John Rave — OGILVIE

John RaveRF Omaha Storm Chasers

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 28 L/L 5'10" / 194 lbs AAA HR -5%BB +4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.1 · 2027

wRC+†vL 138116vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .295 / .380

PA152

HR4

SB13

K%27

BB%9

xwOBA.302

Barrel%5.5%

MLB%55%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

51↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2027

Barrel%

295.5

xwOBA

440.302

Avg EV

3988.3

Whiff%

730.085

Chase%

820.256

Speed

8728.9

Bat Spd

7473.9

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$9M	+$8M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$4M	+$2M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-3	$3M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$21M	+$13M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Lexington Legends	196	180	35	5	1	2	9	71	3	6	5	.194	.245	.267	.511	.072	.306	36	5	.216	24	-17	-1	+0	-2	+6	-1.5
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	322	290	55	6	2	11	26	124	5	13	0	.190	.268	.338	.606	.148	.284	39	8	.268	63	-13	+3	+0	-3	+9	-0.5
2022	24	AA	3 teams	579	518	113	14	3	17	52	192	2	25	6	.218	.292	.355	.647	.137	.306	33	9	.285	76	-16	+3	+0	-6	+16	-0.3
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	538	486	101	19	3	11	47	176	0	10	8	.208	.278	.327	.605	.119	.298	33	9	.268	63	-22	-1	+0	-6	+15	-1.4
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	578	520	116	28	5	16	43	154	3	17	5	.223	.286	.388	.675	.165	.282	27	7	.289	79	-13	+1	+0	-6	+16	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	449	397	89	16	4	14	41	119	3	26	3	.224	.302	.390	.692	.166	.281	27	9	.297	85	-7	+4	+2	-5	+13	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	97	81	21	4	1	4	13	19	0	10	0	.259	.362	.481	.843	.222	.283	20	13	.351	127	+3	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	KC	55	50	11	2	0	2	5	14	0	3	0	.220	.291	.380	.671	.160	.282	25	9	.313	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
TOT	28	MLB	KC	152	131	32	6	1	6	18	33	0	13	0	.244	.336	.443	.778	.198	.277	22	12	.337	116	+3	+3	+0	-2	+4	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 66%	KC	380	334	78	15	3	12	41	84	2	18	2	.234	.321	.404	.725	.171	.272	22	11	.320	103	+1	+3	-1	-4	+11	1.0
2028	30	MLB 75%	KC	380	334	78	15	3	12	41	86	2	17	2	.234	.321	.404	.725	.171	.272	23	11	.317	101	+0	+3	-2	-4	+11	0.8
2029	31	MLB 83%	KC	365	322	74	14	3	11	38	84	2	15	1	.230	.315	.394	.709	.165	.272	23	10	.314	98	-1	+3	-2	-4	+10	0.6
2030	32	MLB 89%	KC	346	305	68	13	2	10	36	81	2	13	0	.223	.309	.377	.686	.154	.271	23	10	.309	95	-2	+3	-3	-4	+10	0.4
2031	33	MLB 95%	KC	316	279	62	12	2	9	33	76	1	10	0	.222	.307	.376	.683	.154	.269	24	10	.304	91	-3	+2	-4	-3	+9	0.0
2032	34	MLB	KC	272	241	52	10	2	7	28	68	1	8	0	.216	.300	.361	.661	.145	.267	25	10	.297	85	-4	+2	-5	-3	+8	-0.3
2033	35	MLB	KC	221	195	42	8	2	5	23	57	1	6	0	.215	.301	.354	.655	.138	.265	26	10	.289	79	-5	+1	-5	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4997	4451	974	177	35	139	463	1386	27	187	32	.219	.296	.368	.664	.149	.283	28	9	.292	82	-103	+25	-20	-54	+142	-1.1
/ 162G	—			650	579	127	23	5	18	60	180	4	24	4	.219	.298	.370	.667	.150	.283	28	9	.292	82	-13	+3	-3	-7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Lexington Legends	196	174	44	7	1	2	15	58	3	6	5	.253	.323	.339	.662	.086	.365	30	8	.297	85	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	322	278	70	8	3	14	38	93	5	13	0	.252	.352	.453	.805	.201	.327	29	12	.358	132	+12	+3	—	—	+9	2.4
2022	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	43	41	8	2	0	2	2	13	0	1	0	.195	.233	.390	.623	.195	.231	30	5	.273	67	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	461	389	102	13	2	14	63	115	2	22	6	.262	.368	.414	.782	.152	.332	25	14	.348	125	+13	+2	—	—	+13	2.8
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	75	69	15	3	1	2	6	22	0	2	0	.217	.280	.377	.657	.159	.289	29	8	.293	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	302	263	62	14	1	7	36	84	0	4	4	.236	.328	.376	.704	.141	.316	28	12	.316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+9	0.8
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	236	200	55	10	3	5	34	58	0	6	4	.275	.380	.430	.810	.155	.362	25	14	.361	135	+9	-0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	578	498	129	32	5	21	65	125	3	17	5	.259	.348	.470	.818	.211	.303	22	11	.354	129	+19	+1	—	—	+16	3.8
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	175	153	30	5	0	4	18	46	1	7	2	.196	.285	.307	.592	.111	.250	26	10	.269	64	-7	+1	+2	-5	+5	-0.4
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	274	235	67	13	4	11	32	61	2	19	1	.285	.375	.515	.890	.230	.339	22	12	.384	152	+16	+3	—	—	+8	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			175	153	30	5	0	4	18	46	1	7	2	.196	.285	.307	.592	.111	.250	26	10	.269	64	-7	+1	+2	-5	+5	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Rave (OGILVIE)	28	45	40	60	60	.222/.295/.380	.158	.284	4	5	27%	9%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	47→53	48→50	55	48	.234/.303/.384	.149	.269	15	16	19%	7%	93	+1.3	.244/.323/.394	.150	.276	16	19	17%	8%	105	+2.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Roger Bernadina 2012 · MLB	28	49→59	47→45	56→60	47	.243/.303/.376	.133	.289	14	26	21%	7%	91	+1.1	.234/.306/.356	.122	.295	12	22	24%	8%	87	+0.8	.228/.296/.347	.119	.323	12	20	31%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	46	53→55	53→55	51	.234/.321/.411	.177	.299	21	21	28%	10%	108	+2.3	.248/.334/.408	.160	.301	20	21	23%	11%	113	+2.6	.257/.332/.404	.146	.303	17	26	20%	9%	104	+1.2
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	48→44	47→50	56→55	45	.236/.294/.373	.137	.301	14	19	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.228/.299/.388	.160	.314	18	22	31%	8%	92	+1.2	.220/.294/.374	.154	.306	17	27	32%	8%	85	+0.4
●Will Venable 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	51→55	55→60	46	.240/.307/.402	.161	.308	18	18	27%	8%	99	+1.7	.248/.312/.416	.168	.308	17	28	24%	8%	105	+2.1	.254/.314/.430	.176	.305	18	31	22%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB	27	48→50	46→45	52→50	49	.236/.310/.364	.128	.299	14	18	25%	9%	91	+1.1	.235/.308/.352	.117	.309	10	18	25%	8%	87	+0.8	.219/.300/.302	.083	.281	4	28	22%	9%	68	-0.1
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	47→55	47→50	54→55	50	.232/.300/.371	.140	.278	13	25	22%	8%	89	+0.9	.252/.325/.380	.128	.318	12	17	23%	10%	101	+1.8	.254/.328/.372	.118	.320	10	18	22%	10%	95	+1.1
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→54	49→55	58→60	42	.233/.287/.393	.160	.315	16	20	30%	7%	89	+0.9	.217/.280/.374	.157	.326	16	19	36%	8%	81	+0.4	.191/.257/.337	.146	.304	15	21	40%	8%	57	-0.6
●Michael Saunders 2014 · MLB	27	47→52	51→55	53→55	50	.238/.313/.406	.167	.299	18	18	26%	10%	103	+1.9	.246/.326/.414	.168	.313	18	10	25%	10%	111	+2.5	.237/.311/.408	.171	.296	19	3	26%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Chris Dickerson 2010 · MLB	28	53→55	46→50	59→60	49	.251/.328/.393	.142	.349	12	25	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.249/.322/.374	.125	.347	10	28	28%	9%	98	+1.6	.246/.321/.390	.144	.339	13	22	29%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→45	48→45	58→50	41	.230/.279/.372	.142	.295	15	20	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.224/.271/.370	.146	.295	17	15	29%	5%	76	+0.1	.186/.224/.319	.133	.236	18	3	30%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2020 · MLB	28	49→52	48→50	52→55	45	.242/.305/.389	.147	.301	14	18	24%	7%	95	+1.4	.216/.293/.350	.134	.284	14	15	27%	9%	81	+0.4	.163/.242/.272	.109	.220	15	21	32%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Joshua Palacios 2023 · MLB	28	51→54	43→50	51→55	45	.247/.310/.353	.106	.306	10	21	22%	6%	88	+0.9	.246/.305/.395	.149	.293	17	15	22%	7%	97	+1.5	.235/.300/.390	.155	.278	19	11	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	43→50	47→45	53→55	49	.217/.296/.348	.131	.283	16	16	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.222/.306/.335	.113	.303	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.222/.314/.322	.100	.305	9	19	27%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Conti 2002 · MLB	27	49→41	47→45	56→50	46	.237/.304/.380	.143	.315	13	13	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.240/.299/.372	.132	.311	11	10	25%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.270/.333	.113	.288	10	6	27%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Xavier Paul 2013 · MLB	28	53→58	45→50	53→55	44	.258/.301/.390	.133	.314	12	20	22%	6%	93	+1.3	.234/.294/.369	.135	.301	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	.204/.273/.329	.125	.268	15	1	29%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Jeff Salazar 2010 · MLB	29	48→51	45→50	57→55	50	.235/.300/.365	.130	.275	12	17	19%	8%	87	+0.8	.211/.271/.325	.114	.256	13	23	22%	7%	64	-0.8	.195/.259/.298	.103	.237	13	25	23%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Bradley Zimmer 2021 · MLB	28	48→51	47→50	53→60	44	.229/.312/.364	.135	.329	15	17	32%	8%	93	+1.3	.214/.309/.332	.118	.332	13	22	36%	8%	85	+0.7	.191/.286/.295	.104	.317	12	27	39%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Derek Fisher 2022 · MLB	28	44→51	51→55	49→55	48	.224/.302/.384	.160	.303	19	12	31%	10%	93	+1.3	.205/.268/.335	.130	.306	14	8	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.124/.199/.239	.115	.190	14	0	42%	8%	10	-0.8
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→55	43→45	56→55	49	.228/.302/.341	.113	.293	10	22	24%	9%	82	+0.5	.247/.314/.376	.129	.312	13	19	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.259/.317/.387	.128	.326	13	19	23%	7%	96	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)