Felix Valerio — OGILVIE

Felix ValerioSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 25 R/R 5'5" / 165 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 194 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .258 / .286

PA194

HR3

K%27

BB%7

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	303	276	67	12	1	2	21	30	6	16	6	243	310	315	625	72	266	10	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	303	263	84	17	2	3	34	21	6	16	6	319	409	433	843	114	339	7	11	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	163	36	9	0	0	11	30	2	16	5	221	278	276	554	55	267	17	6	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	157	48	13	0	0	17	21	2	16	5	306	381	389	769	83	348	12	10	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	511	449	101	23	2	8	47	97	12	31	9	225	315	339	653	114	268	19	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	511	427	124	37	3	11	69	71	12	31	9	290	404	468	872	178	325	14	14	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	434	79	12	2	11	31	108	7	30	9	182	248	295	543	113	211	22	6	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	417	95	14	2	12	48	80	7	30	9	228	318	357	675	129	249	17	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	270	52	11	2	5	13	82	5	7	5	193	243	304	547	111	254	28	4	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	264	59	10	2	6	19	54	5	7	5	223	288	345	633	121	257	19	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	235	211	39	5	1	2	19	70	5	10	2	185	268	246	515	62	266	30	8	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	235	203	52	7	2	3	27	51	5	10	2	256	357	355	712	99	329	22	11	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIL	—	194	176	35	7	1	3	13	53	3	4	1	199	266	301	567	102	256	27	7	250	50	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIL	30%	249	226	45	9	1	4	18	66	3	5	2	199	267	301	568	102	260	27	7	260	57	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	305	276	55	11	1	5	22	81	4	6	2	199	268	301	569	101	262	27	7	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	342	309	63	12	2	6	26	90	4	7	2	204	274	314	588	110	263	26	8	267	63	-14	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	MIL	30%	75	69	13	3	0	1	5	20	1	2	0	188	253	275	529	87	258	27	7	248	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	127	115	23	4	1	2	9	34	2	3	1	200	270	304	574	104	260	27	7	253	52	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	163	148	30	6	1	3	12	43	2	3	1	203	272	318	589	115	261	26	7	256	54	-9	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	365	332	66	13	2	6	26	97	5	8	2	199	267	304	571	105	260	27	7	253	52	-20	+1	-0	+4	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	118	23	4	11	46	173	9	14	4	200	268	308	576	108	260	27	7	253	52	-35	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	3087	2790	572	111	13	46	221	707	51	132	43	205	276	304	579	99	256	23	7	261	58	-147	+9	-1	+33	+87	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	121	23	3	10	47	149	11	28	9	206	278	307	584	101	257	23	7	261	58	-31	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	303	263	84	17	2	3	34	21	6	16	6	319	409	433	843	114	339	7	11	381	150	+17	+1	—	—	+9	2.7
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	157	48	13	0	0	17	21	2	16	5	306	381	389	769	83	348	12	10	347	123	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	134	118	27	13	0	5	15	22	1	4	1	229	321	466	787	237	242	16	11	347	123	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	377	309	97	24	3	6	54	49	11	27	8	314	433	469	902	155	354	13	14	403	166	+28	+2	—	—	+11	4.2
2022	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	417	95	14	2	12	48	80	7	30	9	228	318	357	675	129	249	17	10	303	90	-5	+2	—	—	+14	1.1
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	264	59	10	2	6	19	54	5	7	5	223	288	345	633	121	257	19	7	285	76	-8	-1	—	—	+8	-0.0
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	201	174	37	4	1	3	23	46	4	9	2	213	318	299	617	86	272	23	11	290	80	-5	+1	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	23	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	34	29	15	3	1	0	4	5	1	1	0	517	588	690	1.278	172	625	15	12	557	285	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	367	7	7	203	270	313	+4	+3	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	12	13	203	270	313	+7.1	+5.4	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Valerio (OGILVIE)	25	32	36	54	50	192/258/286	95	256	3	4	27%	7%	50	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	42	38→40	47→50	43	204/265/279	75	266	7	12	25%	6%	50	-1.7	216/287/315	99	282	11	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	204/282/295	91	265	12	18	26%	9%	58	-0.5
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2011 · AAA	25	41	40→45	50	44	201/272/294	93	265	8	9	26%	7%	57	-1.2	222/267/338	116	273	14	13	24%	5%	66	-0.6	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→44	39→45	52→45	42	206/268/297	90	269	6	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	209/270/340	131	276	14	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	198/262/348	150	252	18	2	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6