Greg Cullen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA/A/ROK/INTL4 orgs | 195 | .265/.425/.437 | 6 | 0 | 105 | — | .225/.336/.324 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/AA/A/INTL3 orgs | 301 | .278/.412/.432 | 8 | 1 | 105 | — | .246/.340/.357 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/AA/A2 orgs | 245 | .260/.413/.370 | 4 | 4 | 87 | — | .237/.347/.319 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 241 | 207 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 377 | 396 | 773 | 116 | 315 | 12 | 12 | 348 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | — | 568 | 471 | 127 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 71 | 100 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 270 | 393 | 401 | 795 | 132 | 325 | 18 | 12 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 83 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 398 | 359 | 757 | 141 | 300 | 27 | 23 | 354 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 439 | 312 | 752 | 31 | 360 | 17 | 20 | 362 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 16 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 562 | 833 | 1.396 | 417 | 400 | 6 | 25 | 578 | 168 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 55 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 415 | 535 | 950 | 256 | 281 | 18 | 16 | 403 | 159 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 99 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 317 | 429 | 439 | 868 | 122 | 436 | 25 | 14 | 390 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 131 | 102 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 391 | 431 | 822 | 196 | 250 | 18 | 18 | 364 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 33 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 364 | 345 | 708 | 69 | 320 | 12 | 12 | 325 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Auckland Tuatara | — | 38 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 321 | 486 | 500 | 986 | 179 | 381 | 16 | 21 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 34 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 324 | 310 | 634 | 103 | 227 | 18 | 12 | 298 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 189 | 147 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 272 | 425 | 388 | 812 | 116 | 370 | 24 | 19 | 371 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 22 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 455 | 312 | 767 | 62 | 308 | 14 | 23 | 374 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 241 | 218 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 87 | 257 | 17 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 568 | 495 | 106 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 134 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 214 | 314 | 321 | 635 | 107 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 83 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 301 | 268 | 569 | 85 | 276 | 33 | 14 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 41 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 366 | 286 | 652 | 29 | 326 | 22 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 16 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 438 | 714 | 1.152 | 357 | 284 | 6 | 12 | 416 | 168 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 99 | 87 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 378 | 379 | 757 | 80 | 439 | 30 | 9 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 131 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 312 | 345 | 658 | 145 | 221 | 21 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 33 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 67 | 289 | 15 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 300 | 594 | 100 | 205 | 21 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 189 | 159 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 57 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 245 | 355 | 327 | 682 | 82 | 351 | 30 | 12 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 22 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 278 | 641 | 56 | 253 | 18 | 14 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 241 | 218 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 87 | 260 | 17 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 241 | 207 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 377 | 396 | 773 | 116 | 315 | 12 | 12 | 348 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 568 | 495 | 106 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 134 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 214 | 314 | 321 | 635 | 107 | 275 | 24 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 568 | 471 | 127 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 71 | 100 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 270 | 393 | 401 | 795 | 132 | 325 | 18 | 12 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 195 | 163 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 337 | 313 | 650 | 98 | 294 | 27 | 14 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 195 | 151 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 425 | 437 | 862 | 172 | 318 | 21 | 21 | 388 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 301 | 259 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 72 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 341 | 359 | 700 | 112 | 317 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 301 | 241 | 67 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 49 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 412 | 432 | 844 | 154 | 333 | 19 | 16 | 377 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 207 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 237 | 347 | 319 | 666 | 82 | 333 | 28 | 12 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 245 | 192 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 55 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 260 | 413 | 370 | 783 | 109 | 341 | 22 | 18 | 361 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 241 | 218 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 87 | 257 | 17 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 568 | 491 | 106 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 134 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 216 | 314 | 324 | 638 | 108 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 195 | 163 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 337 | 313 | 650 | 98 | 292 | 27 | 14 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 301 | 261 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 72 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 341 | 356 | 698 | 111 | 312 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 245 | 208 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 236 | 347 | 317 | 664 | 82 | 322 | 28 | 12 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1550 | 1342 | 302 | 47 | 9 | 23 | 153 | 368 | 42 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 323 | 325 | 648 | 100 | 291 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 80 | -37 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +34 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 563 | 128 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 64 | 154 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 227 | 326 | 330 | 656 | 103 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 286 | 80 | -16 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABowie Baysox · 189 PAwOBA .365 → .310 (−55)K% 24.3% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.34% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.99% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 12.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.71% | ÷0.965 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 28.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.046 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.208 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.88% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .365 → .310; ISO .116 → .087; BABIP .370 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAANorfolk Tides · 34 PAwOBA .291 → .238 (−53)K% 17.6% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .291 → .238; ISO .103 → .072; BABIP .227 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 22 PAwOBA .366 → .277 (−90)K% 13.6% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.950 | 13.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.950 | 3.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.950 | 19.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.950 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 104, 2B 120, 3B 88, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .366 → .277; ISO .062 → .049; BABIP .308 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABowie Baysox · 131 PAwOBA .359 → .291 (−68)K% 17.6% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.56% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.79% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.72% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.055 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.170 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .359 → .291; ISO .196 → .146; BABIP .250 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAANorfolk Tides · 99 PAwOBA .380 → .344 (−36)K% 25.3% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.25% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.14% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.84% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 38.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×1.018 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.970 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 126, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .380 → .344; ISO .122 → .099; BABIP .436 → .439. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 33 PAwOBA .318 → .267 (−51)K% 12.1% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.061 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.960 | 8.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.960 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.960 | 3.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.128 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .267; ISO .069 → .053; BABIP .320 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABowie Baysox · 83 PAwOBA .347 → .268 (−78)K% 26.5% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.51% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.89% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 14.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.995 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.258 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .268; ISO .141 → .102; BABIP .300 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 41 PAwOBA .354 → .288 (−67)K% 17.1% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷1.027 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.51% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 12.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 29.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 3.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 107, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .288; ISO .031 → .025; BABIP .360 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .