Graysen Tarlow
C Springfield Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+STL | 91 | .167/.278/.179 | 0 | 0 | 7 | — | .136/.222/.148 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 246 | .275/.393/.315 | 1 | 4 | 77 | — | .260/.351/.294 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AASTL | 186 | .237/.346/.378 | 4 | 5 | 69 | — | .204/.292/.315 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBSTL | 2 | .216/.296/.308 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBSTL | 45 | .216/.296/.311 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ40% MLB | 28 | MLBSTL | 83 | .216/.295/.311 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 59 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 390 | 333 | 723 | 133 | 229 | 15 | 19 | 345 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 278 | 179 | 457 | 13 | 232 | 25 | 13 | 225 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 69 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 418 | 296 | 714 | 19 | 375 | 22 | 19 | 334 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 139 | 115 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 304 | 407 | 357 | 764 | 52 | 386 | 22 | 9 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 38 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 161 | 297 | 194 | 491 | 32 | 200 | 18 | 13 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 51 | 43 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 302 | 388 | 395 | 783 | 93 | 333 | 12 | 10 | 343 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 135 | 113 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 212 | 331 | 372 | 703 | 159 | 267 | 27 | 12 | 317 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 59 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 322 | 271 | 593 | 104 | 201 | 22 | 14 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 222 | 148 | 370 | 12 | 202 | 32 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 69 | 58 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 373 | 293 | 666 | 17 | 361 | 26 | 13 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 139 | 119 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 252 | 341 | 294 | 635 | 42 | 333 | 29 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 51 | 44 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 367 | 386 | 754 | 91 | 311 | 14 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 135 | 118 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 169 | 263 | 288 | 551 | 119 | 228 | 33 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 59 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 322 | 271 | 593 | 104 | 206 | 22 | 14 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 59 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 390 | 333 | 723 | 133 | 229 | 15 | 19 | 345 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 222 | 148 | 370 | 12 | 208 | 32 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 278 | 179 | 457 | 13 | 232 | 25 | 13 | 225 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 246 | 210 | 54 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 257 | 347 | 290 | 638 | 33 | 363 | 28 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 246 | 200 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 52 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 275 | 393 | 315 | 708 | 40 | 353 | 21 | 12 | 327 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 162 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 198 | 286 | 302 | 588 | 105 | 259 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 186 | 156 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 237 | 346 | 378 | 724 | 141 | 289 | 23 | 11 | 324 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 59 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 322 | 271 | 593 | 104 | 201 | 22 | 14 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 222 | 146 | 369 | 12 | 202 | 32 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 246 | 215 | 54 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 251 | 347 | 284 | 631 | 33 | 342 | 28 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 164 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 195 | 286 | 299 | 584 | 104 | 251 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 91 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 222 | 146 | 369 | 12 | 202 | 32 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 246 | 215 | 54 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 251 | 347 | 284 | 631 | 33 | 342 | 28 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 164 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 195 | 286 | 299 | 584 | 104 | 251 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 2% | 236 | 210 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 295 | 308 | 603 | 94 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 296 | 308 | 604 | 93 | 283 | 50 | 0 | 277 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 27% | 168 | 149 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 96 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 40% | 209 | 186 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 294 | 311 | 605 | 96 | 280 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 27% | 45 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 296 | 311 | 607 | 95 | 283 | 24 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 40% | 83 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 295 | 311 | 606 | 95 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 128 | 115 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 289 | 304 | 593 | 96 | 272 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 69 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 121 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 56 | 162 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 207 | 288 | 301 | 589 | 94 | 269 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 69 | -20 | +2 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1084 | 947 | 202 | 35 | 2 | 12 | 95 | 287 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 213 | 302 | 293 | 594 | 79 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +9 | +11 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 121 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 57 | 172 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 213 | 302 | 290 | 592 | 77 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 135 PAwOBA .314 → .251 (−63)K% 26.7% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 16.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.15% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .314 → .251; ISO .159 → .127; BABIP .267 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 51 PAwOBA .348 → .322 (−27)K% 11.8% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 23.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 9.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .322; ISO .093 → .085; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 139 PAwOBA .349 → .285 (−64)K% 21.6% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.58% | ÷0.951 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.027 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.76% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 4.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.47% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 31.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 2.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.850 | ×0.974 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.857 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.08% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .349 → .285; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .386 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASpringfield Cardinals · 69 PAwOBA .326 → .298 (−28)K% 21.7% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 12.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.90% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 34.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.916 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .298; ISO .019 → .018; BABIP .375 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 91 PAwOBA .223 → .179 (−44)K% 25.3% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.27% | ÷1.006 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷0.930 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .223 → .179; ISO .013 → .009; BABIP .232 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 59 PAwOBA .337 → .266 (−71)K% 15.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.25% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 12.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.89% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | — | 12.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | — | — | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .266; ISO .133 → .108; BABIP .229 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .