John Rave — OGILVIE

John RaveRF Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 28 L/L 5'10" / 194 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION332 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 11980vR 65

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .315 / .402

PA221

HR7

SB11

K%25

BB%10

BABIP290

ISO168

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

827.6%

xwOBA

550.315

POWER40

Barrel%

477.8

Avg EV

5789.6

Bat Spd

7473.9

EYE60

Chase%

9022.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

Platoon Splits2025 · 175 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

152

—

wRC+

110

◀◀L

wOBA

329

260

◀◀L

ISO

—

126

—

BABIP

385

231

◀◀L

21.7%

27.0%

◀◀L

BB%

13.0%

9.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.4	$1M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$13M	+$12M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$10M	+$8M
2029	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$7M	+$4M
2030	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$33M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Lexington Legends	—	196	180	36	5	1	1	9	69	3	6	5	200	250	256	506	56	315	35	5	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Lexington Legends	—	196	174	44	7	1	2	15	58	3	6	5	253	323	339	662	86	365	30	8	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	322	289	52	6	2	10	27	122	5	13	0	180	262	318	580	138	268	38	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	322	278	70	8	3	14	38	93	5	13	0	252	352	453	805	201	327	29	12	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	579	519	117	14	3	19	51	194	2	25	6	225	297	374	671	148	315	34	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	579	499	125	18	3	18	71	150	2	25	6	251	346	407	753	156	318	26	12	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	538	487	102	18	3	13	46	174	0	10	8	209	278	339	616	129	294	32	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	538	463	117	24	4	12	70	142	0	10	8	253	351	400	750	147	337	26	13	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	578	522	115	29	5	15	41	157	3	17	5	220	281	381	662	161	282	27	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	578	498	129	32	5	21	65	125	3	17	5	259	348	470	818	211	303	22	11	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	449	395	86	16	5	13	43	118	3	26	3	218	299	382	682	165	273	26	10	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	449	388	97	18	4	15	50	107	3	26	3	250	340	433	773	183	305	24	11	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	KC	—	332	288	71	12	3	11	35	81	2	16	3	247	332	424	756	177	302	24	11	319	102	+1	+2	+0	-4	+9	0.9
YTD	28	AAA	KC	—	332	274	74	13	3	12	49	69	2	16	3	270	385	471	855	201	316	21	15	373	143	+16	+2	+0	-4	+9	2.5
ROS	28	AAA	KC	55%	221	196	46	8	2	7	22	56	1	11	2	234	315	402	717	168	289	25	10	317	100	+0	+1	+2	-2	+6	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	KC	55%	122	108	25	4	1	4	12	31	1	6	1	231	314	398	712	167	285	25	10	308	94	-1	+1	+1	-1	+3	0.3
FULL	28	AAA	KC	—	454	396	96	16	4	15	47	112	3	22	4	242	327	417	744	174	297	25	10	316	100	+0	+3	+1	-5	+13	1.2
TOT	28	AAA	KC	—	553	484	117	20	5	18	57	137	3	27	5	242	325	415	740	173	297	25	10	318	102	+1	+3	+2	-6	+16	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	KC	59%	612	544	126	23	5	18	59	156	4	26	5	232	311	392	703	160	286	25	10	313	98	-2	+3	+3	-7	+17	1.6
2028	30	MLB	KC	61%	600	533	122	22	4	18	58	153	4	23	4	229	309	386	696	158	285	26	10	311	96	-3	+3	+2	-6	+17	1.4
2029	31	MLB	KC	62%	588	523	119	22	4	17	56	151	4	19	4	228	307	382	689	155	283	26	10	307	93	-5	+2	+2	-6	+17	1.0
2030	32	MLB	KC	63%	576	512	114	20	4	16	55	150	4	16	3	223	303	371	674	148	279	26	10	302	89	-7	+2	+1	-6	+16	0.6
2031	33	MLB	KC	64%	497	444	96	17	3	13	47	132	3	10	2	216	296	356	651	140	275	27	9	294	83	-9	+1	-0	-5	+14	0.0
2027	29	MLB	KC	59%	360	320	73	13	3	10	35	92	2	15	3	228	308	381	689	153	283	26	10	305	91	-4	+2	+2	-4	+10	0.7
2028	30	MLB	KC	61%	367	327	74	13	3	10	35	93	2	14	3	226	305	376	681	150	282	25	10	302	89	-4	+2	+1	-4	+10	0.5
2029	31	MLB	KC	62%	367	327	73	13	3	10	35	94	2	12	2	223	302	373	675	150	279	26	10	298	87	-6	+2	+1	-4	+10	0.4
2030	32	MLB	KC	63%	364	324	71	12	3	10	35	94	2	10	2	219	299	367	666	148	276	26	10	293	82	-7	+1	+1	-4	+10	0.1
2031	33	MLB	KC	64%	316	281	60	10	2	8	30	84	2	7	1	214	294	349	643	135	271	27	9	286	77	-8	+1	-0	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2071	1840	406	70	15	56	200	534	12	71	14	221	301	366	667	146	277	26	10	295	84	-37	+9	+8	-25	+59	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	128	22	5	18	63	168	4	22	4	222	303	371	674	149	278	26	10	295	84	-12	+3	+2	-8	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	5756	5144	1131	200	41	160	514	1632	36	202	47	220	295	368	663	148	287	28	9	293	83	-113	+22	+11	-62	+163	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	128	23	5	18	58	184	4	23	5	220	296	370	666	150	287	28	9	293	83	-13	+3	+1	-7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Lexington Legends	—	196	174	44	7	1	2	15	58	3	6	5	253	323	339	662	86	365	30	8	297	85	-3	-1	—	—	+6	0.2
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	322	278	70	8	3	14	38	93	5	13	0	252	352	453	805	201	327	29	12	358	132	+12	+3	—	—	+9	2.4
2022	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	43	41	8	2	0	2	2	13	0	1	0	195	233	390	623	195	231	30	5	273	67	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	461	389	102	13	2	14	63	115	2	22	6	262	368	414	782	152	332	25	14	348	125	+13	+2	—	—	+13	2.8
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	75	69	15	3	1	2	6	22	0	2	0	217	280	377	657	159	289	29	8	293	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	302	263	62	14	1	7	36	84	0	4	4	236	328	376	704	141	316	28	12	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+9	0.8
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	236	200	55	10	3	5	34	58	0	6	4	275	380	430	810	155	362	25	14	361	135	+9	-0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	578	498	129	32	5	21	65	125	3	17	5	259	348	470	818	211	303	22	11	354	129	+19	+1	—	—	+16	3.8
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	175	153	30	5	0	4	18	46	1	7	2	196	285	307	592	111	250	26	10	269	64	-7	+1	+2	-5	+5	-0.4
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	274	235	67	13	4	11	32	61	2	19	1	285	375	515	890	230	339	22	12	384	152	+16	+3	—	—	+8	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	175	153	30	5	0	4	18	46	1	7	2	196	285	307	592	111	250	26	10	269	64	-7	+1	+2	-5	+5	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,088	59	71	224	301	375	-22	+10	1.4	1.5
	/162	664	19	23	224	301	375	-7.1	+3.3	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Rave (OGILVIE)	28	45	40	60	60	242/325/415	173	297	18	27	25%	10%	102	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roger Bernadina 2012 · MLB	28	48→58	47→45	56→60	47	241/301/375	133	288	15	27	22%	7%	90	+1.0	231/304/351	120	294	12	22	24%	8%	85	+0.7	217/303/321	104	288	9	21	26%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Eric Patterson 2011 · MLB	28	48→55	47→50	66→60	46	236/292/382	146	298	12	33	25%	7%	87	+0.8	206/270/315	109	268	9	22	25%	8%	61	-1.0	186/255/267	80	244	6	20	25%	8%	40	-0.9
✕John Andreoli 2018 · AAA	28	44→54	47→45	58→60	48	218/296/357	139	298	14	29	30%	9%	83	+0.6	218/297/340	122	317	11	19	32%	10%	79	+0.3	201/291/312	111	310	9	17	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	46→54	46→50	54→55	50	229/298/365	136	276	13	24	22%	8%	86	+0.8	249/323/375	126	316	11	17	23%	10%	98	+1.6	251/325/369	118	318	10	18	23%	10%	95	+1.2
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→51	47→50	57→60	46	227/297/355	128	307	15	31	30%	9%	83	+0.6	230/297/362	132	323	14	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕George Lombard 2003 · MLB	27	47→44	45→50	58→55	44	232/292/362	130	311	12	23	28%	8%	82	+0.5	233/294/379	146	307	15	19	28%	7%	88	+0.9	220/293/373	153	305	17	27	32%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→43	50	59→50	40	235/283/388	154	300	17	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	225/272/372	147	297	17	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	184/222/324	140	233	19	3	31%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	48→53	49→55	56→60	42	235/289/392	156	322	16	28	31%	7%	89	+1.0	228/282/375	147	315	16	20	31%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Kevin Thompson 2008 · MLB	28	49→52	45→50	56→60	49	238/306/370	132	291	11	27	22%	8%	90	+1.0	230/290/346	116	284	10	27	22%	7%	77	+0.1	247/301/351	105	298	9	44	20%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Sam Haggerty 2022 · MLB	28	47→44	44→50	58→65	45	226/294/347	122	307	11	25	29%	8%	80	+0.4	250/324/395	145	318	12	35	24%	8%	105	+2.1	257/335/401	144	323	11	42	22%	9%	107	+1.2
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	44→45	54→55	48	240/322/359	120	321	12	21	27%	9%	95	+1.4	213/282/319	106	334	10	21	36%	8%	68	-0.5	147/237/187	40	274	4	35	43%	11%	12	-0.8
✕Joshua Palacios 2023 · MLB	28	52	42→50	52→55	46	249/313/355	106	306	10	22	21%	7%	89	+1.0	242/303/389	147	291	17	15	22%	7%	95	+1.4	231/297/381	150	276	18	11	23%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB	27	47→52	46→50	58→55	48	226/303/363	137	309	12	26	29%	9%	88	+0.9	214/268/356	142	303	16	19	33%	6%	71	-0.3	209/265/341	133	277	13	14	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB	27	49→52	46→45	52→50	49	242/315/369	128	306	14	18	25%	9%	95	+1.4	239/311/356	117	315	10	17	25%	8%	89	+1.0	225/307/310	85	284	4	28	20%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	45→49	46→50	58→70	40	224/279/355	131	294	14	32	28%	6%	76	+0.0	255/314/393	138	332	15	63	26%	6%	100	+1.7	267/329/405	137	352	15	90	26%	6%	106	+1.1
✕Chris Dickerson 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	49→50	59→60	45	241/312/399	158	346	15	26	33%	9%	101	+1.8	251/325/374	123	352	10	26	28%	10%	99	+1.7	241/318/390	149	333	14	22	30%	9%	99	+0.9