Termarr Johnson — OGILVIE

Termarr JohnsonSS Indianapolis Indians

Age 22 L/R 5'7" / 201 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .280 / .289

PA216

HR4

SB9

K%28

BB%11

BABIP252

ISO100

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$10M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$10M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$20M		$40M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	82	68	12	5	0	1	11	29	0	6	1	176	291	294	585	118	268	35	13	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	82	63	14	6	0	1	16	21	0	6	1	222	380	365	745	143	295	26	20	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	462	377	77	11	1	15	73	159	8	10	2	204	345	358	703	154	302	34	16	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	462	349	85	12	1	18	101	120	8	10	2	244	424	438	862	195	315	26	22	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	598	518	104	20	1	13	64	163	9	25	5	201	299	319	618	118	261	27	11	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	598	483	115	21	3	16	99	127	9	25	5	238	377	393	771	155	286	21	17	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	503	456	103	12	2	10	37	134	4	20	12	226	290	327	616	101	296	27	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	503	434	118	15	3	9	59	93	4	20	12	272	364	382	747	111	326	18	12	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AAA	PIT	—	324	281	49	7	1	5	37	98	1	19	4	174	273	260	533	85	246	30	11	244	45	-20	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
YTD	22	AAA	PIT	—	324	264	51	8	1	6	54	82	1	19	4	193	332	299	632	106	254	25	17	294	83	-6	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.9
ROS	22	AAA	PIT	10%	216	190	36	5	1	4	23	60	1	9	2	189	280	289	570	100	254	28	11	264	60	-10	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	10%	22	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	252	27	9	259	56	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	22	AAA	PIT	—	346	301	53	8	1	5	39	104	1	20	4	176	273	259	532	83	249	30	11	245	46	-21	+2	-0	+4	+10	-0.5
TOT	22	AAA	PIT	—	540	471	85	12	2	9	60	158	2	28	6	180	276	272	548	91	248	29	11	252	51	-30	+3	-0	+6	+15	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	38%	557	490	100	15	2	14	58	150	4	21	6	204	293	329	622	124	260	27	10	281	73	-17	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2028	24	MLB	PIT	48%	595	524	110	17	2	16	62	156	4	23	6	210	298	342	640	132	264	26	10	291	81	-13	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.2
2029	25	MLB	PIT	53%	615	541	116	18	2	18	64	159	5	24	7	214	303	355	658	140	266	26	10	297	86	-10	+2	-1	+7	+17	1.6
2030	26	MLB	PIT	55%	627	551	119	19	2	19	66	162	5	24	7	216	305	361	667	145	266	26	11	300	88	-8	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2031	27	MLB	PIT	54%	629	552	118	18	2	19	67	163	5	24	7	214	304	357	661	143	266	26	11	300	88	-8	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.8
2032	28	MLB	PIT	54%	626	549	118	18	2	19	67	163	5	23	6	215	306	359	665	144	266	26	11	300	87	-9	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.7
2033	29	MLB	PIT	53%	617	541	115	18	2	18	66	162	5	21	6	213	304	353	657	140	265	26	11	298	86	-10	+2	-2	+7	+17	1.4
2034	30	MLB	PIT	52%	607	533	113	17	2	18	65	161	4	19	5	212	302	353	655	141	264	27	11	295	84	-11	+2	-3	+7	+17	1.2
2035	31	MLB	PIT	52%	594	521	110	17	2	17	64	159	4	16	4	211	302	349	652	138	262	27	11	292	81	-13	+2	-4	+6	+17	0.9
2036	32	MLB	PIT	56%	576	505	104	15	2	16	62	156	4	13	4	206	298	339	636	133	259	27	11	287	77	-15	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.5
2027	23	MLB	PIT	38%	214	189	38	6	1	5	22	58	1	8	2	201	288	323	610	122	259	27	10	275	69	-8	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.1
2028	24	MLB	PIT	48%	286	252	53	8	1	8	30	75	2	11	3	210	299	345	645	135	262	26	10	285	76	-8	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	25	MLB	PIT	53%	323	284	60	9	1	9	34	84	2	12	3	211	300	345	645	134	264	26	11	291	81	-7	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.6
