Zach HumphreysC
Salt Lake Bees
Age 28
R/R
5'9" / 195 lbs
AAA
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.2 · 2026
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .305
PA235
HR3
SB6
K%27
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
35→35
SPD
50→50
EYE
52↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-2M | $-5M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 35 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .156 | .229 | .219 | .447 | .062 | .357 | 51 | 6 | .197 | 9 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 285 | 248 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 3 | .218 | .312 | .327 | .639 | .109 | .277 | 25 | 12 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 246 | 218 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 72 | 2 | 9 | 4 | .211 | .283 | .312 | .595 | .101 | .297 | 29 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 299 | 265 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 81 | 1 | 9 | 4 | .177 | .264 | .238 | .501 | .060 | .242 | 27 | 10 | .228 | 33 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 227 | 202 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .188 | .258 | .272 | .530 | .084 | .257 | 28 | 7 | .234 | 37 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 235 | 212 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 65 | 2 | 6 | 2 | .212 | .283 | .311 | .595 | .099 | .283 | 28 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | LAA | 269 | 242 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 73 | 2 | 6 | 2 | .215 | .288 | .322 | .611 | .107 | .284 | 27 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | LAA | 305 | 273 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .216 | .291 | .326 | .617 | .110 | .283 | 27 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | LAA | 294 | 265 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 81 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .281 | .306 | .586 | .098 | .282 | 28 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | LAA | 274 | 247 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 76 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .206 | .279 | .308 | .587 | .101 | .281 | 28 | 8 | .268 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | LAA | 243 | 219 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 69 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .205 | .278 | .301 | .579 | .096 | .279 | 28 | 8 | .263 | 60 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | LAA | 200 | 179 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .196 | .273 | .274 | .546 | .078 | .277 | 30 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2912 | 2602 | 532 | 117 | 8 | 38 | 254 | 812 | 23 | 66 | 18 | .204 | .281 | .299 | .580 | .095 | .279 | 28 | 9 | .262 | 59 | -135 | +6 | -19 | +52 | +83 | -1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 118 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 181 | 5 | 15 | 4 | .203 | .280 | .296 | .576 | .093 | .278 | 28 | 9 | .262 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 35 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .314 | .290 | .605 | .065 | .412 | 40 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 285 | 230 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 51 | 57 | 1 | 8 | 3 | .248 | .387 | .378 | .765 | .130 | .296 | 20 | 18 | .349 | 125 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 224 | 189 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 51 | 2 | 7 | 4 | .259 | .358 | .381 | .739 | .122 | .336 | 23 | 12 | .328 | 109 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .273 | .400 | .673 | .200 | .214 | 23 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 299 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 4 | .219 | .324 | .293 | .617 | .074 | .275 | 20 | 13 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 227 | 196 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .224 | .312 | .327 | .639 | .102 | .282 | 21 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Zach Humphreys (OGILVIE) | 28 | 45 | 35 | 50 | 45 | .208/.280/.305 | .097 | .283 | 3 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→46 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 47 | .206/.279/.307 | .101 | .275 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .196/.273/.279 | .083 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .174/.259/.229 | .054 | .247 | 4 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕Max McDowell 2022 · AAA |
28 | 43→49 | 40 | 48→50 | 46 | .202/.300/.292 | .089 | .275 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .193/.279/.284 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .167/.252/.250 | .083 | .239 | 11 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 37 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Klosterman 2010 · AAA |
28 | 43→45 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 45 | .211/.271/.312 | .101 | .273 | 9 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.269/.324 | .118 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .157/.256/.260 | .103 | .235 | 9 | 19 | 34% | 12% | 40 | -0.4 |
|
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA |
29 | 44→50 | 42→40 | 51→55 | 44 | .216/.286/.318 | .102 | .292 | 10 | 18 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .210/.273/.302 | .092 | .282 | 8 | 18 | 27% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .192/.255/.272 | .080 | .256 | 7 | 19 | 26% | 6% | 41 | -1.3 |
|
✕Danny Worth 2014 · MLB |
28 | 44→53 | 41→45 | 50 | 44 | .211/.274/.311 | .101 | .293 | 7 | 14 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .212/.274/.304 | .092 | .316 | 6 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.290/.321 | .098 | .325 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jecksson Flores 2022 · AAA |
28 | 44→54 | 39→40 | 49→55 | 47 | .212/.275/.298 | .086 | .258 | 6 | 12 | 20% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.284/.318 | .096 | .273 | 7 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .218/.281/.303 | .084 | .268 | 6 | 3 | 20% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Justin Knoedler 2008 · AAA |
28 | 45 | 42→45 | 49→45 | 40 | .217/.267/.330 | .113 | .297 | 8 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .195/.240/.330 | .135 | .260 | 14 | 8 | 30% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .133/.185/.279 | .146 | .158 | 19 | 4 | 31% | 4% | 17 | -1.6 |
|
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2012 · AAA |
28 | 51 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 42 | .245/.285/.336 | .091 | .310 | 6 | 18 | 23% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.266/.314 | .086 | .312 | 6 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.260/.280 | .074 | .304 | 9 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 46 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB |
29 | 43→51 | 40 | 51→55 | 44 | .211/.266/.303 | .092 | .272 | 8 | 17 | 25% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.255/.286 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 20 | 30% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .180/.231/.241 | .060 | .254 | 5 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 23 | -1.5 |
|
✕Chris Barnwell 2007 · MLB |
28 | 48→51 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .229/.280/.310 | .081 | .277 | 6 | 14 | 19% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.279/.312 | .088 | .270 | 7 | 15 | 19% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .212/.269/.295 | .083 | .257 | 6 | 14 | 19% | 5% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA |
27 | 47→48 | 37→40 | 48→50 | 50 | .219/.288/.292 | .073 | .281 | 4 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .217/.272/.317 | .100 | .259 | 8 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.251/.308 | .104 | .227 | 10 | 17 | 15% | 5% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bryson Brigman 2023 · AAA |
28 | 48→58 | 42→40 | 50 | 42 | .235/.281/.340 | .105 | .296 | 9 | 12 | 24% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .236/.288/.328 | .092 | .296 | 8 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .239/.295/.315 | .076 | .296 | 6 | 12 | 20% | 6% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Javi Herrera 2009 · AAA |
28 | 46 | 40 | 43→45 | 48 | .220/.300/.312 | .092 | .275 | 8 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .211/.291/.310 | .099 | .277 | 9 | 8 | 25% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .131/.226/.199 | .068 | .172 | 5 | 0 | 25% | 9% | 17 | -0.7 |
|
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2022 · MLB |
27 | 44→53 | 42→45 | 50→60 | 42 | .218/.277/.323 | .105 | .285 | 10 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.284/.309 | .098 | .287 | 5 | 30 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.282/.295 | .092 | .280 | 4 | 40 | 26% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Alan Arredondo 2006 · AAA |
28 | 48 | 42→30 | 51→60 | 38 | .232/.267/.334 | .102 | .306 | 9 | 20 | 27% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .246/.286/.323 | .077 | .311 | 4 | 15 | 21% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .261/.301/.327 | .066 | .326 | 2 | 16 | 20% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brian Ward 2014 · AA |
28 | 48 | 39→40 | 48→45 | 48 | .228/.290/.318 | .090 | .275 | 7 | 8 | 19% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .222/.291/.307 | .085 | .285 | 7 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .223/.295/.269 | .046 | .289 | 4 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .192/.252/.291 | .099 | .264 | 9 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .193/.261/.280 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .161/.236/.224 | .063 | .253 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 21 | -1.1 |
|
✕Ivan Ochoa 2011 · MLB |
28 | 47→54 | 41→40 | 53→55 | 46 | .228/.291/.325 | .097 | .285 | 8 | 20 | 22% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .213/.264/.300 | .087 | .263 | 5 | 11 | 20% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .203/.250/.269 | .066 | .252 | 2 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 40 | -1.5 |
|
✕Elliot Soto 2018 · AAA |
28 | 47→52 | 36→40 | 48→50 | 48 | .219/.283/.286 | .067 | .282 | 3 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.282/.319 | .092 | .296 | 6 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .226/.285/.308 | .082 | .302 | 4 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA |
28 | 46→48 | 36→30 | 47→50 | 52 | .216/.296/.280 | .064 | .268 | 4 | 12 | 20% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .214/.290/.278 | .064 | .268 | 4 | 12 | 20% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .209/.285/.267 | .058 | .262 | 2 | 9 | 19% | 8% | 52 | -1.1 |