Khayyan Norfork
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AA/A+2 orgs | 244 | .221/.319/.260 | 0 | 6 | 36 | — | .193/.265/.226 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAWSH | 317 | .268/.345/.339 | 3 | 2 | 64 | — | .236/.297/.288 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAWSH | 111 | .156/.257/.260 | 3 | 1 | 15 | — | .130/.202/.200 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 80 | 70 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 286 | 367 | 429 | 796 | 143 | 292 | 5 | 10 | 353 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 40 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 263 | 286 | 549 | 86 | 231 | 20 | 8 | 240 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 360 | 316 | 79 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 71 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 250 | 331 | 367 | 698 | 117 | 307 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 395 | 348 | 92 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 74 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 264 | 337 | 368 | 705 | 103 | 326 | 19 | 8 | 313 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 24 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 292 | 286 | 577 | 95 | 250 | 21 | 12 | 270 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 376 | 341 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 276 | 336 | 364 | 700 | 88 | 330 | 16 | 7 | 314 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 85 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 274 | 205 | 479 | 41 | 226 | 25 | 8 | 233 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 159 | 135 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 252 | 344 | 289 | 633 | 37 | 312 | 18 | 10 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 280 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 345 | 339 | 684 | 71 | 336 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 111 | 96 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 257 | 260 | 517 | 104 | 171 | 21 | 10 | 240 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 80 | 73 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 384 | 700 | 123 | 269 | 8 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 40 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 211 | 250 | 461 | 83 | 208 | 30 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 360 | 328 | 67 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 95 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 204 | 263 | 305 | 568 | 101 | 262 | 26 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 395 | 359 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 105 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 212 | 267 | 287 | 554 | 75 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 273 | 523 | 91 | 211 | 29 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 376 | 352 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 85 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 233 | 274 | 307 | 581 | 74 | 295 | 23 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 85 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 238 | 187 | 425 | 40 | 212 | 31 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 159 | 142 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 218 | 279 | 246 | 526 | 28 | 286 | 26 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 288 | 68 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 297 | 288 | 585 | 52 | 308 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 111 | 100 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 202 | 200 | 402 | 70 | 155 | 25 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 80 | 73 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 384 | 700 | 123 | 273 | 8 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 80 | 70 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 286 | 367 | 429 | 796 | 143 | 292 | 5 | 10 | 353 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 364 | 73 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 108 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 201 | 258 | 299 | 557 | 99 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 400 | 351 | 86 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 79 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 245 | 324 | 359 | 683 | 114 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 304 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 419 | 381 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 112 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 207 | 263 | 281 | 544 | 73 | 284 | 27 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 419 | 369 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 79 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 260 | 334 | 363 | 697 | 103 | 322 | 19 | 8 | 310 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 376 | 352 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 85 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 233 | 274 | 307 | 581 | 74 | 302 | 23 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 376 | 341 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 276 | 336 | 364 | 700 | 88 | 330 | 16 | 7 | 314 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 217 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 68 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 226 | 491 | 32 | 275 | 28 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 244 | 208 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 50 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 221 | 319 | 260 | 579 | 38 | 284 | 20 | 9 | 270 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 288 | 68 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 297 | 288 | 585 | 52 | 313 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 280 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 64 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 345 | 339 | 684 | 71 | 336 | 20 | 9 | 312 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 111 | 100 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 130 | 202 | 200 | 402 | 70 | 157 | 25 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 111 | 96 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 257 | 260 | 517 | 104 | 171 | 21 | 10 | 240 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 80 | 74 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 316 | 378 | 695 | 122 | 269 | 8 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 369 | 73 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 108 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 198 | 258 | 295 | 553 | 98 | 257 | 27 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 419 | 387 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 112 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 204 | 263 | 276 | 540 | 72 | 277 | 27 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 376 | 353 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 85 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 232 | 274 | 306 | 580 | 74 | 295 | 23 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 221 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 68 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 190 | 265 | 222 | 486 | 32 | 260 | 28 | 6 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 317 | 289 | 68 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 76 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 297 | 287 | 584 | 52 | 308 | 24 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 111 | 101 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 202 | 198 | 400 | 69 | 155 | 25 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1947 | 1775 | 376 | 66 | 10 | 14 | 105 | 483 | 33 | 53 | 18 | 212 | 269 | 284 | 553 | 72 | 281 | 25 | 5 | 243 | 51 | -115 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +42 | -6.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 161 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 211 | 268 | 283 | 551 | 73 | 278 | 25 | 5 | 243 | 51 | -38 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAHarrisburg Senators · 111 PAwOBA .234 → .190 (−44)K% 20.7% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.72% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.07% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 13.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.860 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 1.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.070 | ×0.950 | ×1.009 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 3.32% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 114, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .234 → .190; ISO .104 → .085; BABIP .171 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAHarrisburg Senators · 317 PAwOBA .305 → .263 (−42)K% 20.2% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.52% | ÷0.974 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.24% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×0.968 | 26.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.09% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.009 | ×0.968 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.906 | ×0.950 | ×1.009 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 1.08% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 81, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .305 → .263; ISO .071 → .058; BABIP .336 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Potomac Nationals · 159 PAwOBA .288 → .235 (−53)K% 18.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.24% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.06% | ÷1.061 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.36% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×0.958 | 25.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.958 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | ×1.007 | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .288 → .235; ISO .037 → .029; BABIP .312 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAHarrisburg Senators · 85 PAwOBA .231 → .195 (−36)K% 24.7% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.71% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 3.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.31% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×0.978 | 16.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | ×1.018 | ×0.978 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.445 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 189, 1B 106, 2B 84, 3B 127, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .231 → .195; ISO .041 → .037; BABIP .226 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Potomac Nationals · 376 PAwOBA .306 → .251 (−55)K% 16.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.96% | ÷1.006 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.18% | ÷1.022 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 4.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.91% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×1.039 | ×0.968 | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.968 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | ×1.039 | ×0.968 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.900 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .306 → .251; ISO .088 → .073; BABIP .330 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Potomac Nationals · 395 PAwOBA .308 → .243 (−65)K% 18.7% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.73% | ÷0.996 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.85% | ÷0.943 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.72% | ÷1.012 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.037 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .308 → .243; ISO .103 → .077; BABIP .326 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AHagerstown Suns · 24 PAwOBA .263 → .196 (−68)K% 20.8% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 11.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 9.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .263 → .196; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .250 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AHagerstown Suns · 360 PAwOBA .306 → .244 (−62)K% 19.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.89% | ÷1.021 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷1.059 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.980 | 19.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.12% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | ×1.016 | ×0.980 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.910 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×0.980 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.856 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 112, 2B 118, 3B 82, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .306 → .244; ISO .117 → .102; BABIP .307 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).