Caleb Roberts — OGILVIE

Caleb RobertsOF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 116 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .304 / .320

PA116

HR2

K%28

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO120

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	118	19	3	1	1	12	50	4	3	1	161	261	229	490	68	261	37	9	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	498	442	85	16	3	10	40	170	13	17	6	192	279	310	589	118	283	34	8	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	498	420	101	26	4	9	62	133	13	17	6	240	356	386	741	145	327	27	12	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	518	451	91	23	7	8	55	175	8	13	4	202	300	337	637	135	305	34	11	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	518	431	115	26	8	18	75	138	8	13	4	267	385	490	875	223	348	27	14	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	436	94	19	4	13	35	149	8	11	2	216	286	367	653	151	290	31	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	393	67	14	3	5	31	141	8	8	3	170	245	260	505	89	246	32	7	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	MIN	—	134	101	18	3	0	3	21	31	12	7	2	178	381	297	678	119	224	23	16	307	93	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
YTD	26	AA	MIN	—	134	92	18	3	0	3	30	24	12	7	2	196	448	326	774	130	231	18	22	378	148	+7	+1	+0	-1	+4	1.1
ROS	26	AA	MIN	2%	116	100	20	4	1	2	11	33	4	3	1	200	304	320	624	120	267	28	9	285	77	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	MIN	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						267	50	0	260	57	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	MIN	—	136	103	18	3	0	3	21	32	12	7	2	175	375	291	666	117	221	24	15	306	93	-1	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.3
TOT	26	AA	MIN	—	250	201	38	7	1	5	32	64	16	10	3	189	345	308	654	119	248	26	13	297	85	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	269	233	45	9	1	5	26	76	8	6	2	193	296	305	601	112	267	28	10	287	77	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	MIN	40%	319	276	55	11	2	6	31	89	9	6	2	199	301	319	619	120	269	28	10	288	79	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	72	63	12	3	0	1	7	20	2	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	268	28	10	265	61	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	MIN	40%	127	110	22	4	1	3	12	35	4	3	1	200	302	336	638	136	269	28	9	268	63	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	201	175	34	7	1	4	19	56	6	5	1	194	295	314	609	120	259	28	9	267	63	-8	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	110	23	3	13	61	181	19	16	3	194	294	314	608	120	259	28	9	267	63	-27	+2	-1	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2778	2449	476	99	22	50	241	883	62	67	21	194	283	314	597	120	277	32	9	268	63	-115	+5	-1	-17	+79	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	111	23	5	12	56	207	15	16	5	194	283	314	597	120	276	32	9	268	63	-27	+1	-0	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	10	2	1	0	2	6	0	0	1	323	364	452	815	129	400	18	6	361	134	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	389	91	24	3	9	60	127	13	17	5	234	355	380	735	147	320	27	13	335	114	+7	+1	—	—	+13	2.2
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	434	367	102	23	8	17	58	114	6	11	3	278	385	523	908	245	356	26	13	395	161	+30	+1	—	—	+12	4.4
2023	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	84	64	13	3	0	1	17	24	2	2	1	203	386	297	682	94	300	29	20	326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	126	+14	+1	—	—	+14	3.0
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	104	+2	+0	—	—	+12	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	204	4	4	202	300	325	-1	+0	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	13	14	202	300	325	-4.0	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Roberts (OGILVIE)	26	40	45	45	45	189/345/308	119	248	5	10	26%	13%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	43	42→45	44→45	46	212/274/314	102	269	9	7	24%	7%	63	-0.9	225/294/356	131	279	13	7	23%	8%	82	+0.5	226/302/373	147	273	15	6	22%	9%	87	+0.5
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→45	44→45	45	46	217/284/331	113	292	11	5	29%	8%	72	-0.2	215/290/320	105	298	10	6	29%	9%	71	-0.3	158/270/213	55	222	5	0	28%	13%	34	-0.5
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	44→43	43→50	52→50	42	219/268/334	115	281	10	13	26%	6%	65	-0.7	228/274/378	150	297	18	18	29%	5%	79	+0.3	223/268/384	160	285	20	22	29%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	44→45	44→50	45→50	39	217/260/333	116	296	11	9	30%	5%	61	-1.0	226/279/345	119	286	11	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	50	211/298/330	120	301	10	7	31%	11%	78	+0.2	203/285/335	132	340	13	12	41%	8%	73	-0.1	184/270/318	133	318	14	13	42%	8%	60	-0.5
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43	46→55	50	39	217/257/353	135	279	13	8	27%	5%	65	-0.7	192/237/290	98	295	8	7	36%	5%	40	-2.4	126/169/196	70	215	5	4	42%	5%	-15	-2.3
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	39	191/254/300	109	301	11	6	39%	7%	51	-1.7	203/285/337	134	323	15	9	38%	10%	74	-0.1	193/282/326	133	300	16	9	38%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→37	46→50	45→30	50	222/295/348	126	277	14	6	24%	9%	81	+0.4	222/286/335	113	294	10	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Cal Towey 2016 · AA	26	46→50	42→45	49→50	44	215/295/320	106	317	9	13	33%	8%	74	-0.1	201/284/307	106	321	9	10	36%	9%	66	-0.6	189/279/298	109	307	9	9	38%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Chase Calabuig 2022 · AA	26	40→50	41→40	44→45	48	200/269/289	89	255	9	6	25%	8%	54	-1.4	250/310/384	134	290	13	5	18%	7%	95	+1.4	279/338/427	148	317	13	3	16%	8%	113	+1.3
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	45→47	45	44→45	49	223/300/347	124	295	13	5	28%	9%	83	+0.6	219/284/325	106	305	9	8	29%	8%	70	-0.3	171/227/213	42	253	0	0	30%	6%	12	-0.7
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	46	43→45	49→45	38	224/266/338	113	300	10	8	28%	5%	65	-0.7	217/270/334	117	326	12	5	35%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/326	115	319	13	2	36%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→43	46→45	45→40	40	207/267/331	124	274	14	5	29%	6%	65	-0.7	215/279/345	130	279	13	8	27%	6%	73	-0.1	178/266/339	160	218	17	6	26%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42→44	45→50	47→50	44	210/277/340	130	280	12	8	29%	7%	71	-0.3	221/280/343	122	284	11	13	25%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/346	129	274	11	14	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2014 · AAA	26	44	44→45	46→45	47	220/282/342	122	276	11	6	24%	8%	73	-0.1	232/307/337	105	283	8	8	20%	9%	83	+0.6	245/326/331	86	298	6	6	18%	9%	88	+0.3