Termarr Johnson — OGILVIE

Termarr Johnson2B Indianapolis Indians

Age 22 L/R 5'7" / 201 lbs AAA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION406 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP250

ISO103

MLB%14%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	53	40	11	4	0	1	10	13	0	4	1	275	420	450	870	175	345	25	19	370	137	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	29	23	3	2	0	0	6	8	0	2	0	130	310	217	528	87	200	28	21	264	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	19	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	132	99	24	2	0	5	29	32	3	3	0	242	427	414	842	172	306	24	22	385	147	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	330	250	61	10	1	13	72	88	5	7	2	244	422	448	870	204	318	27	22	391	150	+20	+1	—	—	+7	2.8
2024	20	AA	Altoona Curve	—	57	48	11	2	0	2	7	11	0	2	1	229	327	396	723	167	243	19	12	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	487	395	94	17	1	13	78	105	9	20	4	238	376	385	760	147	288	22	16	346	120	+12	+2	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	54	40	10	2	2	1	14	11	0	3	0	250	444	475	919	225	321	20	26	411	164	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	21	AA	Altoona Curve	—	503	434	118	15	3	9	59	93	4	20	12	272	364	382	747	111	326	18	12	337	114	+8	-1	—	—	+11	1.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	53	43	11	4	0	1	7	19	0	4	1	256	360	419	779	163	311	36	13	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	29	25	2	1	0	0	4	11	0	2	0	80	207	120	327	40	148	38	14	172	3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	19	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	132	109	19	1	0	3	19	43	3	3	0	174	313	266	579	92	262	33	14	281	76	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	330	269	54	9	1	11	53	120	5	7	2	201	343	364	707	164	301	36	16	318	101	+1	+1	—	—	+7	0.8
2024	20	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	57	51	11	2	0	2	4	14	0	2	1	216	273	373	645	157	224	25	7	279	75	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	20	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	487	420	84	15	1	10	53	137	9	20	4	200	303	312	615	112	259	28	11	273	71	-17	+2	—	—	+11	-0.4
2025	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	503	455	107	13	2	8	38	120	4	20	12	235	300	325	625	90	296	24	8	277	74	-16	-1	—	—	+11	-0.6
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	82	68	12	5	0	1	11	29	0	6	1	176	291	294	585	118	268	35	13	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	82	63	14	6	0	1	16	21	0	6	1	222	380	365	745	143	295	26	20	333	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	462	378	74	11	1	14	72	163	8	10	2	196	336	341	678	146	296	35	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	462	349	85	12	1	18	101	120	8	10	2	244	424	438	862	195	315	26	22	389	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	598	520	104	19	1	13	62	166	9	25	5	200	296	315	611	115	262	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	598	483	115	21	3	16	99	127	9	25	5	238	377	393	771	155	286	21	17	349	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	503	455	107	13	2	8	38	120	4	20	12	235	300	325	625	90	301	24	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	—	503	434	118	15	3	9	59	93	4	20	12	272	364	382	747	111	326	18	12	337	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	82	71	12	5	0	1	11	29	0	6	1	169	291	282	573	113	253	35	13	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	462	379	74	11	1	14	72	163	8	10	2	195	336	340	677	145	290	35	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	598	522	104	19	1	13	62	166	9	25	5	199	296	314	610	115	255	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	503	456	107	13	2	8	38	120	4	20	12	235	300	325	624	90	296	24	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	462	379	74	11	1	14	72	163	8	10	2	195	336	340	677	145	290	35	16	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	598	522	104	19	1	13	62	166	9	25	5	199	296	314	610	115	255	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	503	456	107	13	2	8	38	120	4	20	12	235	300	325	624	90	296	24	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	PIT	—	406	353	61	12	1	6	47	121	1	24	6	173	272	263	535	91	242	30	12	243	51	-24	+2	+0	+1	+9	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AAA RAW	PIT	—	406	332	66	14	1	8	68	101	1	24	6	199	337	319	656	120	259	25	17	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AAA MLE	PIT	14%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		251	22	11	262	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	22	MLB CTX	PIT	14%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						250	0	0	255	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	PIT	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	255	51	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	AAA MLE	PIT	—	415	361	62	12	1	6	48	123	1	24	6	172	271	260	531	89	240	30	12	243	51	-24	+2	-0	+1	+9	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	40%	557	490	99	17	2	13	59	148	3	23	7	202	292	324	616	122	258	27	11	280	76	-16	+2	-1	+2	+12	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	595	523	110	19	2	16	63	154	4	24	7	210	300	346	646	136	262	26	11	292	84	-12	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	615	541	116	20	2	18	65	157	4	25	7	214	303	359	662	144	264	26	11	299	88	-8	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	627	551	118	20	2	19	67	159	4	25	7	214	304	361	665	147	265	25	11	303	91	-7	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	629	552	118	20	2	19	68	160	4	25	7	214	304	361	665	147	265	25	11	303	91	-7	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	626	549	118	20	2	19	68	160	4	24	7	215	306	362	668	148	265	26	11	302	91	-7	+2	-2	+2	+14	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	617	541	117	20	2	19	67	159	4	22	6	216	307	366	673	150	264	26	11	300	89	-8	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	607	532	113	19	2	18	66	158	4	20	6	212	304	357	661	145	263	26	11	298	88	-9	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	594	520	109	18	2	17	65	157	4	17	5	210	302	350	652	140	261	26	11	294	85	-10	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	576	504	103	17	1	16	63	154	4	13	4	204	298	337	635	133	258	27	11	289	82	-13	+1	-5	+2	+12	-0.2
2037	33	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	546	479	95	15	1	14	59	149	3	10	3	198	290	322	612	123	254	27	11	283	77	-15	+1	-5	+2	+12	-0.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	40%	223	196	40	7	1	5	24	59	1	9	3	204	294	327	621	122	256	26	11	272	76	-6	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	290	255	52	9	1	7	31	75	2	12	3	204	295	329	625	125	260	26	11	282	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	325	285	60	10	1	9	35	83	2	13	4	211	301	347	649	137	262	26	11	289	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	344	302	64	11	1	10	37	87	2	14	4	212	302	354	656	142	263	25	11	292	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	343	301	64	11	1	10	37	87	2	14	4	213	303	355	658	143	263	25	11	292	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	341	299	64	11	1	10	37	87	2	13	4	214	305	358	663	144	262	26	11	292	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	328	287	60	10	1	9	36	85	2	12	3	209	302	345	646	136	262	26	11	290	89	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	319	279	59	10	1	9	35	83	2	10	3	211	304	351	655	140	261	26	11	288	88	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	309	270	55	9	1	8	34	82	2	9	3	204	297	333	631	130	259	27	11	284	85	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	298	262	54	9	1	8	32	80	2	7	2	206	297	340	637	134	256	27	11	279	82	-6	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	282	247	49	8	1	7	31	77	2	5	2	198	293	324	617	126	252	27	11	273	77	-8	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3403	2984	621	105	11	92	369	885	21	118	35	208	300	343	643	135	261	26	11	286	84	-56	+10	-14	+12	+74	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	119	20	2	18	70	169	4	23	7	209	299	346	645	137	262	26	11	286	84	-11	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8243	7211	1514	253	24	224	894	2195	63	289	86	210	303	345	647	135	267	27	11	293	84	-111	+19	-26	+24	+143	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	120	20	2	18	70	173	5	23	7	211	303	348	651	137	267	27	11	293	84	-11	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.2	3,448	99	119	212	299	353	+37	-5	8.2	7.4
/162	664	19	23	+7.1	-0.9	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Termarr Johnson (OGILVIE)	22	55	53→54	50→48	68	187/279/284	96	251	5	14	28%	11%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	47	239/299/356	117	304	11	14	25%	8%	86	+0.3	236/293/360	124	294	12	23	23%	7%	84	+0.2	230/283/348	118	290	11	26	24%	6%	76	-0.3
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	220/298/335	115	296	11	20	28%	9%	81	-0.1	235/317/411	176	321	19	22	30%	9%	106	+1.8	231/315/396	166	310	19	23	30%	9%	99	+1.1
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	47→52	41→50	50→60	54	222/318/324	102	296	7	14	25%	11%	86	+0.3	235/326/374	139	303	12	30	24%	10%	100	+1.3	232/326/372	140	301	12	35	25%	10%	97	+0.8
●Brice Turang 2022 · AAA	22	47→57	39→50	51→60	50	223/289/305	82	281	6	18	22%	8%	70	-0.8	238/298/335	97	298	9	29	22%	8%	80	-0.2	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	84	+0.1	252/304/335	83	284	5	13	13%	6%	82	-0.0	264/325/345	82	303	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	49→54	44→50	48→50	47	239/298/363	124	299	11	10	24%	7%	87	+0.4	239/295/365	126	298	12	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	237/294/370	133	295	13	4	23%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Taylor Motter 2012 · A	22	49→50	42→55	55	53	235/311/343	108	288	9	20	21%	10%	87	+0.4	229/293/332	103	283	8	20	21%	8%	78	-0.3	208/287/374	165	259	20	5	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	51→50	54	226/318/331	106	305	7	15	26%	12%	88	+0.4	195/285/290	95	293	7	13	32%	11%	66	-1.1	147/250/227	80	231	5	13	35%	11%	38	-2.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
●Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	46→56	43→50	53→50	48	223/289/343	120	286	8	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	225/291/339	114	281	9	12	22%	8%	79	-0.2	231/301/363	132	280	11	10	21%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.2	231/279/321	90	301	5	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	236/282/326	90	306	4	6	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
●Dustin Ackley 2011 · AAA	23	49→56	41→50	51→50	53	231/305/345	114	273	7	9	18%	9%	85	+0.2	250/322/371	121	298	10	9	18%	10%	97	+1.1	253/327/369	116	299	10	8	18%	10%	95	+1.0
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→53	45→50	55	52	231/313/367	136	291	10	21	23%	10%	94	+0.9	235/321/380	145	305	14	21	26%	10%	100	+1.3	231/323/380	149	298	15	24	26%	10%	97	+0.7
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	43→49	48→60	47→50	40	217/266/366	149	290	16	13	31%	6%	76	-0.4	227/272/356	129	296	12	12	26%	6%	75	-0.5	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	42→45	53→50	49	241/300/351	109	293	8	12	20%	8%	84	+0.2	239/290/342	103	290	8	9	19%	6%	78	-0.3	243/304/370	127	291	12	9	20%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→49	47→50	50	43	234/291/373	139	314	14	10	30%	7%	86	+0.3	231/292/368	137	313	14	12	29%	7%	86	+0.3	226/290/362	136	303	14	12	29%	8%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps