Aaron McKeithanC
Altoona Curve
Age 26
R/R
5'11" / 225 lbs
AA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2028
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .308 / .340
PA136
HR3
K%21
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
52→52
PWR
35→35
SPD
42→42
EYE
47→47
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $12M | +$7M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 76 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .134 | .227 | .164 | .391 | .030 | .196 | 29 | 5 | .166 | -15 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 315 | 279 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 85 | 10 | 1 | 1 | .226 | .310 | .323 | .632 | .097 | .304 | 27 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -10 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 256 | 217 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .230 | .327 | .300 | .626 | .069 | .260 | 17 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 191 | 168 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .226 | .309 | .280 | .588 | .054 | .287 | 21 | 6 | .262 | 59 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 139 | 120 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .158 | .252 | .250 | .502 | .092 | .176 | 20 | 9 | .225 | 30 | -11 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 136 | 121 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .240 | .319 | .372 | .690 | .132 | .280 | 21 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | PIT | 209 | 185 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .314 | .346 | .660 | .114 | .281 | 21 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | PIT | 276 | 246 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .236 | .314 | .358 | .672 | .122 | .282 | 21 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | PIT | 310 | 276 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 67 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .309 | .344 | .654 | .112 | .282 | 22 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | PIT | 333 | 296 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 73 | 7 | 3 | 1 | .233 | .312 | .351 | .663 | .118 | .281 | 22 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 53% | PIT | 320 | 285 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 72 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .225 | .303 | .333 | .636 | .109 | .280 | 22 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 64% | PIT | 300 | 267 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 69 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .225 | .303 | .337 | .640 | .112 | .278 | 23 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 74% | PIT | 268 | 239 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 63 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .301 | .331 | .631 | .109 | .277 | 24 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB 81% | PIT | 224 | 200 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .297 | .325 | .622 | .105 | .276 | 25 | 8 | .277 | 71 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB 88% | PIT | 173 | 154 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .292 | .318 | .611 | .104 | .274 | 25 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +3 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3526 | 3120 | 696 | 108 | 12 | 63 | 276 | 794 | 89 | 26 | 8 | .223 | .304 | .326 | .630 | .103 | .276 | 23 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -102 | +2 | -25 | +63 | +100 | 3.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 129 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 146 | 16 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .305 | .329 | .634 | .104 | .277 | 22 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -19 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 76 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .267 | .185 | .451 | .031 | .204 | 22 | 8 | .223 | 29 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 83 | 75 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .253 | .325 | .333 | .659 | .080 | .310 | 19 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 232 | 194 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 0 | .284 | .396 | .407 | .803 | .124 | .345 | 19 | 12 | .364 | 137 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 256 | 207 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .266 | .387 | .353 | .740 | .087 | .282 | 13 | 11 | .335 | 115 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 191 | 163 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .264 | .362 | .325 | .687 | .061 | .311 | 16 | 9 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 139 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .175 | .304 | .272 | .576 | .096 | .185 | 15 | 13 | .267 | 63 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aaron McKeithan (OGILVIE) | 26 | 52 | 35 | 42 | 47 | .231/.308/.340 | .109 | .280 | 3 | 2 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Grant Green 2014 · MLB |
26 | 52→57 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 41 | .252/.290/.368 | .116 | .314 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .260/.291/.376 | .116 | .324 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | .266/.291/.377 | .110 | .329 | 8 | 4 | 21% | 3% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Kevin Nolan 2014 · AA |
26 | 50 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 48 | .243/.299/.358 | .114 | .288 | 9 | 8 | 19% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .232/.274/.326 | .094 | .270 | 7 | 9 | 16% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .227/.266/.309 | .082 | .261 | 6 | 9 | 15% | 4% | 54 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jantzen Witte 2016 · AA |
26 | 51→53 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 45 | .245/.297/.365 | .121 | .301 | 9 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .240/.296/.344 | .104 | .301 | 7 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .244/.295/.369 | .125 | .315 | 14 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Francisco Cordoba 2010 · AAA |
26 | 48→53 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 49 | .237/.307/.363 | .127 | .291 | 13 | 6 | 23% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .224/.284/.344 | .120 | .282 | 13 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .245/.293/.365 | .120 | .298 | 16 | 1 | 23% | 5% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Matt Lawson 2012 · AA |
26 | 50→52 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 41 | .242/.294/.357 | .115 | .321 | 10 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .240/.306/.339 | .099 | .309 | 6 | 12 | 23% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.311/.323 | .086 | .307 | 5 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Addison Maruszak 2013 · AA |
26 | 47 | 46→45 | 40→45 | 44 | .235/.284/.363 | .128 | .284 | 13 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.278/.338 | .112 | .283 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .223/.279/.316 | .093 | .274 | 6 | 0 | 20% | 6% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
●James McCann 2016 · MLB |
26 | 52→55 | 43→50 | 45 | 40 | .252/.289/.366 | .114 | .311 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .235/.286/.363 | .128 | .296 | 15 | 3 | 25% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .254/.315/.415 | .161 | .331 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +1.1 |
|
✕Taylor Davis 2016 · AAA |
26 | 51→53 | 46→45 | 43→40 | 45 | .254/.293/.389 | .135 | .289 | 13 | 3 | 17% | 5% | 90 | +1.0 | .248/.296/.353 | .105 | .286 | 8 | 3 | 15% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .242/.294/.326 | .084 | .281 | 6 | 1 | 15% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2019 · AA |
26 | 48 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 48 | .234/.299/.339 | .105 | .296 | 10 | 5 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .239/.285/.330 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .253/.292/.330 | .076 | .305 | 4 | 5 | 17% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jamie Ritchie 2019 · AAA |
26 | 49→53 | 39→40 | 48→45 | 49 | .232/.310/.318 | .086 | .308 | 7 | 6 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.313/.336 | .100 | .307 | 8 | 6 | 24% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.323/.325 | .086 | .305 | 6 | 1 | 21% | 10% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Wynston Sawyer 2018 · AA |
26 | 46 | 42→45 | 45 | 46 | .223/.294/.332 | .110 | .289 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .221/.292/.327 | .106 | .299 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.283/.301 | .095 | .286 | 7 | 0 | 28% | 6% | 61 | -0.2 |
|
✕Shane Justis 2009 · AA |
26 | 51→52 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 49 | .244/.306/.343 | .099 | .285 | 8 | 10 | 17% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .240/.295/.334 | .094 | .283 | 6 | 10 | 17% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .244/.297/.339 | .095 | .285 | 5 | 8 | 16% | 4% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Damek Tomscha 2018 · AA |
26 | 50→57 | 43→45 | 47→40 | 45 | .244/.302/.357 | .113 | .286 | 10 | 4 | 18% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .235/.288/.356 | .121 | .285 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.268/.336 | .122 | .269 | 15 | 2 | 26% | 5% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Marcos Cabral 2010 · AAA |
26 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 43→40 | 47 | .239/.295/.351 | .112 | .287 | 9 | 4 | 20% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .234/.280/.341 | .107 | .281 | 10 | 5 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.264/.310 | .082 | .264 | 10 | 3 | 18% | 5% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB |
25 | 45→54 | 45→50 | 43→45 | 52 | .221/.318/.337 | .116 | .276 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 10% | 89 | +0.9 | .225/.296/.348 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.292/.336 | .106 | .299 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael Garciaparra 2009 · AAA |
26 | 52 | 40 | 46→45 | 45 | .247/.309/.332 | .085 | .315 | 8 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.280/.304 | .079 | .304 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .197/.261/.237 | .039 | .268 | 2 | 0 | 25% | 7% | 34 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ray Chang 2010 · AAA |
26 | 50→56 | 39→40 | 40 | 46 | .239/.298/.337 | .099 | .286 | 5 | 5 | 18% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.305/.342 | .094 | .292 | 7 | 3 | 17% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .244/.297/.320 | .076 | .287 | 5 | 2 | 16% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Marco Rivera 2010 · AAA |
26 | 47 | 42→40 | 41→40 | 49 | .230/.293/.333 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .241/.289/.334 | .093 | .295 | 9 | 7 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .261/.297/.323 | .062 | .319 | 5 | 2 | 19% | 4% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Andrew Knizner 2020 · MLB |
25 | 49 | 46→50 | 46→40 | 45 | .246/.296/.373 | .127 | .277 | 15 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 87 | +0.8 | .222/.293/.333 | .111 | .266 | 12 | 5 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .225/.294/.342 | .116 | .277 | 13 | 3 | 22% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Trey Harris 2022 · AA |
26 | 47→51 | 46→45 | 44→45 | 40 | .235/.284/.363 | .128 | .287 | 14 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.269/.304 | .088 | .288 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .200/.253/.266 | .066 | .277 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 5% | 37 | -1.4 |