Tsung-Che Cheng — OGILVIE

Tsung-Che ChengSS Worcester Red Sox

Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 180 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION271 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .274 / .301

PA180

HR3

SB9

K%30

BB%8

BABIP281

ISO98

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

902.3%

xwOBA

100.255

POWER30

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

1069.8

Bat Spd

1063.3

EYE55

Chase%

908.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

9029.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.8M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	188	159	42	7	1	5	23	24	2	17	7	264	364	415	779	151	280	13	12	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	2 teams	—	188	147	43	8	1	4	35	21	2	17	7	293	435	442	877	150	315	11	19	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	532	469	103	23	8	5	52	158	6	35	7	220	306	335	640	115	316	30	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	532	451	116	27	8	6	70	107	6	35	7	257	364	392	757	135	322	20	13	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	535	481	109	15	12	8	33	130	4	26	12	227	282	358	639	131	290	24	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	535	461	128	23	10	13	52	100	4	26	12	278	355	456	811	178	326	19	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	517	457	90	18	0	14	43	167	4	17	7	197	272	328	600	131	272	32	8	260	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	517	435	98	20	0	11	65	119	4	17	7	225	331	347	678	122	282	23	13	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	397	360	65	10	2	1	27	128	3	18	7	181	244	228	471	47	272	32	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	397	340	71	12	3	1	47	99	3	18	7	209	310	271	581	62	287	25	12	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	BOS	—	271	242	54	7	3	6	25	81	0	10	9	223	296	351	647	128	304	30	9	283	75	-8	-2	+0	+3	+8	0.1
YTD	25	AAA	BOS	—	271	232	60	9	3	7	35	69	0	10	9	259	356	414	770	155	333	25	13	341	119	+6	-2	+0	+3	+8	1.5
ROS	25	AAA	BOS	100%	180	162	33	5	1	3	15	54	1	9	3	203	274	301	575	98	285	30	8	266	62	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	BOS	100%	181	163	34	5	1	3	15	54	1	9	3	209	279	307	586	98	290	30	8	267	62	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	BOS	—	452	405	88	12	4	9	40	135	1	19	12	217	289	333	623	116	298	30	9	277	70	-15	-1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
TOT	25	AAA	BOS	—	451	404	87	12	4	9	40	135	1	19	12	215	287	331	618	116	295	30	9	277	70	-15	-1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	BOS	65%	415	376	80	13	3	8	34	121	2	19	7	213	282	327	609	114	286	29	8	274	68	-15	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.2
2028	27	MLB	BOS	65%	421	381	82	13	3	9	35	121	2	19	7	215	285	336	621	121	286	29	8	277	71	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2029	28	MLB	BOS	65%	422	381	82	13	3	9	36	121	2	18	7	215	286	336	622	121	286	29	9	279	72	-14	+1	-0	+5	+12	0.3
2027	26	MLB	BOS	65%	270	245	53	9	2	5	22	79	1	12	5	216	284	331	614	114	291	29	8	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2028	27	MLB	BOS	65%	274	248	54	9	2	6	23	79	1	12	5	218	287	343	630	125	292	29	8	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2029	28	MLB	BOS	65%	274	248	54	9	2	6	23	78	1	12	5	218	287	343	630	125	292	28	8	279	71	-9	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	999	904	195	32	7	20	83	290	4	45	18	216	285	333	618	117	293	29	8	275	68	-36	+2	+0	+11	+28	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	127	21	5	13	54	189	3	29	12	216	286	335	621	119	293	29	8	275	68	-23	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	3607	3226	686	117	33	62	298	1024	26	178	64	213	284	327	611	114	288	28	8	270	65	-143	+10	+1	+39	+102	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	123	21	6	11	54	184	5	32	12	212	285	325	610	114	286	28	8	270	65	-26	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	ROK	FCL Pirates Gold	—	157	122	38	8	1	4	30	14	2	16	6	311	455	492	946	180	321	9	19	416	176	+14	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2021	20	INTL	Colombia	—	31	25	5	0	0	0	5	7	0	1	1	200	333	200	533		278	23	16	258	56	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	458	385	104	25	7	6	63	95	5	33	6	270	380	418	798	148	340	21	14	356	131	+16	+4	—	—	+13	3.4
2022	21	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	74	66	12	2	1	0	7	12	1	2	1	182	270	242	513	61	222	16	9	243	44	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	281	247	62	11	1	4	17	53	4	13	3	251	310	352	662	101	297	19	6	286	77	-7	+1	—	—	+8	0.2
2023	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	254	214	66	12	9	9	35	47	0	13	9	308	404	575	979	266	361	19	14	416	176	+22	-1	—	—	+7	2.9
2024	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	17	13	6	1	0	0	4	2	0	1	0	462	588	538	1.127	77	545	12	24	506	245	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	500	422	92	19	0	11	61	117	4	16	7	218	322	341	664	123	273	23	12	298	86	-8	+0	—	—	+14	0.7
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	397	340	71	12	3	1	47	99	3	18	7	209	310	271	581	62	287	25	12	270	65	-16	+1	—	—	+11	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,138	21	53	210	276	320	+12	+2	0.2	0.4
	/162	664	12	31	210	276	320	+7.1	+1.1	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tsung-Che Cheng (OGILVIE)	25	40	30	55	55	215/287/331	116	295	9	19	30%	9%	70	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2016 · AAA	25	41→51	38→40	54→55	41	201/253/277	76	281	6	22	30%	6%	43	-2.2	220/272/317	97	316	9	16	31%	6%	63	-0.9	236/290/318	82	347	7	11	32%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→50	40	55	46	212/284/307	94	299	7	21	29%	9%	65	-0.7	195/256/293	98	288	7	17	32%	7%	50	-1.8	140/192/231	91	206	4	22	33%	6%	5	-1.6
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	50	36→30	54→65	47	234/294/308	74	312	3	24	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/294/276	63	301	3	37	27%	9%	62	-0.9	196/290/240	44	283	1	51	28%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	43→48	41→40	58→60	47	204/282/305	101	288	8	30	30%	9%	64	-0.8	204/260/301	97	295	9	18	32%	7%	53	-1.5	184/236/261	77	267	8	17	33%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	43	37→40	53→55	45	203/274/275	72	293	5	23	30%	8%	53	-1.5	212/276/311	99	306	9	21	31%	8%	63	-0.9	212/279/325	113	292	12	26	30%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Jay Gonzalez 2017 · AA	25	48→50	34→30	57→60	47	217/286/275	58	321	1	28	30%	9%	57	-1.2	233/294/298	65	348	2	24	30%	8%	66	-0.6	246/307/305	58	371	0	27	31%	8%	71	-0.1
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Patrick Biondi 2016 · A	25	48→44	38→30	55→60	44	228/276/303	76	292	5	23	23%	6%	59	-1.1	228/288/288	60	312	3	27	26%	7%	61	-1.0	224/290/264	41	314	1	33	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	46	211/276/296	85	280	5	20	25%	8%	59	-1.1	224/282/323	99	296	7	15	25%	7%	68	-0.5	244/287/356	113	304	6	17	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕James Jones 2014 · AAA	25	46→53	41→45	55→60	42	221/275/325	103	303	8	22	28%	7%	65	-0.7	235/281/325	90	310	4	30	24%	6%	67	-0.5	237/282/321	84	315	3	34	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Roemon Fields 2016 · AAA	25	47→55	35→30	57→60	41	220/261/277	57	292	3	30	25%	5%	46	-2.0	222/265/280	58	296	2	36	24%	5%	48	-1.9	232/283/289	57	304	2	40	23%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Tyler Wade 2020 · MLB	25	48→56	40	54→60	42	230/278/328	99	303	7	20	26%	6%	67	-0.5	222/290/322	100	291	8	29	25%	8%	72	-0.2	228/297/305	77	304	6	50	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Roberto Caro 2019 · AA	25	49→38	38→40	59→60	45	225/295/313	88	329	4	26	30%	8%	71	-0.3	206/273/284	78	299	4	25	30%	8%	54	-1.4	179/249/237	58	264	2	31	30%	8%	31	-2.3
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1