Livan Soto — OGILVIE

Livan SotoSS Norfolk Tides

Age 26 L/R 5'10" / 160 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .280 / .289

PA250

HR3

K%27

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT35

Whiff%

906.2%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER35

Barrel%

101.8

Avg EV

1084.3

Bat Spd

1066.5

EYE55

Chase%

6928.0%

SPEED45

Sprint

2326.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Braves	—	208	183	33	4	0	0	17	37	2	7	3	180	257	202	460	22	221	18	8	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	GCL Braves	—	208	173	39	5	0	0	27	26	2	7	3	225	337	254	591	29	260	12	13	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	200	181	40	7	0	0	15	35	3	9	3	221	291	260	551	39	272	18	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	200	172	50	10	0	0	24	24	3	9	3	291	387	349	736	58	336	12	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	311	286	48	5	0	1	20	63	1	6	4	168	225	196	421	28	210	20	6	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	311	273	60	7	0	1	33	44	1	6	4	220	306	256	563	37	257	14	11	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	450	415	70	14	5	7	27	140	3	14	5	169	225	277	502	108	231	31	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	450	400	87	15	8	7	42	110	3	14	5	217	297	347	644	130	278	24	9	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	650	579	151	23	2	6	51	150	5	19	9	261	326	339	664	78	336	23	8	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	650	555	161	24	2	7	75	122	5	19	9	290	380	378	758	88	355	19	12	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	477	424	81	16	2	7	44	146	4	1	1	191	273	288	561	97	269	31	9	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	477	405	96	18	2	9	63	117	4	1	1	237	345	358	703	121	307	25	13	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	—	554	492	132	22	2	5	50	98	5	9	7	268	342	352	693	83	322	18	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	—	554	464	134	28	1	4	78	89	5	9	7	289	397	379	776	91	346	16	14	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	455	406	72	5	0	6	32	128	7	3	2	177	249	234	483	57	239	28	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	455	382	82	10	1	5	56	93	7	3	2	215	326	285	611	71	267	20	12	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	BAL	—	250	225	47	7	1	3	20	67	3	2	1	209	282	289	571	80	279	27	8	263	60	-11	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	BAL	31%	395	355	76	12	1	6	33	105	4	3	2	214	288	304	592	90	280	27	8	270	65	-16	-0	-2	+4	+11	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	BAL	42%	403	362	77	12	1	7	34	106	4	3	1	213	287	309	597	97	281	26	8	273	67	-15	+0	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	BAL	31%	123	111	24	4	0	2	10	33	1	1	0	216	287	306	593	90	284	27	8	265	61	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	BAL	42%	170	152	32	5	0	3	14	45	2	1	1	211	286	303	588	92	285	26	8	269	64	-7	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	368	331	81	15	1	6	29	94	3	3	2	245	311	350	662	106	321	26	8	295	84	-7	-0	-2	+12	+10	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	143	26	2	11	51	166	5	5	4	244	310	352	663	108	320	26	8	295	84	-12	-1	-4	+21	+18	2.4
Career	—			—	4353	3908	827	127	14	48	343	1075	41	76	38	212	282	288	570	77	276	25	8	256	54	-224	+0	-7	+43	+123	-6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	123	19	2	7	51	161	6	11	6	211	281	286	567	75	275	25	8	256	54	-34	-0	-1	+6	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Braves	—	208	173	39	5	0	0	27	26	2	7	3	225	337	254	591	29	260	12	13	276	70	-7	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1
2018	18	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	200	172	50	10	0	0	24	24	3	9	3	291	387	349	736	58	336	12	12	340	118	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.1
2019	19	A	Burlington Bees	—	282	245	54	5	0	1	32	40	1	6	2	220	313	253	566	33	257	14	11	266	62	-12	+0	—	—	+8	-0.4
2019	19	ROK	AZL Angels	—	29	28	6	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	214	241	286	527	71	250	14	3	237	40	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	44	40	9	1	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	225	295	250	545	25	310	25	7	258	56	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	21	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	406	360	78	14	8	7	39	99	2	14	5	217	297	358	655	142	274	24	10	292	82	-8	+1	—	—	+12	0.4
2022	22	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	59	55	22	5	1	1	2	13	0	1	1	400	421	582	1.003	182	500	22	3	425	184	+6	-0	-1	+7	+2	1.3
2022	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	543	456	128	17	1	6	71	102	5	18	8	281	383	362	745	81	345	19	13	337	116	+10	+0	—	—	+15	2.6
2022	22	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	48	44	11	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	250	283	295	578	45	289	15	4	252	51	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	350	298	74	14	2	8	44	83	3	0	0	248	351	389	740	141	313	24	13	331	112	+5	+0	—	—	+10	1.5
2023	23	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	127	107	22	4	0	1	19	34	1	1	1	206	331	271	602	65	292	27	15	288	79	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	300	19	19	324	106	+0	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.3
2024	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	370	315	89	17	1	4	46	62	4	4	3	283	381	381	762	98	336	17	12	344	122	+9	-0	—	—	+10	2.0
2024	24	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	168	136	42	10	0	0	29	24	1	5	4	309	434	382	816	74	372	14	17	374	144	+8	-1	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	366	313	61	5	0	5	44	80	5	3	1	195	304	259	563	64	243	22	12	266	62	-16	+0	—	—	+10	-0.5
2025	25	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	89	69	21	5	1	0	12	13	2	0	1	304	422	406	827	101	362	15	13	353	129	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	75	68	25	6	1	1	5	16	0	1	1	368	411	529	940	162	462	21	7	404	167	+6	-0	-1	+9	+2	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	376	6	4	243	304	350	+4	-1	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	11	6	243	304	350	+7.1	-2.2	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Livan Soto (OGILVIE)	26	35	35	45	55	207/280/289	82	279	3	2	27%	8%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕J.R. Hopf 2009 · AAA	26	41	40→45	48→40	44	198/267/285	87	297	8	4	34%	8%	53	-1.5	220/278/321	101	291	8	6	26%	7%	66	-0.6	225/275/323	98	281	8	2	22%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Bryce Windham 2023 · AA	26	44	40	46→50	54	211/293/304	93	256	8	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4	227/293/319	92	297	5	12	23%	8%	71	-0.3	239/299/327	88	317	3	15	24%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Steven Lerud 2011 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→40	43	206/275/315	109	274	11	4	28%	7%	64	-0.8	195/264/288	93	297	8	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	199/291/280	82	290	7	2	31%	9%	60	-0.3
✕Bryant Flete 2019 · AAA	26	44	38→40	40→50	41	209/266/287	77	284	5	6	27%	6%	52	-1.6	219/294/307	88	310	8	7	30%	7%	70	-0.3	215/312/274	59	314	8	0	31%	9%	68	-0.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2017 · AAA	26	40→43	37→40	40→50	46	190/267/265	74	277	4	7	30%	9%	47	-1.9	196/284/308	112	273	9	11	29%	10%	66	-0.6	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→36	40→50	42→30	40	186/254/273	87	268	8	2	32%	6%	44	-2.1	190/242/301	111	279	11	4	34%	5%	46	-2.0	167/210/286	119	245	13	1	36%	4%	27	-2.5
✕Logan Moore 2017 · AAA	26	41	42→40	43→30	40	206/250/306	100	275	10	3	28%	5%	50	-1.7	189/249/284	95	277	10	4	33%	7%	44	-2.1	160/230/236	75	239	8	0	35%	8%	23	-1.5
✕Corey Myers 2006 · AAA	26	42	40	44→45	42	206/250/298	92	263	8	5	25%	6%	47	-1.9	219/275/307	88	271	9	7	21%	7%	61	-1.0	221/283/285	64	266	7	5	19%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Jeremy Farrell 2013 · AAA	26	43→36	40→45	44→45	41	208/277/300	92	294	8	6	30%	6%	61	-1.0	198/259/295	97	296	7	4	34%	5%	52	-1.6	191/248/287	96	292	7	2	35%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Jose Herrera 2023 · MLB	26	45	42→40	48→40	48	220/289/315	95	285	10	5	25%	9%	69	-0.4	209/280/292	83	270	7	4	23%	9%	59	-1.1	190/272/263	73	243	6	1	23%	10%	47	-0.7
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	198/279/307	110	268	11	4	29%	9%	64	-0.8	208/301/298	90	295	7	5	29%	11%	71	-0.3	189/310/248	58	279	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.5
✕Brian Jeroloman 2010 · AAA	25	43→37	40→45	47→40	51	207/293/298	91	289	8	2	29%	11%	67	-0.5	204/293/293	89	307	8	5	33%	11%	66	-0.6	194/292/266	72	291	7	4	32%	11%	57	-0.6
✕Bruce Caldwell 2018 · AAA	26	42→45	42→45	45→40	41	202/269/304	102	308	10	4	36%	8%	58	-1.2	202/262/310	108	298	11	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	194/253/297	103	279	11	2	33%	7%	48	-1.3
✕Anderson Machado 2007 · MLB	26	41→43	40	41→45	45	201/267/294	94	279	7	7	29%	8%	54	-1.4	196/272/288	92	267	7	11	27%	9%	55	-1.4	189/268/275	85	265	4	8	28%	10%	48	-0.8
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Anthony Bemboom 2017 · AAA	27	42	39→45	45	43	206/250/291	86	260	7	8	24%	6%	46	-2.0	199/261/291	92	265	8	5	26%	7%	51	-1.7	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Dan Butler 2013 · AAA	26	42→38	43→45	47→40	46	208/277/318	110	259	10	3	24%	7%	66	-0.6	210/271/320	110	265	10	3	24%	6%	63	-0.8	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Kody Eaves 2019 · AAA	26	38→43	42→45	46→50	41	190/245/298	108	263	9	7	31%	6%	46	-2.0	196/245/310	114	287	11	7	34%	6%	49	-1.8	180/227/297	116	266	12	4	36%	5%	35	-2.2
✕Levi Hyams 2016 · AA	26	47→48	40	48→45	46	223/285/324	101	297	7	7	26%	8%	69	-0.4	206/250/297	91	285	8	5	29%	5%	47	-1.9	190/215/280	90	260	9	0	30%	3%	25	-1.5