Carlos Cauro — OGILVIE

Carlos CauroC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs A H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2031

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .277 / .325

PA59

HR1

K%30

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$19M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$16M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$17M	+$12M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$17M		$110M	+$93M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	82	73	10	1	0	0	6	30	2	0	1	.137	.222	.151	.373	.014	.227	37	7	.180	-4	-10	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	180	155	31	7	0	5	18	61	6	1	0	.200	.307	.342	.649	.142	.289	34	10	.286	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	125	116	21	3	0	2	6	43	2	2	2	.181	.234	.259	.492	.078	.264	34	5	.227	32	-10	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	32	29	5	1	0	2	3	17	0	0	1	.172	.250	.414	.664	.241	.300	53	9	.278	71	-1	-0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	59	54	11	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	.204	.271	.296	.567	.093	.288	31	7	.274	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	HOU	167	149	33	6	1	4	14	48	2	3	1	.221	.297	.356	.653	.134	.290	29	8	.290	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2028	23	MLB 28%	HOU	288	258	59	11	2	8	25	80	3	5	1	.229	.304	.380	.684	.151	.291	28	9	.300	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2029	24	MLB 45%	HOU	375	335	77	14	2	11	33	102	4	7	2	.230	.306	.382	.689	.152	.292	27	9	.306	93	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB 60%	HOU	426	380	88	16	2	13	38	114	5	8	2	.232	.310	.387	.697	.155	.293	27	9	.310	95	-2	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.9
2031	26	MLB 77%	HOU	457	407	95	17	3	14	42	123	5	8	2	.233	.313	.393	.706	.160	.293	27	9	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	HOU	471	419	96	17	3	14	44	127	5	8	2	.229	.310	.384	.694	.155	.293	27	9	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2033	28	MLB	HOU	475	423	97	17	3	14	44	129	5	8	1	.229	.309	.383	.692	.154	.293	27	9	.311	96	-2	+1	-1	+8	+13	2.1
2034	29	MLB	HOU	471	419	95	17	2	14	44	129	5	7	1	.227	.308	.377	.685	.150	.292	27	9	.309	94	-3	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2035	30	MLB	HOU	464	412	92	17	2	13	44	129	5	5	1	.223	.306	.369	.675	.146	.290	28	9	.305	92	-4	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.6
2036	31	MLB	HOU	438	389	86	15	2	12	41	123	5	3	0	.221	.303	.362	.666	.141	.289	28	9	.302	89	-5	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.3
2037	32	MLB	HOU	410	365	79	14	2	11	38	118	4	1	0	.216	.297	.356	.653	.140	.287	29	9	.297	85	-7	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.9
2038	33	MLB	HOU	370	328	71	12	2	10	35	109	4	0	0	.216	.300	.357	.656	.140	.286	29	9	.291	81	-8	+0	-4	+7	+10	0.5
2039	34	MLB	HOU	319	283	59	10	1	8	30	96	3	0	0	.208	.291	.336	.627	.127	.284	30	9	.285	76	-9	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.1
2040	35	MLB	HOU	263	234	47	8	1	6	24	82	3	0	0	.201	.284	.321	.604	.120	.282	31	9	.277	70	-9	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	HOU	207	184	36	6	1	4	19	67	2	0	0	.196	.278	.304	.582	.109	.279	32	9	.268	64	-9	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6079	5412	1188	211	29	166	552	1745	71	67	17	.220	.300	.361	.661	.142	.290	29	9	.297	86	-99	+7	-31	+109	+172	16.0
/ 162G	—			650	579	128	23	3	18	59	187	8	7	2	.221	.302	.364	.667	.143	.292	29	9	.297	86	-11	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	82	68	13	2	0	11	21	2	0	1	.191	.321	.221	.542	.029	.271	26	13	.264	60	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	180	144	45	12	6	29	43	6	1	0	.312	.447	.521	.968	.208	.406	24	16	.428	185	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.3
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	125	110	28	4	4	12	30	2	2	2	.255	.339	.400	.739	.145	.312	24	10	.331	112	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	32	26	6	1	3	6	12	0	0	1	.231	.375	.615	.990	.385	.273	38	19	.423	182	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Cauro (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.209/.277/.325	.116	.288	1	1	30%	8%	68	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Christian Vázquez 2012 · A	21	42→52	46→50	46→45	41	.215/.263/.344	.130	.271	14	3	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.230/.286/.337	.107	.289	10	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	.263/.314/.411	.148	.301	18	8	19%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Jorge Alfaro 2014 · A	21	40→50	46→50	51→50	33	.203/.255/.338	.135	.299	14	11	36%	4%	62	-0.9	.213/.261/.347	.134	.308	14	7	34%	4%	66	-0.6	.259/.315/.406	.147	.380	19	6	35%	5%	97	+0.8
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	40→43	44→55	43→40	41	.198/.260/.309	.111	.287	12	5	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.270/.362	.144	.290	17	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A	21	43→53	41→50	48→45	40	.209/.263/.306	.097	.302	8	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	.250/.309/.388	.138	.334	12	4	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.256/.318/.393	.137	.347	12	4	28%	8%	99	+1.3
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Eric Haase 2014 · A	21	41	47→65	46→40	39	.204/.257/.342	.138	.299	14	4	36%	7%	63	-0.9	.195/.250/.342	.147	.292	16	3	37%	6%	60	-1.0	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
●Alonzo Harris 2010 · A	21	41→50	45→55	50→60	37	.209/.251/.325	.116	.281	14	12	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.210/.248/.305	.095	.275	8	15	26%	4%	48	-1.9	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
●James McCann 2012 · A	22	41→51	42→50	49→45	39	.203/.260/.306	.103	.288	9	7	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.223/.261/.310	.087	.291	6	6	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→47	42→65	50→40	43	.220/.291/.330	.111	.304	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.215/.268/.415	.200	.284	26	4	34%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.275/.455	.234	.259	32	2	29%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	43→49	41→55	46→30	47	.210/.281/.305	.094	.262	9	6	23%	8%	64	-0.8	.214/.267/.307	.093	.269	7	3	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→50	46→30	44	.212/.280/.315	.103	.285	10	3	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.232/.305/.347	.115	.297	11	3	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.327/.399	.146	.323	16	1	25%	9%	102	+1.3
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→44	45→50	49→45	39	.206/.256/.333	.127	.283	12	8	31%	6%	60	-1.0	.202/.261/.347	.145	.281	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.268/.374	.161	.271	20	6	29%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	45→55	48→50	46→55	43	.230/.283/.366	.136	.290	16	9	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.292/.360	.123	.316	13	15	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.301/.362	.116	.327	12	18	27%	7%	82	+0.5
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)