Jeferson Morales

Jeferson MoralesC St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.9 · 2027

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .299 / .358

PA250

HR5

K%22

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

44↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$5M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$9M		$12M	+$3M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	DSL Twins	232	193	42	11	4	1	26	42	13	17	11	.218	.349	.332	.681	.114	.273	18	11	.297	85	-4	-1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2019	20	ROK	GCL Twins	134	118	19	5	2	2	12	26	4	0	1	.161	.261	.288	.549	.127	.189	19	9	.251	50	-8	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2021	22	A	2 teams	392	343	70	20	0	11	33	99	14	12	3	.204	.300	.359	.659	.155	.251	25	8	.285	77	-10	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.9
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	282	247	42	9	2	6	17	91	13	5	1	.170	.260	.296	.555	.126	.232	32	6	.236	39	-19	+1	+0	+5	+8	-0.6
2023	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	200	175	38	8	2	4	20	53	4	6	1	.217	.312	.354	.666	.137	.286	26	10	.286	77	-5	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2024	25	AA	2 teams	431	391	91	23	2	10	25	90	12	6	4	.233	.299	.379	.678	.146	.276	21	6	.295	84	-8	-0	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	314	277	63	12	3	4	23	70	9	4	1	.227	.307	.336	.643	.108	.285	22	7	.287	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	MIN	250	225	52	11	2	5	17	55	6	3	1	.231	.302	.364	.667	.133	.278	22	7	.298	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	MIN	301	269	62	13	2	6	22	67	7	4	1	.230	.305	.361	.666	.130	.280	22	7	.299	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.9
2028	29	MLB 33%	MIN	327	293	67	14	2	7	24	74	7	3	1	.229	.302	.362	.664	.133	.280	23	7	.299	87	-5	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.9
2029	30	MLB 43%	MIN	344	308	70	15	2	7	26	79	7	3	1	.227	.302	.357	.659	.130	.279	23	8	.297	86	-6	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.9
2030	31	MLB 52%	MIN	327	293	67	14	2	7	24	76	7	1	0	.229	.302	.362	.664	.133	.278	23	7	.294	83	-6	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.6
2031	32	MLB 64%	MIN	305	273	61	13	2	6	23	73	6	0	0	.223	.298	.352	.650	.128	.277	24	8	.289	80	-7	+0	-4	+5	+9	0.4
2032	33	MLB 73%	MIN	271	244	52	11	1	5	20	66	5	0	0	.213	.286	.328	.614	.115	.275	24	7	.284	75	-8	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.1
2033	34	MLB 81%	MIN	226	204	43	9	1	4	16	57	4	0	0	.211	.281	.324	.605	.113	.273	25	7	.277	71	-8	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.2
2034	35	MLB 88%	MIN	175	157	33	7	1	3	13	46	3	0	0	.210	.283	.325	.608	.115	.271	26	7	.270	65	-7	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4511	4010	872	195	30	88	341	1064	121	64	26	.217	.298	.347	.645	.129	.272	24	8	.286	77	-116	+2	-25	+81	+128	7.1
/ 162G	—			650	578	126	28	4	13	49	153	17	9	4	.218	.298	.348	.645	.130	.272	24	8	.286	77	-17	+0	-4	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	DSL Twins	232	178	54	15	6	1	41	29	13	17	11	.303	.466	.472	.937	.169	.358	12	18	.423	182	+21	-1	—	—	+7	2.8
2019	20	ROK	GCL Twins	134	110	26	7	3	3	20	18	4	0	1	.236	.373	.436	.809	.200	.258	13	15	.364	136	+6	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	100	93	28	5	0	5	5	20	2	0	1	.301	.350	.516	.866	.215	.338	20	5	.381	150	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	292	236	56	19	0	7	42	52	12	12	2	.237	.379	.407	.786	.169	.274	18	14	.357	131	+10	+2	—	—	+8	2.1
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	282	241	50	11	2	7	23	71	13	5	1	.207	.310	.357	.667	.149	.256	25	8	.300	88	-4	+1	—	—	+8	0.5
2023	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	200	168	44	10	2	6	27	41	4	6	1	.262	.377	.452	.829	.190	.311	20	14	.369	141	+9	+1	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	60	53	19	7	1	1	6	11	1	2	0	.358	.433	.585	1.018	.226	.439	18	10	.444	198	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	371	327	91	21	1	9	30	57	11	4	4	.278	.359	.431	.790	.153	.311	15	8	.352	128	+12	-1	—	—	+11	2.2
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	269	229	57	11	3	6	29	49	8	4	1	.249	.353	.402	.755	.153	.288	18	11	.338	117	+5	+0	—	—	+8	1.4
2025	26	INTL	Leones del Caracas	45	36	11	2	0	1	6	9	1	0	0	.306	.419	.444	.863	.139	.370	20	13	.374	144	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeferson Morales (OGILVIE)	27	50	45	45	50	.227/.299/.358	.131	.278	5	3	22%	7%	86	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	52→58	46→50	46→50	43	.257/.301/.389	.133	.310	13	7	22%	6%	93	+1.3	.241/.289/.355	.114	.306	11	6	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.276/.324	.098	.285	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	46→45	47	.223/.283/.350	.127	.263	15	5	22%	7%	76	+0.1	.244/.307/.382	.138	.303	16	5	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.251/.313/.380	.128	.321	15	3	25%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	46	.231/.290/.377	.146	.281	15	12	23%	7%	86	+0.8	.226/.270/.358	.132	.293	14	12	27%	5%	72	-0.2	.208/.248/.323	.114	.277	14	12	30%	5%	51	-0.6
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	49→55	48→50	41	.249/.294/.410	.161	.317	15	11	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.216/.273/.335	.119	.294	12	5	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Jordy Mercer 2014 · MLB	27	51→58	47→50	43→45	45	.251/.302/.392	.142	.291	14	8	19%	6%	95	+1.4	.252/.305/.376	.124	.291	12	5	17%	7%	92	+1.2	.250/.320/.384	.135	.284	13	1	16%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Steve Tolleson 2011 · MLB	27	52→53	44→45	48→50	48	.252/.308/.372	.121	.296	11	12	19%	7%	92	+1.2	.234/.296/.337	.103	.290	9	15	21%	8%	78	+0.2	.235/.301/.332	.097	.298	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Cord Phelps 2014 · MLB	27	47→57	46→50	45	48	.234/.292/.368	.133	.283	13	7	22%	8%	84	+0.6	.224/.286/.324	.100	.272	9	6	20%	8%	69	-0.4	.215/.282/.290	.075	.262	6	4	19%	8%	57	-0.9
✕Matt Antonelli 2012 · AAA	27	48→52	45	45→50	50	.234/.301/.367	.132	.277	12	9	20%	8%	88	+0.9	.225/.295/.340	.115	.277	11	9	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.173/.261/.242	.070	.215	6	3	21%	9%	37	-0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→49	51→55	46→30	44	.235/.294/.394	.158	.299	20	3	28%	7%	92	+1.2	.230/.285/.371	.141	.296	16	4	27%	6%	82	+0.5	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Francisco Cordoba 2011 · AAA	27	46→53	45	41→40	50	.229/.301/.353	.125	.277	13	7	22%	9%	85	+0.7	.227/.278/.349	.122	.287	14	6	25%	6%	73	-0.1	.245/.293/.365	.120	.298	16	1	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Craig Stansberry 2009 · MLB	27	44→47	45→50	45→50	50	.216/.290/.342	.126	.264	12	11	22%	9%	77	+0.1	.223/.285/.332	.109	.277	10	10	22%	7%	72	-0.2	.219/.280/.322	.102	.276	9	11	23%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Grant Green 2015 · MLB	27	54→57	44→45	44→45	41	.262/.298/.386	.123	.318	11	8	21%	4%	91	+1.1	.252/.283/.359	.107	.319	8	5	23%	4%	76	+0.1	.247/.276/.339	.092	.317	6	2	23%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	48→55	51→55	42	.229/.284/.378	.149	.296	15	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	.203/.272/.331	.128	.300	12	18	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.201/.259/.337	.136	.285	17	26	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Josh Rutledge 2016 · MLB	27	50→59	42→50	47→50	42	.240/.294/.348	.108	.308	9	8	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.220/.277/.312	.092	.311	7	8	29%	6%	63	-0.8	.193/.269/.246	.053	.279	3	4	29%	8%	42	-0.6
●James McCann 2016 · MLB	26	52→55	43→50	45	40	.252/.289/.366	.114	.311	10	5	22%	4%	82	+0.5	.235/.286/.363	.128	.296	15	3	25%	6%	80	+0.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Tommy Field 2014 · MLB	27	46→50	44→45	48→45	45	.225/.287/.344	.120	.284	12	7	25%	7%	76	+0.1	.220/.285/.347	.127	.275	13	7	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.206/.275/.335	.129	.253	14	5	24%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Austin Wynns 2018 · AAA	27	50→52	43→45	47→30	46	.244/.299/.350	.107	.295	10	3	21%	6%	82	+0.5	.232/.284/.333	.101	.285	12	3	22%	6%	71	-0.3	.244/.309/.343	.100	.312	10	2	24%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	50→57	45	45→40	45	.249/.301/.368	.119	.286	13	4	18%	5%	89	+0.9	.221/.275/.344	.123	.281	14	4	26%	5%	71	-0.3	.193/.251/.312	.119	.258	14	2	30%	5%	49	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)