Braden Shewmake — OGILVIE

Braden ShewmakeSS Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs AAA HR +8%BB +8% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 0.1 · 2027

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .266 / .332

PA250

HR4

SB9

K%21

BB%6

MLB%45%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

41↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.7M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	2 teams	278	256	59	13	1	3	16	53	4	13	3	.230	.286	.324	.610	.094	.277	19	6	.267	62	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.0
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	344	332	68	12	3	14	10	98	2	4	2	.205	.233	.386	.618	.181	.245	28	3	.263	59	-16	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
2022	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	307	285	64	12	2	6	16	68	2	9	0	.225	.271	.344	.614	.119	.270	22	5	.265	61	-14	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	526	486	103	25	3	14	27	124	7	27	1	.212	.263	.362	.626	.150	.251	24	5	.269	64	-21	+5	-1	+6	+15	0.4
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	100	97	12	3	0	1	1	18	0	5	2	.124	.133	.186	.318	.062	.138	18	1	.135	-38	-16	+0	-1	+1	+3	-1.3
2025	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	315	289	60	10	4	3	20	63	2	15	2	.208	.264	.301	.565	.093	.252	20	6	.250	50	-18	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	36	32	8	2	0	0	1	7	2	1	0	.250	.314	.312	.627	.062	.320	19	3	.246	46	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	NYY	214	198	43	9	1	4	11	46	3	8	2	.217	.269	.333	.602	.116	.265	21	5	.271	66	-8	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	28	MLB	NYY	250	230	51	11	1	4	12	53	5	9	2	.222	.275	.330	.606	.109	.270	21	5	.267	63	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 54%	NYY	351	324	71	15	2	6	20	71	4	13	3	.219	.273	.333	.606	.114	.261	20	6	.274	68	-13	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.1
2028	30	MLB 65%	NYY	360	332	72	15	2	6	21	75	4	13	3	.217	.272	.328	.600	.111	.262	21	6	.275	69	-13	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.0
2029	31	MLB 74%	NYY	345	317	69	14	2	6	21	73	4	10	2	.218	.275	.331	.606	.114	.262	21	6	.274	68	-13	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.1
2030	32	MLB 82%	NYY	326	299	65	13	2	6	20	71	4	8	1	.217	.276	.334	.610	.117	.262	22	6	.270	65	-13	+1	-4	+3	+9	-0.3
2031	33	MLB 89%	NYY	296	273	59	12	2	5	18	67	3	7	1	.216	.272	.330	.602	.114	.260	23	6	.264	61	-13	+1	-4	+3	+8	-0.5
2032	34	MLB 94%	NYY	253	233	48	10	1	4	15	59	3	5	0	.206	.263	.309	.572	.103	.258	23	6	.258	56	-13	+1	-5	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4015	3721	793	163	25	78	216	886	42	137	22	.213	.264	.333	.597	.120	.257	22	5	.264	60	-181	+19	-22	+43	+114	-2.8
/ 162G	—			650	602	128	26	4	13	35	143	7	22	4	.213	.264	.334	.598	.121	.255	22	5	.264	60	-29	+3	-4	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	52	46	10	0	0	0	4	11	1	2	0	.217	.294	.217	.512	.000	.278	21	8	.242	43	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	226	201	64	18	2	3	21	29	3	11	3	.318	.391	.473	.864	.154	.359	13	9	.383	151	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	344	324	74	14	3	12	17	75	2	4	2	.228	.270	.401	.672	.173	.262	22	5	.296	85	-6	+0	—	—	+10	0.4
2022	24	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	307	278	72	14	2	7	23	57	2	9	0	.259	.320	.399	.719	.140	.298	19	7	.318	102	+1	+2	—	—	+9	1.1
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	526	474	111	28	3	16	39	104	7	27	1	.234	.302	.407	.709	.173	.264	20	7	.312	97	-2	+5	—	—	+15	1.9
2024	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	67	64	8	2	0	1	1	10	0	5	1	.125	.138	.203	.342	.078	.127	15	1	.147	-29	-10	+1	-1	+1	+2	-0.8
2024	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	33	33	5	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	1	.152	.152	.182	.333	.030	.192	21	0	.149	-28	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	27	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	315	279	68	13	4	4	30	52	2	15	2	.244	.322	.362	.684	.118	.283	17	10	.306	92	-3	+2	—	—	+9	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			67	64	8	2	0	1	1	10	0	5	1	.125	.138	.203	.342	.078	.127	15	1	.147	-29	-10	+1	-1	+1	+2	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braden Shewmake (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	55	45	.215/.266/.332	.117	.261	4	10	21%	6%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	41→40	58→60	44	.224/.277/.328	.104	.277	8	30	22%	6%	67	-0.5	.230/.280/.324	.094	.289	7	22	22%	6%	67	-0.5	.235/.285/.308	.073	.299	3	25	21%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Clay Dungan 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	42→45	53→55	45	.211/.271/.315	.103	.257	10	19	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.213/.286/.318	.105	.287	8	21	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.293/.322	.110	.299	8	24	29%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Cesar Crespo 2007 · MLB	28	47→50	41→40	53→55	48	.228/.282/.323	.095	.275	8	22	20%	7%	68	-0.5	.226/.278/.310	.084	.282	7	16	21%	7%	63	-0.9	.223/.273/.285	.062	.281	4	14	21%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Jason Pridie 2012 · MLB	28	46→53	43→50	54→55	43	.227/.271/.336	.110	.279	10	19	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.232/.279/.355	.123	.298	13	14	25%	6%	75	-0.0	.238/.286/.378	.140	.295	16	19	25%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Adam Stern 2008 · MLB	28	48→56	41→40	56→55	41	.234/.270/.336	.102	.293	7	24	23%	4%	66	-0.6	.242/.284/.334	.092	.297	6	22	20%	5%	71	-0.3	.259/.306/.347	.089	.308	5	21	17%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	43→53	44→45	55→60	46	.215/.277/.330	.116	.278	11	21	26%	8%	68	-0.5	.236/.300/.330	.094	.316	6	18	25%	8%	77	+0.1	.253/.313/.333	.080	.340	3	18	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	43→45	54→50	47	.227/.288/.344	.117	.273	10	16	21%	7%	76	+0.1	.224/.305/.344	.120	.285	12	13	24%	10%	84	+0.6	.215/.306/.321	.106	.276	10	10	24%	11%	78	+0.0
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→45	57→60	50	.214/.290/.309	.095	.272	8	34	23%	9%	69	-0.4	.228/.296/.310	.082	.303	6	36	25%	8%	71	-0.3	.228/.300/.289	.061	.309	4	40	25%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	45	52→55	44	.222/.279/.351	.129	.282	12	19	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.217/.280/.338	.121	.295	13	23	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.218/.288/.324	.106	.301	11	31	29%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Adam Haseley 2023 · MLB	27	43→53	42→45	53→50	44	.215/.268/.319	.105	.259	10	15	22%	6%	61	-1.0	.226/.277/.333	.107	.277	10	16	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.239/.289/.331	.093	.293	8	16	20%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Lance Zawadzki 2012 · MLB	27	44→49	43→45	54→50	42	.216/.263/.326	.110	.282	10	16	27%	6%	61	-1.0	.207/.247/.298	.091	.278	8	15	27%	5%	46	-2.0	.195/.232/.258	.063	.260	6	14	27%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB	27	47→57	39→40	59→60	44	.226/.276/.311	.085	.283	7	29	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.221/.272/.316	.095	.296	8	24	27%	6%	62	-0.9	.205/.256/.273	.068	.295	5	26	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Chris Basak 2007 · AAA	28	47→46	45	56→55	45	.230/.285/.356	.126	.277	11	21	22%	6%	78	+0.2	.220/.264/.332	.112	.269	10	18	22%	5%	63	-0.9	.212/.251/.314	.102	.258	9	18	21%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB	28	47→54	41→40	53→55	46	.228/.291/.325	.097	.285	8	20	22%	7%	73	-0.1	.213/.264/.300	.087	.263	5	11	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.203/.250/.269	.066	.252	2	8	19%	5%	40	-1.5
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	42→45	56→60	40	.200/.250/.306	.106	.261	10	27	27%	5%	50	-1.7	.210/.264/.328	.118	.266	12	22	25%	6%	62	-0.9	.196/.267/.344	.148	.222	17	30	20%	8%	66	-0.1
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2022 · MLB	28	44→49	41→45	51→50	42	.214/.264/.309	.095	.291	8	14	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.205/.271/.320	.115	.292	12	15	32%	8%	63	-0.8	.140/.224/.229	.089	.198	11	18	34%	10%	17	-0.9
✕Matt Angle 2014 · MLB	28	48→58	39→40	57→60	44	.227/.289/.313	.086	.305	7	23	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.268/.280	.074	.296	5	18	30%	7%	51	-1.7	.183/.248/.221	.038	.271	1	18	30%	7%	25	-1.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2022 · AAA	27	48→51	42→45	54→55	44	.233/.278/.341	.108	.282	9	17	21%	5%	70	-0.3	.225/.277/.346	.121	.272	13	16	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.201/.247/.325	.124	.233	16	18	22%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Jecksson Flores 2021 · AAA	27	47→55	41→40	52→55	43	.227/.274/.320	.094	.274	8	19	20%	5%	63	-0.8	.218/.282/.307	.089	.268	6	8	20%	7%	64	-0.8	.215/.284/.295	.080	.265	4	4	19%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2023 · MLB	28	46→53	40→45	59→60	44	.221/.285/.324	.104	.291	6	29	25%	6%	70	-0.3	.206/.283/.299	.093	.283	5	32	27%	7%	63	-0.8	.194/.279/.276	.082	.272	4	38	27%	7%	52	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)