Tristan Peters — OGILVIE

Tristan PetersLF Chicago White Sox

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.041 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .331 / .423

PA183

HR4

SB6

K%20

BB%8

BABIP317

ISO157

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

901.0%

xwOBA

440.301

POWER50

Barrel%

234.7

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

3569.8

EYE55

Chase%

901.7%

SPEED50

Sprint

7928.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.041 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.1	$9M	+$8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$15M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.6	$9M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+1.2	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$20M		$69M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	55	49	8	0	1	1	5	20	0	6	1	163	241	265	506	102	241	36	9	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	55	46	11	0	2	1	8	14	0	6	1	239	352	391	743	152	312	25	15	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	532	476	105	22	9	8	46	127	4	18	8	221	295	355	650	134	280	24	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	532	462	129	29	9	8	60	92	4	18	8	279	367	433	800	154	329	17	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	415	380	97	18	4	6	25	82	8	14	5	255	315	371	686	116	310	20	6	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	415	363	100	22	5	7	42	66	8	14	5	275	363	421	785	146	318	16	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	478	426	87	17	6	9	45	109	4	8	7	204	286	336	622	131	252	23	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	478	408	97	21	5	12	63	94	4	8	7	238	345	402	747	164	280	20	13	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	555	505	123	27	3	8	42	110	4	11	7	244	307	356	663	113	294	20	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	555	482	128	28	3	15	65	102	4	11	7	266	358	429	787	164	306	18	12	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	CWS	—	275	249	75	20	3	6	18	49	3	5	2	301	356	478	833	177	354	18	7	357	132	+10	+0	+1	+1	+8	2.0
YTD	26	MLB	CWS	—	275	249	75	20	3	6	18	49	3	5	2	301	356	478	833	177	354	18	7	361	135	+11	+0	+1	+1	+8	2.1
ROS	26	MLB	CWS	100%	183	165	44	10	2	4	14	36	2	6	1	266	331	423	754	157	312	20	8	325	107	+1	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.7
ROS	26	MLB	CWS	100%	183	165	44	10	2	4	14	36	2	6	1	267	331	424	756	158	313	20	8	319	102	+0	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.6
FULL	26	MLB	CWS	—	458	414	119	30	5	10	32	85	5	11	3	287	346	457	802	169	340	19	7	342	120	+10	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.6
TOT	26	MLB	CWS	—	458	414	119	30	5	10	32	85	5	11	3	287	346	456	802	169	339	19	7	344	122	+11	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CWS	82%	587	532	139	32	5	12	44	116	6	19	5	261	325	408	733	147	309	20	7	323	105	+3	+2	-3	+2	+17	2.1
2028	28	MLB	CWS	82%	576	521	135	31	5	11	44	115	6	18	4	259	324	401	725	142	308	20	8	321	104	+3	+2	-4	+2	+16	2.0
2029	29	MLB	CWS	82%	564	510	132	30	5	11	43	113	6	16	4	259	324	402	726	143	307	20	8	319	103	+2	+2	-4	+2	+16	1.7
2030	30	MLB	CWS	82%	553	500	127	29	4	10	43	113	5	14	4	254	319	388	707	134	306	20	8	316	100	+0	+1	-5	+2	+16	1.4
2031	31	MLB	CWS	82%	542	490	123	28	4	10	42	112	5	12	3	251	317	386	702	135	303	21	8	312	97	-2	+1	-6	+2	+15	1.1
2027	27	MLB	CWS	82%	481	437	114	26	4	10	36	95	5	16	4	261	324	407	732	146	310	20	7	317	101	+0	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.5
2028	28	MLB	CWS	82%	472	428	111	26	4	9	36	94	5	14	4	259	324	402	726	143	309	20	8	316	100	-0	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.3
2029	29	MLB	CWS	82%	462	418	108	25	4	9	36	93	5	13	3	258	325	402	727	144	308	20	8	314	98	-1	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.2
2030	30	MLB	CWS	82%	453	411	105	24	4	9	35	92	4	12	3	255	320	399	719	144	307	20	8	311	96	-2	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.0
2031	31	MLB	CWS	82%	444	403	101	23	3	8	34	92	4	10	2	251	315	382	697	132	304	21	8	306	92	-4	+1	-5	+2	+13	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2495	2262	583	134	21	49	191	502	25	71	17	258	322	401	723	143	310	20	8	313	98	-6	+7	-19	+9	+71	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	152	35	5	13	50	131	7	18	4	258	324	401	725	143	310	20	8	313	98	-2	+2	-5	+2	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	5040	4554	1120	244	48	90	393	1053	50	142	49	246	313	380	693	134	299	21	8	305	92	-47	+9	-23	+18	+143	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	144	31	6	12	51	136	6	18	6	245	312	380	692	135	298	21	8	305	92	-6	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	55	46	11	0	2	1	8	14	0	6	1	239	352	391	743	152	312	25	15	330	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	149	132	28	7	1	1	15	31	2	5	2	212	302	303	605	91	270	21	10	281	73	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	383	330	101	22	8	7	45	61	2	13	6	306	393	485	877	179	351	16	12	383	151	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.4
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	415	363	100	22	5	7	42	66	8	14	5	275	363	421	785	146	318	16	10	351	127	+13	+1	—	—	+12	2.6
2024	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	478	408	97	21	5	12	63	94	4	8	7	238	345	402	747	164	280	20	13	335	115	+8	-1	—	—	+14	2.1
2025	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	555	482	128	28	3	15	65	102	4	11	7	266	358	429	787	164	306	18	12	350	126	+17	-1	—	—	+16	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,939	57	85	259	319	401	-23	-2	7.1	7.1
	/162	664	13	19	259	319	401	-5.1	-0.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tristan Peters (OGILVIE)	26	55	50	50	55	287/346/456	169	339	10	11	19%	7%	122	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Larry Bigbie 2004 · MLB	26	55→56	48→50	52→50	51	272/336/415	142	326	15	13	21%	9%	115	+2.7	260/323/395	135	323	15	10	23%	9%	104	+2.0	253/319/377	124	320	13	8	24%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Lastings Milledge 2010 · MLB	25	54→59	44→50	50→55	46	263/320/383	120	307	12	21	18%	6%	100	+1.7	260/314/369	109	298	10	18	15%	6%	93	+1.3	264/318/366	103	299	9	18	14%	6%	89	+0.7
●Matt Vierling 2023 · MLB	26	49→56	45→50	52→50	46	241/296/363	122	292	12	16	22%	7%	84	+0.6	257/317/401	144	314	14	9	22%	8%	103	+1.9	261/325/409	149	320	15	7	22%	8%	105	+1.5
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	46→54	47→50	55	48	231/299/374	143	270	14	16	20%	7%	89	+0.9	245/325/396	151	276	16	19	17%	9%	106	+2.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Brandon Jones 2010 · MLB	26	51→53	44→55	47→50	47	246/301/371	125	304	10	10	22%	7%	88	+0.9	213/278/312	99	278	8	6	24%	8%	63	-0.8	192/264/274	82	254	6	3	25%	9%	45	-1.2
✕Leonys Martin 2013 · MLB	25	54→56	50	51→60	46	269/318/435	166	304	16	21	18%	6%	112	+2.6	255/304/374	119	309	11	31	20%	6%	90	+1.0	246/302/391	145	311	16	24	25%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Michael Taylor 2012 · MLB	26	49→59	48→55	51→50	46	246/304/392	146	297	16	16	23%	7%	95	+1.4	241/309/372	131	304	14	12	24%	8%	92	+1.2	240/312/365	125	305	12	10	24%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2020 · MLB	27	49→53	48→50	48→50	48	243/304/390	147	284	15	9	20%	7%	95	+1.4	223/285/345	122	285	13	8	25%	7%	76	+0.0	186/249/234	48	274	3	3	31%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Danny Richar 2009 · MLB	26	49→59	47→55	50	45	242/287/382	140	283	13	12	20%	6%	85	+0.7	253/285/370	117	295	11	10	18%	4%	81	+0.4	275/311/375	100	330	8	14	18%	5%	90	+0.7
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB	26	52	44→50	59→55	51	251/323/381	130	310	9	20	21%	9%	100	+1.7	231/317/354	123	272	12	19	19%	10%	92	+1.2	219/314/336	116	253	12	20	18%	11%	83	+0.3
✕Will Brennan 2023 · MLB	25	56→62	44→45	53→50	49	273/326/402	128	314	10	16	16%	6%	106	+2.2	265/306/379	114	300	10	14	15%	5%	92	+1.2	266/304/368	102	300	10	10	14%	4%	85	+0.3
✕Ramón Flores 2018 · MLB	26	52→58	42→45	51→50	53	252/323/356	104	299	9	10	18%	9%	94	+1.3	235/299/339	104	290	10	10	21%	8%	79	+0.3	217/277/297	79	272	8	6	22%	7%	57	-0.4
●Adam Frazier 2018 · MLB	26	60→67	41→50	49→50	52	286/343/396	110	321	6	15	13%	7%	112	+2.6	266/327/405	139	297	11	7	14%	7%	108	+2.3	285/346/410	126	315	9	6	12%	7%	113	+2.2
●Shane Peterson 2014 · AAA	26	48→58	44→50	52→50	49	234/312/354	121	313	12	15	28%	10%	89	+1.0	251/313/373	122	347	11	9	28%	8%	94	+1.3	256/309/388	132	341	11	8	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Josh Rojas 2020 · MLB	26	46→54	47→50	55	49	230/296/376	146	276	14	25	22%	8%	89	+0.9	243/316/375	132	305	12	19	23%	10%	96	+1.5	251/325/369	118	318	10	18	23%	10%	95	+1.2
●Ben Gamel 2018 · MLB	26	56→63	44→50	50	45	269/316/396	127	334	11	10	22%	6%	101	+1.8	266/337/398	132	347	10	10	24%	9%	110	+2.4	267/349/400	134	355	9	9	25%	10%	112	+1.3
✕Boog Powell 2019 · MLB	26	52→57	41→45	45→50	51	251/315/347	96	305	9	15	20%	8%	88	+0.9	219/289/329	110	308	10	16	30%	9%	72	-0.2	201/276/307	106	293	10	18	32%	9%	59	-0.7
●Felix Pie 2012 · MLB	27	50→55	43→50	51→60	47	242/289/360	118	286	9	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	233/280/366	133	293	11	27	23%	6%	79	+0.3	250/303/403	153	303	14	25	22%	6%	95	+0.9
●Logan Forsythe 2013 · MLB	26	52→56	43→55	52→50	50	247/327/363	116	314	10	15	23%	9%	98	+1.6	242/315/380	138	292	14	11	21%	8%	98	+1.6	256/347/413	157	312	17	7	22%	11%	116	+2.6
●Cal Stevenson 2023 · MLB	26	46→56	43→45	54→60	51	223/302/332	109	293	11	20	26%	10%	79	+0.3	239/326/363	124	311	12	28	25%	11%	97	+1.5	241/333/366	126	310	12	34	24%	12%	100	+1.0