Zach Humphreys
C Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAALAA | 299 | .219/.324/.293 | 3 | 9 | 45 | — | .188/.270/.241 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAALAA | 227 | .224/.312/.327 | 2 | 7 | 47 | — | .193/.262/.267 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAALAA | 168 | .250/.367/.350 | 0 | 4 | 70 | — | .218/.307/.299 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBLAA | 12 | .201/.279/.277 | 0 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBLAA | 42 | .200/.277/.276 | 0 | 1 | 60 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 35 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 290 | 605 | 65 | 412 | 40 | 9 | 283 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 285 | 230 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 51 | 57 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 248 | 387 | 378 | 765 | 130 | 296 | 20 | 18 | 349 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 224 | 189 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 51 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 259 | 358 | 381 | 739 | 122 | 336 | 23 | 12 | 328 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 400 | 673 | 200 | 214 | 23 | 9 | 299 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 219 | 324 | 293 | 617 | 74 | 275 | 20 | 13 | 287 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 196 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 224 | 312 | 327 | 639 | 102 | 282 | 21 | 10 | 286 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 140 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 367 | 350 | 717 | 100 | 340 | 23 | 13 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 35 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 200 | 156 | 356 | 31 | 353 | 51 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 285 | 248 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 218 | 312 | 315 | 627 | 97 | 270 | 24 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 224 | 197 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 61 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 234 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 96 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 22 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 381 | 608 | 190 | 200 | 27 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 266 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 75 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 188 | 270 | 241 | 511 | 53 | 249 | 25 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 202 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 193 | 262 | 267 | 530 | 74 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 147 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 299 | 607 | 82 | 301 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 35 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 200 | 156 | 356 | 31 | 286 | 51 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 35 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 290 | 605 | 65 | 412 | 40 | 9 | 283 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 285 | 248 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 218 | 312 | 315 | 627 | 97 | 275 | 24 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 285 | 230 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 51 | 57 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 248 | 387 | 378 | 765 | 130 | 296 | 20 | 18 | 349 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 218 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 225 | 296 | 330 | 626 | 106 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 209 | 53 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 56 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 254 | 350 | 383 | 733 | 129 | 325 | 23 | 12 | 325 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 266 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 75 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 188 | 270 | 241 | 511 | 53 | 253 | 25 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 219 | 324 | 293 | 617 | 74 | 275 | 20 | 13 | 287 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 202 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 193 | 262 | 267 | 530 | 74 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 196 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 224 | 312 | 327 | 639 | 102 | 282 | 21 | 10 | 286 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 147 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 299 | 607 | 82 | 314 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 140 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 367 | 350 | 717 | 100 | 340 | 23 | 13 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 35 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 200 | 156 | 356 | 31 | 353 | 51 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 285 | 249 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 217 | 312 | 313 | 625 | 96 | 270 | 24 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 222 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 221 | 296 | 324 | 620 | 104 | 297 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 267 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 75 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 187 | 270 | 240 | 510 | 52 | 249 | 25 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 206 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 189 | 262 | 262 | 525 | 73 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 147 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 299 | 607 | 82 | 301 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 299 | 267 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 75 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 187 | 270 | 240 | 510 | 52 | 249 | 25 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 227 | 206 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 189 | 262 | 262 | 525 | 73 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 168 | 147 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 299 | 607 | 82 | 301 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 10% | 218 | 195 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 203 | 280 | 281 | 561 | 78 | 271 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 10% | 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 279 | 277 | 556 | 76 | 268 | 25 | 8 | 257 | 61 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 27% | 154 | 138 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 202 | 279 | 279 | 558 | 77 | 270 | 25 | 8 | 257 | 60 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 27% | 42 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 277 | 276 | 553 | 76 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 60 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 262 | 237 | 499 | 53 | 259 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 62 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 108 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 170 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 184 | 260 | 236 | 496 | 53 | 258 | 26 | 7 | 255 | 62 | -31 | +3 | -9 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1529 | 1353 | 278 | 65 | 4 | 12 | 138 | 402 | 16 | 43 | 14 | 205 | 287 | 286 | 573 | 81 | 279 | 26 | 9 | 259 | 62 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 119 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 59 | 171 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 207 | 289 | 289 | 577 | 82 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 259 | 62 | -30 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 168 PAwOBA .325 → .271 (−54)K% 23.2% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 9.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .325 → .271; ISO .100 → .085; BABIP .340 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 227 PAwOBA .283 → .238 (−45)K% 21.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.15% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 17.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.46% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .283 → .238; ISO .102 → .083; BABIP .282 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASalt Lake Bees · 299 PAwOBA .282 → .235 (−46)K% 20.4% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.40% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.944 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.05% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×1.003 | 20.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.141 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×1.003 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 94, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .282 → .235; ISO .074 → .057; BABIP .275 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASalt Lake Bees · 224 PAwOBA .325 → .284 (−41)K% 22.8% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.77% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.05% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.46% | ÷1.058 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 20.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 9.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .325 → .284; ISO .122 → .109; BABIP .336 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 22 PAwOBA .290 → .242 (−48)K% 22.7% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 12.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.43% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .290 → .242; ISO .200 → .169; BABIP .214 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 285 PAwOBA .345 → .285 (−60)K% 20.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.89% | ÷1.041 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 11.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.28% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.998 | 22.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×0.998 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.018 | ×0.998 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.131 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.86% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .345 → .285; ISO .130 → .108; BABIP .296 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 35 PAwOBA .277 → .194 (−83)K% 40.0% → 52.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 52.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.047 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.069 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 24.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 10.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 114, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .277 → .194; ISO .065 → .047; BABIP .412 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).