0.8	179/247/271	92	226	13	2	26%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Xorge Carrillo 2017 · AAA	28	46	41→40	40→30	46	222/281/313	91	261	9	3	18%	6%	66	-0.6	222/273/322	100	281	10	4	24%	5%	64	-0.8	226/276/325	100	283	11	1	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Koyie Hill 2008 · MLB	29	44→43	42→45	44→40	46	215/268/324	109	261	9	5	21%	6%	63	-0.9	225/281/349	124	290	12	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	221/279/338	117	291	10	2	26%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Tyler LaTorre 2011 · AA	28	43	39→40	37→40	45	206/273/293	86	293	6	4	30%	8%	56	-1.3	214/276/319	105	291	9	5	28%	7%	65	-0.7	237/292/326	90	312	8	3	25%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2016 · AA	29	45	38→30	41→40	42	213/245/285	71	242	7	4	16%	3%	41	-2.3	201/232/272	71	247	5	6	20%	4%	32	-3.0	177/192/209	31	232	0	0	23%	2%	-6	-1.1
✕Ed Easley 2016 · AAA	30	48→42	41→45	37→40	47	231/289/331	100	276	9	4	20%	7%	73	-0.1	212/268/305	93	257	9	7	20%	6%	57	-1.2	165/218/197	32	195	5	0	18%	6%	8	-1.0
✕JD Closser 2009 · MLB	29	40	45→50	43→45	50	204/275/324	121	249	13	6	24%	9%	66	-0.6	212/270/298	86	269	8	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	209/267/281	72	262	7	6	22%	7%	48	-0.9