Caleb Roberts — OGILVIE

Caleb RobertsOF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .300 / .235

PA20

HR0

K%25

BB%10

BABIP266

ISO59

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	31	10	2	1	0	2	6	0	0	1	323	364	452	815	129	400	18	6	361	130	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	389	91	24	3	9	60	127	13	17	5	234	355	380	735	147	320	27	13	335	113	+7	+1	—	—	+10	1.9
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	434	367	102	23	8	17	58	114	6	11	3	278	385	523	908	245	356	26	13	395	154	+28	+1	—	—	+9	3.9
2023	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	84	64	13	3	0	1	17	24	2	2	1	203	386	297	682	94	300	29	20	326	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	123	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.6
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	104	+2	+0	—	—	+9	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	118	20	3	2	1	12	50	4	3	1	169	269	254	523	85	258	37	9	230	42	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	33	32	9	2	1	0	1	7	0	0	1	281	303	406	709	125	358	21	3	299	88	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	465	411	73	16	2	8	38	170	13	17	5	178	268	285	553	107	270	37	8	249	55	-25	+1	—	—	+10	-1.4
2023	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	434	383	84	20	7	8	42	139	6	11	3	219	306	371	677	151	312	32	10	297	87	-7	+1	—	—	+9	0.4
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	435	93	19	4	13	36	144	8	11	2	214	286	366	652	152	274	30	7	282	77	-13	+1	—	—	+11	-0.1
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	393	74	16	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	188	262	290	552	102	249	30	7	241	49	-26	+0	—	—	+9	-1.7
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	118	20	3	2	1	12	50	4	3	1	169	269	254	523	85	275	37	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	112	24	4	2	1	18	36	4	3	1	214	343	312	656	98	299	26	13	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	498	443	81	17	3	8	39	177	13	17	6	183	269	289	558	106	280	36	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	498	420	101	26	4	9	62	133	13	17	6	240	356	386	741	145	327	27	12	336	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	456	99	24	8	9	50	166	8	13	4	217	305	364	669	147	316	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	518	431	115	26	8	18	75	138	8	13	4	267	385	490	875	223	348	27	14	384	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	435	93	19	4	13	36	144	8	11	2	214	286	366	652	152	283	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	416	101	20	4	20	55	120	8	11	2	243	342	454	797	212	288	25	11	350	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	393	74	16	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	188	262	290	552	102	259	30	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	379	90	21	3	10	45	103	8	8	3	237	331	388	719	150	295	24	10	322	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	136	119	20	3	2	1	12	50	4	3	1	168	269	252	521	84	258	37	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	498	443	81	17	3	8	39	177	13	17	6	183	269	289	558	106	276	36	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	455	99	24	8	9	50	166	8	13	4	218	305	365	670	147	312	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	438	93	19	4	13	36	144	8	11	2	212	286	363	649	151	274	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	395	74	16	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	187	262	289	550	101	249	30	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	455	99	24	8	9	50	166	8	13	4	218	305	365	670	147	312	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	485	438	93	19	4	13	36	144	8	11	2	212	286	363	649	151	274	30	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	437	395	74	16	3	6	31	129	8	8	3	187	262	289	550	101	249	30	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	MIN	—	134	101	18	3	0	3	21	29	12	7	2	178	381	297	678	119	217	22	16	304	92	-1	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	MIN	—	134	92	18	3	0	3	30	24	12	7	2	196	448	326	774	130	231	18	22	378	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	MIN	2%	20	17	3	1	0	0	2	5	1	1	0	176	300	235	535	59	266	25	10	291	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	MIN	—	154	118	21	4	0	3	23	34	13	8	2	178	370	288	658	110	222	22	15	302	91	-2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	27%	269	233	48	10	2	5	26	72	8	6	2	206	307	330	638	124	268	27	10	291	83	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	40%	319	276	58	12	2	7	31	85	9	6	2	210	310	344	654	134	269	27	10	293	84	-6	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	344	298	62	13	2	7	34	91	9	7	2	208	308	336	643	128	269	26	10	292	84	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	359	312	64	13	2	7	35	96	9	7	2	205	303	327	630	122	269	27	10	290	83	-7	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	27%	72	63	12	3	0	1	7	19	2	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	268	26	10	270	83	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	40%	127	110	24	5	1	3	12	34	4	3	1	218	317	364	681	145	269	27	9	273	84	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	154	134	28	6	1	3	15	41	4	3	1	209	307	336	643	127	270	27	10	273	84	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	171	147	30	6	1	3	17	46	5	3	1	204	308	320	627	116	269	27	10	271	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	524	454	94	20	3	10	51	140	15	11	3	207	308	330	638	123	274	27	10	272	73	-10	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	117	25	4	12	63	174	19	14	4	208	309	330	639	123	276	27	10	272	73	-13	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3385	2981	602	128	28	63	296	1015	77	79	24	202	291	327	618	125	279	30	9	276	73	-26	+2	-4	-8	+28	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	116	25	5	12	57	195	15	15	5	203	292	327	619	124	281	30	9	276	73	-13	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	529	11	10	207	304	333	-3	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	14	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Roberts (OGILVIE)	26	40	45	45	45	200/306/321	122	266	5	7	27%	10%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	202/289/315	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	222/298/320	98	293	9	18	26%	8%	78	-0.3	223/300/309	86	285	7	25	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	42→44	43→50	45	41	209/270/322	113	287	11	7	30%	6%	68	-1.0	208/276/322	114	349	12	8	41%	7%	70	-0.9	155/239/248	92	293	15	0	48%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→45	48→50	49→50	51	211/292/354	143	260	15	8	25%	10%	84	+0.1	210/281/354	144	265	16	10	26%	8%	80	-0.2	208/279/363	155	257	18	10	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	44→42	46→50	48→45	48	215/293/350	135	287	12	7	28%	9%	83	+0.1	212/302/352	140	270	16	5	26%	10%	87	+0.4	199/299/335	135	249	16	3	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Ka'ai Tom 2019 · AA	25	44→48	45→50	49→50	45	220/283/349	129	278	12	13	25%	7%	78	-0.3	223/292/379	156	291	16	8	28%	7%	89	+0.5	204/283/359	155	273	17	6	30%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→43	44→45	48→45	47	232/292/358	125	281	11	7	21%	7%	84	+0.1	215/278/320	105	278	8	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	188/256/270	82	252	5	1	26%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	45→47	44→45	44→45	49	219/298/337	118	289	12	5	27%	9%	82	-0.0	217/285/321	104	303	9	8	29%	8%	73	-0.6	166/226/208	42	247	0	0	30%	6%	22	-0.7
✕Carlos Alvarez 2014 · AAA	26	46	43→45	46→45	48	224/287/341	117	280	10	6	23%	8%	78	-0.3	236/310/337	101	287	7	8	19%	9%	85	+0.2	250/327/331	82	302	5	6	17%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	43	43→45	46→50	49	208/293/321	114	297	9	7	31%	10%	76	-0.4	202/285/325	123	338	12	12	40%	9%	75	-0.5	185/273/308	123	318	12	13	42%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Emerson Frostad 2009 · AA	26	45→48	46→50	43→40	43	224/276/356	132	291	12	6	27%	6%	77	-0.3	218/275/316	98	273	7	4	22%	7%	68	-1.0	213/272/299	86	261	6	2	20%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	44→43	42→45	44→45	46	213/275/315	102	268	9	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	225/294/353	128	277	12	7	22%	8%	83	+0.1	227/302/369	143	272	14	6	21%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	45→47	44→45	45	47	221/290/334	113	297	11	5	28%	8%	78	-0.3	217/293/321	104	298	10	6	28%	9%	76	-0.4	159/272/212	53	217	4	0	26%	13%	42	-0.5
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	217/267/324	106	281	8	13	25%	6%	66	-1.1	225/272/362	137	292	15	18	27%	5%	77	-0.3	222/266/365	143	283	17	22	27%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA	26	43→52	44→45	51→50	46	215/280/323	108	271	12	18	25%	8%	72	-0.7	237/310/354	117	309	11	18	25%	9%	90	+0.6	241/318/356	115	306	11	20	23%	9%	91	+0.3
✕James Ramsey 2016 · AAA	26	46→52	44→45	43→45	43	224/285/339	116	308	11	6	30%	7%	77	-0.3	222/277/334	112	328	11	8	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/272/321	105	329	11	7	35%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	46→50	54→55	48	211/291/344	132	264	13	14	24%	8%	81	-0.1	212/271/313	101	296	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	228/269/342	114	334	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2017 · AAA	26	45	47→45	46→45	40	225/273/356	131	308	15	9	31%	6%	76	-0.4	224/273/349	125	314	13	9	31%	6%	74	-0.5	221/268/341	120	313	12	8	32%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Casey Stevenson 2014 · AAA	26	46	42→45	46→45	45	225/284/325	99	275	10	7	22%	6%	73	-0.6	210/271/302	92	257	8	8	21%	6%	63	-1.4	177/238/234	57	212	3	5	17%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→38	48→55	48→40	41	203/273/350	148	268	16	5	30%	6%	76	-0.4	213/275/371	158	267	19	4	27%	7%	82	-0.0	212/274/375	163	259	21	2	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	42→47	46→50	50	39	212/257/343	130	272	13	12	27%	4%	67	-1.1	198/251/312	114	276	11	11	31%	5%	58	-1.7	184/241/291	108	266	11	12	34%	5%	48	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps