Nick Maton — OGILVIE

Nick Maton1B Charlotte Knights

Age 29 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .302 / .362

PA200

HR7

K%25

BB%11

ISO156

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT43

Whiff%

2414.0%

xwOBA

200.273

POWER51

Barrel%

477.8

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

5071.4

EYE55

Chase%

6129.7%

SPEED33

Sprint

1025.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	466	421	90	20	4	7	28	145	5	5	3	214	271	330	601	116	301	31	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	466	406	104	26	5	8	43	103	5	5	3	256	335	404	739	148	318	22	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	456	410	79	10	2	6	39	128	3	12	9	193	268	271	538	78	262	28	9	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	456	399	106	17	3	7	50	85	3	12	9	266	352	376	728	110	319	19	11	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	383	338	69	17	3	7	33	112	6	5	2	204	286	334	621	130	279	29	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	383	323	71	18	3	7	48	99	6	5	2	220	332	359	691	139	291	26	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	352	313	68	18	2	9	31	99	4	3	1	217	296	374	670	157	282	28	9	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	352	300	78	23	2	10	44	84	4	3	1	260	362	450	812	190	324	24	12	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	468	398	82	17	1	12	56	118	7	4	3	206	315	344	659	138	256	25	12	293	83	-9	-0	-8	+2	+13	-0.3
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	468	389	84	21	1	11	65	110	7	4	3	216	338	360	698	144	267	24	14	316	100	+0	-0	-8	+2	+13	0.7
2024	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	344	305	72	10	1	14	31	74	5	1	1	236	317	413	730	177	264	22	9	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	344	291	75	12	1	16	45	70	5	1	1	258	367	471	837	213	284	20	13	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	128	109	17	4	0	3	17	47	2	0	1	156	281	275	556	119	237	37	13	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	128	106	19	4	0	4	20	42	2	0	1	179	320	330	651	151	250	33	16	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	CWS	—	200	174	37	6	1	7	21	51	3	1	0	213	308	379	687	167	251	26	10	301	89	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	CWS	27%	286	250	51	9	1	9	30	73	4	2	1	204	299	356	655	152	249	26	10	298	86	-4	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	CWS	37%	271	236	47	8	1	8	29	70	4	2	0	199	297	343	641	144	245	26	11	293	83	-5	+0	-6	+1	+8	-0.2
2027	30	MLB	CWS	27%	78	69	14	2	0	3	8	20	1	1	0	203	295	362	657	159	250	26	10	290	80	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	CWS	37%	101	88	17	3	0	3	11	26	1	1	0	193	290	330	620	136	246	26	11	285	76	-3	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	751	649	131	25	2	23	86	206	8	5	3	202	303	353	656	151	254	27	11	296	84	-13	-0	-15	+0	+21	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	114	22	2	20	74	178	7	4	3	203	303	356	659	153	255	27	11	296	84	-11	-0	-13	+0	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3354	2954	612	119	16	82	315	917	43	35	21	207	293	342	634	134	267	27	9	281	73	-101	-1	-25	+7	+95	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	119	23	3	16	61	178	8	7	4	208	293	343	635	135	269	27	9	281	73	-20	-0	-5	+1	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	466	406	104	26	5	8	43	103	5	5	3	256	335	404	739	148	318	22	9	323	105	+3	-0	—	—	+13	1.6
2019	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	72	62	13	3	0	2	9	14	0	1	1	210	310	355	665	145	234	19	12	299	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	22	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	384	337	93	14	3	5	41	71	3	11	8	276	360	380	739	104	335	18	11	334	114	+6	-1	—	—	+11	1.6
2021	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	131	117	30	7	1	2	10	39	2	2	0	256	326	385	710	128	364	30	8	315	100	-0	+0	-2	+4	+4	0.6
2021	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	252	206	41	11	2	5	38	60	4	3	2	199	335	345	679	146	252	24	15	310	95	-1	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2022	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	85	72	18	2	1	5	10	29	1	0	0	250	349	514	863	264	325	34	12	369	140	+4	+0	-1	-4	+2	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	250	211	55	20	1	5	34	55	3	3	1	261	371	436	807	175	327	22	14	359	133	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2022	25	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	17	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	294	294	353	647	59	294	0	0	288	79	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	293	249	43	9	0	8	38	73	3	1	2	173	290	305	595	133	206	25	13	275	68	-10	-1	-8	+2	+8	-0.9
2023	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	175	140	41	12	1	3	27	37	4	3	1	293	421	457	878	164	369	21	15	387	154	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	344	291	75	12	1	16	45	70	5	1	1	258	367	471	837	213	284	20	13	369	141	+16	-0	—	—	+10	2.6
2025	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	63	54	9	2	0	2	9	19	0	0	1	167	286	315	601	148	212	30	14	278	71	-2	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
2025	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	65	52	10	2	0	2	11	23	2	0	0	192	354	346	700	154	296	35	17	328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	572	492	100	20	2	17	67	160	6	3	3	203	306	356	662	152	259	28	12	298	86	-9	-1	-12	-0	+16	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	772	23	4	204	301	356	-1	-10	0.7	0.8
	/162	664	20	4	204	301	356	-0.9	-8.9	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Maton (OGILVIE)	29	43	51	33	55	207/302/362	155	251	7	1	25%	11%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Lennerton 2015 · AAA	29	46→52	47→50	36→30	47	228/296/365	137	299	15	2	28%	8%	85	+0.7	215/272/330	115	288	11	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	189/243/275	86	258	7	0	28%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Chris Parmelee 2017 · MLB	29	45→51	49→55	41→45	45	233/285/377	143	277	18	4	23%	7%	84	+0.6	208/276/365	157	281	20	4	32%	9%	77	+0.1	177/258/349	172	248	25	0	38%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
●Brad Nelson 2012 · MLB	29	40→48	49→50	44→50	47	209/271/350	141	249	17	4	24%	8%	72	-0.2	223/282/374	151	270	19	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	217/278/362	145	258	18	2	24%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Preston Tucker 2018 · MLB	28	40→46	51→55	41→40	44	214/268/376	162	253	20	3	25%	6%	77	+0.1	222/276/365	143	260	15	5	21%	6%	77	+0.1	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Chris McGuiness 2015 · MLB	27	44→47	47→50	38→30	51	222/295/365	144	270	14	2	23%	9%	85	+0.7	215/286/319	104	260	10	5	20%	9%	69	-0.4	193/271/249	56	232	6	1	18%	9%	43	-1.4
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB	29	38→44	53→55	44→50	44	206/270/375	170	267	22	5	32%	8%	78	+0.2	223/285/394	171	285	22	5	29%	8%	89	+0.9	217/279/385	168	275	23	3	29%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Greg Bird 2022 · MLB	29	36→46	52→55	43→30	45	198/268/358	160	252	20	3	30%	8%	72	-0.2	204/268/341	137	272	16	7	30%	7%	68	-0.5	175/244/283	108	235	13	4	30%	8%	40	-1.0
●Paul McAnulty 2010 · MLB	29	41→50	47→60	40	49	208/286/346	138	259	15	2	26%	9%	77	+0.1	233/293/413	180	272	23	4	24%	7%	97	+1.5	235/297/429	194	268	26	2	23%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	45	50	41→40	41	230/284/385	155	294	18	6	28%	6%	86	+0.8	219/280/352	133	293	15	6	29%	7%	76	+0.0	193/264/308	115	257	13	2	29%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Dee Brown 2007 · MLB	29	46→50	48→50	40→45	41	234/275/369	135	276	17	4	23%	4%	78	+0.2	235/289/370	135	273	15	7	20%	6%	84	+0.6	231/294/369	138	263	15	8	18%	7%	83	+0.5
✕Nick Evans 2015 · MLB	29	45→55	50→55	41→40	46	230/289/385	154	278	18	3	24%	7%	88	+0.9	244/299/371	127	316	14	4	26%	7%	88	+0.9	249/305/360	111	326	12	0	26%	7%	83	+0.6
✕Michael Ryan 2006 · MLB	29	49	47→50	38→30	46	243/292/375	132	287	15	6	21%	7%	85	+0.7	222/263/358	136	272	15	4	24%	5%	69	-0.4	234/274/402	168	277	20	2	23%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Jeff Clement 2012 · MLB	28	43→48	50→55	40→30	41	224/271/379	155	281	17	4	27%	6%	79	+0.3	212/257/361	149	267	16	3	26%	6%	68	-0.5	202/248/353	151	250	16	1	26%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Matt LaPorta 2014 · MLB	29	42→49	51→55	40→30	45	219/276/375	156	255	19	3	23%	6%	80	+0.4	228/283/386	158	268	18	6	22%	7%	86	+0.8	231/286/401	171	262	18	0	19%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jerry Sands 2017 · MLB	29	45→46	48→60	41→45	46	229/287/369	139	276	17	3	24%	7%	82	+0.5	243/306/422	179	305	20	6	26%	8%	105	+2.1	248/319/457	209	310	23	5	27%	9%	115	+1.4
✕Danny Ortiz 2019 · AAA	29	41→48	52→60	41→45	36	218/247/376	158	261	21	5	26%	3%	68	-0.5	233/280/426	193	278	26	5	26%	5%	95	+1.4	235/289/457	222	265	31	1	25%	6%	108	+2.0
✕Brock Stassi 2018 · MLB	28	45→55	46→50	42→45	50	225/292/353	128	266	14	3	21%	8%	81	+0.4	239/311/361	122	303	11	5	23%	9%	91	+1.1	261/347/374	113	339	5	0	22%	10%	106	+0.8
✕Mike Costanzo 2013 · MLB	29	41→48	46→50	38→40	42	208/267/338	130	292	14	4	33%	7%	66	-0.6	204/263/333	129	298	14	5	34%	7%	63	-0.8	188/250/318	130	273	15	2	35%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Willie Calhoun 2023 · MLB	28	45→52	47→55	41→40	52	225/290/358	132	245	15	3	16%	8%	81	+0.4	231/300/365	134	256	15	3	16%	8%	87	+0.8	230/303/357	127	253	13	1	15%	9%	83	+0.3