Carlos Cauro

C Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP40OGV rank#353ETA2028MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKHOU125.255/.339/.4004241—.191/.250/.296
202520AHOU32.231/.375/.6153079—.179/.281/.429
202621AHOU271.255/.380/.3867476—.216/.316/.323
2027PROJMLE22MLBHOU381.212/.296/.33796800.4
2028PROJ43% MLB23MLBHOU86.218/.301/.34822830.2
2029PROJ58% MLB24MLBHOU163.221/.303/.35543860.4
Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%77
Whiff%74
wRC+66
Chase%66
wOBA62
BB%62
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 6.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%
CompsAlexander Campos (age 22) · Miguel Amaya (age 22) · Darrien Miller (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 161 proj PA
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .334
PA161
HR4
K%27
BB%9
ISO124
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.70.70.60.40.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 47
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT36
scouting grade only
POWER47
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-2$0.7M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL HOU Blue — 8268 13200 11212 01 191321221542 29271 2613 264 7 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 180144 451206 29436 10 312447521968 208406 2416 428 64 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Astros — 125110 28404 12302 22 255339400739 145312 2410 331 41 — — — — — —
202520 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3226 6103 6120 01 231375615990 385273 3819 423 79 — — — — — —
202621 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271220 56807 37638 44 255380386766 132316 2314 346 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 8271 9100 8262 01 127235141375 14182 3210 179 7 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 180152 28703 21526 10 184307289597 105240 2912 263 64 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 125115 22303 7432 22 191250296546 104257 346 229 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3228 5102 4160 01 179281429710 250239 5012 285 79 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271232 50706 26868 44 216316323639 108287 3210 280 76 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 8271 9100 8262 01 127235141375 14196 3210 179 7 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL HOU Blue — 8268 13200 11212 01 191321221542 29271 2613 264 7 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 180152 28703 21526 10 184307289597 105255 2912 263 64 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Astros Blue — 180144 451206 29436 10 312447521968 208406 2416 428 64 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 125115 22303 7432 22 191250296546 104271 346 229 41 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 125110 28404 12302 22 255339400739 145312 2410 331 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3228 5102 4160 01 179281429710 250300 5012 285 79 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3226 6103 6120 01 231375615990 385273 3819 423 79 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271232 50706 26868 44 216316323639 108303 3210 280 76 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271220 56807 37638 44 255380386766 132316 2314 346 76 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 8272 9100 8262 01 125235139373 14182 3210 179 7 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 180151 28703 21526 10 185307291599 106240 2912 263 64 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 125115 22303 7432 22 191250296546 104257 346 229 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3228 5102 4160 01 179281429710 250239 5012 285 79 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271235 50706 26868 44 213316319635 106287 3210 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 125115 22303 7432 22 191250296546 104257 346 229 41 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 3228 5102 4160 01 179281429710 250239 5012 285 79 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 271235 50706 26868 44 213316319635 106287 3210 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEHOU 0% 381338 721229 341026 62 212296337632 124274 279 287 80 -9 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEHOU 43% 199176 39715 18533 31 216299346645 130276 279 291 83 -4 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.4
202924 MLB MLEHOU 58% 281249 54917 26734 52 219301352654 134277 269 295 86 -5 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.7
203025 MLB MLEHOU 65% 337298 671229 31875 62 220303356659 136278 269 297 87 -5 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.9
203126 MLB MLEHOU 68% 370328 7413210 34955 73 222303359662 137279 269 298 88 -5 +0 +0 +7 +8 1.0
203227 MLB MLEHOU 68% 383340 7513210 35985 73 222303358662 137279 269 298 88 -6 +0 +0 +7 +8 1.0
203328 MLB MLEHOU 68% 386343 7613210 351005 63 220301354655 134278 269 295 86 -6 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.8
203429 MLB MLEHOU 66% 380338 741329 34995 63 217298347645 130276 269 292 83 -7 +0 -1 +7 +8 0.6
203530 MLB MLEHOU 66% 370329 701219 33985 53 214295339634 125274 269 287 80 -9 -0 -2 +7 +8 0.4
203631 MLB MLEHOU 65% 338301 641118 30914 44 210290329619 119271 279 281 76 -10 -1 -3 +6 +7 0.0
202823 MLB CTXHOU 43% 8677 16302 8231 21 218301348649 130280 279 293 83 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
202924 MLB CTXHOU 58% 163145 32614 15432 31 221303355658 134282 269 297 86 -3 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.4
203025 MLB CTXHOU 65% 218193 43815 20563 41 223305359663 136282 269 299 87 -3 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.6
203126 MLB CTXHOU 68% 252224 49916 23653 52 224306361666 137283 269 300 88 -4 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.7
203227 MLB CTXHOU 68% 260231 521017 24673 52 224305361666 137283 269 300 88 -4 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.7
203328 MLB CTXHOU 68% 262233 521016 24683 42 222303356659 134282 269 297 86 -4 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.6
203429 MLB CTXHOU 66% 252224 49916 23663 42 220300349650 130280 269 293 83 -5 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.4
203530 MLB CTXHOU 66% 243216 48916 22643 32 216297341638 125278 269 289 80 -6 -0 -1 +4 +5 0.2
203631 MLB CTXHOU 65% 220196 42815 19593 22 212292331623 119275 279 283 76 -6 -0 -2 +4 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19561739 38372847 17851124 3215 220301352653 132283 269 295 80 -36 +0 -5 +35 +42 3.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12824316 591708 115 221302356659 135284 269 295 80 -12 +0 -2 +12 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 38953443 7381271595 357106061 5933 214299343642 128278 279 286 80 -61 +0 -7 +57 +69 6.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 12421316 6017710 106 216301346647 130280 279 286 80 -12 +0 -1 +12 +14 1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 271 PAwOBA .344 → .280 (−64)K% 23.2% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.25%÷1.000×1.360——31.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.65%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0159.56%
HBP% /PA2.95%—×0.780—×1.0152.34%
Singles /BIP26.11%÷1.000×0.920×0.997×1.01524.30%
Doubles /BIP5.10%÷1.000×0.830×0.997×1.0154.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.997×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP4.46%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0153.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .344 → .280; ISO .132 → .105; BABIP .316 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 32 PAwOBA .411 → .285 (−126)K% 37.5% → 51.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷0.996×1.360——51.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.072×0.690—×1.03012.43%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷0.979×0.920—×1.03013.83%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.035×0.830—×1.0305.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.953×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP21.43%÷1.005×0.800—×1.03017.57%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .411 → .285; ISO .385 → .262; BABIP .273 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Astros · 125 PAwOBA .322 → .229 (−93)K% 24.0% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.00%÷1.006×1.440——34.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.80%÷1.033×0.620—×1.0085.32%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.720—×1.0081.16%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.984×0.820×1.019×1.00821.40%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.019×1.0083.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.720×1.019×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷1.111×0.780—×1.0083.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 87, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .322 → .229; ISO .145 → .096; BABIP .312 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 180 PAwOBA .419 → .263 (−156)K% 23.9% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.89%÷1.005×1.220——28.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.11%÷0.992×0.700—×1.00811.45%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.700—×1.0082.35%
Singles /BIP26.73%÷1.034×0.680×0.963×1.00817.06%
Doubles /BIP11.88%÷1.077×0.600×0.963×1.0086.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.030×0.600×0.963×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP5.94%÷0.950×0.470—×1.0082.96%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 106, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .419 → .263; ISO .208 → .109; BABIP .406 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL HOU Blue · 82 PAwOBA .262 → .179 (−83)K% 25.6% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.61%÷1.001×1.220——31.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.41%÷1.027×0.700—×1.0229.35%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.700—×1.0221.75%
Singles /BIP23.40%÷0.980×0.680×0.971×1.02216.13%
Doubles /BIP4.26%÷1.015×0.600×0.971×1.0222.50%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.971×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .262 → .179; ISO .029 → .017; BABIP .271 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).