Cam Maron
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 182 | .242/.335/.312 | 2 | 1 | 53 | — | .213/.274/.273 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAJacksonville … | 188 | .302/.392/.370 | 1 | 1 | 94 | — | .288/.349/.353 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAMIA | 270 | .270/.366/.386 | 5 | 0 | 65 | — | .220/.284/.301 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 49 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 408 | 415 | 823 | 122 | 333 | 14 | 14 | 376 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 59 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 411 | 438 | 848 | 125 | 359 | 14 | 12 | 364 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 248 | 201 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 318 | 434 | 413 | 847 | 95 | 372 | 14 | 15 | 379 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 409 | 343 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 73 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 406 | 408 | 814 | 108 | 366 | 18 | 13 | 367 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 325 | 285 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 327 | 295 | 622 | 60 | 284 | 15 | 12 | 290 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 63 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 365 | 255 | 620 | 39 | 282 | 19 | 19 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 416 | 348 | 98 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 392 | 362 | 754 | 80 | 337 | 16 | 15 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 105 | 87 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 343 | 299 | 642 | 69 | 268 | 15 | 14 | 294 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 77 | 70 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 325 | 329 | 653 | 71 | 309 | 18 | 9 | 300 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 188 | 162 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 392 | 370 | 763 | 68 | 348 | 12 | 13 | 347 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 270 | 233 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 366 | 386 | 752 | 116 | 314 | 17 | 13 | 340 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 91 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 59 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 339 | 392 | 731 | 118 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 248 | 217 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 267 | 343 | 346 | 689 | 78 | 319 | 19 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 409 | 362 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 95 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 349 | 365 | 714 | 91 | 348 | 23 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 325 | 293 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 281 | 256 | 537 | 51 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 416 | 368 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 324 | 310 | 633 | 65 | 321 | 24 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 105 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 294 | 290 | 584 | 65 | 268 | 19 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 77 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 247 | 250 | 497 | 56 | 263 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 188 | 170 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 349 | 353 | 702 | 65 | 338 | 15 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 270 | 246 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 301 | 584 | 81 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 91 | 242 | 20 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 49 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 408 | 415 | 823 | 122 | 333 | 14 | 14 | 376 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 59 | 51 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 339 | 392 | 731 | 118 | 342 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 59 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 411 | 438 | 848 | 125 | 359 | 14 | 12 | 364 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 248 | 217 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 267 | 343 | 346 | 689 | 78 | 331 | 19 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | Kingsport Mets | — | 248 | 201 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 318 | 434 | 413 | 847 | 95 | 372 | 14 | 15 | 379 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 409 | 362 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 95 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 349 | 365 | 714 | 91 | 357 | 23 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 409 | 343 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 73 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 406 | 408 | 814 | 108 | 366 | 18 | 13 | 367 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 350 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 85 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 282 | 263 | 545 | 57 | 272 | 22 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 388 | 336 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 333 | 289 | 622 | 57 | 284 | 16 | 13 | 292 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 416 | 368 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 324 | 310 | 633 | 65 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 416 | 348 | 98 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 282 | 392 | 362 | 754 | 80 | 337 | 16 | 15 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 165 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 279 | 285 | 564 | 67 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 182 | 157 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 335 | 312 | 647 | 70 | 286 | 16 | 12 | 297 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 188 | 170 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 349 | 353 | 702 | 65 | 340 | 15 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 188 | 162 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 392 | 370 | 763 | 68 | 348 | 12 | 13 | 347 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 270 | 246 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 301 | 584 | 81 | 270 | 21 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 270 | 233 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 366 | 386 | 752 | 116 | 314 | 17 | 13 | 340 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 49 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 286 | 295 | 581 | 91 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 59 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 339 | 370 | 710 | 111 | 290 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 248 | 221 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 343 | 339 | 682 | 77 | 319 | 19 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 409 | 364 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 95 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 272 | 349 | 363 | 712 | 91 | 348 | 23 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 348 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 85 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 282 | 264 | 546 | 57 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 416 | 370 | 90 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 324 | 308 | 632 | 65 | 321 | 24 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 182 | 166 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 279 | 283 | 562 | 66 | 266 | 21 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 188 | 170 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 288 | 349 | 353 | 702 | 65 | 338 | 15 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 270 | 246 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 301 | 584 | 81 | 267 | 21 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2209 | 1973 | 481 | 79 | 8 | 17 | 193 | 471 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 244 | 316 | 318 | 634 | 74 | 310 | 21 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -59 | +1 | +0 | +39 | +48 | 2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 141 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 57 | 139 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 316 | 315 | 631 | 72 | 309 | 21 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 270 PAwOBA .333 → .264 (−68)K% 16.7% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 21.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 4.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .333 → .264; ISO .116 → .089; BABIP .314 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 188 PAwOBA .339 → .307 (−32)K% 12.2% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.23% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.78% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .339 → .307; ISO .068 → .062; BABIP .348 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 105 PAwOBA .290 → .261 (−29)K% 15.2% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.24% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 22.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.979 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.880 | ×1.043 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 81, K 96, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .290 → .261; ISO .069 → .065; BABIP .268 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+High Desert Mavericks · 77 PAwOBA .293 → .228 (−64)K% 18.2% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.973 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.041 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 23.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 2.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 108, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .293 → .228; ISO .071 → .057; BABIP .309 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+St. Lucie Mets · 416 PAwOBA .341 → .292 (−49)K% 16.3% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷0.984 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.66% | ÷1.106 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 9.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.86% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 25.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷0.883 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.054 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 104, 2B 77, 3B 130, K 97, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .341 → .292; ISO .080 → .077; BABIP .337 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+St. Lucie Mets · 325 PAwOBA .283 → .247 (−36)K% 15.1% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.08% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷0.949 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 9.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.03% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 20.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.51% | ÷0.959 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.114 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.370 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 123, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .283 → .247; ISO .060 → .056; BABIP .284 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 409 PAwOBA .361 → .315 (−46)K% 17.8% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.85% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 27.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.920 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.105 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.954 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 84, 3B 121, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .361 → .315; ISO .108 → .099; BABIP .366 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKKingsport Mets · 248 PAwOBA .366 → .300 (−66)K% 13.7% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 27.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 1.43% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .366 → .300; ISO .095 → .078; BABIP .372 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .