Peyton Burdick — OGILVIE

Peyton BurdickCF Louisville Bats

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO200

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1018.0%

xAVG

100.189

POWER59

Barrel%

7011.2

Avg EV

7891.0

EYE47

Chase%

3834.0%

SPEED58

Sprint

5827.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	238	73	20	3	10	32	67	12	6	6	307	413	542	955	235	380	23	11	412	165	+22	-1	—	—	+6	2.8
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	31	28	4	3	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	143	226	250	476	107	235	35	10	221	36	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	460	373	86	17	2	23	76	135	11	9	5	231	376	472	848	241	293	29	17	378	142	+23	-0	—	—	+10	3.3
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	102	92	19	4	0	4	8	35	2	1	0	207	284	380	665	174	283	34	8	299	88	-1	+0	-4	+2	+2	-0.1
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	430	364	78	16	5	15	53	120	9	13	3	214	328	409	737	195	272	28	12	329	109	+4	+1	—	—	+9	1.5
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	37	33	6	2	0	1	3	18	1	1	0	182	270	333	604	152	357	49	8	275	73	-1	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.7
2023	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	492	420	92	20	2	24	57	180	12	12	2	219	329	448	777	229	311	37	12	344	119	+11	+2	—	—	+11	2.4
2024	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	258	219	41	7	0	11	32	108	5	5	0	187	305	370	675	183	294	42	12	305	93	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	139	125	25	6	0	5	11	53	3	2	0	200	281	368	649	168	299	38	8	293	84	-3	+0	-5	-4	+3	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	248	58	15	3	7	23	90	12	6	6	234	329	403	732	169	312	31	8	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+6	0.5
2021	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	31	29	3	2	0	0	2	13	0	0	0	103	161	172	334	69	213	42	6	169	1	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	460	397	72	14	2	17	52	169	11	9	5	181	293	355	649	174	256	37	11	285	79	-11	-0	—	—	+10	-0.2
2022	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	102	92	19	4	0	4	8	35	2	1	0	207	284	380	665	174	283	34	8	305	92	-1	+0	-4	+2	+2	-0.0
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	430	381	64	14	5	10	37	149	9	13	3	168	258	310	567	142	233	35	9	250	55	-23	+1	—	—	+9	-1.2
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	37	33	6	2	0	1	3	18	1	1	0	182	270	333	604	152	357	49	8	282	77	-1	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.7
2023	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	492	438	73	16	2	16	39	208	12	12	2	167	254	322	575	155	257	42	8	253	57	-25	+2	—	—	+11	-1.3
2024	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	258	230	30	5	0	6	21	130	5	5	0	130	219	230	449	100	253	50	8	213	30	-21	+1	—	—	+6	-1.5
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	248	58	15	3	7	23	90	12	6	6	234	329	403	732	169	327	31	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	238	73	20	3	10	32	67	12	6	6	307	413	542	955	235	380	23	11	412	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	426	75	16	2	17	54	183	11	9	5	176	285	343	628	167	257	37	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	491	401	90	20	2	23	79	146	11	9	5	224	367	456	823	232	289	30	16	368	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	532	473	83	18	5	14	45	184	11	14	3	175	263	323	586	148	248	35	8	261	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	532	456	97	20	5	19	61	155	11	14	3	213	319	404	723	191	274	29	11	323	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	529	471	79	18	2	17	42	226	13	13	2	168	255	323	577	155	268	43	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	529	453	98	22	2	25	60	198	13	13	2	216	325	439	764	223	313	37	11	339	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	258	230	30	5	0	6	21	130	5	5	0	130	219	230	449	100	250	50	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	258	219	41	7	0	11	32	108	5	5	0	187	305	370	675	183	294	42	12	305	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	251	58	15	3	7	23	90	12	6	6	231	329	398	727	167	312	31	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	423	75	16	2	17	54	183	11	9	5	177	285	345	630	168	253	37	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	532	471	83	18	5	14	45	184	11	14	3	176	263	325	588	149	243	35	8	261	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	529	469	79	18	2	17	42	226	13	13	2	168	255	324	579	156	264	43	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	258	230	30	5	0	6	21	130	5	5	0	130	219	230	449	100	253	50	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	529	469	79	18	2	17	42	226	13	13	2	168	255	324	579	156	264	43	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	258	230	30	5	0	6	21	130	5	5	0	130	219	230	449	100	253	50	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	CIN	10%	22	20	4	1	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	200	273	400	673	200	276	41	9	266	66	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	29	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						280	50	0	258	66	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	333	297	54	10	1	10	27	129	6	6	1	182	264	323	587	141	277	39	8	269	68	-13	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.6
2027	30	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	91	82	15	3	0	3	7	35	2	2	0	183	264	329	593	146	281	38	8	262	68	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	230	207	40	9	0	8	18	88	5	4	0	193	274	353	627	159	288	38	8	280	66	-6	+1	-6	-3	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	25	0	23	51	249	14	11	0	193	274	354	628	161	288	38	8	280	66	-17	+2	-16	-10	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2453	2165	383	83	13	72	214	951	58	53	17	177	269	327	596	150	269	39	9	265	66	-16	+1	-8	-2	+11	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	101	22	3	19	57	252	15	14	5	176	268	324	592	148	267	39	9	265	66	-21	+2	-10	-3	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	218	8	3	196	273	357	+1	-3	0.1	0.2
/162	664	23	10	+2.4	-9.5	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Peyton Burdick (OGILVIE)	29	20	59	58	47	178/259/324	146	276	8	5	40%	8%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA	28	35→34	52→50	52→50	34	191/237/352	161	283	21	11	40%	6%	63	-1.4	188/253/306	118	299	13	15	39%	8%	58	-1.7	142/223/229	87	220	11	21	38%	9%	28	-1.8
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→40	49→50	46→50	42	189/267/338	149	282	18	7	38%	9%	71	-0.8	189/261/304	115	312	13	8	40%	8%	61	-1.5	166/235/251	85	293	9	8	44%	8%	36	-1.3
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	36→44	48→50	55	35	191/246/331	140	277	17	19	37%	5%	61	-1.5	208/264/326	118	286	12	21	30%	6%	66	-1.1	205/262/312	107	278	10	24	29%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	37→47	48→50	52→50	42	197/253/337	140	262	16	10	31%	7%	65	-1.2	204/263/315	111	281	10	9	29%	7%	63	-1.4	194/252/287	94	273	6	7	30%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	38	49→50	55	37	196/257/340	144	282	17	20	36%	6%	68	-1.0	203/268/311	108	295	11	26	33%	7%	64	-1.3	195/265/282	88	286	8	32	32%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Kevin Richardson 2011 · AAA	30	37	49→50	49→40	31	192/236/334	143	304	18	5	42%	5%	58	-1.7	215/268/354	139	344	16	6	40%	6%	74	-0.5	205/263/336	130	338	15	0	41%	6%	65	-0.6
●Trayce Thompson 2021 · MLB	30	34→44	51→60	49→50	34	184/236/336	151	279	20	12	41%	6%	59	-1.7	215/295/416	201	308	26	9	37%	9%	99	+1.3	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	49→45	48→45	48	188/278/328	140	274	17	6	36%	11%	73	-0.6	176/256/294	118	278	14	7	39%	9%	57	-1.8	108/194/188	80	170	12	5	42%	9%	8	-1.3
✕Austin Hedges 2022 · MLB	29	34→40	49→60	46→45	42	188/244/326	137	230	19	5	28%	6%	59	-1.6	181/242/276	95	225	12	6	25%	6%	47	-2.6	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Clint Coulter 2022 · AAA	29	41→43	51→50	48→40	37	211/265/365	154	315	20	7	38%	6%	76	-0.4	220/287/363	143	269	15	7	24%	6%	84	+0.2	211/285/350	138	248	14	5	20%	5%	77	-0.1
✕Seth Bynum 2011 · AAA	30	40→43	48→50	50	38	210/254/349	140	285	16	11	32%	6%	68	-1.0	203/254/320	117	291	13	11	33%	6%	61	-1.5	191/243/296	105	275	11	8	34%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	202/280/375	174	267	22	14	33%	9%	84	+0.2	216/288/391	175	306	21	17	34%	9%	91	+0.6	206/276/393	187	291	21	20	35%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→45	48→55	54→50	39	203/258/343	140	283	15	14	33%	6%	68	-1.0	211/256/348	137	308	17	16	36%	5%	68	-1.0	205/244/340	135	297	19	19	37%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA	28	43	50	48→50	39	215/284/368	153	314	17	14	36%	7%	84	+0.1	208/286/343	135	332	14	15	39%	8%	79	-0.2	170/265/285	115	293	12	17	42%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	48→50	54→55	36	210/247/357	147	281	16	16	31%	4%	67	-1.1	212/259/341	129	290	14	21	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/246/312	117	265	13	29	30%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2019 · MLB	29	37→47	43→50	54→50	37	188/247/295	108	281	11	12	36%	6%	53	-2.1	190/246/315	125	333	14	9	45%	5%	57	-1.8	165/217/291	126	306	16	5	49%	4%	38	-2.4
✕Peter O'Brien 2019 · MLB	29	30→40	55→60	48→30	38	180/242/359	179	255	25	3	40%	7%	67	-1.1	191/257/349	158	311	21	5	43%	8%	70	-0.9	146/215/274	128	254	20	2	49%	8%	34	-1.9
✕Tony Thomas 2015 · AAA	29	40→46	45→50	56→55	36	201/246/330	129	284	11	14	33%	5%	59	-1.6	213/256/339	126	315	11	11	34%	5%	65	-1.2	208/247/334	127	312	10	7	35%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Melky Mesa 2015 · AAA	28	42→44	48→50	51→55	33	215/255/355	140	305	16	14	35%	4%	70	-0.9	206/243/313	107	315	9	8	36%	4%	55	-2.0	195/229/291	96	303	7	5	37%	3%	41	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps