Myles Schroder
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 28 | AAA/AASF | 434 | .253/.306/.339 | 3 | 8 | 46 | — | .223/.263/.300 |
| 2017 | 29 | AASF | 385 | .259/.353/.413 | 7 | 4 | 64 | — | .206/.282/.326 |
| 2018 | 30 | AAASF | 302 | .244/.292/.409 | 9 | 5 | 45 | — | .190/.228/.303 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 121 | 110 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 282 | 319 | 445 | 764 | 164 | 326 | 17 | 5 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 72 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 271 | 242 | 513 | 65 | 278 | 35 | 8 | 238 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 326 | 291 | 86 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 73 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 296 | 361 | 467 | 829 | 172 | 374 | 22 | 8 | 361 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 362 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 254 | 308 | 367 | 675 | 113 | 305 | 19 | 5 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 406 | 369 | 93 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 307 | 347 | 653 | 95 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 291 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 158 | 145 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 261 | 317 | 579 | 97 | 258 | 17 | 4 | 252 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 276 | 250 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 272 | 331 | 352 | 683 | 80 | 322 | 16 | 4 | 308 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 385 | 332 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 76 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 259 | 353 | 413 | 765 | 154 | 317 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 302 | 279 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 84 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 292 | 409 | 701 | 165 | 314 | 28 | 4 | 307 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 121 | 112 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 233 | 321 | 554 | 116 | 242 | 25 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 72 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 156 | 229 | 219 | 447 | 62 | 244 | 43 | 6 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 326 | 300 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 99 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 237 | 287 | 383 | 670 | 147 | 315 | 30 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 369 | 82 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 91 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 222 | 264 | 312 | 576 | 89 | 277 | 23 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 406 | 376 | 82 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 102 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 218 | 261 | 295 | 557 | 77 | 271 | 25 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 158 | 148 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 196 | 222 | 284 | 506 | 88 | 226 | 22 | 2 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 276 | 255 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 239 | 287 | 310 | 597 | 71 | 283 | 20 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 385 | 344 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 98 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 206 | 282 | 326 | 607 | 119 | 262 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 302 | 284 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 101 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 190 | 228 | 303 | 531 | 113 | 263 | 33 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 121 | 112 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 233 | 321 | 554 | 116 | 259 | 25 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 121 | 110 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 282 | 319 | 445 | 764 | 164 | 326 | 17 | 5 | 322 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 72 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 156 | 229 | 219 | 447 | 62 | 281 | 43 | 6 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 72 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 271 | 242 | 513 | 65 | 278 | 35 | 8 | 238 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 326 | 300 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 99 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 237 | 287 | 383 | 670 | 147 | 330 | 30 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 326 | 291 | 86 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 73 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 296 | 361 | 467 | 829 | 172 | 374 | 22 | 8 | 361 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 369 | 82 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 91 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 222 | 264 | 312 | 576 | 89 | 281 | 23 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 362 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 254 | 308 | 367 | 675 | 113 | 305 | 19 | 5 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 406 | 376 | 82 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 102 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 218 | 261 | 295 | 557 | 77 | 278 | 25 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 406 | 369 | 93 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 84 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 252 | 307 | 347 | 653 | 95 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 291 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 434 | 404 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 90 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 218 | 256 | 285 | 541 | 67 | 271 | 21 | 2 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 434 | 395 | 100 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 253 | 306 | 339 | 645 | 86 | 298 | 17 | 4 | 287 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 385 | 344 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 98 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 206 | 282 | 326 | 607 | 119 | 271 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 385 | 332 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 76 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 259 | 353 | 413 | 765 | 154 | 317 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 302 | 284 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 101 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 190 | 228 | 303 | 531 | 113 | 268 | 33 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 302 | 279 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 84 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 292 | 409 | 701 | 165 | 314 | 28 | 4 | 307 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 121 | 116 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 233 | 310 | 543 | 112 | 242 | 25 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 72 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 152 | 229 | 212 | 441 | 61 | 244 | 43 | 6 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 326 | 302 | 71 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 99 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 235 | 287 | 381 | 667 | 146 | 315 | 30 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 394 | 370 | 82 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 91 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 222 | 264 | 311 | 575 | 89 | 277 | 23 | 3 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 406 | 381 | 82 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 102 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 215 | 261 | 291 | 553 | 76 | 271 | 25 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 434 | 410 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 90 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 256 | 280 | 537 | 66 | 262 | 21 | 2 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 29 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 385 | 346 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 98 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 205 | 282 | 324 | 605 | 118 | 262 | 25 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 302 | 285 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 101 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 189 | 228 | 302 | 530 | 112 | 263 | 33 | 2 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2440 | 2253 | 481 | 83 | 22 | 32 | 90 | 642 | 55 | 62 | 21 | 213 | 261 | 312 | 574 | 99 | 280 | 26 | 4 | 249 | 54 | -132 | +4 | +0 | +9 | +53 | -6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 129 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 171 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 215 | 263 | 317 | 580 | 102 | 282 | 26 | 4 | 249 | 54 | -35 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 302 PAwOBA .299 → .235 (−64)K% 27.8% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.81% | ÷1.071 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.64% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 2.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.32% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷0.963 | ×0.900 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 18.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.962 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .299 → .235; ISO .165 → .121; BABIP .314 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 385 PAwOBA .331 → .263 (−68)K% 19.7% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.74% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.70% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 18.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.59% | ÷1.096 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.73% | ÷0.848 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .263; ISO .154 → .124; BABIP .317 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 276 PAwOBA .300 → .252 (−48)K% 16.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.30% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.62% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 2.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.99% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.85% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×0.958 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.85% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | ×0.963 | ×0.958 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.963 | ×0.958 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .300 → .252; ISO .080 → .063; BABIP .322 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 158 PAwOBA .245 → .210 (−34)K% 17.1% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.09% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.53% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 1.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.64% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×0.977 | ×0.982 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.982 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.977 | ×0.982 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .245 → .210; ISO .097 → .078; BABIP .258 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 406 PAwOBA .287 → .245 (−42)K% 20.7% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 24.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 1.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .287 → .245; ISO .095 → .081; BABIP .304 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 394 PAwOBA .296 → .253 (−43)K% 19.3% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.29% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.08% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×0.978 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .296 → .253; ISO .113 → .095; BABIP .305 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+San Jose Giants · 326 PAwOBA .353 → .281 (−72)K% 22.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.39% | ÷0.992 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.77% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.968 | 21.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×0.968 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.997 | ×0.968 | 2.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.866 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .353 → .281; ISO .172 → .147; BABIP .374 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAugusta GreenJackets · 72 PAwOBA .233 → .182 (−51)K% 34.7% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.72% | ÷1.083 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.944 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 21.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.943 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 2.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.066 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 82, K 117, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .233 → .182; ISO .065 → .048; BABIP .278 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).