Zach Humphreys — OGILVIE

Zach HumphreysC Salt Lake Bees

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 101 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .280 / .289

PA101

HR1

K%28

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO89

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	35	32	5	2	0	0	2	18	1	1	0	156	229	219	447	62	357	51	6	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	35	31	7	2	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	226	314	290	605	65	412	40	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	285	249	54	7	1	5	32	70	1	8	3	217	309	313	622	96	277	25	11	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	285	230	57	7	1	7	51	57	1	8	3	248	387	378	765	130	296	20	18	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	246	218	46	14	1	3	20	71	2	9	4	211	283	326	609	115	291	29	8	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	246	209	53	16	1	3	29	56	2	9	4	254	350	383	733	129	325	23	12	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	299	264	45	6	0	3	31	84	1	9	4	170	260	227	487	57	236	28	10	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	299	256	56	10	0	3	39	61	1	9	4	219	324	293	617	74	275	20	13	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	227	201	36	11	0	2	17	65	3	7	0	179	253	264	517	85	248	29	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	227	196	44	14	0	2	22	48	3	7	0	224	312	327	639	102	282	21	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	LAA	—	134	119	26	9	0	0	14	39	1	4	1	218	306	294	600	76	325	29	10	265	61	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
YTD	28	AAA	LAA	—	134	114	30	11	0	0	19	30	1	4	1	263	373	360	733	96	357	22	14	338	117	+3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.9
ROS	28	AAA	LAA	10%	101	90	18	5	0	1	9	28	1	3	1	200	280	289	569	89	277	28	9	258	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB	LAA	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		276	30	10	251	50	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	LAA	—	144	128	27	9	0	0	15	42	1	4	1	211	299	281	580	70	314	29	10	264	60	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
TOT	28	AAA	LAA	—	235	209	44	14	0	1	23	67	2	7	2	211	295	292	587	81	303	29	10	262	59	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	LAA	27%	269	241	47	12	0	2	24	73	2	6	2	195	273	270	543	75	274	27	9	260	57	-13	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.2
2028	30	MLB	LAA	37%	305	271	56	14	1	3	28	83	3	6	2	207	288	299	587	92	275	27	9	262	59	-14	+0	-2	+5	+9	-0.2
2029	31	MLB	LAA	43%	294	263	52	13	0	3	27	80	2	5	1	198	277	281	559	84	273	27	9	261	58	-14	+1	-3	+5	+8	-0.3
2030	32	MLB	LAA	47%	274	245	48	12	0	3	25	76	2	4	1	196	276	282	557	86	270	28	9	257	55	-14	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	LAA	27%	74	66	13	3	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	197	284	288	572	91	273	27	9	253	52	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	LAA	37%	114	102	20	5	0	1	10	31	1	2	1	196	274	275	549	78	273	27	9	255	53	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	31	MLB	LAA	43%	127	114	23	6	0	1	11	35	1	2	1	202	278	281	558	79	272	28	9	254	52	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	32	MLB	LAA	47%	128	114	22	5	0	1	12	35	1	2	0	193	276	263	539	70	269	27	9	250	49	-7	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	453	405	79	19	0	4	41	124	4	8	2	195	276	272	547	77	268	27	9	253	51	-25	+1	-4	+8	+13	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	113	27	0	6	59	178	6	11	3	194	276	272	547	77	267	27	9	253	51	-36	+1	-6	+12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2335	2074	407	96	3	25	215	648	18	58	18	196	277	282	559	85	269	28	9	255	53	-123	+4	-10	+42	+66	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	114	27	1	7	60	180	5	16	5	198	279	284	563	87	271	28	9	255	53	-34	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	35	31	7	2	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	226	314	290	605	65	412	40	9	283	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	285	230	57	7	1	7	51	57	1	8	3	248	387	378	765	130	296	20	18	349	125	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2023	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	224	189	49	15	1	2	27	51	2	7	4	259	358	381	739	122	336	23	12	328	109	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	25	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	22	20	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	2	0	200	273	400	673	200	214	23	9	299	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	299	256	56	10	0	3	39	61	1	9	4	219	324	293	617	74	275	20	13	287	78	-7	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2025	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	227	196	44	14	0	2	22	48	3	7	0	224	312	327	639	102	282	21	10	286	77	-6	+1	—	—	+6	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	466	4	9	200	277	286	+8	+8	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	6	13	200	277	286	+11.9	+11.4	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Humphreys (OGILVIE)	28	45	35	50	45	211/295/292	81	303	1	7	29%	10%	59	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	38→40	49→55	44	218/272/292	74	286	5	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	212/263/300	88	281	8	18	26%	6%	54	-1.4	196/246/269	72	264	6	19	27%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→47	36→30	47→50	52	213/294/275	62	265	4	13	20%	9%	62	-0.9	216/289/280	64	270	3	12	20%	8%	60	-1.0	214/286/271	57	268	2	9	19%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jecksson Flores 2022 · AAA	28	45→53	39→40	48→55	48	213/277/298	85	261	6	10	20%	7%	60	-1.0	223/285/322	99	275	8	7	21%	7%	69	-0.4	218/282/306	88	267	6	3	20%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Pete Kozma 2016 · MLB	28	43→47	39→45	45→50	49	208/272/290	82	250	6	11	19%	7%	56	-1.3	190/241/260	70	243	5	11	23%	5%	34	-2.8	190/238/287	96	231	7	6	21%	5%	38	-1.7
✕Elliot Soto 2018 · AAA	28	46→53	37→40	48→50	48	219/281/291	73	276	4	9	22%	8%	59	-1.1	226/281/319	93	296	6	9	24%	7%	66	-0.6	228/287/310	82	306	4	7	25%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2018 · AAA	28	44→54	37→40	54→55	44	209/267/289	79	275	4	12	25%	6%	52	-1.6	213/268/331	118	286	9	12	27%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/378	168	276	10	7	27%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	37→47	41→45	47→50	43	188/251/276	89	245	9	12	27%	7%	43	-2.2	224/284/365	141	271	17	14	23%	7%	80	+0.4	232/294/393	161	267	21	15	22%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Brian Bocock 2013 · AAA	28	43→45	38→40	50	44	208/256/287	79	261	5	15	22%	6%	47	-1.9	205/248/290	85	270	6	11	25%	5%	44	-2.1	193/235/268	74	261	5	6	27%	5%	30	-1.5
✕Max McDowell 2023 · AAA	29	40→48	39→40	47→50	44	192/276/277	85	266	6	9	28%	7%	56	-1.3	193/274/297	104	277	12	6	33%	7%	60	-1.0	168/259/259	91	245	13	1	35%	7%	43	-0.9
✕Iggy Suarez 2009 · AA	28	45→49	38→40	48→50	43	217/266/298	81	287	6	11	26%	6%	54	-1.4	195/259/274	79	275	6	13	29%	7%	46	-2.0	140/222/186	46	210	3	14	32%	8%	7	-2.3
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2016 · AAA	28	50→48	37→40	54→55	43	234/276/315	81	296	4	16	22%	5%	63	-0.9	226/269/312	86	278	6	10	20%	5%	59	-1.1	210/248/274	64	253	3	2	18%	4%	36	-1.0
✕Mike Miller 2018 · AAA	28	50→48	37→40	46→50	47	234/286/308	74	278	4	12	17%	6%	66	-0.6	232/280/302	70	281	6	11	18%	6%	61	-1.0	232/275/283	51	279	4	11	18%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	44→49	40	51→55	43	212/281/302	90	291	8	18	29%	7%	63	-0.9	206/266/294	88	279	8	17	27%	6%	54	-1.4	192/252/268	76	258	6	19	27%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Khayyan Norfork 2017 · AA	28	46→44	36→40	49→50	41	214/267/279	65	291	3	11	26%	5%	50	-1.8	214/274/295	81	286	7	7	26%	6%	57	-1.2	207/269/280	73	271	9	3	26%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Ryan Klosterman 2010 · AAA	28	43→45	42→45	50→55	44	213/272/316	104	275	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	207/272/329	122	274	12	13	28%	7%	66	-0.6	160/272/270	110	236	10	19	33%	13%	50	-0.3
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	41→47	38→40	47→55	43	194/261/270	76	292	6	13	34%	8%	46	-2.0	208/279/278	70	327	5	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	204/277/255	51	317	3	26	33%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Deven Marrero 2019 · MLB	28	40→48	39→45	49→50	38	198/240/284	86	279	7	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	201/253/316	115	287	13	11	33%	6%	54	-1.4	194/251/298	105	272	13	10	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA	27	43→45	38→45	48→50	45	204/264/282	78	262	5	11	23%	7%	50	-1.8	210/265/302	92	278	7	8	26%	6%	56	-1.3	201/251/279	78	266	5	2	25%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	43	40→30	48→30	41	211/259/300	88	267	8	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	212/276/280	68	268	5	5	22%	5%	55	-1.4	199/267/230	31	253	2	0	20%	5%	36	-0.7