Jeferson Morales

Jeferson MoralesC St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%23

BB%5

BABIP286

ISO50

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	DSL Twins	—	232	178	54	15	6	1	41	29	13	17	11	303	466	472	937	169	358	12	18	423	172	+20	-1	—	—	+5	2.5
2019	20	ROK	GCL Twins	—	134	110	26	7	3	3	20	18	4	0	1	236	373	436	809	200	258	13	15	364	132	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	100	93	28	5	0	5	5	20	2	0	1	301	350	516	866	215	338	20	5	381	144	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	292	236	56	19	0	7	42	52	12	12	2	237	379	407	786	169	274	18	14	357	128	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	282	241	50	11	2	7	23	71	13	5	1	207	310	357	667	149	256	25	8	300	89	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2023	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	168	44	10	2	6	27	41	4	6	1	262	377	452	829	190	311	20	14	369	136	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	60	53	19	7	1	1	6	11	1	2	0	358	433	585	1.018	226	439	18	10	444	187	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	371	327	91	21	1	9	30	57	11	4	4	278	359	431	790	153	311	15	8	352	124	+11	-1	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	269	229	57	11	3	6	29	49	8	4	1	249	353	402	755	153	288	18	11	338	115	+5	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	26	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	45	36	11	2	0	1	6	9	1	0	0	306	419	444	863	139	370	20	13	374	139	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	232	193	42	11	4	1	26	42	13	17	11	218	349	332	681	114	265	18	11	297	87	-4	-1	—	—	+5	0.0
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	134	118	19	5	2	2	12	26	4	0	1	161	261	288	549	127	189	19	9	251	56	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	100	94	22	4	0	4	4	27	2	0	1	234	280	404	684	170	288	27	4	294	85	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	292	248	46	16	0	6	30	72	12	12	2	185	303	323	626	137	228	25	10	279	75	-9	+2	—	—	+6	-0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	282	247	40	9	1	6	17	96	13	5	1	162	253	279	532	117	215	34	6	233	44	-19	+1	—	—	+6	-1.2
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	175	37	8	2	4	20	57	4	6	1	211	307	349	655	137	272	28	10	282	77	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	60	55	17	6	1	1	4	13	1	2	0	309	367	509	876	200	385	22	7	358	128	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	371	336	76	18	1	8	21	72	11	4	4	226	293	357	651	131	257	19	6	284	78	-10	-1	—	—	+8	-0.2
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	269	238	52	10	3	3	20	59	8	4	1	218	301	324	624	105	268	22	7	278	74	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	232	193	42	11	4	1	26	42	13	17	11	218	349	332	681	114	273	18	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	232	178	54	15	6	1	41	29	13	17	11	303	466	472	937	169	358	12	18	423	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	134	118	19	5	2	2	12	26	4	0	1	161	261	288	549	127	189	19	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	—	134	110	26	7	3	3	20	18	4	0	1	236	373	436	809	200	258	13	15	364	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	392	343	69	20	0	10	33	99	14	12	3	201	297	347	644	146	250	25	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	392	329	84	24	0	12	47	72	14	12	3	255	372	438	809	182	291	18	12	363	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	282	247	40	9	1	6	17	96	13	5	1	162	253	279	532	117	227	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	282	241	50	11	2	7	23	71	13	5	1	207	310	357	667	149	256	25	8	300	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	175	37	8	2	4	20	57	4	6	1	211	307	349	655	137	287	28	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	168	44	10	2	6	27	41	4	6	1	262	377	452	829	190	311	20	14	369	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	431	391	93	24	2	9	25	86	12	6	4	238	304	379	682	141	281	20	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	431	380	110	28	2	10	36	68	12	6	4	289	369	453	822	163	328	16	8	365	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	314	277	60	11	3	4	23	69	9	4	1	217	298	321	619	105	269	22	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	314	265	68	13	3	7	35	58	9	4	1	257	362	408	770	151	299	18	11	344	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	232	191	42	11	4	1	26	42	13	17	11	220	349	335	684	115	265	18	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	134	117	19	5	2	2	12	26	4	0	1	162	261	291	552	128	189	19	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	392	342	69	20	0	10	33	99	14	12	3	202	297	348	645	146	243	25	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	282	250	40	9	1	6	17	96	13	5	1	160	253	276	529	116	215	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	174	37	8	2	4	20	57	4	6	1	213	307	351	657	138	272	28	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	431	391	93	24	2	9	25	86	12	6	4	238	304	379	682	141	275	20	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	314	279	60	11	3	4	23	69	9	4	1	215	298	319	617	104	268	22	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	200	174	37	8	2	4	20	57	4	6	1	213	307	351	657	138	272	28	10	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	431	391	93	24	2	9	25	86	12	6	4	238	304	379	682	141	275	20	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	314	279	60	11	3	4	23	69	9	4	1	215	298	319	617	104	268	22	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	200	273	250	523	50	285	23	5	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.8
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	27	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						286	0	0	281	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	41%	301	270	64	14	2	6	21	65	7	4	1	237	309	370	679	133	286	22	7	300	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.8
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	327	293	69	15	2	6	24	72	7	4	1	235	309	362	670	126	285	22	7	300	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	MIN	62%	344	309	72	15	2	7	25	76	7	4	1	233	305	362	667	129	284	22	7	298	88	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2030	31	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	327	293	67	14	2	6	24	73	7	3	1	229	302	352	654	123	282	22	7	295	86	-6	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.5
2031	32	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	305	274	62	13	2	5	22	70	6	2	1	226	298	343	641	117	279	23	7	289	82	-7	+0	-4	+5	+7	0.2
2032	33	MLB MLE	MIN	70%	271	244	53	11	1	4	20	63	5	2	1	217	290	320	610	102	275	23	7	282	77	-7	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	41%	125	112	27	6	1	2	9	27	3	2	1	241	315	366	681	125	286	22	7	284	89	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	177	158	37	8	1	3	13	39	4	2	1	234	309	354	663	120	285	22	7	284	89	-2	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	MIN	62%	212	191	43	9	1	4	15	47	4	2	1	225	295	346	641	120	285	22	7	283	88	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2030	31	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	215	193	44	9	1	4	16	48	4	2	1	228	300	347	648	119	282	22	7	280	86	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2031	32	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	208	187	42	9	1	4	15	48	4	2	1	225	296	348	644	123	279	23	7	275	82	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	MIN	70%	189	169	38	8	1	3	14	44	4	1	0	225	299	337	637	112	275	23	7	268	77	-5	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1126	1010	231	49	6	20	82	253	23	11	5	229	301	349	650	120	284	22	7	279	79	-20	+0	-9	+20	+24	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	133	28	3	12	47	146	13	6	3	228	300	348	648	120	283	22	7	279	79	-12	+0	-5	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3882	3447	751	171	25	70	293	899	109	69	28	218	300	343	642	125	272	23	8	285	79	-33	+1	-15	+34	+41	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	126	29	4	12	49	151	18	12	5	218	299	345	644	127	273	23	8	285	79	-11	+0	-5	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,151	21	11	230	299	352	+21	+16	3.0	3.0
/162	664	12	6	+11.9	+9.2	1.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeferson Morales (OGILVIE)	27	50	45	45	50	232/302/356	124	285	4	3	21%	7%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	52→59	46→50	43→45	46	256/307/392	136	299	12	8	19%	6%	97	+1.1	254/308/375	121	293	11	5	17%	7%	93	+0.8	255/325/392	137	290	13	1	16%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	53→57	46→50	46→50	44	259/303/394	135	314	13	7	22%	6%	96	+1.0	239/289/352	113	303	10	6	23%	6%	80	-0.1	227/277/324	97	287	8	5	23%	6%	67	-0.6
✕J.R. Towles 2010 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	45→50	48	222/301/359	137	260	14	9	21%	7%	88	+0.5	211/292/331	120	248	11	8	19%	7%	79	-0.2	196/278/293	97	227	8	5	17%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Kevin Plawecki 2018 · MLB	27	50→56	44→45	45→30	48	244/306/362	119	281	12	3	18%	7%	90	+0.6	239/314/378	139	284	14	4	20%	8%	97	+1.1	233/315/365	133	276	13	0	20%	8%	92	+0.3
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	51	49→55	49→50	42	251/300/411	160	318	14	11	25%	6%	99	+1.2	212/270/326	114	291	12	5	30%	7%	68	-1.0	187/247/297	110	270	12	4	34%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	92	+0.7	226/294/335	109	263	9	7	17%	7%	80	-0.2	266/336/367	100	308	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.3
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/291/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	88	+0.5	226/271/354	128	293	14	12	27%	5%	75	-0.5	206/245/315	108	272	12	12	28%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Andrew Knizner 2021 · MLB	26	48	47→50	49→40	45	240/295/369	129	274	15	7	19%	6%	88	+0.4	218/295/333	115	268	12	5	22%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/347	120	278	14	3	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Steve Tolleson 2011 · MLB	27	52→53	43→45	48→50	49	251/308/369	118	293	10	11	18%	7%	92	+0.7	233/296/333	100	291	9	15	22%	8%	79	-0.2	234/301/329	94	298	7	14	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Austin Wynns 2018 · AAA	27	50→52	42→45	47→40	47	243/299/348	105	291	10	3	20%	7%	84	+0.1	227/280/321	94	280	10	3	22%	6%	70	-0.8	242/307/339	96	312	9	2	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Brendan Harris 2008 · MLB	27	54→58	46→50	47→45	48	264/320/399	135	312	12	6	19%	7%	103	+1.6	251/309/370	119	301	10	3	19%	7%	93	+0.8	229/311/345	116	266	10	1	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	234/302/373	139	276	17	6	22%	8%	91	+0.7	239/300/372	133	305	15	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	230/288/352	123	295	14	6	26%	7%	78	-0.1
●James McCann 2016 · MLB	26	52→55	43→50	46→45	40	254/291/369	115	313	9	5	22%	4%	86	+0.3	239/291/373	134	300	16	3	25%	6%	86	+0.3	258/319/420	162	336	21	4	28%	7%	106	+1.0
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2016 · MLB	28	48→46	42→55	46→30	50	234/306/339	105	288	9	4	21%	8%	84	+0.2	226/292/330	104	287	10	3	23%	8%	78	-0.3	221/289/366	145	274	17	0	25%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Ronny Cedeno 2009 · MLB	26	54→57	44→45	46→50	46	262/306/377	115	307	11	10	19%	6%	93	+0.8	239/285/361	122	289	11	10	21%	6%	81	-0.1	249/296/362	114	308	7	7	21%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	54→58	44→45	43→45	41	264/301/388	123	322	10	8	21%	4%	93	+0.8	252/282/357	105	320	8	5	23%	4%	79	-0.2	248/277/340	92	318	6	2	23%	4%	70	-0.6
✕Elias Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	52→57	45→50	45	47	258/303/381	123	292	13	5	17%	6%	93	+0.8	247/303/373	126	283	14	3	17%	7%	91	+0.7	234/291/379	145	271	17	0	20%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Matt Antonelli 2012 · AAA	27	49→52	44→45	44→50	51	238/306/362	124	284	11	9	20%	8%	90	+0.6	222/295/332	110	276	10	9	22%	8%	79	-0.2	170/259/234	64	213	5	3	21%	9%	42	-0.9
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	47→57	47→50	39→40	48	234/299/369	135	280	15	2	22%	8%	89	+0.5	228/279/365	137	295	15	5	27%	6%	80	-0.1	229/273/374	144	300	16	0	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2021 · MLB	25	48	44→50	43→40	45	236/286/354	118	288	11	3	22%	6%	80	-0.1	232/288/385	153	300	18	3	28%	7%	88	+0.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps