Braden Shewmake — OGILVIE

Braden ShewmakeSS Milwaukee Brewers

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION248 act + 165 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .268 / .337

PA165

HR3

K%20

BB%5

BABIP260

ISO117

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.3%

xwOBA

100.248

POWER40

Barrel%

305.6

Avg EV

1186.1

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE45

Chase%

9020.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-1M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	2 teams	—	278	255	59	12	1	3	17	54	4	13	3	231	290	322	611	90	280	19	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	2 teams	—	278	247	74	18	2	3	25	40	4	13	3	300	373	425	798	126	345	14	9	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	344	332	69	12	3	14	10	97	2	4	2	208	235	389	624	181	249	28	3	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	344	324	74	14	3	12	17	75	2	4	2	228	270	401	672	173	262	22	5	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	307	285	62	12	1	6	16	68	2	9	0	218	264	330	594	112	260	22	5	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	307	278	72	14	2	7	23	57	2	9	0	259	320	399	719	140	298	19	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	526	486	107	27	3	14	27	124	7	27	1	220	271	374	646	154	263	24	5	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	526	474	111	28	3	16	39	104	7	27	1	234	302	407	709	173	264	20	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	100	97	12	3	0	1	1	19	0	5	2	124	133	186	318	62	139	19	1	135	-38	-16	+0	-1	+1	+3	-1.3
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	100	97	13	3	0	1	1	17	0	5	2	134	143	196	339	62	148	17	1	148	-29	-15	+0	-1	+1	+3	-1.2
2025	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	315	291	59	10	4	3	18	65	2	15	2	203	254	296	550	93	248	21	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	315	279	68	13	4	4	30	52	2	15	2	244	322	362	684	118	283	17	10	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	MIL	—	248	228	54	11	0	6	7	44	5	2	0	237	275	364	639	127	267	18	3	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
YTD	28	MLB	MIL	—	248	227	56	12	0	6	8	41	5	2	0	247	287	379	666	132	275	17	3	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	100%	165	154	34	7	1	3	8	33	2	4	1	220	268	337	605	117	261	20	5	273	67	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	MIL	100%	165	154	34	7	1	3	8	33	2	4	1	221	268	338	606	117	259	20	5	261	58	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
FULL	28	MLB	MIL	—	413	382	88	18	1	9	15	77	7	6	1	230	272	353	626	123	264	19	4	268	64	-17	+1	-1	+4	+12	-0.1
TOT	28	MLB	MIL	—	413	382	88	18	1	9	15	77	7	6	1	230	272	353	625	123	264	19	4	273	67	-15	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIL	65%	341	318	71	14	2	7	16	69	4	8	2	223	269	346	615	123	261	20	5	272	66	-13	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.2
2028	30	MLB	MIL	65%	353	330	74	15	2	7	16	73	4	8	2	224	269	345	614	121	260	21	5	270	64	-14	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.3
2027	29	MLB	MIL	65%	222	207	45	9	1	4	10	45	3	5	1	217	264	329	592	111	259	20	5	260	57	-11	+1	-2	+2	+6	-0.3
2028	30	MLB	MIL	65%	229	213	46	9	1	4	11	47	3	5	1	216	264	324	588	108	258	21	5	258	56	-11	+1	-2	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	683	638	133	27	3	12	30	135	8	19	4	208	253	317	570	108	244	20	4	249	49	-40	+2	-6	+8	+19	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	127	26	3	11	29	128	8	18	4	209	255	316	571	107	245	20	4	249	49	-38	+2	-6	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	2729	2548	547	112	17	58	129	602	27	93	15	215	260	340	600	126	256	22	5	263	60	-124	+13	-9	+29	+77	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	131	27	4	14	31	143	6	22	4	216	261	343	604	127	257	22	5	263	60	-30	+3	-2	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	52	46	10	0	0	0	4	11	1	2	0	217	294	217	512		278	21	8	242	43	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	—	226	201	64	18	2	3	21	29	3	11	3	318	391	473	864	154	359	13	9	383	151	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	344	324	74	14	3	12	17	75	2	4	2	228	270	401	672	173	262	22	5	296	85	-6	+0	—	—	+10	0.4
2022	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	307	278	72	14	2	7	23	57	2	9	0	259	320	399	719	140	298	19	7	318	102	+1	+2	—	—	+9	1.1
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	526	474	111	28	3	16	39	104	7	27	1	234	302	407	709	173	264	20	7	312	97	-2	+5	—	—	+15	1.9
2024	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	67	64	8	2	0	1	1	10	0	5	1	125	138	203	342	78	127	15	1	147	-29	-10	+1	-1	+1	+2	-0.8
2024	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	33	33	5	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	152	152	182	333	30	192	21	0	149	-28	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	315	279	68	13	4	4	30	52	2	15	2	244	322	362	684	118	283	17	10	306	92	-3	+2	—	—	+9	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	67	64	8	2	0	1	1	10	0	5	1	125	138	203	342	78	127	15	1	147	-29	-10	+1	-1	+1	+2	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,007	22	28	219	257	342	+11	-4	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	14	18	219	257	342	+7.1	-2.6	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braden Shewmake (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	55	45	230/272/353	123	264	9	6	19%	4%	67	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	47	229/290/350	121	273	12	17	21%	7%	79	+0.3	228/308/352	124	288	13	12	24%	10%	87	+0.8	220/310/331	111	279	11	10	23%	11%	81	+0.1
✕Ronald Calloway 2005 · MLB	28	44→54	46→45	51→50	44	223/273/348	125	268	14	13	22%	6%	71	-0.3	240/290/349	109	296	9	13	21%	6%	78	+0.2	251/300/355	104	311	8	13	21%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Orlando Calixte 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	45	54→55	40	230/266/354	123	290	13	18	26%	5%	69	-0.4	227/269/332	105	300	11	18	27%	5%	64	-0.8	210/255/278	67	288	5	25	28%	6%	41	-0.6
✕Clay Dungan 2023 · AAA	27	42→52	42→45	53→55	44	207/267/308	101	254	10	19	23%	6%	58	-1.2	211/284/315	104	289	8	21	28%	8%	67	-0.5	209/288/317	108	298	8	24	30%	9%	68	-0.4
✕Brett Sullivan 2022 · AAA	28	43→52	46→50	48→55	47	215/267/341	126	242	13	14	18%	6%	67	-0.5	216/271/333	117	249	11	8	18%	6%	66	-0.6	213/270/335	122	242	11	6	17%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Basak 2007 · AAA	28	46	44→45	56→55	45	229/284/354	124	277	11	21	22%	6%	77	+0.1	220/263/330	110	269	10	17	22%	5%	62	-0.9	212/251/314	102	257	9	18	21%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	47→45	52→55	44	223/282/361	138	282	14	17	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/286/337	118	300	12	24	29%	8%	74	-0.1	218/291/320	101	306	10	31	30%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Stephen Bruno 2018 · AAA	27	46→51	46→40	53→50	39	231/284/355	124	280	14	13	23%	4%	78	+0.2	214/268/316	102	258	11	11	21%	4%	61	-1.0	187/243/248	61	228	5	8	20%	3%	31	-1.5
●Jason Pridie 2012 · MLB	28	46→54	43→50	54→55	44	226/275/340	114	283	11	18	24%	6%	69	-0.4	234/280/357	123	302	12	14	26%	6%	76	+0.0	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	221/271/329	108	253	12	13	18%	5%	66	-0.6	215/278/333	118	260	11	17	21%	6%	69	-0.4	205/272/313	108	250	8	28	21%	6%	59	-0.3
✕Russ Adams 2009 · MLB	28	46→53	45	47→45	48	227/281/348	121	260	13	9	19%	7%	75	-0.0	222/274/347	125	259	13	8	19%	6%	71	-0.3	221/273/347	126	256	13	4	19%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Logan Schafer 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	43→45	53→50	48	217/279/340	123	261	8	12	20%	7%	71	-0.3	218/274/307	89	265	6	8	19%	7%	60	-1.0	220/274/294	74	265	5	6	18%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Pete Orr 2007 · MLB	28	52→45	41→45	50→55	44	250/286/351	101	293	7	13	17%	4%	76	+0.0	231/272/331	100	290	6	18	22%	5%	65	-0.7	225/269/341	116	275	8	23	21%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Josh Wilson 2009 · MLB	28	48→50	41→45	50	44	232/286/336	104	272	8	14	18%	5%	73	-0.1	227/278/327	100	275	7	9	20%	4%	67	-0.5	226/275/323	96	276	6	6	20%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2022 · MLB	28	45→48	41→45	52→50	42	216/267/311	95	295	8	15	29%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/324	117	299	12	15	33%	8%	65	-0.7	141/222/228	88	206	11	18	36%	9%	17	-0.9
✕J.J. Furmaniak 2007 · MLB	28	43→50	43→45	51→50	39	213/252/321	108	268	11	15	25%	4%	55	-1.4	224/276/332	108	290	11	16	26%	6%	68	-0.5	224/283/315	91	288	8	14	24%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Juniel Querecuto 2022 · AAA	29	46→56	47→45	52→50	43	232/270/369	137	268	15	11	21%	5%	75	-0.0	220/265/344	124	278	13	13	25%	5%	66	-0.6	209/257/325	115	269	12	13	26%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB	28	47→53	41→40	54→55	46	227/291/327	99	283	8	20	22%	7%	73	-0.1	209/261/296	87	259	6	11	21%	6%	52	-1.6	195/244/260	65	243	2	8	19%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Michael Martinez 2011 · AAA	28	48→54	42→45	50	41	235/271/341	107	277	8	16	19%	4%	67	-0.5	224/265/319	95	261	8	12	17%	5%	59	-1.1	247/282/338	91	310	3	9	21%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Steele Walker 2023 · MLB	27	43→46	47→45	47→50	44	220/270/350	130	259	15	12	22%	6%	71	-0.3	216/272/339	123	271	13	10	25%	6%	69	-0.4	162/227/254	92	204	10	0	26%	7%	26	-0.7