2030	26	MLB	PIT	55%	343	301	64	10	1	10	36	89	3	13	4	213	303	352	655	140	265	26	10	294	83	-7	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2031	27	MLB	PIT	54%	343	301	64	10	1	10	36	89	3	13	4	213	303	352	655	140	265	26	10	294	83	-7	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2032	28	MLB	PIT	54%	340	298	64	10	1	10	36	88	3	12	3	215	306	356	661	141	265	26	11	293	82	-7	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2033	29	MLB	PIT	53%	328	288	61	9	1	10	35	86	2	11	3	212	302	354	656	142	264	26	11	291	81	-7	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB	PIT	52%	318	279	59	9	1	9	34	84	2	10	3	211	302	348	649	136	263	26	11	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2035	31	MLB	PIT	52%	309	271	57	9	1	9	33	83	2	8	2	210	301	351	651	140	261	27	11	285	77	-8	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2036	32	MLB	PIT	56%	323	283	58	9	1	9	35	88	2	7	2	205	297	339	636	134	258	27	11	280	73	-10	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3149	2766	582	90	10	89	333	830	22	106	29	210	300	347	647	136	264	26	11	288	79	-76	+10	-10	+34	+89	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	120	19	2	18	69	171	5	22	6	210	301	345	646	135	264	26	11	288	79	-16	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7904	6916	1455	225	25	217	849	2136	67	278	80	210	303	344	647	134	269	27	11	292	81	-167	+24	-19	+85	+224	15.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	120	19	2	18	70	176	6	23	7	211	304	346	651	135	269	27	11	292	81	-14	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	53	40	11	4	0	1	10	13	0	4	1	275	420	450	870	175	345	25	19	370	142	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	29	23	3	2	0	0	6	8	0	2	0	130	310	217	528	87	200	28	21	264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	19	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	132	99	24	2	0	5	29	32	3	3	0	242	427	414	842	172	306	24	22	385	153	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	330	250	61	10	1	13	72	88	5	7	2	244	422	448	870	204	318	27	22	391	157	+21	+1	—	—	+9	3.2
2024	20	AA	Altoona Curve	—	57	48	11	2	0	2	7	11	0	2	1	229	327	396	723	167	243	19	12	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	487	395	94	17	1	13	78	105	9	20	4	238	376	385	760	147	288	22	16	346	123	+13	+2	—	—	+14	2.9
2024	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	54	40	10	2	2	1	14	11	0	3	0	250	444	475	919	225	321	20	26	411	172	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	503	434	118	15	3	9	59	93	4	20	12	272	364	382	747	111	326	18	12	337	116	+9	-1	—	—	+14	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	3,160	91	107	213	299	352	+34	-4	7.0	6.5
	/162	664	19	23	213	299	352	+7.1	-0.8	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Termarr Johnson (OGILVIE)	22	56→54	53→52	49→48	62	180/276/272	91	248	9	28	29%	11%	51	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47	47→50	49→50	42	232/288/370	138	315	14	10	30%	7%	83	+0.6	231/292/374	143	314	15	12	29%	7%	85	+0.7	226/290/370	144	302	16	12	29%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	49→55	45→50	48→50	47	239/299/368	128	301	12	10	24%	8%	87	+0.8	240/297/369	129	298	12	7	22%	7%	86	+0.8	238/296/373	135	295	13	4	23%	7%	83	+0.5
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→53	46→60	48→50	49	229/305/362	133	299	13	13	27%	9%	89	+0.9	214/286/331	117	295	10	13	29%	9%	72	-0.2	245/312/443	198	315	23	11	28%	8%	108	+1.4
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	47→53	43→50	53→55	41	227/275/340	113	305	10	19	28%	6%	69	-0.4	218/268/349	131	285	14	17	27%	6%	69	-0.4	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●Brice Turang 2022 · AAA	22	47→57	39→50	51→60	50	224/291/309	85	283	7	18	23%	9%	68	-0.5	242/301/347	105	303	10	29	22%	8%	82	+0.5	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA	22	44→54	47→45	46→50	43	221/281/359	138	274	15	13	25%	6%	78	+0.2	230/298/350	120	278	10	16	20%	8%	82	+0.5	226/301/345	120	264	11	17	18%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Nick Franklin 2013 · AAA	22	47→50	46→50	53→50	42	232/280/363	131	297	13	13	26%	6%	77	+0.1	232/297/369	137	294	14	12	25%	8%	87	+0.8	224/295/364	140	279	16	11	25%	9%	83	+0.5
✕Mason Williams 2014 · AA	22	49→53	41→50	47→55	45	236/280/339	103	282	7	12	19%	6%	70	-0.3	237/280/322	85	283	5	14	17%	6%	66	-0.6	246/291/375	129	301	15	7	23%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	45→50	50	43	215/274/335	120	274	13	14	26%	6%	68	-0.5	237/291/367	130	317	13	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	238/291/359	121	322	12	13	29%	6%	78	+0.2
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	42→50	52→50	48	238/300/350	112	299	8	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	248/307/389	141	308	12	12	22%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	42→49	48→60	48→50	39	213/261/358	145	293	15	13	32%	6%	68	-0.5	229/276/372	143	298	14	12	27%	6%	78	+0.2	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Casey Craig 2008 · AA	23	48→50	45	50	47	238/297/361	123	294	12	14	23%	7%	85	+0.7	234/287/334	100	298	8	16	23%	6%	72	-0.2	238/283/318	79	304	6	19	23%	5%	65	-0.5