Termarr Johnson — OGILVIE

Termarr JohnsonSS Indianapolis Indians

Age 22 L/R 5'7" / 201 lbs AAA BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.3 · 2030

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .299 / .332

PA320

HR7

SB12

K%27

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52→52

PWR

50↗51

SPD

50↘47

FLD

45↗48

EYE

52↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$14M	+$13M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.1	$18M	+$18M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.3	$21M	+$20M
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+2.3	$21M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.1	$20M	+$12M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+1.9	$19M	+$9M
Totals		$25M		$113M	+$88M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	82	68	12	5	0	1	11	28	0	6	1	.176	.291	.294	.585	.118	.262	34	13	.269	64	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2023	19	A	2 teams	462	379	75	11	1	15	71	163	8	10	2	.198	.336	.351	.687	.153	.296	35	15	.304	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.5
2024	20	A+	3 teams	598	524	102	18	1	14	58	162	9	25	5	.195	.286	.313	.599	.118	.249	27	10	.269	64	-24	+3	+0	+6	+17	0.2
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	503	454	109	12	2	9	39	124	4	20	12	.240	.306	.335	.641	.095	.310	25	8	.284	76	-14	-1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	86	74	12	3	0	0	10	24	0	5	0	.162	.262	.203	.465	.041	.240	28	12	.211	20	-8	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	234	207	43	7	1	4	23	63	2	7	2	.208	.293	.309	.602	.101	.275	27	10	.278	71	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
TOT	22	MLB	PIT	320	281	55	10	1	4	33	87	2	12	2	.196	.285	.281	.566	.085	.267	27	10	.260	57	-15	+2	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 27%	PIT	557	490	106	17	2	13	57	133	5	17	4	.216	.304	.339	.643	.122	.267	24	10	.292	82	-12	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.1
2028	24	MLB 45%	PIT	595	523	117	19	2	16	62	140	5	17	4	.224	.312	.359	.671	.136	.270	24	10	.302	89	-7	+2	-2	+6	+17	1.6
2029	25	MLB 59%	PIT	617	541	122	20	2	17	65	143	6	18	4	.226	.315	.364	.679	.139	.273	23	11	.308	94	-4	+2	-2	+7	+17	2.1
2030	26	MLB 77%	PIT	629	551	125	20	2	18	67	146	6	17	4	.227	.317	.368	.686	.142	.274	23	11	.311	96	-3	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.3
2031	27	MLB 92%	PIT	631	552	126	20	2	19	68	147	6	17	4	.228	.319	.375	.694	.147	.274	23	11	.311	96	-3	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.3
2032	28	MLB	PIT	628	549	124	20	2	18	68	148	6	15	3	.226	.318	.368	.686	.142	.273	24	11	.310	96	-3	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.1
2033	29	MLB	PIT	619	541	121	19	2	18	67	147	6	13	3	.224	.316	.366	.682	.142	.273	24	11	.308	94	-4	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.9
2034	30	MLB	PIT	609	533	119	19	2	17	66	147	5	12	2	.223	.315	.362	.677	.139	.271	24	11	.305	92	-6	+2	-4	+7	+17	1.6
2035	31	MLB	PIT	596	521	114	18	2	16	65	146	5	9	1	.219	.311	.353	.665	.134	.270	24	11	.302	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.3
2036	32	MLB	PIT	578	505	109	17	2	15	63	145	5	6	0	.216	.309	.347	.655	.131	.269	25	11	.297	85	-9	+1	-5	+6	+16	0.9
2037	33	MLB	PIT	548	479	102	16	1	14	59	141	5	5	0	.213	.306	.338	.644	.125	.267	26	11	.292	81	-12	+1	-6	+6	+16	0.5
2038	34	MLB	PIT	500	438	91	14	1	12	54	133	4	3	0	.208	.300	.326	.627	.119	.266	27	11	.285	77	-13	+1	-6	+5	+14	0.1
2039	35	MLB	PIT	444	391	79	12	1	10	47	123	3	2	0	.202	.293	.315	.607	.113	.264	28	11	.278	71	-15	+0	-7	+5	+13	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9430	8246	1796	284	28	246	1010	2379	90	219	51	.218	.310	.349	.658	.131	.273	25	11	.297	86	-151	+23	-46	+101	+267	19.8
/ 162G	—			650	568	124	20	2	17	70	164	6	15	4	.218	.311	.350	.661	.132	.274	25	11	.297	86	-10	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Bradenton Marauders	53	40	11	4	0	1	10	13	0	4	1	.275	.420	.450	.870	.175	.345	25	19	.370	142	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	29	23	3	2	0	0	6	8	0	2	0	.130	.310	.217	.528	.087	.200	28	21	.264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	19	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	132	99	24	2	0	5	29	32	3	3	0	.242	.427	.414	.842	.172	.306	24	22	.385	153	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	330	250	61	10	1	13	72	88	5	7	2	.244	.422	.448	.870	.204	.318	27	22	.391	157	+21	+1	—	—	+9	3.2
2024	20	AA	Altoona Curve	57	48	11	2	0	2	7	11	0	2	1	.229	.327	.396	.723	.167	.243	19	12	.315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	487	395	94	17	1	13	78	105	9	20	4	.238	.376	.385	.760	.147	.288	22	16	.346	123	+13	+2	—	—	+14	2.9
2024	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	54	40	10	2	2	1	14	11	0	3	0	.250	.444	.475	.919	.225	.321	20	26	.411	172	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	503	434	118	15	3	9	59	93	4	20	12	.272	.364	.382	.747	.111	.326	18	12	.337	116	+9	-1	—	—	+14	2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Termarr Johnson (OGILVIE)	22	52	50→51	50→47	60	.217/.299/.332	.115	.284	7	8	27%	9%	79	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	46→52	47→60	48→50	48	.228/.298/.366	.138	.291	14	13	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.216/.287/.334	.118	.296	10	14	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.243/.309/.437	.195	.311	23	11	28%	8%	105	+1.3
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	46→51	45→55	49→50	51	.225/.302/.352	.127	.274	12	12	22%	9%	85	+0.7	.233/.299/.395	.162	.280	19	11	23%	8%	95	+1.4	.223/.293/.390	.167	.262	20	11	23%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	46	.237/.296/.355	.118	.303	12	14	25%	8%	82	+0.5	.240/.297/.372	.132	.298	14	23	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.232/.286/.357	.124	.293	12	26	24%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→48	47→50	49→50	43	.234/.292/.373	.139	.312	14	10	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.290/.369	.140	.313	15	12	30%	7%	84	+0.6	.222/.286/.361	.140	.301	15	12	30%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	42→50	48→60	47→50	41	.216/.267/.362	.145	.288	15	13	30%	6%	72	-0.2	.226/.272/.362	.136	.296	14	12	27%	6%	74	-0.1	.218/.285/.408	.191	.271	26	8	29%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Alek Thomas 2022 · AAA	22	50→52	48→50	50	44	.246/.306/.398	.152	.324	13	12	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.240/.291/.381	.141	.289	14	11	21%	6%	87	+0.8	.235/.283/.368	.133	.274	14	11	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	48→54	45→50	48→50	45	.237/.294/.366	.130	.302	12	10	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.296/.367	.128	.298	12	7	23%	7%	85	+0.7	.237/.294/.369	.133	.295	13	4	23%	7%	81	+0.4
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2010 · AA	22	49→50	47→55	51→50	43	.238/.303/.387	.149	.330	13	11	31%	7%	94	+1.3	.240/.294/.390	.150	.333	14	11	30%	7%	91	+1.1	.219/.301/.407	.188	.300	20	11	32%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA	22	44→54	47→50	47→50	43	.225/.283/.363	.138	.279	15	13	25%	6%	80	+0.4	.232/.298/.354	.122	.281	10	16	20%	7%	83	+0.6	.229/.300/.346	.118	.273	9	17	19%	8%	79	+0.3
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	48→52	44→45	42→50	46	.236/.294/.356	.120	.303	12	10	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.216/.275/.345	.129	.292	13	7	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.205/.272/.325	.121	.274	14	9	29%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	47	44→45	50→55	45	.230/.291/.353	.122	.306	12	10	28%	8%	79	+0.3	.230/.300/.348	.118	.336	10	17	32%	9%	82	+0.5	.228/.299/.352	.124	.336	11	21	33%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Rio Ruiz 2016 · AA	22	48→52	42→50	43→40	50	.230/.296/.342	.112	.289	9	5	23%	9%	79	+0.3	.227/.286/.341	.114	.294	11	3	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→56	44→50	51→50	47	.232/.297/.363	.132	.298	10	16	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.307/.400	.147	.331	13	14	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.259/.313/.416	.157	.335	15	16	26%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Jordan Schafer 2009 · AA	22	47→53	47→50	50→65	41	.231/.280/.376	.144	.314	13	13	30%	6%	81	+0.4	.218/.281/.322	.104	.301	8	17	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.212/.291/.289	.077	.286	5	53	26%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Reid Brignac 2008 · AA	22	45→51	49→55	48→50	42	.231/.277/.380	.149	.282	17	9	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.232/.273/.366	.134	.287	13	9	23%	5%	76	+0.0	.234/.274/.359	.124	.292	11	6	23%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	41→47	49→55	51→55	43	.211/.270/.356	.146	.270	16	12	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.223/.290/.386	.163	.284	18	19	27%	8%	89	+0.9	.223/.295/.390	.167	.282	18	22	27%	9%	89	+0.8
●J.P. Crawford 2017 · AAA	22	49→58	40→45	47→50	53	.236/.302/.329	.092	.275	8	12	17%	9%	78	+0.2	.215/.295/.331	.116	.268	10	8	22%	10%	76	+0.1	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Luis García Jr. 2022 · MLB	22	48→57	47→50	43→50	42	.243/.274/.376	.133	.279	15	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	.266/.301/.412	.146	.307	15	9	18%	5%	99	+1.7	.270/.306/.407	.137	.308	14	13	17%	5%	97	+1.4
✕Jordan Danks 2010 · AA	23	48→50	44→50	50	43	.232/.293/.355	.123	.324	11	11	31%	7%	81	+0.4	.226/.285/.345	.119	.330	11	14	32%	7%	75	-0.0	.237/.309/.368	.131	.327	15	11	30%	9%	88	+0.6
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	47→45	48→55	47	.240/.306/.374	.134	.324	14	10	29%	9%	92	+1.2	.247/.306/.374	.127	.297	13	20	20%	8%	92	+1.2	.255/.321/.377	.122	.291	12	29	16%	8%	94	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)