Carlos Cauro — OGILVIE

Carlos CauroC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 105 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .297 / .350

PA105

HR3

K%28

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	73	10	1	0	0	6	30	2	0	1	137	222	151	373	14	227	37	7	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	155	31	7	0	5	18	61	6	1	0	200	307	342	649	142	289	34	10	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	0	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	125	116	21	3	0	2	6	43	2	2	2	181	234	259	492	78	264	34	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	0	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	29	5	1	0	2	3	17	0	0	1	172	250	414	664	241	300	53	9	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	0	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	HOU	—	158	137	33	3	0	4	15	48	3	2	4	241	329	350	679	109	330	30	9	297	85	-3	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
YTD	21	A	HOU	—	158	127	36	4	0	4	24	34	3	2	4	283	406	409	816	126	348	22	15	365	138	+7	-1	+0	+3	+4	1.3
ROS	21	A	HOU	0%	105	94	21	3	0	3	9	29	1	2	1	223	297	350	647	127	289	28	9	294	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	21	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	HOU	—	158	138	33	3	0	4	15	48	3	2	4	239	329	348	677	109	326	30	9	297	85	-3	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
TOT	21	A	HOU	—	263	231	54	6	0	7	24	77	4	4	5	233	316	350	666	117	311	29	9	296	85	-5	-1	+0	+5	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	271	243	55	9	1	7	23	72	3	4	2	226	301	358	659	132	291	27	8	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	366	327	75	12	1	10	31	96	5	6	4	229	306	364	670	135	292	26	8	304	91	-4	-0	+0	+7	+10	1.3
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	429	384	90	15	2	12	37	111	5	8	4	234	310	378	687	143	293	26	9	307	93	-3	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.7
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	461	412	96	16	2	13	40	119	6	8	5	233	310	376	686	143	293	26	9	309	94	-3	-0	+0	+8	+13	1.8
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	480	429	100	16	2	14	42	123	6	9	5	233	310	378	688	145	292	26	9	309	95	-3	-0	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	486	434	101	17	2	14	43	125	6	9	5	233	311	378	688	145	292	26	9	309	95	-3	-0	+0	+9	+14	2.0
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	485	433	100	16	2	14	43	126	6	9	5	231	309	374	683	143	292	26	9	308	94	-3	-0	-1	+9	+14	1.8
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	477	425	98	16	2	13	43	125	6	8	5	231	310	369	680	139	291	26	9	306	92	-4	-0	-1	+9	+14	1.6
2035	30	MLB	HOU	53%	468	417	95	15	2	13	42	123	6	8	5	228	308	367	674	139	290	26	9	303	90	-5	-0	-2	+8	+13	1.4
2036	31	MLB	HOU	52%	441	393	88	14	1	12	40	118	5	7	4	224	304	356	660	132	287	27	9	299	87	-6	-0	-3	+8	+12	1.1
2037	32	MLB	HOU	52%	411	366	81	13	1	11	37	111	5	6	4	221	301	352	654	131	284	27	9	294	83	-8	-0	-4	+7	+12	0.7
2038	33	MLB	HOU	52%	371	331	71	11	1	9	33	102	4	5	3	215	293	335	629	121	280	27	9	287	78	-9	-0	-4	+7	+11	0.3
2039	34	MLB	HOU	47%	319	284	59	9	1	7	28	90	4	4	3	208	288	320	608	113	274	28	9	278	71	-10	-0	-5	+6	+9	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	HOU	43%	264	236	48	7	1	6	23	76	3	3	2	203	282	318	600	114	268	29	9	269	64	-11	-0	-6	+5	+7	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	93	84	19	3	0	3	8	25	1	1	1	226	301	369	670	143	293	27	9	293	83	-2	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	177	158	37	6	1	5	15	46	2	3	2	234	309	380	688	146	294	26	8	298	86	-3	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	226	201	48	8	1	7	20	58	3	4	2	239	317	393	710	154	295	26	9	301	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	252	225	53	9	1	7	22	65	3	5	3	236	312	378	690	142	295	26	9	303	90	-3	-0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	267	239	56	9	1	8	23	69	3	5	3	234	309	381	690	146	295	26	9	303	90	-3	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	267	238	56	9	1	8	24	69	3	5	3	235	313	382	696	147	295	26	9	303	90	-3	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	265	236	55	9	1	8	24	69	3	5	3	233	312	381	693	148	294	26	9	302	89	-3	-0	-0	+5	+8	0.9
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	254	226	53	9	1	7	23	66	3	4	3	235	313	376	690	142	294	26	9	300	88	-3	-0	-1	+5	+7	0.7
2035	30	MLB	HOU	53%	246	219	50	8	1	7	22	65	3	4	2	228	307	370	677	142	292	26	9	297	86	-4	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2036	31	MLB	HOU	52%	230	204	47	8	1	6	21	61	3	4	2	230	311	368	679	137	290	27	9	293	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2037	32	MLB	HOU	52%	213	189	43	7	1	6	19	58	3	3	2	228	308	370	678	143	286	27	9	288	78	-5	-0	-2	+4	+6	0.3
2038	33	MLB	HOU	52%	192	171	38	6	1	5	17	53	2	3	2	222	300	357	657	135	282	28	9	281	73	-6	-0	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2039	34	MLB	HOU	47%	151	135	28	4	0	4	13	43	2	2	1	207	287	326	613	119	276	28	9	273	67	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	HOU	43%	113	101	21	3	0	3	10	33	1	1	1	208	286	327	612	119	270	29	9	263	60	-5	-0	-2	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2946	2627	604	98	11	84	261	780	35	49	30	230	308	372	680	142	293	26	9	295	84	-53	-2	-12	+53	+83	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	134	22	2	19	58	172	8	11	7	231	310	374	684	143	293	26	9	295	84	-12	-1	-3	+12	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6253	5581	1245	201	21	167	547	1697	81	99	61	223	302	356	658	133	288	27	9	297	85	-105	-5	-25	+112	+177	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	129	21	2	17	57	176	8	10	6	222	300	353	654	131	287	27	9	297	85	-11	-0	-3	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	60	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	185	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.3
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	112	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	182	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,043	83	51	228	303	365	+50	+32	9.3	8.0
	/162	664	18	11	228	303	365	+11.0	+7.0	2.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Cauro (OGILVIE)	21	30→35	42→47	45→50	53	233/316/350	117	311	7	4	29%	9%	85	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2023 · A	21	42	48→45	47→40	45	214/285/355	141	272	17	4	27%	7%	79	+0.3	214/273/313	99	291	10	4	28%	6%	63	-0.9	179/253/273	94	242	11	1	29%	8%	40	-0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→40	46→55	46→50	47	187/275/320	133	269	13	9	34%	10%	66	-0.6	187/271/328	141	273	14	8	34%	9%	66	-0.6	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	47→41	48→50	51→45	43	235/298/375	140	305	16	9	27%	7%	89	+1.0	201/278/338	137	293	16	8	35%	7%	72	-0.2	185/285/365	180	232	25	4	31%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	78	+0.2	219/274/328	109	275	10	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→47	41→55	46→30	49	214/288/307	93	266	9	6	22%	8%	67	-0.5	214/267/310	96	270	8	3	23%	6%	58	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
●Christian Vázquez 2012 · A	21	42→52	47→50	46→45	41	214/266/345	131	276	14	3	28%	6%	67	-0.5	230/287/334	104	290	10	4	23%	7%	73	-0.1	256/308/402	145	293	18	8	19%	7%	96	+1.0
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	40→44	44→55	51→50	41	201/254/327	127	274	11	7	30%	6%	57	-1.2	199/281/358	159	276	19	13	33%	10%	79	+0.3	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	73	-0.1	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	59	-1.1	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	45→50	53→40	45	203/286/332	130	305	12	8	35%	9%	73	-0.1	196/255/319	123	274	14	4	32%	6%	56	-1.3	187/242/298	111	255	14	1	31%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Deibinson Romero 2008 · A	21	47→45	44→55	48→40	44	233/292/354	121	295	12	8	25%	6%	81	+0.4	209/271/306	97	290	8	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	221/287/390	169	261	23	2	25%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	46→44	48→55	44→45	43	234/277/371	136	270	16	6	20%	5%	79	+0.3	228/265/372	144	269	17	6	22%	4%	74	-0.1	216/261/385	169	243	24	1	23%	4%	74	-0.0
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→44	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	96	+1.5	216/319/370	154	271	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	214/320/367	152	267	17	7	25%	8%	95	+0.9