Carlos Cauro — OGILVIE

Carlos CauroC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION271 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP284

ISO142

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$56M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$25M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	65	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	0	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	176	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	0	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	110	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	0	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	172	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	72	9	1	0	0	7	30	2	0	1	125	222	139	361	14	215	37	9	179	7	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	155	32	7	0	5	18	62	6	1	0	206	313	348	661	142	292	34	10	287	80	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	255	34	6	228	40	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	17	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	241	53	12	281	76	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	72	9	1	0	0	7	30	2	0	1	125	222	139	361	14	209	37	9	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	155	32	7	0	5	18	62	6	1	0	206	313	348	661	142	303	34	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	0	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	271	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	0	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	17	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	333	53	12	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	0	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	73	9	1	0	0	7	30	2	0	1	123	222	137	359	14	215	37	9	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	154	32	7	0	5	18	62	6	1	0	208	313	351	663	143	292	34	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	255	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	17	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	241	53	12	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	154	32	7	0	5	18	62	6	1	0	208	313	351	663	143	292	34	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	255	34	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	17	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	241	53	12	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	HOU	—	271	235	49	6	0	6	23	89	8	4	4	209	301	311	611	102	297	33	8	277	74	-9	-1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	HOU	—	271	220	56	8	0	7	37	63	8	4	4	255	380	386	766	132	316	23	14	346	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	22	11	291	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	HOU	—	280	243	50	6	0	6	24	91	8	4	4	206	298	305	603	99	291	32	9	277	74	-9	-1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	285	254	58	10	1	8	24	77	5	4	2	228	307	370	677	142	286	27	8	299	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	377	335	76	13	1	11	32	99	7	6	3	227	307	370	678	143	287	26	8	304	92	-4	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	66%	436	389	89	15	1	13	37	113	7	8	4	229	307	373	680	144	288	26	8	308	94	-3	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	466	415	96	16	2	14	40	120	8	9	4	231	311	381	692	149	288	26	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	70%	483	430	99	17	2	14	42	124	8	9	4	230	310	377	687	147	288	26	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	+9	+10	1.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	488	434	101	17	2	15	43	126	8	9	5	233	313	385	698	152	288	26	9	310	96	-2	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	486	432	98	17	1	14	43	126	8	9	4	227	308	368	677	141	287	26	9	309	95	-3	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	73%	478	424	96	16	1	14	43	125	8	9	4	226	309	368	677	142	286	26	9	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+10	1.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	76%	469	416	93	16	1	13	42	124	8	8	4	224	307	361	667	137	285	26	9	304	92	-5	+0	-2	+8	+10	1.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	78%	441	392	87	15	1	12	39	118	7	7	4	222	304	357	661	135	283	27	9	300	89	-6	-0	-3	+8	+10	0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	411	364	79	13	1	11	37	111	7	6	3	217	301	349	650	132	279	27	9	294	85	-7	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.6
2038	33	MLB MLE	HOU	80%	371	329	70	11	1	9	33	102	6	5	3	213	296	334	631	122	275	27	9	288	81	-8	-0	-4	+7	+8	0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	HOU	75%	319	283	59	9	1	8	28	90	5	4	2	208	291	332	623	124	269	28	9	279	75	-9	+0	-5	+6	+7	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	123	110	24	4	0	3	10	33	2	2	1	218	295	336	631	118	288	27	8	286	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	229	203	46	8	1	6	20	60	4	4	2	227	308	365	673	138	289	26	9	291	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	66%	289	257	59	10	1	8	25	75	5	5	3	230	310	370	680	140	290	26	9	295	94	-2	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	320	284	66	12	1	9	28	82	5	6	3	232	312	377	689	144	290	26	9	297	95	-2	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	70%	337	299	69	12	1	10	29	87	6	6	3	231	311	378	689	147	290	26	9	297	96	-2	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	336	297	69	12	1	10	30	87	6	6	3	232	315	380	696	148	290	26	9	297	96	-2	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	333	294	68	12	1	10	30	86	6	6	3	231	315	381	696	150	289	26	9	296	95	-2	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	73%	348	308	70	12	1	10	31	91	6	6	3	227	310	370	680	143	288	26	9	294	94	-3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	76%	355	314	71	12	1	10	32	94	6	6	3	226	310	366	676	140	287	26	9	292	92	-3	+0	-2	+6	+8	0.9
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	78%	342	302	68	12	1	9	31	91	6	6	3	225	310	361	671	136	285	27	9	288	89	-4	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2037	32	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	325	288	63	11	1	8	29	88	5	5	3	219	301	347	648	128	281	27	9	282	85	-6	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.4
2038	33	MLB CTX	HOU	80%	297	264	56	9	1	7	26	82	5	4	2	212	295	333	628	121	277	28	9	276	81	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2039	34	MLB CTX	HOU	75%	241	214	45	7	1	6	21	68	4	3	2	210	293	336	629	126	271	28	9	267	75	-7	-0	-4	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3875	3434	774	133	12	106	342	1024	66	65	34	225	308	364	671	138	287	26	9	290	88	-43	-1	-15	+69	+84	9.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	130	22	2	18	57	172	11	11	6	226	307	365	672	139	287	26	9	290	88	-7	-0	-3	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5938	5275	1170	197	16	166	520	1609	102	96	50	222	304	360	664	138	285	27	9	299	88	-60	+0	-20	+99	+120	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	129	22	2	18	57	176	11	11	5	224	305	362	667	139	288	27	9	299	88	-7	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.0	3,975	112	68	226	304	366	+71	+40	13.4	11.3
/162	664	19	11	+11.9	+6.7	2.2	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Cauro (OGILVIE)	21	28→33	43→48	46→51	53	215/296/341	126	282	3	2	28%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	46→44	48→50	44→45	43	236/278/376	139	271	17	6	20%	5%	83	+0.1	227/264/362	135	271	15	6	22%	4%	74	-0.5	213/259/361	148	250	19	1	23%	4%	71	-0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	53→40	46	204/288/342	137	301	13	8	34%	9%	80	-0.2	198/259/320	122	275	14	4	32%	7%	63	-1.4	189/248/298	109	256	13	1	31%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Miguel Palma 2023 · A	21	42	48→45	47→40	45	215/286/354	139	270	16	4	26%	7%	82	-0.0	213/273/314	101	285	10	4	28%	6%	67	-1.1	200/261/280	80	272	7	3	28%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	47→41	47→50	51→45	43	234/297/371	136	302	15	9	27%	7%	88	+0.5	200/280/331	131	290	15	8	34%	7%	74	-0.5	183/283/356	173	231	23	4	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	92	+0.7	203/249/312	109	269	10	4	27%	5%	57	-1.8	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	43→48	48→55	46→45	43	221/272/355	134	264	16	7	24%	6%	76	-0.4	236/307/409	173	277	23	6	24%	8%	102	+1.5	238/313/422	183	282	26	4	25%	8%	105	+1.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2022 · A	21	46	51→50	48→50	42	231/300/392	161	317	18	7	32%	7%	95	+1.0	220/283/359	139	289	15	6	28%	6%	82	-0.0	211/274/345	134	275	14	6	28%	5%	71	-0.6
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→45	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	97	+1.1	216/320/366	150	270	16	7	25%	8%	98	+1.2	214/321/360	146	266	16	7	24%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	42→43	48→55	44→40	40	214/273/349	135	292	16	5	32%	6%	75	-0.5	216/262/352	136	287	16	3	30%	5%	72	-0.7	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	80	-0.1	219/274/328	109	275	11	5	24%	5%	70	-0.8	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	76	-0.4	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	63	-1.3	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Ogle 2013 · A	22	47→43	49→50	45→30	44	236/297/383	148	295	17	5	26%	7%	92	+0.7	222/308/356	134	269	15	3	22%	10%	90	+0.6	212/302/353	141	254	17	2	23%	10%	84	+0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→53	50→55	53→50	44	238/298/398	160	301	17	13	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/306/401	161	301	18	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps