Trey Sweeney — OGILVIE

Trey SweeneySS Detroit Tigers

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 212 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 1.244 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 328 proj PA

wRC+†vL 6957vR 52

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .352

PA328

HR10

SB7

K%26

BB%8

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

2413.9%

xwOBA

100.262

POWER45

Barrel%

437.3

Avg EV

4588.8

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE45

Chase%

3834.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 445 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

366

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

276

253

◀L

ISO

084

116

▶▶R

BABIP

358

240

◀◀L

31.6%

27.0%

▶R

BB%

6.3%

7.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.244 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Arb-2	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.1M
2030	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	129	116	22	3	3	5	12	39	1	3	1	190	271	397	668	207	236	30	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	129	110	27	4	4	6	18	29	1	3	1	245	357	518	875	273	280	22	14	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	508	454	83	18	3	12	46	154	7	31	3	183	268	315	583	132	246	30	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	508	433	104	19	4	16	66	118	7	31	3	240	349	413	763	173	293	23	13	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	472	415	90	18	2	11	47	115	8	20	7	217	309	349	658	133	271	24	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	472	397	100	20	2	13	65	90	8	20	7	252	368	411	779	159	294	19	14	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	606	558	124	27	2	26	39	182	5	22	4	222	279	418	697	195	277	30	6	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	606	541	139	33	3	19	56	162	5	22	4	257	332	434	767	177	330	27	9	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	378	341	74	8	2	9	31	104	2	7	2	217	286	331	617	114	280	28	8	274	68	-14	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	378	339	72	8	2	8	33	103	2	7	2	212	286	319	605	106	276	27	9	274	68	-14	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	DET	—	328	296	64	10	1	10	26	86	3	7	2	216	286	358	644	142	265	26	8	285	77	-9	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	DET	65%	632	572	123	19	3	19	50	167	5	14	3	215	284	358	642	143	265	26	8	285	77	-17	+2	-6	+7	+18	0.4
2028	28	MLB	DET	65%	619	559	119	18	3	18	50	164	5	13	3	213	283	352	636	140	264	26	8	285	76	-17	+1	-7	+7	+18	0.2
2029	29	MLB	DET	65%	607	548	116	18	3	17	49	162	5	12	3	212	282	349	631	137	264	27	8	283	75	-17	+1	-7	+7	+17	0.0
2030	30	MLB	DET	65%	595	538	112	17	2	17	48	161	4	11	2	208	278	342	620	134	263	27	8	280	73	-18	+1	-8	+6	+17	-0.1
2031	31	MLB	DET	65%	583	527	109	17	2	16	47	159	4	9	2	207	277	338	615	131	261	27	8	277	70	-20	+1	-8	+6	+17	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	DET	65%	411	372	79	12	2	12	33	109	3	9	2	212	282	352	634	140	260	27	8	275	68	-15	+1	-4	+4	+12	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	DET	65%	402	364	76	12	2	11	32	107	3	9	2	209	278	343	622	135	260	27	8	274	68	-15	+1	-4	+4	+11	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	DET	65%	395	357	74	11	2	11	32	106	3	8	2	207	278	342	620	134	259	27	8	272	67	-15	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.3
2030	30	MLB	DET	65%	387	350	72	11	2	10	31	104	3	7	2	206	276	334	610	129	258	27	8	270	65	-15	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.5
2031	31	MLB	DET	65%	379	342	69	10	1	10	31	104	3	6	1	202	274	325	598	123	256	27	8	266	62	-16	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2419	2191	452	67	11	64	192	654	16	44	10	206	275	335	610	128	261	27	8	269	64	-98	+5	-23	+32	+69	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	18	3	17	52	176	4	12	3	205	274	333	607	127	260	27	8	269	64	-26	+1	-6	+9	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	5457	4924	1036	173	26	160	445	1493	49	149	32	210	282	354	636	143	266	27	8	283	75	-156	+17	-39	+58	+155	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	124	21	3	19	53	178	6	18	4	211	283	354	638	143	267	27	8	283	75	-19	+2	-5	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	129	110	27	4	4	6	18	29	1	3	1	245	357	518	875	273	280	22	14	381	150	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	50	43	10	1	0	2	7	10	0	2	1	233	340	395	735	163	258	20	14	333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	458	390	94	18	4	14	59	108	7	29	2	241	350	415	765	174	297	24	13	344	121	+11	+5	—	—	+13	3.0
2023	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	472	397	100	20	2	13	65	90	8	20	7	252	368	411	779	159	294	19	14	352	127	+15	+1	—	—	+13	3.0
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	119	110	24	5	0	4	7	32	1	2	0	218	271	373	644	155	267	27	6	285	76	-3	+0	+2	+6	+3	1.0
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	487	431	115	28	3	15	49	130	4	20	4	267	347	450	797	183	346	27	10	352	128	+15	+2	—	—	+14	3.2
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	326	296	58	6	2	6	26	92	0	3	1	196	261	291	551	95	257	28	8	250	49	-19	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.8
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	52	43	14	2	0	2	7	11	2	4	1	326	442	512	954	186	400	21	13	426	184	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	445	406	82	11	2	10	33	124	1	5	1	202	264	313	576	111	260	28	7	259	57	-22	+1	-0	+11	+13	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,746	76	51	211	276	344	+29	+6	2.2	2.4
	/162	664	18	12	211	276	344	+7.1	+1.4	0.5	pk7: 3
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Sweeney (OGILVIE)	26	35	45	60	45	212/280/352	140	265	10	7	26%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	41→49	47→45	53→55	48	209/284/337	128	275	15	16	29%	9%	73	-0.1	224/308/335	111	306	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	227/321/326	100	311	9	19	27%	11%	83	+0.4
✕Braden Shewmake 2023 · AAA	25	42	49→50	53→55	40	220/258/366	146	267	17	11	25%	4%	69	-0.4	211/255/338	127	256	13	21	23%	5%	61	-1.0	199/238/298	99	235	9	18	19%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA	26	46→48	46→45	53→50	45	230/287/357	126	285	14	11	24%	7%	79	+0.3	221/286/341	120	282	13	12	25%	8%	75	-0.0	185/269/280	96	234	11	12	25%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Brooks Conrad 2006 · AAA	26	41→44	50→55	54→50	46	216/281/373	157	268	18	16	27%	8%	82	+0.5	196/253/364	168	253	18	12	30%	7%	67	-0.5	225/298/436	211	291	27	7	32%	9%	102	+0.6
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	40	207/269/342	135	261	16	9	27%	5%	69	-0.4	209/287/340	131	253	15	8	23%	6%	76	+0.1	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	48→50	53→55	48	214/295/357	142	268	15	14	25%	8%	83	+0.6	213/274/319	106	303	7	10	30%	7%	63	-0.8	228/274/346	118	344	0	12	32%	6%	66	-0.1
✕Jason Smith 2004 · MLB	27	46→35	48→55	56→50	42	230/284/372	142	308	15	15	30%	7%	82	+0.5	225/268/379	154	285	16	12	26%	5%	77	+0.1	219/260/373	154	284	15	13	28%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	40	53→55	49→50	46	212/285/390	178	284	21	12	32%	9%	88	+0.9	221/294/375	154	351	16	13	38%	9%	87	+0.8	196/277/339	144	353	15	13	45%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	41	48→45	51→50	43	212/269/344	132	264	17	14	27%	6%	69	-0.4	224/260/330	106	275	13	11	23%	4%	60	-1.0	210/243/303	94	257	13	9	24%	3%	42	-0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2022 · MLB	26	44→47	50	49→50	45	225/285/378	153	293	17	9	29%	8%	84	+0.6	224/292/350	126	317	12	10	31%	8%	79	+0.3	191/272/253	61	319	0	9	36%	9%	42	-0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Grant Witherspoon 2023 · AAA	26	44→45	52→50	49→50	41	229/281/390	162	298	20	13	30%	6%	85	+0.7	206/272/344	138	300	16	12	35%	8%	70	-0.3	173/251/297	124	259	16	11	38%	9%	46	-0.8
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Marco Rivera 2009 · AAA	25	42	47→40	50→40	40	215/257/345	130	268	15	11	26%	5%	63	-0.8	239/292/333	94	293	9	6	20%	7%	75	-0.0	251/306/324	73	307	6	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Ryan Boldt 2021 · AA	26	48	47→50	55	43	239/294/379	140	304	14	15	26%	6%	88	+0.9	224/275/350	126	323	13	15	33%	6%	72	-0.2	215/267/337	122	310	13	17	33%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Craig Stansberry 2007 · AAA	25	42→47	49→50	54→50	46	215/280/371	157	265	15	15	25%	8%	80	+0.4	218/287/342	124	270	11	11	22%	8%	76	+0.0	228/291/336	108	277	10	8	20%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2023 · MLB	26	43→46	47→50	50→55	48	220/285/354	134	264	15	17	23%	8%	78	+0.2	212/280/332	120	272	13	21	26%	8%	70	-0.3	202/267/336	134	242	17	17	24%	7%	63	-0.5