Felix Valerio — OGILVIE

Felix ValerioSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 25 R/R 5'5" / 165 lbs A+ HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 194 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .257 / .282

PA16

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	303	263	84	17	2	3	34	21	6	16	6	319	409	433	843	114	339	7	11	381	144	+16	+1	—	—	+7	2.4
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	157	48	13	0	0	17	21	2	16	5	306	381	389	769	83	348	12	10	347	121	+4	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2021	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	134	118	27	13	0	5	15	22	1	4	1	229	321	466	787	237	242	16	11	347	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	377	309	97	24	3	6	54	49	11	27	8	314	433	469	902	155	354	13	14	403	159	+26	+2	—	—	+8	3.7
2022	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	417	95	14	2	12	48	80	7	30	9	228	318	357	675	129	249	17	10	303	91	-5	+2	—	—	+10	0.8
2023	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	264	59	10	2	6	19	54	5	7	5	223	288	345	633	121	257	19	7	285	79	-7	-1	—	—	+6	-0.2
2024	23	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	201	174	37	4	1	3	23	46	4	9	2	213	318	299	617	86	272	23	11	290	82	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	23	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	34	29	15	3	1	0	4	5	1	1	0	517	588	690	1.278	172	625	15	12	557	263	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	303	276	67	12	1	2	21	30	6	16	6	243	310	315	625	72	268	10	7	283	78	-8	+1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	163	36	9	0	0	11	30	2	16	5	221	278	276	554	55	262	17	6	246	53	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	134	122	20	9	0	3	11	30	1	4	1	164	239	311	550	148	192	22	8	250	55	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	377	326	84	17	3	5	37	67	11	27	8	258	353	374	727	117	299	18	10	317	101	+0	+2	—	—	+8	1.1
2022	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	433	82	12	2	9	32	100	7	30	9	189	256	289	545	99	214	21	7	244	51	-28	+2	—	—	+10	-1.5
2023	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	270	52	10	2	4	13	71	5	7	5	193	243	289	532	96	236	24	4	232	43	-20	-1	—	—	+6	-1.4
2024	23	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	201	181	29	3	1	2	16	63	4	9	2	160	244	221	465	61	232	31	8	217	33	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	34	31	12	2	1	0	2	7	1	1	0	387	441	516	957	129	486	21	6	400	157	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	303	276	67	12	1	2	21	30	6	16	6	243	310	315	625	72	266	10	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	303	263	84	17	2	3	34	21	6	16	6	319	409	433	843	114	339	7	11	381	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	163	36	9	0	0	11	30	2	16	5	221	278	276	554	55	267	17	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	157	48	13	0	0	17	21	2	16	5	306	381	389	769	83	348	12	10	347	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	511	449	104	26	3	8	47	97	12	31	9	232	321	356	677	125	277	19	9	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	511	427	124	37	3	11	69	71	12	31	9	290	404	468	872	178	325	14	14	388	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	433	82	12	2	9	32	100	7	30	9	189	256	289	545	99	220	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	417	95	14	2	12	48	80	7	30	9	228	318	357	675	129	249	17	10	303	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	270	52	10	2	4	13	71	5	7	5	193	243	289	532	96	244	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	264	59	10	2	6	19	54	5	7	5	223	288	345	633	121	257	19	7	285	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	235	211	40	5	1	2	19	70	5	10	2	190	272	251	524	62	273	30	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	235	203	52	7	2	3	27	51	5	10	2	256	357	355	712	99	329	22	11	328	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	303	273	67	12	1	2	21	30	6	16	6	245	310	319	629	73	268	10	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers Gold	—	178	163	36	9	0	0	11	30	2	16	5	221	278	276	554	55	262	17	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	511	447	104	26	3	8	47	97	12	31	9	233	321	358	679	125	271	19	9	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	480	438	82	12	2	9	32	100	7	30	9	187	256	285	542	98	214	21	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	270	52	10	2	4	13	71	5	7	5	193	243	289	532	96	236	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	235	209	40	5	1	2	19	70	5	10	2	191	272	254	526	62	269	30	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	290	270	52	10	2	4	13	71	5	7	5	193	243	289	532	96	236	24	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	235	209	40	5	1	2	19	70	5	10	2	191	272	254	526	62	269	30	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	256	25	6	248	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIL	30%	249	226	45	9	1	4	18	67	3	5	2	199	267	301	568	102	260	27	7	258	61	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIL	42%	305	276	55	11	1	5	22	82	4	6	2	199	268	301	569	101	262	27	7	263	64	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	342	309	63	12	2	6	26	91	4	7	2	204	274	314	588	110	263	27	8	266	66	-14	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	358	323	66	13	2	6	27	96	5	6	2	204	276	313	589	108	263	27	8	265	66	-15	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIL	30%	75	69	13	3	0	1	5	20	1	2	0	188	253	275	529	87	258	27	7	249	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIL	42%	127	115	23	4	1	2	9	34	2	3	1	200	270	304	574	104	261	27	7	254	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	163	148	30	6	1	3	12	44	2	3	1	203	272	318	589	115	262	27	7	257	66	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	176	159	32	6	1	3	13	47	2	3	1	201	270	308	578	107	262	27	7	257	66	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	541	491	98	19	3	9	39	145	7	11	3	200	268	305	574	106	262	27	7	255	64	-23	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	118	23	4	11	47	174	8	13	4	200	268	308	577	108	262	27	7	255	64	-27	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3267	2951	613	120	15	46	237	738	53	134	44	208	279	305	584	98	259	23	7	263	64	-54	+2	-2	+14	+28	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	122	24	3	9	47	147	11	27	9	208	279	305	584	97	260	23	7	263	64	-28	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	543	10	10	203	270	311	+6	+6	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+7.3	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Valerio (OGILVIE)	25	32	36	54	50	190/257/282	92	256	3	4	28%	7%	54	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/251/280	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	188/266/297	109	283	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/288	115	272	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	195/252/288	93	250	9	7	26%	6%	53	-2.1	208/270/304	96	287	10	10	29%	7%	63	-1.4	195/263/272	78	273	9	10	30%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→38	38→40	52→50	46	190/264/265	75	260	5	15	28%	8%	53	-2.1	192/256/273	81	276	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2011 · AAA	25	42	40	50	45	203/278/297	95	265	8	9	25%	7%	65	-1.2	216/262/312	96	275	11	13	25%	5%	61	-1.5	215/252/293	77	268	9	12	23%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	39→45	51→50	47	203/281/286	83	264	6	12	24%	8%	64	-1.3	217/272/323	106	265	8	9	21%	6%	68	-1.0	220/259/337	117	255	8	5	17%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	43→45	40→45	49→55	43	209/276/302	93	278	8	15	27%	6%	65	-1.2	200/272/308	108	283	11	17	31%	7%	65	-1.2	190/275/303	113	271	12	26	32%	8%	64	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps