Caleb Roberts
OF Wichita Wind Surge| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAARI | 485 | .243/.342/.454 | 20 | 11 | 78 | — | .210/.284/.359 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAARI | 437 | .237/.331/.388 | 10 | 8 | 48 | — | .181/.255/.280 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAMIN | 134 | .196/.448/.326 | 3 | 7 | 90 | — | .178/.381/.297 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBMIN | 2 | .210/.305/.330 | 0 | 0 | 82 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBMIN | 34 | .210/.304/.329 | 1 | 1 | 82 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 136 | 112 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 343 | 312 | 656 | 98 | 299 | 26 | 13 | 304 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 33 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 364 | 452 | 815 | 129 | 400 | 18 | 6 | 361 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 465 | 389 | 91 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 60 | 127 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 234 | 355 | 380 | 735 | 147 | 320 | 27 | 13 | 335 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 434 | 367 | 102 | 23 | 8 | 17 | 58 | 114 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 278 | 385 | 523 | 908 | 245 | 356 | 26 | 13 | 395 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 84 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 386 | 297 | 682 | 94 | 300 | 29 | 20 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 416 | 101 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 55 | 120 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 243 | 342 | 454 | 797 | 212 | 288 | 25 | 11 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 379 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 103 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 237 | 331 | 388 | 719 | 150 | 295 | 24 | 10 | 322 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 196 | 448 | 326 | 774 | 130 | 231 | 18 | 22 | 378 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 136 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 276 | 256 | 533 | 85 | 262 | 37 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 33 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 303 | 406 | 709 | 125 | 366 | 21 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 465 | 405 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 164 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 190 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 111 | 289 | 35 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 434 | 381 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 139 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 220 | 311 | 373 | 684 | 152 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 434 | 91 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 144 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 210 | 284 | 359 | 643 | 150 | 272 | 30 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 393 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 129 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 181 | 255 | 280 | 535 | 99 | 243 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 178 | 381 | 297 | 678 | 119 | 199 | 22 | 16 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 136 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 276 | 256 | 533 | 85 | 279 | 37 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 136 | 112 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 343 | 312 | 656 | 98 | 299 | 26 | 13 | 304 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 437 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 171 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 197 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 112 | 299 | 34 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 498 | 420 | 101 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 133 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 240 | 356 | 386 | 741 | 145 | 327 | 27 | 12 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 454 | 100 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 166 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 220 | 311 | 374 | 686 | 154 | 319 | 32 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 431 | 115 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 75 | 138 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 267 | 385 | 490 | 875 | 223 | 348 | 27 | 14 | 384 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 434 | 91 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 144 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 210 | 284 | 359 | 643 | 150 | 277 | 30 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 416 | 101 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 55 | 120 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 243 | 342 | 454 | 797 | 212 | 288 | 25 | 11 | 350 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 393 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 129 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 181 | 255 | 280 | 535 | 99 | 247 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 379 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 103 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 237 | 331 | 388 | 719 | 150 | 295 | 24 | 10 | 322 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 178 | 381 | 297 | 678 | 119 | 217 | 22 | 16 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 196 | 448 | 326 | 774 | 130 | 231 | 18 | 22 | 378 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 136 | 118 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 276 | 254 | 530 | 85 | 262 | 37 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 437 | 86 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 171 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 197 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 112 | 294 | 34 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 453 | 100 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 166 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 221 | 311 | 375 | 687 | 155 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 437 | 91 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 144 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 208 | 284 | 357 | 641 | 149 | 272 | 30 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 395 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 129 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 180 | 255 | 278 | 533 | 99 | 243 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 180 | 381 | 300 | 681 | 120 | 199 | 22 | 16 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 485 | 437 | 91 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 144 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 208 | 284 | 357 | 641 | 149 | 272 | 30 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 437 | 395 | 71 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 129 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 180 | 255 | 278 | 533 | 99 | 243 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 134 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 180 | 381 | 300 | 681 | 120 | 199 | 22 | 16 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 2% | 200 | 174 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 210 | 305 | 329 | 634 | 120 | 277 | 27 | 9 | 290 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 305 | 330 | 635 | 120 | 277 | 50 | 0 | 290 | 82 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 27% | 128 | 112 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 304 | 329 | 632 | 119 | 276 | 27 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 27% | 34 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 304 | 329 | 633 | 119 | 277 | 26 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 133 | 250 | 26 | 9 | 289 | 72 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 172 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 199 | 292 | 331 | 623 | 132 | 248 | 26 | 9 | 289 | 72 | -14 | +4 | -4 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2420 | 2122 | 425 | 90 | 21 | 45 | 219 | 746 | 58 | 63 | 19 | 200 | 293 | 326 | 619 | 126 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 114 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 200 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 200 | 293 | 326 | 619 | 126 | 281 | 31 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 134 PAwOBA .371 → .301 (−70)K% 17.9% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 15.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.96% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 7.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 15.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 3.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .371 → .301; ISO .130 → .112; BABIP .231 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 437 PAwOBA .316 → .239 (−77)K% 23.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.57% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷0.994 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 17.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.61% | ÷1.119 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.985 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.62% | ÷1.333 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .316 → .239; ISO .150 → .101; BABIP .295 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 485 PAwOBA .343 → .283 (−60)K% 24.7% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.74% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.13% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.26% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 18.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.987 | ×0.940 | ×1.029 | ×1.012 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.229 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.45% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 95, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .343 → .283; ISO .212 → .158; BABIP .288 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 434 PAwOBA .386 → .301 (−85)K% 26.3% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.27% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷0.922 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 10.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.34% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 19.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.008 | ×0.840 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.16% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×1.027 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.637 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 227, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 125, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .386 → .301; ISO .245 → .160; BABIP .356 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 465 PAwOBA .328 → .269 (−59)K% 27.3% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.31% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.69% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 9.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.99% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.16% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 7.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.44% | ÷0.848 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 3.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 101, K 109, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .328 → .269; ISO .147 → .122; BABIP .320 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 33 PAwOBA .351 → .306 (−45)K% 18.2% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 25.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 6.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.042 | 4.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.094 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 88, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .351 → .306; ISO .129 → .119; BABIP .400 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 136 PAwOBA .301 → .233 (−68)K% 26.5% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.24% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.015 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.015 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.015 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.923 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .301 → .233; ISO .098 → .076; BABIP .299 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .